Thread: What are you backing Today?

  1. #20641
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    Well done PB.
    Man who catch fly with chopstick .... accomplish anything.

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  3. #20642
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    Cork 5.45

    Lynn Britt Cabin steps up to Group Three company from placing last time in a decent handicap. Maybe 12/1 underestimates her chance?

    Fifteen minutes earlier Murtagh runs Siamese (Dundalk 5.30) in a Group Three who was second in the same handicap as Lynn Britt Cabin behind Music To My Ears the last day. Maybe he can take the step up to frank that handicap form from the last day.
    Last edited by Marb; 12th July 2020 at 2:56 PM.

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    7.15 Kempton-Quloob

    Each Way @ 12-1 [Bet 365]

    Will find this race easier than Royal Ascot
    "The wise man is one who knows what he does not know"

  5. #20644
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    Non Runner
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    1.50 Southwell-Hahadi @ 5-1 [888 Sport]

    Well treated if new stable get the best out of him
    "The wise man is one who knows what he does not know"

  7. #20646
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    big gamble into 15-8 goes astray..only 3rd
    "The wise man is one who knows what he does not know"

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    Senior Member Desert Orchid's Avatar
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    I've had a brief look ahead at the Magnet Cup on Saturday. I was surprised to see Pivoine available at 14/1. I half-expected him to be half that price. After all, he beat a Godolphin job into second last year and is now only 2lbs higher. The chances are he's been trained for the race.

    I plan to look more closely over the next couple of days for one or two other stabs at some value but was happy to avail myself of some of that 14/1 this evening in the meantime.
    Illegitimi non carborundum


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  10. #20648
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    Quote Originally Posted by Desert Orchid View Post
    I've had a brief look ahead at the Magnet Cup on Saturday. I was surprised to see Pivoine available at 14/1. I half-expected him to be half that price. After all, he beat a Godolphin job into second last year and is now only 2lbs higher. The chances are he's been trained for the race.

    I plan to look more closely over the next couple of days for one or two other stabs at some value but was happy to avail myself of some of that 14/1 this evening in the meantime.
    Paul Kealy headlines Pivoine in the Weekender. I've gone in again at 12/1, now the best price going. He'll probably be 7/1 by Saturday.
    Last edited by Desert Orchid; 15th July 2020 at 9:12 AM.
    Illegitimi non carborundum


  11. #20649
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    In a strongly run c/d race latest, Emirates Knight (6.45K) beat all bar the stronger stayer and, with nothing of the same calibre in tonight's race, ought to show them all the way home.
    An obvious pick, he's still worth backing @ the current 7/2.
    Last edited by reet hard; 15th July 2020 at 11:44 AM.

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  13. #20650
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    Air Raid 2.00Ham, won this last year (3-3 0ver c/d) is only 2lb higher tomorrow, loves the track and will revel in the likely g/s ground.
    6/1 still available, (though might drift considering my miserable recent form).

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  15. #20651
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    I will put this up now as I think it has a very good chance. I might forget so best to stick it up now.

    Friday
    Beverley 3.10 Strawberry Jack

    Strikes me as a very well handicapped horse and I've waited for it to run.
    Last edited by Marb; 15th July 2020 at 10:17 PM.

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  17. #20652
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    12.35 Beverley-The Grey Bay @ 3-1 [Bet 365]

    Jockey is riding with confidence
    "The wise man is one who knows what he does not know"

  18. #20653
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    A bet for tomorrow before the paper tipsters start going over things. In the John Smiths cup I was torn between 2 horses really, Good Birthday and Sinjaari They were both closely linked when they bumped into one at Newbury last year in the Shape of Headman when he was rated 95 at the time and within 2 more runs he was up to 112 so obviously didn't have much chance of stopping him off such a lowly mark. Sinjarri looked the better of the 2 that day seeing the trip out much better than the Balding runner but I was originally going to come down on the side of Good Birthday anyway as he has race fitness on his side. However he's been drawn in the car park in 22 which isn't an absolute killer here at York but having a claiming jockey on combined with a bad draw just tells me its not going to be his day. Sinjaari's other run after that at 10f came at Goodwood where he didn't really get the run of the race and the Jockey dropped the reigns as he was making his challenge. Providing he's race fit and he's not any the worse for being gelded I think he stands a solid chance. 14/1 is a cracking price it may be one to play win only under the circumstances. Good Birthday may keep drifting with the draw he's got and if he gets much bigger he's probably worth an e/w play himself to try and overcome it.
    Last edited by Danny; 17th July 2020 at 10:15 AM.
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  20. #20654
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    I have looked at his profile and definately following you on Sinjaari, Danny.

