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Thread: What are you backing Today? Part 2

  1. #2741
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    Quote Originally Posted by Outsider View Post
    I have 2 alerts running here and I'd be amazed if they ruin their hcap Mark's for 7 grand.
    Reckon connections would be more concerned with finding Audience's ability than concealing it, and the drop in trip could well be the answer. Be a better proposition than the unreliable fav at current odds,imo

  2. #2742
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    Archiano 3.30L 9/1 B365

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    Senior Member barjon's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Euronymous View Post
    Korker is a Group horse. Amazingly Audience opened as fav.
    Korker non-runner is why.

  4. #2744
    Senior Member barjon's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by barjon View Post
    The Gosdens must think a lot of Audience, although struggling somewhat to find a distance for him. Maybe they thought it was 7 furlongs until he was found wanting in a Group 3 at Ascot, so they tried a Class 2 over 6 furlongs last time where he ran very well near the head of things until running out of puff in the last half furlong. Maybe tomorrow’s 5 furlongs will be just the ticket - Nottingham 3:50, 5/2 atm.
    Well, that’s not his distance, either. Reckon they’ll have to lower their sights.

  5. #2745
    Senior Member Euronymous's Avatar
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    Fck me. I got 2s on Korker.

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    Quite happy with my two.had a run and didnt ruin their hcap Marks.

  7. #2747
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    Bin Hyyan 3.40B 9/2 B365
    Last edited by reet hard; 10th August 2022 at 7:15 AM.

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    Kind Gesture - 3.30 Salisbury 7/1 Ew

    Amathus - 1.30 Salisbury - 11/4 Win


    If anyone is interested in my reasoning, please have a look at my blog

  9. #2749
    Senior Member PlaceBacker's Avatar
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    1.55 Salisbury-Creme Chantilly

    Each Way @ 10-1 [Bet 365]

    She looks a interesting newcomer
    "The wise man is one who knows what he does not know"

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    Tadreeb - 5.10 Lingfield 9/2 Ew
    Natural Path - 5.10 Lingfiled - Ew 10/1 6 places




    Reverend Hubert - 8.10 Lingfield Ew 12/1 5 places

    Gordon's Jet - 8.10 Lingfield 23/2 Ew 5 Places.


    As ever, the rationale behind these choices can be found on my blog.
    Last edited by yorick; 11th August 2022 at 10:40 AM.

  11. #2751
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    Quote Originally Posted by PlaceBacker View Post
    1.55 Salisbury-Creme Chantilly

    Each Way @ 10-1 [Bet 365]

    She looks a interesting newcomer
    ​2nd @ 12-1
    "The wise man is one who knows what he does not know"

  12. #2752
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    Nicely done. Profit.

    Did you choose that on breeding, stable?

  13. The Following User Says Thank You to yorick For This Useful Post:

    PlaceBacker (11th August 2022)

  14. #2753
    Senior Member Desert Orchid's Avatar
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    Saturday, Newbury 3.00 - Fivethousandtoone 7/2

    Back in July in the Longshot thread I mentioned Run To Freedom:

    Quote Originally Posted by Desert Orchid View Post
    Haydock Sprint Cup - Run To Freedom 66/1 - I've taken this for the Hackwood on Saturday in the belief it might just be a fast improver on the evidence of its run in the Platinum Jubilee. That is working out 7lbs better - backed up on the clock - than anything it had done before and it's lightly enough raced to keep improving. If it ends up winning or even going close in this it won't be 66/1.
    It didn't run in the Hackwood that day and goes for the Hungerford with as good a chance as anything but what I didn't know was that it had since come out and won. Just behind it that day, on very disadvantageous terms, was Fivethousandtoone and under the current handicap guidelines they weren't allowed to give him a hike to reflect the form. If the reasoning for the guidelines is correct then its chance here is fair enough but if the form of that race can be taken at face value he should be a 6/4 shot. The concern is that it was a three-horse-field, slow-run conditions race and they can throw up very misleading form. But, rated 93, he was only a short head off Run To Freedom (OR 110) receiving just 7lbs and two lengths (6lbs) in front of the 104-rated Royal Commando.

    RTF is still 66s for Haydock but at least it's still in the field and if it is 13lbs better than Royal Commando he is entitled to be in the mix for the places there. If he runs well in the Hungerford on Saturday he might shorten.

    (Sits back and waits for you know who to throw in his best zinger...)
    Last edited by Desert Orchid; 11th August 2022 at 9:30 PM.
    Illegitimi non carborundum


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    Is that the race Gisburn goes for?

    I backed it each way the last day ran well against an in form horse of Mark Johnstons called I'm A Gambler.

    Gisburn for me. A worthy fav.
    Last edited by Marb; 11th August 2022 at 7:06 PM.

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    Desert Orchid (11th August 2022)

  17. #2755
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    Poet Of Darkness 7.58Nm
    10/1 B365

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    France

    4.45 Clairefontaine-Al Sahara

    Each Way @ 8-1 [Bet 365]

    Godolphin newcomer of interest
    "The wise man is one who knows what he does not know"

  19. #2757
    Senior Member Desert Orchid's Avatar
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    Saturday, Ripon 2.50 - Misty Grey 14/1, 5 places, BOG - I always like this race because it’s quirky. I’m looking for something that acts here and I prefer a higher draw, both allied to a decent mark. CD winner Misty Grey (14/1) ticks all those boxes even though his best form is on the all-weather but he hit a career peak last time dropped back to six furlongs in a very strongly run race and for me there's no conclusive evidence he needs an artificial surface. He might just be on the up. Justanotherbottle is likely to set the race up for him. Blackrod (7/1) was only 11/2 for the Wokingham but didn’t quite run his race there and I have to wonder why he has changed stables since that run. He’s obviously the danger on the ratings but is drawn on the other rail. Summerghand is also handicapped to win another big one and could well get away with a penalty in the Ayr Gold Cup on his best form but he too is drawn wrong for me. I think Misty Grey is a stonking each-way bet at the price with the best place terms on offer.
    Illegitimi non carborundum


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    High Wells - 3.25 Nottingham - 22/1 Ew

  21. #2759
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    I like the look of the fav Blackrod tomorrow....No one can get prices like DO does. Misty Grey 14/1 5 places was available for a short time before it was the only horse that went all blue across the board 8/1 to a high of 10/1 what a coincidence...

    Fair play to him maybe he got it from the same bookie who was going 7/1 Blackrod who opened at 4/1 and drifted to 9/2. I wish my bookie had gone 7/1 but alas!!!!
    Formely Fist of Fury

  22. #2760
    Senior Member Euronymous's Avatar
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    Only bet tomorrow is Tiber Flow in the Hungerford. I got 6/1 on Monday and like I said on the ante-post thread I liked his run in the Commonwealth where he tracked Flotus and kept on without looking dangerous, like a 7f horse would. I fear Chindit if only because he devastated me when he beat Mutasaabeq at Ascot and that's it really. Pogo will be vulnerable leading and if he couldn't win a terrible Lennox he shouldn't be winning this.

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