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Thread: Nervous Chase Thread

  1. #41
    SlimChance
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    Poetic Rhythm is one absolute fraud of a horse. Take out the Challow hurdle fluke and you're left with nothing.

  2. #42
    SlimChance
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    Huntington 3.25

    Thomas Campbell is entered again over 2m 4f, trip which is short of his best form over hurdles. Le Breuil will not be going off the 15/8 generally available. I'd take 7/4 and 13/8 too. He can go off around 11/8 or 5/4.

  3. #43
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    Quote Originally Posted by SlimChance View Post
    Huntington 3.25

    Thomas Campbell is entered again over 2m 4f, trip which is short of his best form over hurdles. Le Breuil will not be going off the 15/8 generally available. I'd take 7/4 and 13/8 too. He can go off around 11/8 or 5/4.
    Thomas Campbell withdrawn again.

  4. #44
    SlimChance
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    Quote Originally Posted by Double J View Post
    Thomas Campbell withdrawn again.
    I'm automatically taking him on from here.

  5. #45
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    Quote Originally Posted by SlimChance View Post
    I'm automatically taking him on from here.
    Entered again on Thursday at Newbury along with Black OP, La Bague Au Roi and Lostintranslation.

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  7. #46
    SlimChance
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    Fontwell 1.50

    A mares Beginners Chase. I'll be backing Jet Set 3/1. Molly Childers sets a fair standard on the recent Bengor 2nd but it's completely factored into the price. Graceful Legend is the obvious angle being the best of these over hurdles but Jet Set only had 5 runs over hurdles and is completely unexposed.

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    Double J (8th November 2018)

  9. #47
    SlimChance
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    Aintree 12.25
    Robin Waters will go off around 4/7. Very strong bet.

  10. #48
    SlimChance
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    Quote Originally Posted by SlimChance View Post
    Aintree 12.25
    Robin Waters will go off around 4/7. Very strong bet.
    An early howler ended this as a contest but you'd have to think Minella Award would have been very hard to beat anyway.

  11. #49
    SlimChance
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    Taunton 3.40
    Full

    Night of Sin is probably the better long term prospect than Full but given tomorrows race will be run on Good to Firm I'd make Full odds on. There was nothing really between them on their respective starts over fences although Full was pitched in the deep end of a Grade 2 where he was outclassed.

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    littlelad (15th November 2018)

  13. #50
    SlimChance
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    That was excruciatingly painful.

  14. #51
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    Quote Originally Posted by SlimChance View Post
    That was excruciatingly painful.
    Couldn't watch the race but guessing it fell? Traded well odds on during running.

  15. #52
    Super Moderator Diamond Geezer's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Double J View Post
    Couldn't watch the race but guessing it fell? Traded well odds on during running.
    Report in RP says "Tracked leading pair, jumped left, blundered and unseated rider 6th (tchd 11/10)"

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    Double J (15th November 2018)

  17. #53
    SlimChance
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    There is a few nice beginner chases and novice hurdles tomorrow. Some nice horses for a Monday. I like these 4.

    5/2 Dell Oro 13:30 Kempton
    6/4 Crooks Peak 12:55 Kempton
    7/4 Mystical Clouds 14:15 Ludlow
    7/1 Buckled 13:55 Musselburgh

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    Colin Phillips (26th November 2018)

  19. #54
    SlimChance
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    Market Rasen 12.15

    Adjali is a Nicky Henderson newcomer in this juvenile hurdle and is automatically odds on. King Dargent has some really good form though and any 7/2 or bigger is worth taking the favuorite on with.

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    littlelad (6th December 2018)

  21. #55
    SlimChance
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    Chelmsford 6.00

    A novice stakes which looks an obvious match. There is no reason Deep Intrigue won't improve again and with both horses stepping up a grade in class I'll gladly take odds against. It's pretty obvious he will lead it's not hard to see odds against looking a good spot as the race unfolds.

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    littlelad (6th December 2018)

  23. #56
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    The right side of that coin flip mate at 9/4 in the end too.
    Man who catch fly with chopstick .... accomplish anything.

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  25. #57
    SlimChance
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    Quote Originally Posted by Danny View Post
    The right side of that coin flip mate at 9/4 in the end too.
    Weird SP Danny. When they come for Richard Hughes horses my God they come for them. I felt stupid the more it drifted as I topped up along the way. By the time it got out at far as 4.1 I assumed it wasn't fit. It just seemed so obvious that the MJ horse would lead and would trade odds on in running.

  26. #58
    Super Moderator Irish Stamp's Avatar
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    King D'Argent would had to have run to a mark in the high 130's to get within hailing distance of Adjali tbf.

    Backers on a hiding to nothing on all known form.
    Hurricane Fly - whatever he runs in he wins

    Twitter: @Quevega

  27. #59
    SlimChance
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    Quote Originally Posted by Irish Stamp View Post
    King D'Argent would had to have run to a mark in the high 130's to get within hailing distance of Adjali tbf.

    Backers on a hiding to nothing on all known form.
    That's why they bet it into 15/8. Thanks tor aftertiming now move along...

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