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Thread: Nervous Chase Thread

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    Nervous Chase Thread

    Chepstow 3.25

    The World End makes his debut over fences. I like Now McGinty a lot but the good ground is a negative. Terry The Fish looks a very big price at 9/2 or 4/1 in the betting w/o market. You can also play Bet365 fixed odds forecast. The combined odds work out at jut over 4/1.

    1st The World End
    2nd Terry The Fish

    7.77

    1st Terry The Fish
    2nd The World End

    16.46

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    Shocking round of jumping from Terry. Decent run out for The Worlds End, hard to grasp where he is at though.

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    Would imagine Tom George will be delighted with that. Jumped well but interesting to see if that holds up under more pressure


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    Quote Originally Posted by Double J View Post
    Shocking round of jumping from Terry. Decent run out for The Worlds End, hard to grasp where he is at though.
    Looked like he'd never seen a fence but he still went off 2/1 w/o the fav.

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    Fakenham 2.30 tomorrow sees Movewiththetimes take on former crack Irish PTP talking horse Knocknanuss. Does anyone know why Movewithtimes was made a non runner at Cheltenham on Saturday? Knocknanuss was very free last time and could set this up. I'm betting The Linksman at 6s.

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    Movewiththetimes pulled at Cheltenham because of the slight ease in the ground after the rain there according to Nicholls at the course. Strange considering it eased to good/soft and the horse has won its only race on that ground.


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    Quote Originally Posted by Kauto Abu View Post
    Movewiththetimes pulled at Cheltenham because of the slight ease in the ground after the rain there according to Nicholls at the course. Strange considering it eased to good/soft and the horse has won its only race on that ground.


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    I have to take him on tomorrow although after how badly the w/o market was priced today I'll certainly have a look.

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    Iím with him myself. I think the run behind Finianís Oscar & Coo Star Sivola last year is the best chase form on offer.


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    I had a decent bet on him at Cheltenham. Very disappointing..

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    Quote Originally Posted by SlimChance View Post
    I had a decent bet on him at Cheltenham. Very disappointing..
    He was that tho i seem to recall him genuflecting 4 or 5 out which totally put an end to his day.


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    I wouldn't touch MWTT with a barge pole tomorrow.

    It wouldn't be my kind of race in any event but it looks ripe for MWTT not to win it.
    Two's company, three's allowed.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Desert Orchid View Post
    I wouldn't touch MWTT with a barge pole tomorrow.

    It wouldn't be my kind of race in any event but it looks ripe for MWTT not to win it.
    I really like Novice chases. Nothing is as good about the jumps as seeing good horses jump fences for the first time. They are also really good betting heats.
    Last edited by SlimChance; 31st October 2018 at 4:48 AM.

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    If you’re going to get a short one beaten, novice chases are usually the place for it to happen. I’m just not sure you have anything much to take MWTT on with, as he has both a class and a chasing-experience advantage over the others.

    Probably better opportunities to turn-over shorties later in the week, where you have more running for you in opposition.

    FWIW, I doubled MWTT with Didtheyleaveuoutto in the opener. Pays around 11/10.
    Last edited by Grasshopper; 31st October 2018 at 6:37 AM.
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    I just wonder why he didn't run on Saturday. Does anyone have a feeling on whether The Linksman will take on Knocknanuss for the lead? That could be the winning and the losing of the w/o market.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Grasshopper View Post
    If youíre going to get a short one beaten, novice chases are usually the place for it to happen. Iím just not sure you have anything much to take MWTT on with, as he has both a class and a chasing-experience advantage over the others.

    Probably better opportunities to turn-over shorties later in the week, where you have more running for you in opposition.

    FWIW, I doubled MWTT with Didtheyleaveuoutto in the opener. Pays around 11/10.

    Same bet for me but with Olly Murphyís bumper horse in there too. Pays 3/1.


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    Quote Originally Posted by SlimChance View Post
    I just wonder why he didn't run on Saturday. Does anyone have a feeling on whether The Linksman will take on Knocknanuss for the lead? That could be the winning and the losing of the w/o market.
    You could be right here, especially with Knockanuss who always races too keenly in a small field. The Linksman can be keen too which could well set up the scenario you envisage.


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    Quote Originally Posted by SlimChance View Post
    I really like Novice chases. Nothing is as good about the jumps as seeing good horses jump fences for the first time. They are also really good betting heats.
    Some, I agree, can be easy pickings but in general I prefer more established form.
    Two's company, three's allowed.

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    Quote Originally Posted by SlimChance View Post
    I just wonder why he didn't run on Saturday. Does anyone have a feeling on whether The Linksman will take on Knocknanuss for the lead? That could be the winning and the losing of the w/o market.
    Non-Runners
    Race Horse and Trainer Reason
    2:00pm MINELLA ROCCO (IRE), trained by Jonjo O'Neill. Vets Cert (Bruised Foot)
    4:20pm BACK ON THE LASH, trained by Martin Keighley. Self Cert (Lame)
    4:55pm MOVEWITHTHETIMES (IRE), trained by Paul
    Nicholls.
    Vets Cert (Lame)

    5:30pm IMPERIAL ALCAZAR (IRE), trained by Fergal O'Brien. Going
    (changed since declaration)

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    nice little race in prospect, could be very tactical. took young Bowen to possibly slip the field...

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    Decided to watch the race so stuck some coffee money on The Linksman at 7/1w.
    Two's company, three's allowed.

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