Oh ouch. I missed that one. Well done!
Oh ouch. I missed that one. Well done!
Desert Orchid (24th September 2021)
It always makes me wonder when trainers ruin a good mark for 6 grand.
Which was the case with the William Haggas horse IRISH ADMIRAL.he won with a claimer so in theory he is off 10lb higher tomorrow.so at 20/1 I will have to back it.
Also couldnt resist having a pound on ROPEY GUEST at 100/1.caught my eye earlier in the year but hasnt really put it together although he hasnt run that bad.
I'm always on the lookout for longshots in the Cambridgeshire. Psychologically, I've probably never got over missing out on Spanish Don at 100/1 a few years back as it was a cliff horse for me and I let it go.
You can get 100/1 Baltic Baron today if you're happy to settle for 5 places but I've taken 80/1 for 8 places. He's clearly not the horse he once was but he's down to 79, if you take the jockey's allowance into account, from a high of 99 two seasons back and ran on well after blowing the start in last year's Hunt Cup off 97. These curves of gradual deterioration are sometimes interrupted by spikes of false hope and with eight places on offer I'm hoping half the field are beaten by the draw and that he is in the favoured half.
Illegitimi non carborundum
Last longshot for the Cambridgeshire - Fastnet Crown 40/1, 8 places - looked on a curve this summer on fast ground over shorter but bred for this trip. Has been finishing strongly in his races and might just be unexposed. The middle draw is a concern but he's probably overpriced partly due to his form over shorter and his trainer not being seen as a 'big gun' but who is very good at his job.
Illegitimi non carborundum
Ran a great race. Might have won the far side if the jockey had stayed over there and might have gone clos if the rider had done the sensible thing and come to the near side early on.
I'm not a fan of Spencer but he made himself look brilliant there on the winner. I'm pretty sure somebody put it up a while back so brilliant for them too.
Godolphin in a handicap. First colours. How did I miss it?
Illegitimi non carborundum
Cesarewitch.
I have done MAZE RUNNER 25/1.if it gets in off 74 then I dont think it will be this big.won a 3m hurdle last year so easily.
A real longshot this.
LILLY BANTER 40/1 skynet 6 places.hasnt run for 2 and a half yrs but it's a poor race and by all accounts a good jockey claiming 5.
First hcap.price worth a small bet.
Arc - Torquator Tasso 80/1, 4pl - a soft-ground curve horse whose G1 Grosser Preiss von Baden might be under-rated by a couple of pounds. I like German horses in soft-ground races that might place an emphasis on stamina and he should probably be no more than about 16/1.
Illegitimi non carborundum
2017diary (3rd October 2021), Beef or Salmon (3rd October 2021), Nonannyimfine (4th October 2021)
Ascot 3.50 - Qaysar 50/1 5pl - I backed this one in the big race at Goodwood during the summer and was disappointed with the ride it got but maybe the ground was against it. Its two best performances on RPRs have been on soft and heavy and with conditions tomorrow likely to suit I can see him outrunning those long odds.
Illegitimi non carborundum
Outsider (1st October 2021)
Nwm 2.55 - Champers Elysees 20/1 - Murtagh has a decent strike rate over here and the horse hit form this time last season.
Illegitimi non carborundum
Njord - Foret 18s
Lady in France - Abbaye 40s
Njord tipped by pricewise.
Last edited by LUKE; 2nd October 2021 at 9:45 PM.
Desert Orchid (3rd October 2021)
Genuinely great call, DO. Well done.
Desert Orchid (3rd October 2021)
Even better getting it boosted to 92.5/1
Illegitimi non carborundum
Outsider (3rd October 2021)
Very nice DO. What a good pick.
Desert Orchid (3rd October 2021)
Nice one, desert…..well, a damn sight better than nice really
Desert Orchid (3rd October 2021)
Desert Orchid (3rd October 2021)