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Thread: First Season Sires.

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    First Season Sires.

    I know almost everyone on here is anticipating the Festival and will not be interested in the whippets that will be appearing at the end of next month but for the handful of us who are not totally enamoured with the jumpers here is something to look forward to.

    First Season Sires 2018


    Top first season can be calculated in a number of ways, most total earnings, most winning earnings and the one some bookmakers offer prices on is on the total number of races a stallion’s offspring wins.


    Over the last three years the sire that has won the most races in a season has been one that has showed pace and class in his races on the track and a certain amount of precocity.


    2015 ZOFFANY (Best RPR 120) a Group 1 winner and successful over 6,7 and 8 furlongs and won on his 2-y-o debut.


    2016 SIR PRANCELOT (110) a Group 2 winning sprinter also won on his 2-y-o debut.


    2017 SOCIETY ROCK (122) a Group 1 winning sprinter who didn’t win on debut but won his second 2-y-o race.


    SIR PRANCEALOT the least classy of the three made up for that by having plenty of ammunition and finished well clear in his year’


    So if we are looking for this season’s champion freshman it should be amongst the classy sprinters who have plenty of ammunition.


    Here is a list of the most likely stallions to make an impression this year:


    The list includes the best Racing Post Rating achieved, the number of coverings and the number of live foals. The foals figure is likely to be lower than the actual foals produced as some studs are late returning the numbers.


    ALBAASIL - a Group 2 miler with a best RPR of 115 - 10 coverings and 10 foals.


    ALHEBAYEB - winner of the Group 2 July Stakes as a 2-y-o and won on his 2-y-o debut RPR 109 175 coverings 120 foals.


    ANODIN - high class miler who is a brother to Goldikova RPR 119 11 coverings 11 foals.


    AUSTRALIA - the Derby winner who is out of Ouija Board RPR 129 157 coverings 90 foals.


    BATTLE OF MARENGO - high-class winner at 2, 10 furlong winner at 3, RPR 118 coverings 110 foals


    BRAZEN BEAU - top-class sprinter in Australia no RPR, coverings 7 foals 7.


    BUNGLE INTHEJUNGLE - precocious Group 3 winner over 5f. as a 2-y-o RPR 108 coverings 117 foals 87.


    BURWAAZ - smart and precocious at 2 narrowly beaten in Group 2 Flying Childers RPR 109 18 coverings 18 foals.


    CAMERON HIGHLAND - listed winner over 11f. placed as a 2-y-o RPR 111 4 coverings 4 foals.


    CHARM SPIRIT - high class over 7f. as a 2-y-o, 3 times Group 1 winner over a mile RPR 124 130 coverings 79 foals.


    COACH HOUSE - precocious and very smart over 5-6f. as a 2-y-o, second in Group 2 5f. Norfolk RPR 104 102 coverings 71 foals.


    DUNADEN - top international middle distance/stayer, winner of the Melbourne Cup and Hong Kong Vase RPR 124 87 coverings 54 foals.


    EL SALVADOR - multiple 12 - 16f. winner, RPR 109 42 coverings 32 foals.


    ES QUE LOVE - useful sprint 2-y-o, winner of Group 2 Lennox Stakes RPR 116 63 coverings 37 foals (surprisingly low numbers!).


    GALE FORCE TEN - 6f. winner at 2, winner of Group 3 Jersey Stakes RPR 115 152 coverings 87 foals.


    GARSWOOD - 5f. listed winner at 2, winner of a Group 1 over 6.5f. on heavy at Deauville RPR 117 99 coverings 70 foals.


    GREGORIAN - a winner as a 2-y-o, winner of the Group 2 Hungerford over 7f. RPR 118 111 coverings 78 foals.


    HEERAAT - winner over 6f. at 2, winner of 6f. Backwood Stakes as a 4-y-o RPR 114 93 coverings 67 foals.


    JET AWAY - smart middle-distance performer, Group 3 winner in Australia RPR 116 151 coverings 99 foals.


