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Thread: Fighting Fifth Hurdle 1st December

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    Fighting Fifth Hurdle 1st December

    I've been going through the form for the past hour or so, just looking to try and find fault with Buveur D'Air and trying to find something to oppose it with but I just can't.

    The horse is a beast over fences or hurdles and will win or good/soft/heavy. Distance from 1m7f to 2m4f no problem. The long break, no problem. Back in 2016 won in the April, ran again in December and won. Rated 169 and I think that's about right.

    Samcro on the other hand, won it's fair of 2m races all odds on with mediocre opposition. In my opinion, Samcro's most impressive wins were at Cheltenham over 2m5f and at Navan over 2m4f. Rated 160 now,

    I think currently Buveur D'Air, is 2.04 on Betfair, and right now that price is looking appealing to me.

    You guy's backing anything in it ?

  2. #2
    SlimChance
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    I'm all over Samcro at 5/2+. I don't trust Henderson to declare BD and even if he does Samcro goes off 11/8.
    Last edited by SlimChance; 29th November 2018 at 9:45 AM.

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    Senior Member Euronymous's Avatar
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    Henderson deserves a proper good ******* if he ducks this encounter. I'd argue Samcro was just as impressive in the Deloitte as any other race. He's a turn of foot merchant not a grinder Neptune type winner like The New One.
    Last edited by Euronymous; 29th November 2018 at 9:56 AM.

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    SlimChance
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    The more I think about it the more I want to be on Samcro at odds against.

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    all 3 declared. excellent.

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    Super Moderator Diamond Geezer's Avatar
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    In March Buveur D'Air beat a former champion hurdler, four other grade one winners, and four other graded winners, I can't see Samcro living with him.

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    Irishgoat (29th November 2018)

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    Senior Member Euronymous's Avatar
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    How far behind was Mick Jazz? And was one of them grade 1 winners the shadow of Yorkhill

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    Quote Originally Posted by SlimChance View Post
    The more I think about it the more I want to be on Samcro at odds against.
    Samcro defines my punting for the next month.

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    Betting suspended now on Betfair. I had bits and pieces on BD at 2.02 and 2.0. I'm very surprised they suspended betting so soon, I thought it would have been tomorrow.

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    Senior Member Grasshopper's Avatar
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    Decs for G1 are 48-hrs. Member Digger suggests the race has been re-opened too.

    Probably binning-off the ante-post market in favour of a day-of-race market.
    Last edited by Grasshopper; 29th November 2018 at 12:48 PM.
    "Beat the price and lose. It's what we do".

    SlimChance, March 2018

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    Irishgoat (29th November 2018)

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    Quote Originally Posted by Grasshopper View Post
    Decs for G1 are 48-hrs. Member Digger suggests the race has been re-opened too.

    Probably binning-off the ante-post market in favour of a day-of-race market.
    Thanks. The race day market is now opened, 0 matched so far

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    Senior Member an capall's Avatar
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    Samcro is a 2 and a half mile chaser. Get used to it.
    "And still they gazed and still the wonder grew. That one small head could carry all he knew.

    And that small head knew that Impaire Et Passe would win the Champion Hurdle."

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    Senior Member Grey's Avatar
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    Yes, he is that too, for he is Pegasus

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    6/4 BD
    9/4 Samcro
    4/1 SB

    are the top early prices

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    Irishgoat (29th November 2018)

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    I'm so used to betting on the exchange sometimes I forget about the bookies. BD 6/4 ladbrokes, I had a few quid on that at 6/4 Samcro best price 2/1 now with the bookies.

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    Senior Member an capall's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by JamesRB View Post
    6/4 BD
    9/4 Samcro
    4/1 SB

    are the top early prices

    4/1 Sea Biscuit is tempting.
    "And still they gazed and still the wonder grew. That one small head could carry all he knew.

    And that small head knew that Impaire Et Passe would win the Champion Hurdle."

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    Danny (29th November 2018)

  21. #17
    SlimChance
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    Quote Originally Posted by Irishgoat View Post
    Betting suspended now on Betfair. I had bits and pieces on BD at 2.02 and 2.0. I'm very surprised they suspended betting so soon, I thought it would have been tomorrow.
    I thought you were a professional punter? Taking 2.0 when he has to be odds against with Samcro running.

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    littlelad (29th November 2018)

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    Senior Member Desert Orchid's Avatar
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    Buveur D'Air is unlikely to be 100% fit. He can win all he wants at short odds.
    Illegitimi non carborundum


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    I really can't see it being odds against on the day. I hope I'm wrong. I'm on at 2.0/2.04 and 6/4 with ladbrokes. If the race was priced up 4/5 BD and 3/1 Samcro I'd still back BD. Just my opinion but to see Samcro at it's best I'd like to see it run at 2m4f at least or 2m5f.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Irishgoat View Post
    I really can't see it being odds against on the day. I hope I'm wrong. I'm on at 2.0/2.04 and 6/4 with ladbrokes. If the race was priced up 4/5 BD and 3/1 Samcro I'd still back BD. Just my opinion but to see Samcro at it's best I'd like to see it run at 2m4f at least or 2m5f.

    100% certain odds against will be available on Saturday -Henderson not doing it at the moment and JP unlikely to get involved.I think Samcro should be fav.

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