I took 12's Defi (small bet) on Tuesday. He's well-treated at these weights, and it seemed like a fair price to see if he can bounce back.
I took 12's Defi (small bet) on Tuesday. He's well-treated at these weights, and it seemed like a fair price to see if he can bounce back.
Last edited by Grasshopper; 13th January 2022 at 12:19 PM.
"Beat the price and lose. It's what we do".
SlimChance, March 2018
For what race?Originally Posted by Marb
Ref Saint Calvados above I would guess he won't run before the Festival, and if he does turn up it will be over 2m - 2m 5f based on the fact that his form figures at those distances after 10 weeks off read 2 (beaten a neck in the Ryanair),1,1,1,1,1.
Last edited by Diamond Geezer; 15th January 2022 at 9:27 AM.
"The owls are not what they seem"
Desert Orchid (13th January 2022), Outsider (13th January 2022)
I am just waiting on the Lanzarote declarations coming through. I looked last night I am quite sweet on Micky Hammonds runner Fostersisland each way. It looked touch and go whether he'd make the cut off 123 so I am not parting with any money until I see him in the decs. I think he is a rapid improver and was good each value last night at 25s with one firm although I wasn't prepared to risk it.
Last edited by Marb; 13th January 2022 at 1:14 PM.
Declared with a hopefully decent 7 pound claimer on.
No 19 of 20 in the list and there is a big differential in the weights between top and bottom weight so its a proper handicap hurdle in every sense of the word.
I will be backing Fostersisland soon.
I found Boreham Bill last year. Fingers crossed.
Outsider (13th January 2022)
Pertemps hurdle final.
THE JAM MAN 33s boosted to 36.75/1 hills
Needs to finish in the first 6 tomorrow in a 7 horse race.rated 146 so wont need to win.
Pertemps hurdle final.
THE JAM MAN 33s boosted to 36.75/1 hills
Needs to finish in the first 6 tomorrow in a 7 horse race.rated 146 so wont need to win.
Well well well.
I was planning to have my first anti post bet a few days ago on Dino Blue but you can't spend the same money twice and I felt I had missed the price so decided to leave it for now.
When I have an hour to kill I like to go through the form of some of the races the past season.
It's probably unrealistic to think your eyes and brain can recall everything needed that you need to know so I went through a few races this season to see where there could be value for the festival or even upcoming races.
A couple of form pieces stuck out to me.
The first was the Welsh National trial run at Chepstow earlier this season.
Iwilldoit had todays Warwick Chase winner Eclair Surf back in third. Clearly both horses appear to have improved markedly for the step up in trip.
Colorado Doc was a well beaten second that day, when seemingly hammered 24L by Iwilldoit, and he was pulled up next time in the Welsh National.
However, with Eclair Surf franking that form again today, it makes Colorado Doc's run back in second look much better.
Colorado Doc is actually entered in the Wincanton Somerset National chase due to be run this Thursday.
Maybe its worth giving him another chance even after his last pulled up effort? We will see what lines up on Thursday...
The second race I am interested is was the Castleford Chase run at Wetherby on boxing day.
The Dan Skelton trained and John Hales owned Eclair D'ainay looked to come back to form plus a few pounds improvement when winning really well against Cheddleton and the Ann Hamilton trained Nuts Well, who finished an admirable third given he was lumping around top weight off a mark in the high 150's.
So to me that is really solid 2 mile handicap chase form and Eclair D'ainay is now a horse of serious interest in the 2 mile handicap chase division.
His next start could be on Friday in another 2 mile handicap chase at Lingfield which will be covered by ITV.
I am not sure whats not to like about Eclair D'ainay for a race like the Grand Annual.
He jumped really well on boxing day aswell which was a good thing to see as he had previously fallen over fences.
He seems to be hitting peak form at just the right time and I will be taking the 25/1 each way for the Grand Annual shortly, in anticipation of a possible good run this Friday at Lingfield.
He is on a mark of 141 at present so could still afford to win another handicap chase on his way to the Grand Annual.
Last edited by Marb; 15th January 2022 at 6:21 PM.
Edit. Double post.
Last edited by Marb; 15th January 2022 at 5:13 PM.
I absolutely knew you would back Defi despite all the waring signs..I really should kick your assGotta learn to let go mate
Formely Fist of Fury
That's the first part of the plan completed.
I hadn’t backed him since his Queen Mother failure two seasons ago, until this week - when he was four times the price he usually is.I absolutely knew you would back Defi despite all the waring signs..I really should kick your ass
Like I said, I was prepared to take the chance at those odds in a race that seemed certain to cut up.
If I can continue to back 11/2 shots at 12/1, I should do OK even without your expert tutelage.
Last edited by Grasshopper; 15th January 2022 at 5:58 PM.
"Beat the price and lose. It's what we do".
SlimChance, March 2018
Here I go again,I'm not doing a/p I said,but I cant resist,but this one is even riskier not knowing what race they have in mind for it.
DUFFLE COAT 33/1 for the coral cup.
As a 3 yr old he gave 5lb and a 5L beating to Adagio (now rated 152) with my county hurdle fancy Cabot cliffs 10L behind.
After winning 4 hurdle races DC then ran 4 decent races on the flat and then returned to hurdles off 143 and ran over 3m twice,one of them a pertemps qualifier and wasnt in the first 20 in either but has dropped 2lb.if the bha add 5lb he wont get in the m.pipe so it's got to be the coral cup I hope unless he runs in the county.
He could of course still qualify for the pertemps but I'm sure Gordon will have that race covered.
That's 3 posts I've put up that's duplicated
Last edited by Outsider; 16th January 2022 at 9:46 AM.
The forum's slow lately, quick reply is anything but, imo.
Maybe they're not feeding the hamster?
Its an absolutely dogshit race, but see Shantou Flyer has an entry in a hunters chase on Thursday. His third in the Kim Muir looks somewhat better with what Mount Ida and Cloudy Glen have done since.
Appreciate Maxwell will be riding, horse will be 12, but the race is really poor. One ill be backing come the day.
Outsider (17th January 2022)
There has been an article on him recently although I can't find it. It was on the racing post either yesterday or today. From memory sounds like he will be a runner innthe pertemps.
There has been an article on him recently although I can't find it. It was on the racing post either yesterday or today. From memory sounds like he will be a runner in the pertemps.
Last edited by Marb; 17th January 2022 at 9:25 PM.
Outsider (17th January 2022)
Read it as well, plan is Pretemps before a tilt at the Irish National, which has been the long term plan.
Outsider (17th January 2022)
Edwardstone 9/2 arkle
Tellmesomethinggirl 4/1 mares hurdle
Win double
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