    KINGMAN - high-class 7f. winner as a 2-y-o, winner of 8f. St. James’s Palace Stakes RPR 128 138 coverings 105 foals.


    LEADING LIGHT - top stayer, winner of Ascot Gold Cup and St. Leger (classed as a NH stallion) RPR 121 274 coverings 172 foals.


    LIBERTARIAN - unraced at 2, won Dante and ran second in the Derby RPR 118 92 coverings 50 foals.


    MEDIA HYPE - listed winner over 12f. RPR 104 3 coverings 1 foal.


    MOOHAAJIM - high-class sprint 2-y-o, was a close second in Group 1 Middle Park RPR 116 52 coverings 28 foals.


    MORPHEUS - half-brother to Frankel, 8f. handicapper RPR 95 129 coverings 92 foals.


    MR. MEDICI - 12f. Group 1 winner in Hong Kong RPR 121 8 coverings 6 foals.


    MUKHADRAM - top class 10-12f. performer won 2014 Coral Eclipse RPR 123 117c 84f.


    NO NAY NEVER - high-class sprinter at 2 and 3, won Norfolk and Morny RPR 117 118 coverings 78foals.


    NOBLE MISSION brother to Frankel top-class 8-12f winner, won Champion Stakes as a 5-y-o RPR 123 2 coverings 2 foals.


    OCOVANGO - winner over a mile at 2, 10f. Group 2 winner at three RPR 117 (classified as a NH stallion) 265 coverings 182 foals.


    OLYMPIC GLORY - top-class winner over 6 & 7f. at 2, won Group 1 Queen Elizabeth II as a 3-y-o in 2013. RPR 127 44 coverings 42 foals.


    QUEST FOR PEACE - high-class middle-distance performer , won Group 3 Cumberland Lodge 2011. RPR 116 51 coverings 28 foals.


    RULER OF THE WORLD - winner of the 2013 Derby. RPR 125 54 coverings 36 foals.


    SADDLER’S ROCK - high-class stayer winner of Group 2 Doncaster Cup. RPR 122 11 coverings 7 foals.


    SEA THE MOON - winner over a mile at 2 and easy winner of German Derby. RPR 122 102 coverings 62 foals.


    SLADE POWER - second on debut and 6f. winner on second run at 2, became top-class older sprinter, winning the Group 1 Diamond Jubilee over 6f. as a 5-y-o. RPR 123 138 coverings 94 foals.


    SOMMERABEND - very smart 7-11f. performer winning a 8f. Group 2 at St. Cloud as a 7-y-o. RPR 116 1 covering 1 foal.


    STRONG MANDATE - Grade 1 winner over 7f. (dirt) as a 2-y-o. RPR 114 1 covering 1 foal.


    SUN CENTRAL - useful middle-distance winner. RPR 114 19 coverings 13 foals.


    TORONADO - high class at 2, Group 1 winner at 3 and 4, won 2013 Sussex Stakes. RPR 129 139 coverings 90 foals.


    VALIRANN - high-class French stayer won 15f. Group 3 at Longchamp. RPR 111 104 coverings 77 foals.


    WAR COMMAND - winner of the Coventry and Dewhurst as a 2-y-o. RPR 118 124 coverings 94 foals.


    I am indebted to fellow forumite Eleaonra Duse for the covering and foal figures.


    If anyone can find a market for Champion First Season Sire I would be very grateful if you could post it on this thread.


    Colin
    Ah! but a man's reach should exceed his grasp......

  2. The Following 5 Users Say Thank You to Colin Phillips For This Useful Post:

    Danny (22nd February 2018), edgt (22nd February 2018), Eleanora Duse (23rd February 2018), Grey (22nd February 2018), Racehorsematch (16th March 2018)

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    Australia has 124 2yos.

  4. The Following 2 Users Say Thank You to Sunspangled For This Useful Post:

    Colin Phillips (22nd February 2018), Eleanora Duse (23rd February 2018)

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    Senior Member Grasshopper's Avatar
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    It's a good job you're my oldest Internet horse-racing pal, Col bach.
    "Beat the price and lose. It's what we do".

