Haydock 4:30 Stoneyford Lane. Being well supported which might be significant. 12/1 in a place (Hills etc).
Haydock 4:30 Stoneyford Lane. Being well supported which might be significant. 12/1 in a place (Hills etc).
Last edited by Marb; 6th July 2017 at 3:26 PM.
PRICEWISE2008 (6th July 2017)
I laid the effin thing :0(............well done Martin
Formely Fist of Fury
Cheers man. I'm just starting to get my eye in this season.
Don't lay mine anytime soon!
Last edited by Marb; 6th July 2017 at 7:11 PM.
No show.
"Beat the price and lose. It's what we do".
SlimChance, March 2018
Just noticed this.
Well done, Martin!
Did you get 20/1?
Certainly smashed the 17/2 sp to bits.
Just one qualifier for me today:
Farquhar (Hay 3.15) won a big one at Newmarket at 40/1 in late 2014 (off 89). The following season he was a good third in this race off 96 and an even better second off 98 a couple of runs later back at Newmarket. He couldn’t follow it up a couple of weeks later and was gelded. He’s presumably had problems as he was then off the track until this season and it would be no surprise if his shrewd trainer has targeted this race for him. On his best form he is seriously well handicapped and a very big price.
Last edited by Desert Orchid; 8th July 2017 at 9:08 AM.
Illegitimi non carborundum
Barney Roy is my idea of the winner of the Eclipse but I couldn't resist the temptation of 33/1 Lightning Spear. He's up there with the bulk of the field on overall ratings (joint-top on ORs and RPRs) and was tailed off on his only previous try at the trip but I'm prepared to take that as being too bad to be true. Of the nine runners, at least two won't really be there to win and one doesn't really have a serious chance yet they allow for the third place to be paid.
I can't say I fancy him to win but, place-wise, I reckon you're getting bigger odds about his stamina than should be the case.
Illegitimi non carborundum
4.25 Haydock - Dandyleekie- 20s with 365, Sportingbet and Victor's
Starting to look well treated, his last run at the course has worked out well and I expect him to go close today in this field.
Slight concern over the ground being too quick so I think 20s is fair rather than overpriced. He could be being minded for a handicap once the ground eases and finish up in one of the Ayr sprints.
Haydock 4.25 Dandyleekie 20/1 - won this race last year off a 4lb higher mark and has a 3lb claimer - won last year on soft but can handle the ground today and may surprise?
Pluralism of Ideas and the prosperity of any land are intertwined. Freedom of minds and skill of intellect to 'think the unthinkable' is how humanity has progressed; when minds are incarcerated nothing endures.
Two mentions of Dandyleekie - must be worth a wee pop!
Illegitimi non carborundum
Pluralism of Ideas and the prosperity of any land are intertwined. Freedom of minds and skill of intellect to 'think the unthinkable' is how humanity has progressed; when minds are incarcerated nothing endures.
Good luck with it today lads. I want to give a good shout to Pactolus in the big sprint at Sandown. This is a horse I had my eye on during the winter on AW. I think he's good on his day. Should out run odds of 20/1 for sure. EW.
Last edited by Marb; 8th July 2017 at 1:38 PM.
PRICEWISE2008 (8th July 2017)
I think the ground for ours SC. We've both picked him I think because he's a horse that is looking almost ready to strike.
I will say now that I do have a habit with these handicappers of going for them one run too early and I get the feeling this is one of those times, recently did it with Desert Ace, backed him at Musselburgh and left him the next time. I would keep an eye out for where Dandyleekie turns up next. It could be somewhere like Thirsk or Pontefract and assuming they drop him back into class 5 and find him so,even ground where he can get his toe in I'd rate him a strong bet.
swedish chef (9th July 2017)
Ayr 2.10 Konig Dax 20/1 - Up to Cheltenham this year this horse had the distinction of being the last horse to beat the great Douvan. McCain paid 160,000 euros for him but he has obviously had his problems with only 1 run in 2015 and 1 run in 2016. Has had 2 runs this year with his last run in a flat h'cap showing plenty of promise. Could be better than his current mark? It wouldn't surprise if he outran his odds.
Pluralism of Ideas and the prosperity of any land are intertwined. Freedom of minds and skill of intellect to 'think the unthinkable' is how humanity has progressed; when minds are incarcerated nothing endures.
Unlucky, Chef. Good call.
Illegitimi non carborundum
Ayr 2.45 Tommy G 20/1 - His last 4 runs have been in better graded races than the one today and his last run looked promising finishing well over a furlong shorter. Races today off 1lb lower and a 7lb claimer on board, is bred to appreciate the distance and going and could well outrun his price. Trainer does well at these Ayr summer meetings. Another interesting point I have noticed is the horse is owned by Hamdan Al Maktoum, nice to see he is sending a horse to Goldie.
Pluralism of Ideas and the prosperity of any land are intertwined. Freedom of minds and skill of intellect to 'think the unthinkable' is how humanity has progressed; when minds are incarcerated nothing endures.
Pluralism of Ideas and the prosperity of any land are intertwined. Freedom of minds and skill of intellect to 'think the unthinkable' is how humanity has progressed; when minds are incarcerated nothing endures.
Pluralism of Ideas and the prosperity of any land are intertwined. Freedom of minds and skill of intellect to 'think the unthinkable' is how humanity has progressed; when minds are incarcerated nothing endures.
A couple of 'qualifiers' today (not necessarily my main bets in the respective races):
NWM 1.50 - Sofia's Rock - just over 11 lengths behind Atty Persse in the the KGV H’cap, he actually ran a good bit better than the bare form and was eased late on after meeting trouble in running about two out. He’s 10lbs better with Atty Persse, including Shoemark’s claim, and it could be that he wasn’t over his previous impressive win. He also disappointed in the Lingfield Derby Trial on the back of a wide-margin, strong-staying win. Has now drifted out to 20/1 to qualify for the thread.
NWM 3.00 - I backed one last night at 20/1 but it's shorter now so can't claim it as a qualifier. The one that does qualify is Brian The Snail 25/1 given his connections’ record in the big handicaps at the big meetings this season. (No other reason!)
I'll be happy for either to run better than its price.
Illegitimi non carborundum
swedish chef (13th July 2017)