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Thread: What are you backing Today? Part 2

  1. #101
    Senior Member Tanlic's Avatar
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    I gotta a horse.....Panic Attack....
    Formely Fist of Fury

  2. #102
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    Johnny Drama 2.40L
    Involved in something of a sprint finish lto, and has the man on board to ensure more suitable fractions today.
    7/1 in a few places.

  3. #103
    Senior Member Desert Orchid's Avatar
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    Could Margaret's Legacy 12/1 be a little bit over-priced in the Adonis today?

    When he was arriving at the weight for Ajas in the Grand National, the handicapper said he just used the official French rating for it.

    There are two ways (at least) of interpreting this. He trusts the official French handicappers (so why not the Irish, you have to ask) or he thinks the French over-rate their horses and by going with their rating he isn't going to stand accused of making an embarrassing gaffe by letting one in lightly over here.

    Today's race isn't a handicap so it's no big deal either way but Margaret's Legacy's French OR puts her within a pound of 11/10 favourite Tritonic on adjusted ratings. It also puts him within 9lbs of Solo's mark at the same time last season.

    And the innate xenophobic arrogance of native punters [in any country in the world] will almost always lead to a horse being over-priced anyway.
    Illegitimi non carborundum


  4. #104
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    Quote Originally Posted by Desert Orchid View Post
    Could Margaret's Legacy 12/1 be a little bit over-priced in the Adonis today?

    When he was arriving at the weight for Ajas in the Grand National, the handicapper said he just used the official French rating for

    There are two ways (at least) of interpreting this. He trusts the official French handicappers (so why not the Irish, you have to ask) or he thinks the French over-rate their horses and by going with their rating he isn't going to stand accused of making an embarrassing gaffe by letting one in lightly over here.

    Today's race isn't a handicap so it's no big deal either way but Margaret's Legacy's French OR puts her within a pound of 11/10 favourite Tritonic on adjusted ratings. It also puts him within 9lbs of Solo's mark at the same time last season.

    And the innate xenophobic arrogance of native punters [in any country in the world] will almost always lead to a horse being over-priced anyway.
    I'm strongly considering it, DO. My mums name is Margaret. I like a horse with Margaret in its title.
    Last edited by Marb; 27th February 2021 at 11:52 AM.

  5. #105
    Senior Member Desert Orchid's Avatar
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    As good a reason as any, Marb, I say.

    I was thinking of putting a pound on it for my wife and daughter as we have very fond memories of my wife's Auntie Margaret who left a rich legacy of malapropisms, mispronunciations an awful table manners that we still laugh at today.
    Illegitimi non carborundum


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    Marb (27th February 2021)

  7. #106
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    I'll give Eden Du Houx another chance in the chase which is the race after ITV come off air (4.10). I still think he's well handicapped. Shorter distance should suit. We'll backed too.
    Last edited by Marb; 27th February 2021 at 1:41 PM.

  8. #107
    Senior Member Euronymous's Avatar
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    The Nicholls horse that's fav in the Pendil was surely flattered lto against Shishkin so I'm backing GA Law to beat him. 15/8 fair in a likely two horse race.

  9. #108
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    Quote Originally Posted by Euronymous View Post
    The Nicholls horse that's fav in the Pendil was surely flattered lto against Shishkin so I'm backing GA Law to beat him. 15/8 fair in a likely two horse race.
    Agree with that and backed it last night. I remember someone on here putting it up as a potential top class horse so with it looking like they're sticking to 2m4f I've had an ew bet on it in marsh novices at 33s.

    Needs to do business today though

  10. #109
    Senior Member Grasshopper's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Desert Orchid View Post
    Could Margaret's Legacy 12/1 be a little bit over-priced in the Adonis today?

    When he was arriving at the weight for Ajas in the Grand National, the handicapper said he just used the official French rating for it.

    There are two ways (at least) of interpreting this. He trusts the official French handicappers (so why not the Irish, you have to ask) or he thinks the French over-rate their horses and by going with their rating he isn't going to stand accused of making an embarrassing gaffe by letting one in lightly over here.

    Today's race isn't a handicap so it's no big deal either way but Margaret's Legacy's French OR puts her within a pound of 11/10 favourite Tritonic on adjusted ratings. It also puts him within 9lbs of Solo's mark at the same time last season.

