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Thread: The Long Shot Thread

  1. #141
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    Well done SC. A real gift when the market ignores one to that extent.

  2. #142
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    20.40 Junoesque 40-1 the john gallagher filly didn't run too badly on her seasonal reappearance at Nottingham. I'm willing to wager a small ew that she may grab a place in the lucky last at sandown.

  3. #143
    Senior Member swedish chef's Avatar
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    Newmarket 1.55 Devils Cowboy 25/1 (33/1 in places) - One of the better bred horses in the race - both sire and dam improved a lot for their first run and won 2nd time out over today's distance.
    Pluralism of Ideas and the prosperity of any land are intertwined. Freedom of minds and skill of intellect to 'think the unthinkable' is how humanity has progressed; when minds are incarcerated nothing endures.

  4. #144
    Senior Member Double Handful's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by swedish chef View Post
    Newmarket 1.55 Devils Cowboy 25/1 (33/1 in places) - One of the better bred horses in the race - both sire and dam improved a lot for their first run and won 2nd time out over today's distance.
    Ladbrokes 40/1 but a max stake of €7 e/w only permitted....

  5. #145
    Senior Member fonz's Avatar
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    Meandmyshadow (8.40 Pontefract)
    Hcap has dropped to 69 today ( jockey also takes off 3lb)
    Form results since 2015 when mark is in the 60s is: 0231
    25/1 PP

  6. #146
    Senior Member fonz's Avatar
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    Stone last

    Handicapped to win a race for sure but will need a smaller field to control the pace of the race, Has won at Carlisle and Newcastle and ran well at Nottingham so is versatile track wise.

  7. #147
    Senior Member Desert Orchid's Avatar
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    Ascot Stakes - Suegioo 25/1

    One of the hurdlers will probably win and Suegioo might well just be prepping for the Northumberland Plate but he's the best in on Flat form of the entire field.
    Illegitimi non carborundum


  8. #148
    Senior Member Desert Orchid's Avatar
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    Fifth, I think, running on. Some bookies were paying five places.

    Maybe overdid the hold-up tactics.
    Illegitimi non carborundum


  9. #149
    Senior Member Desert Orchid's Avatar
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    My tracker alerted me to Sound And Silence but I didn't check the race. Just stuck somehting on it ew 20/1 as I'd be sick if it won unbacked!
    Illegitimi non carborundum


  10. #150
    Senior Member Desert Orchid's Avatar
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    Hah!

    I'd have settled for a place to be honest but really chuffed with that.
    Illegitimi non carborundum


  11. #151
    Senior Member fonz's Avatar
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    Super longshottin' Dessie, Well done!

  12. #152
    Senior Member Tanlic's Avatar
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    Ger Lyons doesn't tend to waste his time..........his horse in the first at Ascot Glastonbury 25/1 could cause a surprise
    Formely Fist of Fury

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  14. #153
    Senior Member tiggers1972's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Desert Orchid View Post
    My tracker alerted me to Sound And Silence but I didn't check the race. Just stuck somehting on it ew 20/1 as I'd be sick if it won unbacked!
    Nice one

  15. #154
    Senior Member Desert Orchid's Avatar
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    Another tracker horse is a nice price today: Beat The Bank (Jersey) 25/1 in places.

    I can't say I think it will win but it's being tracked due to a fast time at the Craven meeting. The stable has been picking up some nice handicaps this season so maybe this one is better than a handicapper. It's maybe worth an ew pop but I've also taken it at 11/2 place-only for four places.

    In the Hunt Cup I reckon cases for half the field at 20/1 and better could be made as value prices if you want to cherrypick their form. I'll add one or two bold ones later.
    Illegitimi non carborundum


  16. #155
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    I'm on Beat the Bank too after it's last win. Could be a very good horse.

    GM Hopkins at an each way price worth a shout too.

  17. #156
    Senior Member Desert Orchid's Avatar
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    I was about to reply that GMH wouldn't qualify as - in my mind at least - it was about 14/1. It's 28s in several places which really is far too big if it runs its race.

    Then again, the same can be said of several others.

    My main bet in the race is Blair House 25/1 and I've also backed Master The World 33/1 (and a couple of others that don't qualify for this thread).

    There's a couple at bigger prices I'm still thinking about!

    God I love this race!!!
    Last edited by Desert Orchid; 21st June 2017 at 11:57 AM.
    Illegitimi non carborundum


  18. #157
    Senior Member Desert Orchid's Avatar
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    My Target (Hunt cup) 100/1 (more at Betfair), 20/1 place-only (Hills, maybe limited and maybe not for long ).

    Gets to run off 97 here but is rated 10lbs higher on the AW. All the evidence suggests he is better on that surface but he's generally on a curve in that sphere and if he can translate some of that improvement back on turf he might not be out of the equation. And how often do you get the chance to back Olivier Peslier at a three-figure price in a handicap?
    Illegitimi non carborundum


  19. #158
    Senior Member Desert Orchid's Avatar
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    Another for the Hunt Cup: Elleval 66/1

    Off 100 here, was 107-ish a few seasons back and 112 at his peak in his youth. Looked on the way back at Meydan in the spring and the form with Folkswood and Hors De Combat looks strong. Last year's rising superstar apprentice Oisin Orr takes off another 5lbs. Very much under the radar.
    Illegitimi non carborundum


  20. #159
    Senior Member Desert Orchid's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Desert Orchid View Post
    My main bet in the race is Blair House 25/1
    Terrific run for a seasonal debut. For a stride or two I thought he was going to do it.
    Illegitimi non carborundum


  21. #160
    Senior Member Desert Orchid's Avatar
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    5.00 Capezzano 40/1 - I'd have been happier with a better draw but he might not have been that price!
    5.00 Via Serendipity 50/1 - set a very fast pace in the Greenham and is probably a good bit better than his finishing position. Probably not over that race next time.

    5.30 Bin Battuta 20/1 - strike out his last run and he'd be 10/1 for this.
    Illegitimi non carborundum


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