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Thread: The Road to the 2019 Champion Hurdle

  1. #221
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tanlic View Post
    The Delottie blows that theory right out the window as it was run at a slowish pace and Samcro quickened up like a good horse.
    The Deloitte was a novice race, and run on soft ground, so has little bearing on the RyanAir.

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    Senior Member Tanlic's Avatar
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    It doesn't? can't agree with that. Every race he ran irrespective of ground or distance last season he QUICKENED

    3 times this season he has failed to show the same turn of foot.

    If you are trying to say it was because of the way he was ridden the pace or the ground I say Bullshit....The horse has gone for the time being simple as.

    These things can take months, even years to sort them self out but the longer it takes the less chance they retain their speed back.

    Knowing that I would image he'll go novice chasing if they can get him back on track as he'll never win a CH now.
    Formely Fist of Fury

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    Bit late in the season to start novice chasing, Fist.
    Fiver says he goes for the CH first?

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    They should send him to JP's. They have a way of sorting out non performing champion hurdlers.

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    Senior Member granger's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by SP Only View Post
    They should send him to JP's. They have a way of sorting out non performing champion hurdlers.
    Last edited by granger; 7th January 2019 at 2:28 PM.
    Some people say he’s the best since Arkle and that’s certainly true when you look at what he’s done

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    Quote Originally Posted by reet hard View Post
    Bit late in the season to start novice chasing, Fist.
    Fiver says he goes for the CH first?
    Won't jump a fence publically at least until next season
    Some people say he’s the best since Arkle and that’s certainly true when you look at what he’s done

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    Senior Member Tanlic's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by reet hard View Post
    Bit late in the season to start novice chasing, Fist.
    Fiver says he goes for the CH first?
    I think Grassy owes me a fiver but if he don't pay you God will.


    BTW I am talking Nov Chasing next season not this......if he did come back this season you would then have to think they found something and he could be a value bet
    Formely Fist of Fury

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    Quote Originally Posted by Tanlic View Post
    I think Grassy owes me a fiver but if he don't pay you God will.


    BTW I am talking Nov Chasing next season not this......if he did come back this season you would then have to think they found something and he could be a value bet
    That's exactly my thinking I'm waiting patiently to hear.

  9. #229
    Senior Member tiggers1972's Avatar
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    I reckon it's nailed on Laurina for the Mares race.

  10. #230
    Senior Member Grasshopper's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tanlic View Post
    I think Grassy owes me a fiver but if he don't pay you God will.


    BTW I am talking Nov Chasing next season not this......if he did come back this season you would then have to think they found something and he could be a value bet
    Eh??

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    Anyone know what Tom Segal put up for this today in the RP?

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    Super Moderator Diamond Geezer's Avatar
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    Think it was Espoir D'Allen
    Last edited by Diamond Geezer; 8th January 2019 at 6:57 PM.

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  14. #233
    Senior Member granger's Avatar
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    Samcro highly unlikely to run again this season

    Plus I think Cromwell may avoid CH this year
    Some people say he’s the best since Arkle and that’s certainly true when you look at what he’s done

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    Super Moderator Diamond Geezer's Avatar
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    Eddie O'Leary, speaking on behalf of owners Gigginstown House Stud, told the Racing Post on Wednesday that Samcro has been diagnosed with a heavy lung infection that will require a ten-day course of antibiotics. He did not categorically rule out the prospect of the Gordon Elliott-trained seven-year-old making Cheltenham in March, but described him as very unlikely to do so.

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    Senior Member Kauto Abu's Avatar
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    Certainly explains Christmas anyway contrary to some views expresses here. He couldn’t even manage to beat Tombstone at Christmas.


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  17. #236
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    Quote Originally Posted by Diamond Geezer View Post
    Eddie O'Leary, speaking on behalf of owners Gigginstown House Stud, told the Racing Post on Wednesday that Samcro has been diagnosed with a heavy lung infection that will require a ten-day course of antibiotics. He did not categorically rule out the prospect of the Gordon Elliott-trained seven-year-old making Cheltenham in March, but described him as very unlikely to do so.
    Ah right so we'll have another go at 2 miles next season

  18. #237
    Senior Member Desert Orchid's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Diamond Geezer View Post
    Eddie O'Leary, speaking on behalf of owners Gigginstown House Stud, told the Racing Post on Wednesday that Samcro has been diagnosed with a heavy lung infection that will require a ten-day course of antibiotics. He did not categorically rule out the prospect of the Gordon Elliott-trained seven-year-old making Cheltenham in March, but described him as very unlikely to do so.
    Maybe that's just code for 'we're not happy with him so we're sending him somewhere off the radar to pump him full of stuff that will be out of his system by the time we get him back in training again'.
    Illegitimi non carborundum


  19. #238
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    Quote Originally Posted by Kauto Abu View Post
    Certainly explains Christmas anyway contrary to some views expresses here. He couldn’t even manage to beat Tombstone at Christmas.


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    Does it though, or was he ridden in the manner he was, owing to suspected illness?

  20. #239
    Senior Member granger's Avatar
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    Rupert on his CH mount

    “Whatever we have for the Champion Hurdle, she is the most unexposed. Sharjah has improved out of all recognition, and I’m sure Melon will run in the Irish Champion Hurdle.
    “We have to see what gets there first, and then I can worry about that on the Sunday before Cheltenham. If all three horses got there, she would be a tough one to get off — and if she had to go straight to Cheltenham without another run, it wouldn’t bother me.”
    Some people say he’s the best since Arkle and that’s certainly true when you look at what he’s done

  21. #240
    Senior Member Kauto Abu's Avatar
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    The Road to the 2019 Champion Hurdle

    She will be the biggest danger he will face. Last two years I was supremely confident of victory. I still expect him to win this year but she will make him pull out the stops I feel.

    Undoubtedly the mistake at Kempton cost him his race. Contrary to what Henderson or Geraghty said in the aftermath it did. He reached his peak in between 3 & 2 out where as it would normally be between approaching the last. The mistake was at crucial point in race when taking closer order. About 10 strides later he was revved up beyond his cruising speed, then eased back below that early pace to challenge leader, his stride peaked but a lot earlier than usual.


    The graph below shows Buveur D’Airs stride pattern to each hurdle at Newcastle and the 2nd picture shows Buveur D’Air v Verdana blue stride patterns to each hurdle at Christmas. This is really fascinating analysis carried out by racehorsesrace. You can see where BD stride pattern peaked steeply immediately after the mistake and was literally all over the place from there in. That mistake put him completely out of rhythm and his stride pattern peaked way too early.








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    Last edited by Kauto Abu; 10th January 2019 at 12:24 PM.

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