Pleased for you Outsider
Pleased for you Outsider
Illegitimi non carborundum
Well done DO...nice when you're right ✅️
Desert Orchid (18th June 2022)
You'll know the feeling better than me
Illegitimi non carborundum
Well done.
Desert Orchid (18th June 2022)
Reading back through the thread I make it 15/32 to date. That must have it in a healthy profit despite some really stupid offerings on my part.
Sometimes I wonder what was I thinking...
Illegitimi non carborundum
Hexam 5.00
Fennas Loss 2/1
Desert Orchid (19th June 2022), trefflich (19th June 2022)
Slim (19th June 2022)
Well done.
Illegitimi non carborundum
Slim (19th June 2022)
Vadeni Coral Eclipse
2.00 N Abbott Ami Des Flots 2-1
Thursday 3.35 - Yibir 6/4 - This looks between the top two in my ratings table and they look some way clear of the rest. On best odds, Mostahdaf holds marginal favouritism over Yibir at 11/8 and 6/4 respectively and that seems wrong [on my figures] so the latter is arguably a bit of value at the price. They both hold King George entries. In what is effectively a match race, Yibir probably should be favourite and probably odds on. I reckon they’d be 4/5 (Yibir) and 5/6 in that scenario. I'm happy to indulge myself at the 6/4.
Illegitimi non carborundum
Is Yibir the same horse this year? Have my doubts.
Look at the ratings of those he finished among in the Sheema Classic when favourite to beat them and given too much to do. Mostahdaf could never have done that.
Beaten next time at 1/4 here but I can always forgive one bad run. Banged the gate next time and ended up going wide. He's had plenty of time to recover and I'll be very disappointed if he can't take care of this field with ease.
Illegitimi non carborundum
Maxbet (6th July 2022)
Maybe not, I have no interest in Meydan form though. Mostahdaf ran really well in the Hardwicke despite a careful ride from Crowley and I consider him a more likely winner of this. It's not a betting race though.
Tomorrow, Newmarket 4.10 - Mighty Ulysses 6/4 - I've been waiting for nearly 24 hours for more bookies to price up this race but they seem very reluctant. It's quite unusual for there to be no betting on a decent race at this stage. However, Hills have been going 6/4 since yesterday and I presume punters are waiting to see if anyone goes longer. I've decided not to wait. This is a Listed race and, for me, he'd have won the SJP under a better ride but he was held up too far for my liking, was a bit too keen early and had to make his move while the others were in full flight. I'm not saying he is a better horse than Coroebus or the other principals, just that he didn't get the best ride and wasn't beaten far. I'm not sure any of the rest of this field would get close in a decent G1. I reckon he's a good 7lbs better than anything in this field and should be closer to 4/6.
Illegitimi non carborundum
barjon (6th July 2022)