Pertemps - Black Mischief 33/1 ew - has a bit to do on my figures but has the profile to overcome the gap. This is my main bet in the race but there are others worth a punt at prices.
Other outsiders worth a pop: Coole Cody 40/1 & Tobefair 50/1.
Pertemps - Black Mischief 33/1 ew - has a bit to do on my figures but has the profile to overcome the gap. This is my main bet in the race but there are others worth a punt at prices.
Other outsiders worth a pop: Coole Cody 40/1 & Tobefair 50/1.
Last edited by Desert Orchid; 14th March 2019 at 11:01 AM.
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Outsider (14th March 2019)
Next up...
Ryanair - Terrefort ew 25/1 4pl - Frodon (12/1) is my ante-post bet and main fancy but if he under-performs it's very open. Terrefort was Henderson's Hennessy horse off 159 and he wouldn't have trained it for the race off that mark unless he felt it was a 170+ animal. Things haven't gone to plan - or maybe they have - since then and he comes here nicely under the radar.
Last edited by Desert Orchid; 14th March 2019 at 11:13 AM.
Illegitimi non carborundum
Outsider (14th March 2019)
Have backed Black Mischief ew myself, DO, and pretty-much agree with your assessment. Has something to find, but good yard/jockey combo for this type of race.
Along with my Terrefort punt in the Ryanair, I've also backed Bapaume in the Stayers at 25/1. He's ultra-consistent, guaranteed run his race, and whilst he might not be good enough to win, I think he can certainly get placed.
"Beat the price and lose. It's what we do".
SlimChance, March 2018
Desert Orchid (14th March 2019)
It's a gift
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OK, GH... I'll see your Black Mischief and Terrefort and raise you Bigmartre 40/1 5pl in the Plate
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I'm on Bigmartre too. Good luck all!
I'm in the Terrefort camp as well and also Aso 33/1 has great c/d form.
Pluralism of Ideas and the prosperity of any land are intertwined. Freedom of minds and skill of intellect to 'think the unthinkable' is how humanity has progressed; when minds are incarcerated nothing endures.
Outsider (14th March 2019)
Now for a couple of really wild ones, both in the mares' novice race...
Concertista 80/1
Awayinthewest 150/1
both ew 4 pl.
I don't study form for this race and usually leave it well alone but Awayinthewest is actually top-rated on RPRs so just looks completely under the radar.
Concertista just intrigues me. Makes her debut in this big race for top connections. Big price. Jacob wears the first silks on Allez Dance but is also a big price so there's maybe not much between them and Walsh has clearly asked off her but there's nothing to say they'll be too far off Ruby's mare. The market has maybe over-reacted to the situation.
Clearly high risk so small stakes for a bit of fun.
Illegitimi non carborundum
Outsider (14th March 2019)
FWKM - Livelovelaugh 20/1 5pl - Measureofmydreams will be very hard to beat if back to his best but LLL has a bit of class about him and might be unexposed at the trip. Maybe a couple of other longshots to follow for this race.
Illegitimi non carborundum
Outsider (14th March 2019)
Last up for today:
FWKM - Captain Chaos 22/1 - Well handicapped on my ratings and has struck me this season as being kept for something. Might be this, might be something at Aintree or Ayr National. Happy to pay to find out.
Illegitimi non carborundum
Outsider (14th March 2019)
Sorry DO but I've done livelovelaugh and captain chaos.
I couldn't resist a bet on SAM SPINNER today at 40/1
How you could possibly suggest anything negative about Geraghty on the back of that ride is mind boggling to be honest
I was shouting the third home there as Black Mischief as I thought the commentator had identified it as such earlier in the race. I was so busy watching the race I wasn't listening to the commentary any more.
Now I need to watch the race again to see what happened to BM!
Illegitimi non carborundum
Illegitimi non carborundum
Outsider (14th March 2019)