Slim (21st February 2021)
He could keep improving; family of Direct Route and Joe Mac with Sadlers Wells on both sides, he won going away.
Well picked Slim.
Slim (22nd February 2021)
Slim (21st February 2021)
I never think of things like that. I was dead impressed with SG at Chepstow and when he lined up at Newbury alongside Dusart I had Betfair's Supreme market up and was gonna back him if he ran well. Obviously ended up on Dusart instead. The plot for today never even occured to me when he was beat at Ascot.
Soaring Glory was an obvious one with only the ground being a little worry. If you couldn't find him upgrade your formbook.
Now can we move on to solving Cheltenham handicaps, this race is dead to me.
All the £100K+ handicaps are plot races, as are most of the £50k+ ones too.
How often do we hear connections say after a big handicap when asked about future plans, "That was the plan"?
For example, don't be surprised if NTD wins or goes very close next Saturday's Close Brothers (ex-RP) Chase with one whose form has been iffy for a while.
Illegitimi non carborundum
It isn't the form book that requires upgrading. SG didn't have the form in the book to win. What he had was obvious potential. But so did many others. The first five were all 'potential' horses or improvers. There's no way of quantifying how much they'll improve in the race itself. It's all educated guesswork.
Sometimes we guess right sometimes we guess wrong. All we can do is decide whether the odds on offer make the guess worth the risk.
The race isn't 'dead' to me. I will use it to recoup losses.
Last edited by Desert Orchid; 22nd February 2021 at 9:17 AM.
Illegitimi non carborundum
Slim (22nd February 2021)
You Are right Do, there weren't any clues. The horse's that tie in with his form have since gone up in distance. As with most of Slims tips, they come from his astute ability to read the Market. There was a massive gamble on him in the days leading up to the postponed race, and that ran it's course, despite the other of their horses; Sky Pirate looking to be thrown in.
Diamond Geezer (22nd February 2021)
Simon Rowlands's sectional analysis pretty much backs up my own impression:
https://www.attheraces.com/blogs/sec...ry-and-haydock
Illegitimi non carborundum