Air Raid 2.40D
7/1 B365
I tryed to post this up on the relevant longshot thread but was having problems posting there. One horse for me tomorrow who is worth mentioning at a huge price.
Newbury 2.35 - Wells Farhh Go E/W 33/1.
Edit - forecast is for heavy ground. However, the sire Farhh won a group 1 champion stakes on soft so perhaps this fella will cope better than expected.
He was consistent when winning his first two races in succession in 2017. Pretty lightly raced since then, winning a Group three at Newmarket in 2018 and then another listed event at Newmarket in 2019.
On that occasion he actually beat this year's Woodbine Canadian International winner, Walton Street, by four lengths.
So this horse does have some excellent ability and not a horse to ignore at a big price, but he's only been on the course two or three times this season, once when placing at Chester which was a fair run from a break.
He likes to attempt to make all and in his comments in running he was noted as 'chasing leaders' the last day which may indicate a revival in how he runs.
It's a shame there aren't 8 runners but in any event I'll take a chance that this horse can return to peak form here tomorrow. I fancy he will try and do it from the front and 33/1 is too big to ignore.
Last edited by Marb; 22nd October 2021 at 8:13 PM.
Outsider (23rd October 2021)
4.05 Cheltenham
MacGiloney 12/1 5 places SkyBet. 14/1 available but to fewer places.
The price differential to the favourite looks too big. Maybe recency bias but this fella had his last run in a chase on unsuitable ground over a trip too short
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Outsider (23rd October 2021)
The Crisford's have found a winnable Group 3 in France for Century Dream. Main opp is Magny Cours but that horse seems better over further than today's mile trip. 7/2 is very fair, he hit the frame in a much better race last time behind Real World and The Revenant.
Outsider (23rd October 2021)
Cold Stare 2.05D
14/1 B365
Sweet Reward 4.50Nb
9/1 general
Small e.w.d. the pair
Outsider (23rd October 2021)
I think McTigue will run better than his odds in the G1 at Doncaster. EW dead eight @ 40/1.
"And still they gazed and still the wonder grew. That one small head could carry all he knew.
And that small head knew that Impaire Et Passe would win the Champion Hurdle."
Outsider (23rd October 2021)
I've lost quite a bit on ORBAAN this year and dont know what to expect today.im not sure if the drop to 7f is a good thing but he is very well hcapped.he finished 5th in the Lincoln off 11lb higher but off this mark hes not certain to get in next year,if that's the aim,but a penalty today could put him on a good mark if that's the aim.so I have to give it a go today 205d 16/1 5places.
Outsider (23rd October 2021)
Can a Group 1 race actually be good if it features Quickthorn? Not sure.
We'll find out. I did fancy him for the Ebor so I'm biased. Scope could turn out to be a bit of machine though. He'd be my pick.
Last edited by Marb; 23rd October 2021 at 2:30 PM.
Blimey! Worked to my advantage, but that’s an awful setting of the rails - poor horse thought it was a fence and tried to jump it - thankfully no damage done I hope. I was beginning to worry about Does He Know getting there.
Last edited by barjon; 23rd October 2021 at 4:52 PM.
I have gone with Valia who was second in a very good renewal last year.
Marb (24th October 2021)
Flying Scotsman 3.30G might be worth a small interest on his 1st flat run in the cheekpieces he found so helpful over hurdles.
14/1 - 4 places, Wm Hill.
Protagonist (2.20 Curr) finished well to beat a decent type over 10f at Fairyhouse recently, and today's trip should be within his compass. The first-time visor and the booking of a top amateur only add to his prospects.
12/1 B365
High Fibre 1.48Nm
17/2 B365
Arthur/Grey if you are reading in can you empty your inbox a bit please, cheers.
My best bet today is an each way on Global Citizen in the handicap hurdle at Ascot, (2.10).
His form has deteriorated over fences and while he hasn't been quite the same horse the past eighteen months, prior to this he was a very good hurdler, whose best run was most probably in the Unibet Hurdle at Haydock when he beat Silver Streak and Mohaayed off level weights.
He's been lowered 8lb in the handicap from 150 to a fair hurdle mark of 142 on his seasonal reappearance, so I'll roll the dice a bit, just taking a chance his trainer might have the old Global Citizen back in good order.
I'm hoping the old adage, that form is temporary but class in permanent might be pertinent in the case of Global Citizen, as he has definately shown some class over hurdles in career thus far.
Last edited by Marb; 30th October 2021 at 8:31 AM.