    And the innate xenophobic arrogance of native punters [in any country in the world] will almost always lead to a horse being over-priced anyway.
    Backed it this morning. Firstly, they surely wouldn’t make the trip unless they thought the horse had a live chance, and secondly, because I want to instinctively oppose anything run by Alan King.
    Last edited by Grasshopper; 27th February 2021 at 1:49 PM.
    "Beat the price and lose. It's what we do".

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  11. #110
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    I mentioned Admirals Secret the other day.

    I believe it was Barjon who alluded to the fact forum member Viking mentioned the horse as one to follow?

    Anyways, my question is, with most of the horses form being over 2M4F, should we take it as a given that the strongest possibility is he will run in the Paddy Power plate?

    He is a hold up horse though, and does finish strongly.

    So I just wonder if they're are serious about the Ultima entry?

    Has Viking or anyone else got any view on it?

    I'm close to submitting an anti post bet consisting of a few horses for the handicaps.

    What race would you back Admirals Secret for?

    If the trainer says anything can someone post it down on here please.
    Last edited by Marb; 1st March 2021 at 3:50 PM.

  12. #111
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    Quote Originally Posted by Marb View Post
    I mentioned Admirals Secret the other day.

    I believe it was Barjon who alluded to the fact forum member Viking mentioned the horse as one to follow?

    Anyways, my question is, with most of the horses form being over 2M4F, should we take it as a given that the strongest possibility is he will run in the Paddy Power plate?

    He is a hold up horse though, and does finish strongly.

    So I just wonder if they're are serious about the Ultima entry?

    Has Viking or anyone else got any view on it?

    I'm close to submitting an anti post bet consisting of a few horses for the handicaps.

    What race would you back Admirals Secret for?

    If the trainer says anything can someone post it down on here please.
    I just checked the trainers website.

    He suggests he is looking like a 3 mile chaser and will most likely run in the Ultima.

    Sorted then..
    Last edited by Marb; 1st March 2021 at 3:53 PM.

  13. #112
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    Good luck Marb but I doubt I’ll be backing him. The Ultima will be a very different test to the Class 3 handicaps he’s been running well in. I can see him getting too far back and the finishing speed he’s shown over 2.5m may not be enough against better animals over 3m


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  14. #113
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    Fair enough, Viking. Each to their own.

    He finished a staying on length and a half behind the 158 rated chaser Aso the last day.

    The winner Two For Gold and indeed Aso could yet frank the form this Saturday in a listed chase.

    Off a mark of 142 I think Admirals Secret is very interesting each way. He'll carry a lovely light weight. 25/1 is a fair price too.
    Last edited by Marb; 1st March 2021 at 6:20 PM.

  15. #114
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    Lingfield's 7f was always going to be too sharp for Gulliver 2.15S, particularly given its stack and sprint format. However he is 1-1 on this surface, having won a strongly run 6f contest (nightmare trip from outside stall) going away from the classy field in the closing stages.) Today's extra furlong should be well within his compass.
    8/1 B365

  16. #115
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    Quote Originally Posted by reet hard View Post
    Lingfield's 7f was always going to be too sharp for Gulliver 2.15S, particularly given its stack and sprint format. However he is 1-1 on this surface, having won a strongly run 6f contest (nightmare trip from outside stall) going away from the classy field in the closing stages.) Today's extra furlong should be well within his compass.
    8/1 B365
    Last! Slow away & didn't like the kickback.

  17. #116
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    Newbury

    2.30 Dino Velvet E/ W (NAP), should love the good ground and now back on a mark near his last winning rating, in the high 120s, he should be bang on the premises tomorrow.

    Doncaster

    4.05 Some Chaos NB is a horse I respect a lot. He's paid his way over fences the past few seasons, but now reverts to hurdles, in this handicap hurdle, from a 20lb lower hurdle mark than his chase mark.

    I know he's been off the track for a few months, so hoping that was just a winter break. I reckon he will win this off bottom weight tomorrow. He's handicapped to win.

    Good luck all.
    Last edited by Marb; 6th March 2021 at 1:08 PM.

  18. #117
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    Marnie James 1.25L
    18/1 general.

  19. #118
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    Portugese Princess 7.00S
    15/2 general

  20. #119
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    Exalted Leader 4.40W
    11/1 Sky.

  21. #120
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    Daafr 6.40S is 3-4 on this surface, his only defeat a sht hd 2nd to a stronger stayer (whose stablemate set the race up for him).
    8/1 B365
    Last edited by reet hard; 9th March 2021 at 10:03 AM.

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