Alfred Boucher 6.00W
6/1 B365
Alfred Boucher 6.00W
6/1 B365
Aintree 12.55 - Riders Onthe Storm 14/1, 4pl - First time up for a new trainer and with the first-time tongue-tie might be the time to catch him. He did look like going places two seasons back and was only 11/1 for the Ryanair that season when he suffered two episodes of bad luck early on, the latter causing him to fall. That seemed to put him off the game if his subsequent form is anything to go by but he was rated 162 at that point so the handicapper has given him a real chance (147 here) if the old enthusiasm (if he ever had any!) can be rekindled. I meant to back him yesterday at teatime but was working on getting my figures and thoughts typed out and by the time I went to back him later in the evening he was blue and single figures across the board. I'm surprised he's showing at the price again but would be sick if I missed the opportunity.
Illegitimi non carborundum
2017diary (4th December 2021)
The Many Clouds is fascinating now with the overnight rain at Aintree. It brings Native River right into it and Sam Brown also as Protektorat, IA and Simply the Betts are all very dubious stayers over this trip on rain softened ground.
I'm on at Sandown but to pass the time I am going to see how much I can turn 100 points into.
a point can be anything you like.
The idea is to back aprox 3 trebles the start again with the original stake.
Bets can be for a win a place a dutch..no holds barred.
Bet No.1 50pts @ 1.34 Richmond for 3 places Aintree 11.15
Balance 115.90pts win or 50pts if lose
something has bolted prices are all over the place...took 1.34 fpr 3 places
Richmond Place finished 3rd Next bet 65.90 pts Ask me early 2 places 1.33 Chepstow 11.38am
Balance 186.22pts 1 win or 50pts if lose
Ask Me Early finished 1st
Final Leg 86.22pts of treble on Might I @ 1.31 for 3 places
Balance if win 221.21 pts 50pts if lose
Might I 2nd WITHDRAW 100pts
Balance 121.21 pts
Next Bet 71.21 win Elimay @1.48
Elimay lost Prifit 50 pts
50pts 4 places 1.96 shiroccos Dream Sandown
Profit 94.88 if win Zero if lose
94.88 pts @ 1.39 3 places Take your Time
Take your Time finsihed 1st
Profit 129.48
Final Bet 129.48 pts @ 1.71
Possible profit 215.44 or zero loss
Last edited by Tanlic; 4th December 2021 at 2:00 PM.
Formely Fist of Fury
Last edited by Tanlic; 4th December 2021 at 1:39 PM.
Formely Fist of Fury
True but the ground is very soft now and his three market rivals are all very questionable at the trip. IA is the likeliest to stay given his running style but I'm not confident even though I have a nice price about him.
I’m hoping they can get another win from him. Imperial Aura has failed to complete in each of his last three runs and IMO is a doubtful stayer. Protektorat and Simply the Betts also doubtful stayers and I don’t believe Sam Brown is good enough for this
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4/1 was a helluva price for Protektorat
Illegitimi non carborundum
Such an important race/market to analyse.
I backed Third Time Lucki because I knew he was better than his oppo despite doubts about maybe the ground and him being fresh and also tactics but I also knew he would trade much shorter than 3 IR and of course he did.
I knew my IA bet was cooked when the ground softened and I tried to protect (gettit!!) the bet by backing Native River and Sam Brown. However in doing so I ignored my chief punting mantra CLASS WILL OUT.
A very bad day somewhat rescued at least by Conflated.
Decent renewal of the Peterborough today but I can't see past AMK. Should be odds-on and I reckon 6/5 is buying money.
Illegitimi non carborundum
7.30 Southwell-Redzone @ 3-1 [Bet 365]
Won on Tapeta last week
"The wise man is one who knows what he does not know"
Zarzyni 4.30S
ew 8/1 (4 places) Betfair
It's been along time coming but Nicky Henderson seems to have found a winning chance fore Call Me Lord at Uttoxeter
The trip looks ideal in the soft ground and the opposition moderate.
First bet of the day has to be harry and Dan in the first with her mares allowance..Get a Tonic can bring in some dough to have af ree bet on Call Me lord
Formely Fist of Fury
Virgin Snow 5.30S
9/1 Betfair
LUKE (7th December 2021), Paddy Beag (7th December 2021)
I like the chances of Anthony Honeyball's Fanfaron Dino in the heavy ground today.
It's not a great race and he has chaser written all over him
Had an EW bet and if only placed my loss will be a fiver so hopefully I will get a run for my money and he'll come in first
Formely Fist of Fury
I like the chances of Anthony Honeyball's Fanfaron Dino in the heavy ground today.
It's not a great race and he has chaser written all over him
Had an EW bet and if only placed my loss will be a fiver so hopefully I will get a run for my money and he'll come in first
Formely Fist of Fury
Everything but Shaka King is on the drift..a few quid for an interest
Formely Fist of Fury