    SlimChance, March 2018

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    Oldest is very probably right!

    And I certainly regard you as a friend, Grass.
    Ah! but a man's reach should exceed his grasp......

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    Quote Originally Posted by Sunspangled View Post
    Australia has 124 2yos.
    As I explained in previous years the covering and foal figures come from the Return of Mares. Unfortunately there are a lot of No Returns at that stage which can turn out to be live foals, dead foals, exported foals etc.. So you are right that he has 124 foals. So the figures I gave to Colin are just an indication of the number of live foals and are likely to be on the low side. Posts like yours help the situation.

    Thank you Colin for putting this thread up again. I always look forward to it.
    Last edited by Eleanora Duse; 23rd February 2018 at 6:10 PM.

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    Super Moderator Diamond Geezer's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Colin Phillips View Post
    If anyone can find a market for Champion First Season Sire I would be very grateful if you could post it on this thread.
    Colin
    Looks like the first market last season appeared around March 3rd Colin

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    Cheers, DG.

    Sunspangled if you have any more updates on foal totals it would be great if you post them.
    Ah! but a man's reach should exceed his grasp......

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    The following are the flat stallions in order of decreasing 2yo numbers (50+):

    Alhebayeb 128
    Australia 124
    Toronado 121
    Olympic Glory 118
    Kingman 116
    Sea The Moon 115
    War Command 112
    Morpheus 107
    Charm Spirit 105
    Anodin 100
    Slade Power 99
    Gale Force Ten 98
    Bungleinthejungle 95
    Mukhadram 91
    No Nay Never 89
    Gregorian 85
    Coach House 76
    Garswood 74
    Heeraat 71

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    Thanks very much, Sunspangled.
    Ah! but a man's reach should exceed his grasp......

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    You're welcome!
    Last edited by Sunspangled; 24th February 2018 at 2:41 PM.

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    Nathan Hughes a regular poster on TRF and an occasional poster on here has found some Paddy Power prices for this, thank you, Nathan.

    The full PP market:


    KINGMAN 9/4
    AUSTRALIA 7/2
    NO NAY NEVER 4
    ALHEBAYEB 10
    CHARM SPIRIT 12
    GALE FORCE TEN 14
    GARSWOOD 14
    MORPHEUS 14
    SLADE POWER 14
    TORONADO 16
    WAR COMMAND 16
    BUNGLE INTHEJUNGLE 25
    MUKHADRAM 25
    HEERAT 25
    SEA THE MOON 40
    Ah! but a man's reach should exceed his grasp......

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    Senior Member fonz's Avatar
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    War Command seems a big price, Australia, like Camelot last year has next to no chance

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    Toronado and Charm Spirit for me

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    no nay never's progeny have sold very well at the sales, most likeliest winner imo, very precocious horse, every chance the progeny will be too.

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    Twenty entries for the first 2-y-o race of the season, the Brocklesby, and the fact that FSS BUNGLE INTHEJUNGLE has three of those suggests his stock are precocious. Could be this years Sir Prancealot?
    Ah! but a man's reach should exceed his grasp......

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    Interesting article by Kevin Blake in Thoroughbred Daily News "How to predict First Season Sire success".

    thoroughbreddailynews.com
    Ah! but a man's reach should exceed his grasp......

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    War Command would be my choice also, once decent ground prevails through the season.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Colin Phillips View Post
    Interesting article by Kevin Blake in Thoroughbred Daily News "How to predict First Season Sire success".

    thoroughbreddailynews.com
    thanks, informative article, you can check the leading sires lists on this excellent website www.arion.co.nz

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    Thanks for that link U, will be useful.
    Ah! but a man's reach should exceed his grasp......

  25. #20
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    Interesting topic Colin

    looking at the market see War Command is the mover.

    At the odds though win only like Heeraat at 25-1, mainly due to his Dark Angel connection
    "The wise man is one who knows what he does not know"

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