Page 84 of 117 FirstFirst ... 3474798081828384858687888994 ... LastLast
Results 1,661 to 1,680 of 2332

Thread: The Long Shot Thread

  1. #1661
    Senior Member Desert Orchid's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2005
    Posts
    23,661
    Thanks
    2,930
    Thanked 3,483 Times in 2,743 Posts
    Pertemps - Black Mischief 33/1 ew - has a bit to do on my figures but has the profile to overcome the gap. This is my main bet in the race but there are others worth a punt at prices.

    Other outsiders worth a pop: Coole Cody 40/1 & Tobefair 50/1.
    Last edited by Desert Orchid; 14th March 2019 at 11:01 AM.
    Illegitimi non carborundum


  2. The Following User Says Thank You to Desert Orchid For This Useful Post:

    Outsider (14th March 2019)

  3. #1662
    Senior Member Desert Orchid's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2005
    Posts
    23,661
    Thanks
    2,930
    Thanked 3,483 Times in 2,743 Posts
    Next up...

    Ryanair - Terrefort ew 25/1 4pl - Frodon (12/1) is my ante-post bet and main fancy but if he under-performs it's very open. Terrefort was Henderson's Hennessy horse off 159 and he wouldn't have trained it for the race off that mark unless he felt it was a 170+ animal. Things haven't gone to plan - or maybe they have - since then and he comes here nicely under the radar.
    Last edited by Desert Orchid; 14th March 2019 at 11:13 AM.
    Illegitimi non carborundum


  4. The Following User Says Thank You to Desert Orchid For This Useful Post:

    Outsider (14th March 2019)

  5. #1663
    Senior Member Grasshopper's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2006
    Posts
    16,018
    Thanks
    1,467
    Thanked 1,553 Times in 1,112 Posts
    Blog Entries
    3
    Have backed Black Mischief ew myself, DO, and pretty-much agree with your assessment. Has something to find, but good yard/jockey combo for this type of race.

    Along with my Terrefort punt in the Ryanair, I've also backed Bapaume in the Stayers at 25/1. He's ultra-consistent, guaranteed run his race, and whilst he might not be good enough to win, I think he can certainly get placed.
    "Beat the price and lose. It's what we do".

    SlimChance, March 2018

  6. The Following User Says Thank You to Grasshopper For This Useful Post:

    Desert Orchid (14th March 2019)

  7. #1664
    Senior Member Grasshopper's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2006
    Posts
    16,018
    Thanks
    1,467
    Thanked 1,553 Times in 1,112 Posts
    Blog Entries
    3
    Quote Originally Posted by Desert Orchid View Post
    Next up...

    Ryanair - Terrefort ew 25/1 4pl - Frodon (12/1) is my ante-post bet and main fancy but if he under-performs it's very open. Terrefort was Henderson's Hennessy horse off 159 and he wouldn't have trained it for the race off that mark unless he felt it was a 170+ animal. Things haven't gone to plan - or maybe they have - since then and he comes here nicely under the radar.
    Jaysuz. First he rips-off my OO Seven bet, and now he rips-off my Terrefort bet. You better not bogey this one too, DO!
    "Beat the price and lose. It's what we do".

    SlimChance, March 2018

  8. #1665
    Senior Member Desert Orchid's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2005
    Posts
    23,661
    Thanks
    2,930
    Thanked 3,483 Times in 2,743 Posts
    It's a gift
    Illegitimi non carborundum


  9. #1666
    Senior Member Desert Orchid's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2005
    Posts
    23,661
    Thanks
    2,930
    Thanked 3,483 Times in 2,743 Posts
    OK, GH... I'll see your Black Mischief and Terrefort and raise you Bigmartre 40/1 5pl in the Plate
    Illegitimi non carborundum


  10. #1667
    Senior Member Bonjers's Avatar
    Join Date
    Feb 2013
    Location
    Bristol
    Posts
    1,363
    Thanks
    151
    Thanked 165 Times in 149 Posts
    I'm on Bigmartre too. Good luck all!

  11. #1668
    Senior Member Grasshopper's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2006
    Posts
    16,018
    Thanks
    1,467
    Thanked 1,553 Times in 1,112 Posts
    Blog Entries
    3
    Quote Originally Posted by Desert Orchid View Post
    It's a gift


    "Beat the price and lose. It's what we do".

    SlimChance, March 2018

  12. #1669
    Senior Member swedish chef's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jun 2010
    Location
    London
    Posts
    4,847
    Thanks
    580
    Thanked 580 Times in 401 Posts
    I'm in the Terrefort camp as well and also Aso 33/1 has great c/d form.
    Pluralism of Ideas and the prosperity of any land are intertwined. Freedom of minds and skill of intellect to 'think the unthinkable' is how humanity has progressed; when minds are incarcerated nothing endures.

  13. The Following User Says Thank You to swedish chef For This Useful Post:

    Outsider (14th March 2019)

  14. #1670
    Senior Member Desert Orchid's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2005
    Posts
    23,661
    Thanks
    2,930
    Thanked 3,483 Times in 2,743 Posts
    Now for a couple of really wild ones, both in the mares' novice race...

    Concertista 80/1
    Awayinthewest 150/1


    both ew 4 pl.

    I don't study form for this race and usually leave it well alone but Awayinthewest is actually top-rated on RPRs so just looks completely under the radar.

