Royal Ascot 2020

[Flaggers]

1.50 Juan Elcano
He’s just finished 5th in the Guineas running a big race, will be fitter for it, and should relish the step up in trip! Dropped into a G3.
Kevin Ryan has a 10% win rate in the last 2 weeks with an extra 30% place rate!
4/1 for me is a big price and he should be fav for me


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[Desert Orchid]

3.00 - Mehdaayih 11/1 - Looking through the field for this the other night I was quite surprised to see this filly in the line-up. She's pretty much a forgotten horse but was arguably better than the bare form of the Oaks and the fact that she turns up here without a prep and with Frankie up suggests they think she's improved over the winter. Her allowance would put her in with a squeak anyway and how often do you get 11/1 about Gosden & Dettori in a race like this?

[Eleanora Duse]

1.50 - First Receiver 9/4 - really just following my gut here. Frankie for the Queen at Royal Ascot for John Gosden? I'll be very surprised if expectations aren't very high.

2.25 - Bright Melody 11/2 - I think the more strength in depth a stable has the more likely they are to have something run very well and Bright Melody falls perfectly into the category when you consider how many potential middle-distance stars Godolphin has spread across a number of stables. Clearly they feel Bright Melody is their best-handicapped 12f 3yo and that's good enough for me.

Would being trained by Michael Stoute change your view? Hope he wins anyway.

[Desert Orchid]

Would being trained by Michael Stoute change your view? Hope he wins anyway.

I did mean Stoute. Brain fart on my part, ED. Happens to us all. Thanks for reminding me.

Not much point in editing the above post now

[jinnyj]

Found today harder.
Maydany w, Red Bond ew
First Receiver/Russian Emperor RF
v tricky race but pro To Nathaniel ew
Japan
Dark Vision And Qaysar ew
Chief Little Hawk w

[Marb]

Well here goes my best today - Kings Caper.

Drawn 5 which apparantly is not great, but if Frankie can direct the horse to the front from the get go I reckon he will be hard to get past.

[Outsider]

Best bet for me is on Wednesday [King George V Handicap]

Win O'Clock

Liked the way he won earlier in the month, and be great to see Hollie Doyle get a Royal Win

Each Way @ 7-1 [Bet Victor] 5 places

Unlucky not to get a place or better.no sort of run.

[PlaceBacker]

Agree, not the best ride ever by Hollie!

[PlaceBacker]

Will take on Japan [3.00] with

Lord North

Each Way @ 8-1 [Skybet]

Won

[Marb]

Well done Lord North backers.

I like the way he stepped up from top handicaps to this today.

[jinnyj]

Well done PB. Really stepped up. Headman really needs to settle and Japan was fat.

[Desert Orchid]

I asked the question somewhere earlier in the week re official riding arrangements.

One of the reasons I asked was because I saw Frankie was on Mehdaayih when I thought he could have ridden Lord North. Anyone know why?

Easy winner. I backed it in the Cambs because I thought it was a group horse in a handicap but this was brilliant. It should serve as some kind of notice in advance of this year's Cambs: take careful note of whatever Gosden has put away for it.

Well done all LN backers.

[reet hard]

Nice one, PB.

[jinnyj]

Found today harder.
Maydany w, Red Bond ew
First Receiver/Russian Emperor RF
v tricky race but pro To Nathaniel ew
Japan
Dark Vision And Qaysar ew
Chief Little Hawk w

Not a bad day so far. The RF came in and I took 12s ew on Dark Vision last night.

[Colin Phillips]

DO, on SSR they said that before Lord North was gelded he was a bit of a boyo and Frankie was protected. I think they said that Frankie did ride him in the Cambridgeshire. Also said that Frankie's ride was thought to have a chance. Gosden said that Frankie thought he was going to win but the filly tired. Not my opinion but what was reported.

[Desert Orchid]

Thanks, Colin. I caught the TV interview with Gosden and heard the bit about Frankie saying he thought he was coming with a winning run. I liked the way she picked up at that point but it was very short-lived. Maybe that was Gosden-speak for 'watch for the filly as the season progresses'.

The brother phoned to say he interpreted Frankie not riding Lord North as part of the seasonal plans for Enable. He reckoned Frankie would stick with Enable so they'd want someone who would always be available for Lord North in most of his races. I'm not so sure since I'd imagine Godolphin would have plenty of second strings for Doyle to ride and Havlin would be available for LN.

[Marb]

Starcat (4:10) out ran the odds of 80/1 in the 2000 Guineas when finishing 7th on his first start this season. He races on a mark of 94. There is every chance he is at least a 100+ horse. He is obviously unexposed while probably well handicapped too. How well handicapped remains to be seen.

Maori Knight (1:15) will benefit from having his first start of the the season when finishing second the last day. Richard Hughes will have him ready to rock and roll on near enough bottom weight. A great ride for David Egan to have as well.

[Desert Orchid]

That was deeply impressive from Fujaira Prince. He did by far the best of the front-runners and is probably some way better than the bare form. He's a Group horse, make no mistake.

[Desert Orchid]

I'm quite looking forward to tomorrow.

It could be a huge day for me or it could be quite an expensive one.

I'm doing well if I have one or two tracker horses running in any one week. Tomorrow I have no fewer than six, five of them at Ascot across 4 races with prices varying from 9/2 to 33/1.

I can see each-way multiples coming on...

[Marb]

Yes I feel tomorrow could be a good opportunity to win a few quid. Mind you, I have thought that before.

I have done a sporting win heinz yankee. All priced between 3 and 12's.

I look forward to seeing your selections, DO.

If enough rain arrives Technician will surely keep shortening against Strad.

I could be wrong but I reckon 5/4....11/4.......is a more accurate reflection of the odds they should be.