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Thread: Ante-Post Punting Plans/Propositions Thread.

  1. #221
    Senior Member Euronymous's Avatar
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    Cheers. Another one, The Tin Man is still trading at 10s in a place for the Sprint Cup despite being confirmed as on course for the race today. That's too big given his liking for the race and the doubts about the fav after his stalls incident at Ascot.

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    I'll take a look. You seem up-to-speed on it, I might invest!

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    Quote Originally Posted by Marble View Post
    The "Foxy Bingo Fur Ever Friends Handicap" at Chester on Saturday looks an interesting betting heat.

    Mark's Johnston's pair head the market. Lake Volta ran well the last day. Poets Society won at 20/1 at York.
    I guess the question is: How reliable are those two horses? Both in terms of maintaining that high level of form that they showed last time and carrying their respective weights. I'm prepared to take them both on, with AL ERAYG, at 16/1 with Boylesports. This former Qatar-owned horse, scored on his first career start in 2016 over at Maisons Laffitte, when beating the formerly trained Andre Fabre horse Repercussion (rated 101). Al Erayg was then beaten a shortish odds a couple of times in 2017 in France, before leaving F-H Graffards yard for Tim Easterby's (after being gelded). This is his first start for Tim Easterby. He's been off the track for 390 days, but showed he can win first time out in France, and is on an exploitable mark (93). I'll be having more on in terms of stake than I usually would. The horse at the very bottom, Documenting, is probably overpriced. He may run into a place, but Al Erayg, (with the low draw), looks much more appealing.

    In Marb we trust
    Documenting has shortened a bit.

    I think an e/w bet on Tim Easterby's horse, with a saver on Documenting, is the way to play this.
    Last edited by Marb; 31st August 2018 at 6:49 PM.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Marble View Post
    Documenting has shortened a bit.

    I think an e/w bet on Tim Easterby's horse, with a saver on Documenting, is the way to play this.
    Documenting into 11's, Al Erayg drifted out to 33's. Crazy scenes.

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    Outsider (1st September 2018)

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    Nice one Euro, well done.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Euronymous View Post
    I've had a bet in that myself. Oh This is Us ran a stormer behind Plumatic in the Sovereign and I always like top weights at Chester so thought he was worth chancing at 9s.

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    Senior Member Euronymous's Avatar
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    I love top weights at tracks like Chester. Gone in on Growl as well.

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    Yeah. I thought Al Erayg ran an eyecatcher in fifth.

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    I note that Muntadab keeps doing all the donkey work up front over 7F, like he did today, before giving way (usually a furlong out). He might need soft ground these days to be seen at his best, but he is one to watch out for when dropped back in distance to 6F. He holds an Ayr Gold Cup entry. I'd like to see him in that race or even the Silver Cup, it just has to be six furlongs, with a bit of cut in the ground. His strike rate, (wins-to-runs), is about twenty percent. He is a good horse on his day and can find his best form soon.
    Last edited by Marb; 1st September 2018 at 9:08 PM.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Euronymous View Post
    Cheers. Another one, The Tin Man is still trading at 10s in a place for the Sprint Cup despite being confirmed as on course for the race today. That's too big given his liking for the race and the doubts about the fav after his stalls incident at Ascot.
    A great shout that one Euro, that's what this thread is all about. You smashed it, well done.
    Last edited by Marb; 8th September 2018 at 4:25 PM.

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    Senior Member Euronymous's Avatar
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    Thank you, enjoyed that.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Euronymous View Post
    Thank you, enjoyed that.

    Well done -you are always logical.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Euronymous View Post
    Cheers. Another one, The Tin Man is still trading at 10s in a place for the Sprint Cup despite being confirmed as on course for the race today. That's too big given his liking for the race and the doubts about the fav after his stalls incident at Ascot.
    Shout, Euro!
    Illegitimi non carborundum


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    Senior Member Tout Seul's Avatar
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    Good thinking, great result. Well done!

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    Nice one, Euro. My 2, typically, ran like drains.

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    Liking the look of 20/1 on Marnie James for The Portland. He hasn't done a lot wrong this season, after being gelded at the end of last season. He is a young progressive type, trained by Iain Jardine who I respect. I honestly can't work out why he is a 20/1 chance. I was expecting him to be third or fourth favourite.
    Last edited by Marb; 13th September 2018 at 3:27 PM.

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  23. #237
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    Im going for DAKOTA GOLD 12/1 good draw.running well.also like Orvar 14/1

  24. #238
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    Quote Originally Posted by Marble View Post

    Mark's Johnston's pair head the market. Lake Volta ran well the last day. Poets Society won at 20/1 at York.
    I guess the question is: How reliable are those two horses? Both in terms of maintaining that high level of form that they showed last time and carrying their respective weights. I'm prepared to take them both on, with AL ERAYG, at 16/1 with Boylesports. This former Qatar-owned horse, scored on his first career start in 2016 over at Maisons Laffitte, when beating the formerly trained Andre Fabre horse Repercussion (rated 101). Al Erayg was then beaten a shortish odds a couple of times in 2017 in France, before leaving F-H Graffards yard for Tim Easterby's (after being gelded). This is his first start for Tim Easterby. He's been off the track for 390 days, but showed he can win first time out in France, and is on an exploitable mark (93). I'll be having more on in terms of stake than I usually would. The horse at the very bottom, Documenting, is probably overpriced. He may run into a place, but Al Erayg, (with the low draw), looks much more appealing.

    In Marb we trust
    Al Erayg must have a great chance tomorrow, (Don 5:10) at 11/2. He ran a stormer at Chester, given he was last out the stalls and was never in a good position. Lake Volta is the danger.
    Last edited by Marb; 13th September 2018 at 11:33 PM.

  25. #239
    Senior Member granger's Avatar
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    Is this a flat thread or should we set up a jumps alternative for the season ahead?
    Some people say he’s the best since Arkle and that’s certainly true when you look at what he’s done

  26. #240
    Senior Member Euronymous's Avatar
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    It's a non-Festival thread, so anything that isn't Cheltenham.

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