One last pop at the Northumberland Plate: Red Verdon 40/1, 6 places BOG - a bit of a cliff horse for me now and I really did intend to let him go here but the yard is in better form now, there was a glimmer of promise in his run last week and the booking of Curtis tells me to give the horse this one last chance. I know I'm mob-handed in the race but I've managed to avoid the market leaders at the prices taken and the other bets have all shortened up so I'm happy to settle for a smaller profit in the race as opposed to sticking with one or two and ending up kicking myself for not playing more of the field when I thought the odds were wrong.
Last edited by Desert Orchid; 24th June 2022 at 6:43 AM.
Illegitimi non carborundum
Outsider (24th June 2022)
WHO DARES WINS 33/1 7 places.
10 yr old, won this in 2019 off 6 lb higher and a 3lb claimer.
Older than 6 yr old make up almost half the field.
Newcastle
1.50 Kind Review is a serial course winner here at Newcastle. He has won here five times since 2020 and now dropped a couple of pounds after several poor runs on just his fourth start for new trainer Tim Easterby, after a decent break off the track, well perhaps he can run better than odds of 20/1 suggest.
Last edited by Marb; 24th June 2022 at 8:49 PM.
Nwm 2.20 - Universal Order 11/4
Nwm 3.15 - Sunray Major 15/8
Nwc 2.25 - Glen Shiel 9/2
Treble works out at just under 60/1.
I'm on at a fair bit longer than that but those prices still strike me as better than fair.
Illegitimi non carborundum
Interesting the effect Kevin Blake can have on the market.
He mentions Glory Daze and it's immediately halved pretty much across the board.
Anyroads, I've decided to go with my gut in the race and my faith in Bolger. I've taken 50/1 Boundless Ocean. No chance on form but Bolger just doesn't throw any old thing at the classics.
Illegitimi non carborundum
Outsider (25th June 2022)
I lost money on the race with just the one place return despite having backed three of the first five.
And the rest of the day was one to forget - a total Andrex and a really heavy crash after last Saturday.
Illegitimi non carborundum
Curragh 3.10 - Big Gossey 20/1, 5 places - looks on the up to me but stakes just modest enough to recoup yesterday's losses.
Illegitimi non carborundum
Outsider (26th June 2022)
I've done 3 in it but all look badly drawn.
2 are big prices and drifting.
Urban beat 25/1
Dream today 66/1 probably needs 6f.
You won’t get it right too often, DO - that’s the nature of the calls. But it’s always a pleasure to read your reasoning, and I for one have made more from this thread than I’ve lost; so, thank you very much.
Desert Orchid (26th June 2022)
Desert Orchid (26th June 2022)
I only ever ask that the horse is a trier, which clearly wasn't the case with the non-longhsots I backed yesterday, but BG was trying for its life and just ran into one. No complaints. and the place profit will nibble back a small amount of yesterday's losses.
We move on.
Probably next weekend before I look at the racing again.
Illegitimi non carborundum
Illegitimi non carborundum
OLD NEWTON CUP
LOVE IS GOLDEN 40/1 has been running over 10f mainly but it's better form is around this distance and 40s is worth the risk.
Last edited by Outsider; 29th June 2022 at 2:42 PM.
Desert Orchid (29th June 2022)
Love Is Golden?
Actually there are quite a few names in there I don't recognise and it looks like a rating in the 80s might make the cut.
For a £150k race, that's pretty disappointing (but great for anything that sneaks in off that kind of mark).
Hopefully I'll get a look at the race later today. Couldn't have told you it was coming up!
Illegitimi non carborundum