Apologies if we already have a thread for this.
The Long Distance Hurdle on Friday wouldn’t look out of place at the Festival, if they all stand their ground.
McFabulous, Thyme Hill, Sam Spinner, Summerville Boy, Paisley Park and Lisnagar Oscar all entered, and possibly Roksana is the only real absentee you think might have run.
"Beat the price and lose. It's what we do".
SlimChance, March 2018
On Mcfabulous, is the plan he would go chasing next term or is he down this route full time?
Some people say he’s the best since Arkle and that’s certainly true when you look at what he’s done
I guess it depends on how he goes in the Stayers. If they won it presumably they’d want to defend.
Timeform on Main Fact:
The BHA handicapper has raised him to 155, up 7lbs. I think I forecast 8bs in the aftermath of Saturday's race. Not many above him now on ORs, I don't think.The manner of this success suggests he may yet have more to offer, too, and he suddenly looks a potential Stayers' Hurdle contender in an open year, with only McFabulous and Sire du Berlais having enhanced their claims among the bigger names in that division so far this season.
Last edited by Desert Orchid; 24th November 2020 at 4:56 PM.
Illegitimi non carborundum
Timeform must have missed Fury Road’s season opener. I think he’s commands a bit of respect in staying hurdles this year (though is probably up against it with Honeysuckle in the Hattons Grace this weekend).
"Beat the price and lose. It's what we do".
SlimChance, March 2018
Fury Road's OR is 151
Looking at Friday's race, only the following are rated higher than 155:
Paisley Park 167
Sam Spinner 162
Lisnagar Oscar 160
Summerville Boy 156
How many of them can be deemed to be improving 7lbs from race to race?
Illegitimi non carborundum
Answer = none of them.
"Beat the price and lose. It's what we do".
SlimChance, March 2018
Trainer says heavy ground is important to him!Originally Posted by Desert Orchid
I agree.
Fury Road might and Sire De Berlais probably will improve 7lbs by March.
I'm hoping MF can improve another 7lbs by the Long Walk (one of the possible next races mentioned for him) and a further 3-5lbs by mid-March.
No harm in dreaming
Illegitimi non carborundum
I was automatically drawn to Thyme Hill for this after the Albert Bartlett. He and Fury Road would be the two I want on my side atm.
All comers, all grounds, all beaten!
This perfect mix of poetry and destruction.
All stood their ground. Dear lord, this is some race.
Alcohol, because no good story ever started with "I was eating this salad..."
Grasshopper (25th November 2020), Maxbet (25th November 2020)
Can see several being pulled from this. Good (GS in places) now and not much rain forecast.
I'm sure I saw a quote from Elliot after his last win that he would skip the Hatton Grace as the race would come too soon, I believe the article was on the sporting life.
Last edited by Marb; 25th November 2020 at 4:26 PM.
I see the Racing Post have seen fit to call the Newbury Long Distance Hurdle the "race of the season".
Presumably they mean "to date", and even then they'd be wrong.
#shitbox
"Beat the price and lose. It's what we do".
SlimChance, March 2018
The ITV guys come up with this kind of buffoonery week in week out.
Illegitimi non carborundum
7/1 for March will look massive this time tomorrow!!
I backed Thyme Hill a couple of months ago for the stayers hurdle. Market starting to sort itself out for tomorrow now after that hideous opening price for Mcfabulous. Hoping for a decent run for TH but stable form a concern. I think the fav is vulnerable.
Even with stable form, I’ve talked myself out of Mcfabulous and gone with Thyme Hill.
Thyme Hill was, even before the Bartlett, said to be going the stayers hurdle. Had it not been for stable form, surely 5/1 is far too big given the issues with Paisley.
It may end up being a no bet race, but if Thyme Hill is still 5s tomorrow I may have a savour
I've landed on Honest Vic e/w today
Paisley Park is my view of the Stayers winner, but will surely come on bundles for the run
Mcfabulous may well be good enough but too short at 5/2
Hobbs form puts me off Thyme Hill
Summerville Boy…well Tom George, say no more and he should be added to the Twiston Davies / David Pipe thread…
7/4 now (race fit)
Last edited by Maxbet; 27th November 2020 at 12:44 PM.
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