Following on from the Noted in Running thread, I've backed Vanillier for the 2023 Cheltenham Gold Cup.
I still fancy him to win whichever novice chase he goes for this season and if he does he'll be 10/1 for next year's Gold Cup.
Illegitimi non carborundum
Outsider (30th January 2022)
Desert Orchid (31st January 2022)
ROCKY DREAMS 435d 20/1 4places
Outsider (2nd February 2022)
255 sandown Saturday
Ask dillon 25/1 has caught the eye a couple of times.you have to forgive him his last run.but with claimer aboard could outrun its odds.
Not my main bet,that's Dan's le vent.took 14s.
AD definitely on my radar too, Outsider.
Illegitimi non carborundum
Outsider (4th February 2022)
AD owes me a bit, but whether this is the time I've no idea. Talking about no idea I’ve got Dans Le Vent popped up in my tracker for this race, but quite why I’ve no idea
PS: oh yes, it’s a Noted in Running horse mentioned by Outsider (#75) and I didn’t see he’d mentioned it earlier as his main bet. Me bad.
Last edited by barjon; 4th February 2022 at 5:10 PM.
Outsider (4th February 2022)
I have three strong fancies for tomorrow. Individually they don't qualify for the thread but I'm backing them in a three cross and all four elements do qualify.
San 2.55 Ree Okka 13/2
San 3.30 Linelee King 4/1
Leo 2.45 Enjoy D'allen 11/1
The doubles pay 36.5/1, 77/1 and 59/1, and the treble pays 389/1.
I'm more than happy to splash out a bit on them.
Illegitimi non carborundum
Outsider (4th February 2022)
Batcio is out again in the 3.50 at Leopardstown tomorrow.. Not 25/1 for this race though! A sporting bet for me.
I second DO on his selection Linelee King who has a big chance if you put a line through his last run.
We'll also find out if Frero Banbou can frank his own form and his last win over Eclair D'ainay.. I am hoping so although I know Euro thinks the opposite to me.
Last edited by Marb; 4th February 2022 at 6:28 PM.
Outsider (4th February 2022)
In the 3m hcap hurdle 245L tomorrow POUR PAVORE 33/1 would probably need to win this to get into the pertemps final after finishing 6th in a qualifier as it's only rated 122 in Ireland.
That was its first go at 3m.
Black Anthem 25/1 + is a mile wrong at the weights today in a 4 horse race
However I was told they have gotten to the bottom of his breathing problems and this is one shockingly bad race.
He will love the ground and while PN's should win a single at anything up to 40/1 on the machine should be available
Plus 9/1 to be placed is available
Last edited by Tanlic; 5th February 2022 at 3:59 AM.
Formely Fist of Fury
3.15 L Conflated. See DO has put this up also. Still improving and in a field where plenty have question marks against them looks well overpriced.
3.50 L Scheu Time. Like the above the favourite has had plenty of chances . Ground against selection on latest and was bang there turning in against Sporting John in November. Strong run 2m2f is up his street. Yard in good form too.
moehat (5th February 2022)
I backed Conflated last night too.
I was all set to take 33/1 Vadaly in the Spring Juvenile yesterday, but figured I'd wait until it went out to 40's. It has - obviously - been backed overnight, and is now around a 201 shot.
She clearly isn't fancied to beat Vauban based on jockey bookings (or probably Icare Allen either, tbh), but I wasn't hugely impressed with Vauban FTO (looked like a horse who needed further to me, for all that the form has worked out), and I'm prepared to take my chance on her today. She won cosy enough on her only start win France, gets a handy bit of weight, and Mullins has presumably seen enough to start her off at this kind of level.
"Beat the price and lose. It's what we do".
SlimChance, March 2018
Desert Orchid (5th February 2022)
Outsider (5th February 2022)
Wetherby 2.30 - Noble Yeats 20/1 w/o fav - only 4lbs behind Ahoy Senor on ORs and gets 5lbs. Disappeared out the back of the telly last time so that run needs forgiving but it probably accounts for his being overpriced here.
Illegitimi non carborundum
Outsider (5th February 2022)