    He has had the gelding operation which may have helped him. We will find out how much tomorrow.
    Last edited by Marb; 17th July 2020 at 1:42 PM.

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  22. #20655
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    Marb I hope he's been winking at you Fingers crossed mate.
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  23. #20656
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    Quote Originally Posted by Marb View Post
    I will put this up now as I think it has a very good chance. I might forget so best to stick it up now.

    Friday
    Beverley 3.10 Strawberry Jack

    Strikes me as a very well handicapped horse and I've waited for it to run.
    I haven't seen it but apparently had an awful start badly impeded but ran on strongly for third place from the back of the field.

    It's in the tracker so next time out is probably the day.

  24. #20657
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    Quite Like Sky Defender (22/1 5places) for the John Smith's Cup. Ostensibly poorly drawn but - like Danny - I think the draw is not as important as it used to be. Improving 4yo whose jockey knows the track well, he might take an early position and tough it out well.
    Desert Icon (12/1 PP)has to be a live danger though, as the 10lb rise for his recent saunter doesn't nearly do him justice, imo.

  25. #20658
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    York 3:05

    Moss Gill improved stones after being gelded at the end of 2018, doing most of his best work progressing through some top class handicaps. Upped in class to listed level again but not without reason so at 11/2 this is the nap of the day tomorrow.
    Last edited by Marb; 17th July 2020 at 8:39 PM.

  26. #20659
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    Thought he needs a dab of rain tbh Marb looked much better on his win on softer ground at York than when behind Que Amoro the time before on faster going although he did get going a bit late in the day on that occasion. I spent a fair bit of time trying to work this out and didn't really get anywhere. The only thought that crossed my mind is that Que Amoro won't get it all his own way upfront most of these like to front run and El Astronaute is a rocket Major jumbo likes to get busy early as well. The 3 that possibly benefit are Tarboosh, Moss gill and Equilateral and I'd probably side with Equilateral as when the pace is cranked up to 11 the fastest horse usually wins and he holds the biggest figure for his run behind Battash. Somehow though I just have a feeling it won't pan out for him so not a very strong selection. If there weren't so many front runners I'd probably side with Que amoro as there is nothing not to like about him really. A good little contest and it'll be an interesting watch. Good luck with Moss Gill mate if he doesn't quite pull if off tomorrow I'd certainly give him another chance on a softer surface he looked very good indeed that day.
    Last edited by Danny; 17th July 2020 at 11:14 PM.
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  27. #20660
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    Apologies probably should of just done this in one post. In case I forget between now and then In the 3.05 at York on Sunday I quite like a horse Shades of Blue I was eyeing it up as a value poke for the Hackwood stakes tomorrow but its been scrubbed and goes here instead. It's another one that comes from the Kings stand stakes. At half way looked like she was going to finish last, she was one of the first off the bridle. Although never getting involved with the main group of 4 she was 2nd best of the rest just finishing close up to Glass Slippers, the way she kept going makes me think she'll relish the step back up in trip on Sunday. She'd got close to Glass Slippers at Longchamp over 5f towards the back end of last season before flopping behind the same horse in the Prix de l'Abbaye on softer ground showing she's more than capable of mixing it up with a genuine Grp1 performer. The drop in class and the step up in trip are both big positives and at 14/1 generally atm looks a fair bet although wouldn't want too much rain between now and then.

    The Hackwood stakes that she skipped doesn't look that strong of a race tbh but Cox has Tis Marvellous entered there so perhaps he was just thinking send one to each event. Tis Marvellous is a horse also from the King Stand form line. There is a general feeling that Tis marvellous is best at Ascot and that's probably fair comment but I keep thinking that one of these days things will just drop right for him and he'll bang in a big performance somewhere else. 16/1 is a big price for him tomorrow really amongst this lot but its probably a bit of value with a side of frustration once more. He was decent enough at Sandown last time without the best use being made of him by the jockey. I can't help but have a few quid on the Cox and Kirby e/w double and try to save myself Sunday's stake money


    Best of luck chaps.
    Last edited by Danny; 17th July 2020 at 11:58 PM.
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