    Concertista just intrigues me. Makes her debut in this big race for top connections. Big price. Jacob wears the first silks on Allez Dance but is also a big price so there's maybe not much between them and Walsh has clearly asked off her but there's nothing to say they'll be too far off Ruby's mare. The market has maybe over-reacted to the situation.

    Clearly high risk so small stakes for a bit of fun.
    Illegitimi non carborundum


  15. The Following User Says Thank You to Desert Orchid For This Useful Post:

    Outsider (14th March 2019)

  16. #1671
    Senior Member Desert Orchid's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2005
    Posts
    23,661
    Thanks
    2,930
    Thanked 3,483 Times in 2,743 Posts
    FWKM - Livelovelaugh 20/1 5pl - Measureofmydreams will be very hard to beat if back to his best but LLL has a bit of class about him and might be unexposed at the trip. Maybe a couple of other longshots to follow for this race.
    Illegitimi non carborundum


  17. The Following User Says Thank You to Desert Orchid For This Useful Post:

    Outsider (14th March 2019)

  18. #1672
    Senior Member Desert Orchid's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2005
    Posts
    23,661
    Thanks
    2,930
    Thanked 3,483 Times in 2,743 Posts
    Last up for today:

    FWKM - Captain Chaos 22/1 - Well handicapped on my ratings and has struck me this season as being kept for something. Might be this, might be something at Aintree or Ayr National. Happy to pay to find out.
    Illegitimi non carborundum


  19. The Following User Says Thank You to Desert Orchid For This Useful Post:

    Outsider (14th March 2019)

  20. #1673
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Nov 2016
    Posts
    2,592
    Thanks
    246
    Thanked 446 Times in 318 Posts
    Quote Originally Posted by Desert Orchid View Post
    FWKM - Livelovelaugh 20/1 5pl - Measureofmydreams will be very hard to beat if back to his best but LLL has a bit of class about him and might be unexposed at the trip. Maybe a couple of other longshots to follow for this race.
    This I agree with. Sure it was running a stormer last year and fell

  21. #1674
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Jul 2017
    Posts
    4,673
    Thanks
    4,074
    Thanked 1,108 Times in 979 Posts
    Blog Entries
    539
    Sorry DO but I've done livelovelaugh and captain chaos.

    I couldn't resist a bet on SAM SPINNER today at 40/1

  22. #1675
    Senior Member Desert Orchid's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2005
    Posts
    23,661
    Thanks
    2,930
    Thanked 3,483 Times in 2,743 Posts
    Quote Originally Posted by Desert Orchid View Post
    Pertemps - Black Mischief 33/1 ew - has a bit to do on my figures but has the profile to overcome the gap. This is my main bet in the race but there are others worth a punt at prices.

    Other outsiders worth a pop: Coole Cody 40/1 & Tobefair 50/1.
    Great runs from all three. No complaints. Suspected SDB was a plot but not my price. The horse did brilliantly to get Geraghty out of trouble and I'll be rating him better than the bare form.
    Illegitimi non carborundum


  23. #1676
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Sep 2013
    Posts
    1,011
    Thanks
    438
    Thanked 298 Times in 241 Posts
    How you could possibly suggest anything negative about Geraghty on the back of that ride is mind boggling to be honest

  24. #1677
    Senior Member Desert Orchid's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2005
    Posts
    23,661
    Thanks
    2,930
    Thanked 3,483 Times in 2,743 Posts
    I was shouting the third home there as Black Mischief as I thought the commentator had identified it as such earlier in the race. I was so busy watching the race I wasn't listening to the commentary any more.

    Now I need to watch the race again to see what happened to BM!
    Illegitimi non carborundum


  25. #1678
    Senior Member Desert Orchid's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2005
    Posts
    23,661
    Thanks
    2,930
    Thanked 3,483 Times in 2,743 Posts
    Quote Originally Posted by Beef or Salmon View Post
    How you could possibly suggest anything negative about Geraghty on the back of that ride is mind boggling to be honest
    You're reading a lot more into the comments than is there. The horse had a troubled passage from a long way out. I didn't suggest it was Geraghty's fault.

    But I'll re-phrase it: the horse did brilliantly to get himself out of trouble. Happy?
    Illegitimi non carborundum


  26. #1679
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Sep 2013
    Posts
    1,011
    Thanks
    438
    Thanked 298 Times in 241 Posts
    Quote Originally Posted by Desert Orchid View Post
    You're reading a lot more into the comments than is there. The horse had a troubled passage from a long way out. I didn't suggest it was Geraghty's fault.

    But I'll re-phrase it: the horse did brilliantly to get himself out of trouble. Happy?
    I'm very happy, thanks for the clarification at least.

  27. #1680
    Senior Member Desert Orchid's Avatar
    Join Date
    Aug 2005
    Posts
    23,661
    Thanks
    2,930
    Thanked 3,483 Times in 2,743 Posts
    Quote Originally Posted by Outsider View Post
    Sorry DO but I've done livelovelaugh and captain chaos.

    I couldn't resist a bet on SAM SPINNER today at 40/1
    Great run for your money, Outsider. Smashing shout. The brother backed it too... win only
    Illegitimi non carborundum


  28. The Following User Says Thank You to Desert Orchid For This Useful Post:

    Outsider (14th March 2019)

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •