Genius, DO! I was on. x
Genius, DO! I was on. x
Desert Orchid (16th March 2022)
Well done DO. Savage call.
I'd be very surprised if the 20s about Adrimel in the Plate hold up tomorrow. 5/5 on heavy, 7/7 soft to heavy. Not dissimilar profile to Tea Clipper who ran a stormer on Tuesday for Lacey and Sheppard.
Really dug in to win last time when pressed the whole way giving a stone away to a decent enough sort.
UK are mopping up the handicap chases so far and I'd be very disappointed if he's out of the places. 365 going 7 places.
Desert Orchid (16th March 2022)
I'm not convinced Allaho will like the ground tomorrow and I'm genuinely gobsmacked that there's still plenty of 40/1 on offer for Fanion. I've gone in again unusually heavily for a longshot although I do have some slight concern that he tends to be ridden from off the pace, which will be difficult to execute successfully if today's evidence is anything to go by. On my figures he should be second favourite but I haven't allowed Shan Blue a 20-length winning margin for Wetherby. I'm not convinced he would have kept going right to the line.
Illegitimi non carborundum
Elegant Escape at 50s has to be taken too. The claimer could be hopeless, I'd have little to no idea, but he's running off 140 here (before the 7lb claim) when 2 runs back he ran a valiant race behind Yala Enki on his Gold Cup who's still a good top 150s horse.
Nice to see you haven't lost your touch Maurice, well played squire.
Man who catch fly with chopstick .... accomplish anything.
Desert Orchid (16th March 2022)
Cheers Outsider yes Hasankey out ran his odds for sure.
Well done to Maurice with Global Citizen.
Regular readers of the forum will remember a few months ago that Maurice flagged him up, ,was it his run behind Tommy's Oscar?
He looked well handicapped on the maths.
That wind operation worked the magic.
Like DO I thought immediately after that run in the graded hurdle that he'd need to be watched in handcap hurdles - then he wins today over fences - must be a very versatile horse to be able to do that.
Other thoughts on the race. Frero Banbou has run well again. I still can't work out why Eclair D'ainay didn't run but his form with Frero Banbou earlier this season has proved to be decent. Frero is a hold up horse and that doesn't seem to be where you want to be in the Grand Annual. Horses on the pace seem to do best.
Eclair Dainay is a horse who likes to be up with the pace and maybe he is worth watching for next season, maybe a wind operation might bring out some more improvement in him too.
Last edited by Marb; 16th March 2022 at 10:20 PM.
Desert Orchid (16th March 2022)
Mares' Novices' Hurdle - Mighty Blue 25/1, 5 places - smart Flat performer (105) and ran well in this last year. I wouldn't be surprised if she's been put away all year for another pop since she should be a second-season novice and 10lbs better than then, in which case it will take a smart performer to beat her. The price is just too big, imo.
Illegitimi non carborundum
Pertemps Final - The Cob 40/1, 7 places - pure coincidence (or is it?) that this is the same trainer/jockey as Global Citizen, but this one was strongly fancied for the Albert Bartlett in its novice season so should have gone on to be a 150-160 second season hurdler but it's in here off 134 following a difficult spell. The ground shouldn't be a worry and the light weight won't do it any harm.
Illegitimi non carborundum
Cheltenham 4.10
Having one last roll of the dice with the old boy Slate House 33-40/1
Will almost certainly go from the front in what will be difficult ground conditions. His jumping has improved ten fold in the last year, and back down in trip where he can make it a test from the front. Ive chanced a few quid on him. Hoping for a good show.
Last edited by Double J; 17th March 2022 at 10:01 AM.
The brother is on that one too, DJ, for similar reasons.
My other longshot for this race is If The Cap Fits 33/1, 7 pl, another largely discarded old sod but who might just be the type to trudge through the mud and murk and, if on a going day, has the back class to win off a mark that would be an insult to its best form.
Illegitimi non carborundum
Plate - Chinwag 40/1, 6 places - improving novice, acts in the mud, light weight.
Illegitimi non carborundum
viking (17th March 2022)
How the day is shaping up and pints consumed will tell me whether 200/1 for Monishter Are Mwee is the type of genius move that'll make my name or the type of genius move that'll make my name.
Desert Orchid (17th March 2022), Len Madeiros (17th March 2022), moehat (17th March 2022)
Kim Muir - Didero Vallis 50/1, 6 places - in my top two on the figures, first time blinkers and was looking good earlier in the season before seeming to lose the plot. If the blinkers get him back on track he'll have as good a chance as anything.
Illegitimi non carborundum
And thank you, DO, for all your hard work on this thread.
Btw, the G1 Royal Bond winner, Statuaire, is available at 22/1 in the Mares Novices.