Can't let Wembley go unbacked in the Dewhurst. Gave them all a start and still finished 2nd in the National Stakes,and we all know this is a racé Aiden takes seriously.
EW @11/1 general.
Can't let Wembley go unbacked in the Dewhurst. Gave them all a start and still finished 2nd in the National Stakes,and we all know this is a racé Aiden takes seriously.
EW @11/1 general.
Final longshot (for now ) in the Ces:
Cleonte 40/1 6pl - I kept finding myself having another check at this one so decided some sickness insurance was in order. Has a wee touch of class about him and the De Sousa-Balding-Power partnership is very hot.
Illegitimi non carborundum
There are so many long shots today and I've done the same two as DO in the 310y and also takenagro.
I've also done Dalton highway in the ces at 25/1 and a real outsider in Mutadaffeq 125/1 .
I've just taken 100/1 Decisive Edge in the Dewhurst. Totally unknown quantity but Meehan is no idiot and Buick rides in the absence of Godolphin runners.
Illegitimi non carborundum
Mukha Magic got the highest score on my little system but I'm not hopeful. I've had to back Island Brave because I'm following Heather Mains horses at the moment but, other than the trainer most things are against it. I actually spent some time looking at the race last night but wish, now that it's too late, I studied it properly.
Have to say, my own longshots today are not doing at all well. Non-triers right, left and centre.
Illegitimi non carborundum
Outsider (10th October 2020)
Got 18/1 the place on takarengo so well pleased - paid more than the winner! Cracking shout all.
Excellent. Pleased for you, simmo!
Illegitimi non carborundum
viking (10th October 2020)
viking (10th October 2020)
Thanks fellas
Yes it still paid 16/1 after the R4
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Last edited by viking; 10th October 2020 at 5:10 PM.
moehat (10th October 2020)
Not quite a Longshit now as it's been backed from 20s into 16s but if KINGS VOW doesnt make me a profit in the irish cesarewitch I'll pack in.
Outsider (11th October 2020)
Outsider (11th October 2020)
And so are we, Outsider.
Outsider (12th October 2020)
Outsider (12th October 2020)
Copied from the Ante-post thread:
In Saturday's Balmoral Hcap I've gone in early on Graignes 33/1 5pl.
I've no idea if he will run so it's a bit of a leap in the dark but if he does run I'll be surprised if he stays at such long odds.
Last spring he was beaten a nose in the Djebel before being beaten just three lengths behind Persian King in the Poulains. He put a modest run in the Jean Prat behind him when just over three lengths behind Romanised in the Marois. I reckon if he was British his OR would have been around 112 at that point. His next two runs were in the Pin (G3) and Foret (G1), again running both times with credit. His biggest price in any of those runs was 16/1 in the Marois.
He moved to George Baker in February and had wind surgery after one run. I thought he showed promise at Goodwood (behind Space Blues) and Haydock (behind Top Rank) but his mark has come down to 104. Would people fancy Persian King in this race off 111 or Romanised off 112? I reckon they'd be single-figure odds.
Obviously that's cherrypicking his form but isn't that what we usually do to justify fancying something?
If he stays at the same price or goes longer and better place terms open up I can always go in again but right now I'm happy to take a wee punt on him.
Illegitimi non carborundum
I think SPLIT DOWN SOUTH 630c is overpriced at 25/1.