The 2022 Longshot Thread

[Desert Orchid]

For pleasure 25/1 grand annual bee through stats and trends and form and looks overpriced imo.

Agreed. One of mine too. Was a fancied outsider in last year's Champion Hurdle and totally unexposed over fences.

Meanwhile, here's a wild one:

Champion Chase - Politologue 80/1 - I've always had big figures for this horse's best form and if he produces it today - why run him if he isn't up to it? - he could be in the mix for the minor placings and if any (or all) of the big three don't run their race, who knows?

[Desert Orchid]

Wednesday - Grand Annual - Global Citizen 50/1, 6 places - I've been banging on about this one since it ran so well behind Tommy's Oscar at Haydock over hurdles. I'm not convinced Cheltenham is its track but the signs that day was that the horse was back to something like its best, which is very good. I could have fancied him for the County off his hurdles mark so for him to get into a chase off a same ball park figure is all the more interesting. I haven't actually studies the race yet but this might end up being my main bet anyway. (That said, I will be on a few, as is my wont.)

Coral Cup - Call Me Lord 40/1 - The jockey has been out for a long time and has had a few quiet rides to get his eye back in. This is his first ride of the meeting and his only one on the day. I reckon they are looking to welcome him back with a big win. At any rate, I’m willing to back that hunch and the horse is certainly well in on its old form and it’s not that long ago it was rated 160 (142 here).

Decided to be brave in the hope that fortune favours me and have taken the double about these two old warriors/shiters (delete according to personal opinion), 40s & 25s this morning, 1065/1 the double.

Going for the thread record

[moehat]

Call Me Lord was top rated in my little system. By quite a long way, too. Fingers crossed.

[Marb]

For pleasure 25/1 grand annual bee through stats and trends and form and looks overpriced imo.

Good luck matey. I hope all Outsiders followers are on this now.

My fancy Hasankey should love this soft ground.

Hasankey should never be the price he is especially on soft ground but it's a very competative race so partly understandable.

I'd be delighted if he places.

[Outsider]

I thought I had put this up but it must be on another thread

MAZE RUNNER 33/1 coral cup likes heavy stays 3m.

[moehat]

I’ve had an accidental bet on Poetic Music in the bumper at 33/1. Follow Fergals horses and he used to be good with his bumper horses, especially when Timmy used to ride them. Thought I’d put an enhanced odds bet on it but then realised I’d clicked on a £2 free bet by mistake. Didn’t want to back track in it in case I lost the bet altogether. Not even sure if it’s win or ew! May use my tried and tested method for winning which is to not watch or listen to my last bet if the day. It’s a cunning plan and it might just work.

[jinnyj]

Who got that one then....apart from my after timing ex?

[Marb]

Lol not me my horse Mcfabulous a late non runner.

Commander Of Fleet was second behind Minella Indo three years ago in the Albert Bartlett. He was a huge SP. So big it'd almost put you off!

A good sign for anyone backing huge priced horses in the next few races though.

They can win sometimes...

[moehat]

One of the pundits on WHill racing radio tipped it just before the off: Andrew Mount I think. Said it went well in big fields.

[Outsider]

I thought I had put this up but it must be on another thread

MAZE RUNNER 33/1 coral cup likes heavy stays 3m.

Stayed on for a distant 5th so I nice profit.
Commander of fleet came up in my alerts.thats 2 wins at 40s and now 50s and I never backed it either time.

[jinnyj]

Ground change means we will see big priced winners now...and upsets

[Outsider]

BORN BY THE SEA 66/1 PLATE
Came up in the trends for this and in 25 races over hurdles and chases this is the first time it hasnt been ridden by,I assume,the trainers son so is basically 7lb wrong but Sean Flanagan rides tomorrow so a chance is taken.

[Outsider]

SILVER SHEEN missed the cut by 1 I think for the pertemps but runs in the m.pipe so i have to have a little bet at 66/1

[Marb]

Looked again at the Pertemps especially as Remastered has been taken out.

Ifthecapfits ran a much better race the last day when 5th in a big handicap hurdle at Sandown. He was staying on aswell.

If he is not well handicapped now off 137 I don't know what is.

[Desert Orchid]

Wednesday - Grand Annual - Global Citizen 50/1, 6 places - I've been banging on about this one since it ran so well behind Tommy's Oscar at Haydock over hurdles. I'm not convinced Cheltenham is its track but the signs that day was that the horse was back to something like its best, which is very good. I could have fancied him for the County off his hurdles mark so for him to get into a chase off a same ball park figure is all the more interesting. I haven't actually studies the race yet but this might end up being my main bet anyway. (That said, I will be on a few, as is my wont.)

[Beef or Salmon]

Brilliant stuff DO absolutely delighted for you, enjoy!!

[Tanlic]

Massive winner for Dessie..well done.........50/1 and fought like a tiger

[Outsider]

Wednesday - Grand Annual - Global Citizen 50/1, 6 places - I've been banging on about this one since it ran so well behind Tommy's Oscar at Haydock over hurdles. I'm not convinced Cheltenham is its track but the signs that day was that the horse was back to something like its best, which is very good. I could have fancied him for the County off his hurdles mark so for him to get into a chase off a same ball park figure is all the more interesting. I haven't actually studies the race yet but this might end up being my main bet anyway. (That said, I will be on a few, as is my wont.)

What a good winner.wellvdone D. Very nice.
For pleasure backed into 7/1 and didnt jump well and frero banbou did well to get 3rd.

[barjon]

Tried to add another five smilies - nice one, sir

[Double J]

Outstanding DO even though ive done my bollocks on the runner up