I'm now really kicking myself that I let the busy-ness of this weekend distract me from one of my goals, ie to back Cap Du Nord for the big race next Saturday.
Needless to say, I've missed the 10/1 that was on offer this morning (to be honest, I thought it would be 3/1 anyway) but I've now taken 4/1 to twice what I had on Secret Reprieve.
I can see CDN going off at 6/4 unless Royale Pagaille turns up.
Last edited by Desert Orchid; 23rd January 2021 at 5:51 PM.
Illegitimi non carborundum
As expected, Royale Pagaille taken out. Cap Du Nord now 3/1 tops although not all bookies are pricing up the race just yet.
Illegitimi non carborundum
Grand card as ever for Trials day.
Initial thoughts are that most of the runners in the handicap chase are off stiff marks so the JP bottom feeder is the likeliest. Saint Calvados is tempting for the Cotswold at 6s and at the same price Annual Invictus is a bet in the Classic.
Only two firms still going 3/1. 11/4 and 5/2 generally.Originally Posted by Desert Orchid
Illegitimi non carborundum
Have had my biggest bet for a wee while at the 6’s on Saint Calvados; strapped to the mast, and ready to go down with the ship, if it comes to it.
Last edited by Grasshopper; 25th January 2021 at 9:33 PM.
"Beat the price and lose. It's what we do".
SlimChance, March 2018
Euronymous (25th January 2021), Outsider (25th January 2021)
Cap Du Nord, already raised 2lbs for standing in its box after Double Shuffle won the other week, has been raised another three following Royale Pagaille's win the other day.
He'll be those 3lbs officially well in come Saturday. I expect his price to be trimmed a little again once the professionals pick up on it. I reckon some will also look elsewhere for value, which might allow the price to hold. It's still a 6/4 shot for me.
Illegitimi non carborundum
Posted on the What Are You Backing Today thread but in expectation/hope of a good run by Allaho today this could be the last chance to get on the Skybet offer about Shishkin & Envoi Allen winning the Arkle & Marsh and Al Boum Photo, Allaho and Paisley Park placing in any race.
50/1 about something that is no bigger than 20/1 at best prices and facilitates a combination of win and place only in a straight line acca.
Last edited by wilsonl; 27th January 2021 at 12:48 PM.
Alcohol, because no good story ever started with "I was eating this salad..."
Elimay will be hard to beat in the Mares Chase.
Yeah, first thing I did after the race was an ew Elimay/Min double
From the Longshot thread:
With the above in mind, I've taken 7/1 Cepage for his race on Saturday. If he's anywhere near as good as my figure for him is making out, he will be very hard to beat and if the Ryanair is the target he won't have to worry about blowing his mark.
Last edited by Desert Orchid; 27th January 2021 at 3:19 PM.
Illegitimi non carborundum
Yep. Love that bet.
Unsurprisingly Willie has the front three in the market for this, albeit all different owners.
I can't see them all going so who misses out ?. Fav Colreevy given that she's eligible for the Novice chases or maybe Benie staying over hurdles to take on another stable mate in Concertista ?
Alcohol, because no good story ever started with "I was eating this salad..."
Colreevy could go to Limerick the week after Cheltenham.
Benie is going for the Stayers.
Last edited by Slim; 27th January 2021 at 3:48 PM.
wilsonl (27th January 2021)
Thought so, love that. Did suggest it t’other day.
I'd be surprised if she does. Although pleasantly surprised as I have an antepost voucher at 14/1.
Willie's method is to go for the easiest race so it looks the least likely of the three options you'd think. He must also be hugely tempted as must Ricci to win the inaugural Mares Chase with her. Ruby has name checked the race a couple of times too. I think she's go for the AMres Hurdle before she goes for the Stayers as well. It's a much easier race to win.
FWIW I hope she does. I just can't see it.
I wonder what price she'd be if she turned up. I'd make her a 12/1 shot personally.
Anyone impressed with Sams Profile over in Ireland?
It looked like they went a solid gallop in that ground.
They drew a dozen lengths clear of the third horse, who was also third to Sire Du Berlais, (beaten 3.5 lengths) on its last start.
Sams Profile is in the Stayers Hurdle frame I'd have thought.
Ps, don't get me wrong, I'm a Ronald Pump fan, but what a run that was today from Sams Profile, with six weeks until the Festival.
He's going the right way at just the right time.
I'm going to have to take an anti-post price about him soon.
Last edited by Marb; 28th January 2021 at 4:17 PM.
I'm sure it's on one of the threads but does anyone know when the Cheltenham handicap entires and then weights are due to be released?
Bottomless ground. Meh.
Feb 18th.
Slim (28th January 2021)
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