Page 58 of 58 FirstFirst ... 848535455565758
Results 1,141 to 1,152 of 1152

Thread: The Long Shot Thread

  1. #1141
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Jul 2017
    Posts
    693
    Thanks
    287
    Thanked 188 Times in 177 Posts
    Blog Entries
    427
    Quote Originally Posted by Desert Orchid View Post
    True but they might take him out anyway. I thought about taking the risk but suspect he'll still be 25/1 if he makes it. I actually thought his run on Saturday was full of promise but the fact he was unplaced should help keep the price long.
    I agree. I think he has run well all season really.i was quite pleased when i realised he was 5th last week as skybet paid 5 places.

  2. # ADS
    Circuit advertisement
    Join Date
    Always
    Posts
    Many

    To remove these adverts please either login or join if you are not a member.


     

  3. #1142
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Aug 2005
    Posts
    12,254
    Thanks
    463
    Thanked 528 Times in 373 Posts
    Quote Originally Posted by Outsider View Post
    I was quite pleased when i realised he was 5th last week as skybet paid 5 places.
    Better than a slap in the face with a wet fish.

    Which is what I got on Saturday!
    Two's company, three's allowed.

  4. The Following User Says Thank You to Desert Orchid For This Useful Post:

    Outsider (11th July 2018)

  5. #1143
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Aug 2005
    Posts
    12,254
    Thanks
    463
    Thanked 528 Times in 373 Posts
    This looks like being my only one today:

    Nwm 3.00 Music Society 100/1 (boosted) 5 places

    This really only came on to my radar when I saw the price. I wasn't expecting it to be the rank outsider. I certainly wouldn't suggest it's my main fancy but I do think the long odds are generous. Music Society hasn't really done anything this season and as a result has come down 7lbs (while others are rising). If he was just in decline would they have entered him for the very valuable Gigaset race at Ascot in a couple of weeks' time? I have as much chance of making the cut there as he has but why enter him in the first place? His run the other week wasn't without promise and was his first since a gelding operation in May so that might explain why he was looked after when he didn't get a clear run. With another half a stone off today...

    I can't see him winning given the profile of some rivals but I really don't think he should be 100/1 if there were sound reasons for entering him in such valuable races as this and the Gigaset.
    Two's company, three's allowed.

  6. The Following User Says Thank You to Desert Orchid For This Useful Post:

    Colin Phillips (12th July 2018)

  7. #1144
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Aug 2005
    Posts
    12,254
    Thanks
    463
    Thanked 528 Times in 373 Posts
    Quote Originally Posted by Desert Orchid View Post
    This looks like being my only one today:

    Nwm 3.00 Music Society 100/1 (boosted) 5 places

    This really only came on to my radar when I saw the price. I wasn't expecting it to be the rank outsider. I certainly wouldn't suggest it's my main fancy but I do think the long odds are generous. Music Society hasn't really done anything this season and as a result has come down 7lbs (while others are rising). If he was just in decline would they have entered him for the very valuable Gigaset race at Ascot in a couple of weeks' time? I have as much chance of making the cut there as he has but why enter him in the first place? His run the other week wasn't without promise and was his first since a gelding operation in May so that might explain why he was looked after when he didn't get a clear run. With another half a stone off today...

    I can't see him winning given the profile of some rivals but I really don't think he should be 100/1 if there were sound reasons for entering him in such valuable races as this and the Gigaset.
    My main bet in the race has now drifted enough to qualify:

    Staxton 22/1 6 pl - I feared him as a dark horse in the big 3yo hundred-grander at York and he ran very well but improved upon that rating next time on the Newcastle Tapeta under relatively tender handling. I think he’ll come on again from there.
    Two's company, three's allowed.

  8. The Following 2 Users Say Thank You to Desert Orchid For This Useful Post:

    Colin Phillips (12th July 2018), moehat (12th July 2018)

  9. #1145
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Aug 2005
    Posts
    12,254
    Thanks
    463
    Thanked 528 Times in 373 Posts
    Quote Originally Posted by Desert Orchid View Post
    This looks like being my only one today:

    Nwm 3.00 Music Society 100/1 (boosted) 5 places

    This really only came on to my radar when I saw the price. I wasn't expecting it to be the rank outsider. I certainly wouldn't suggest it's my main fancy but I do think the long odds are generous. Music Society hasn't really done anything this season and as a result has come down 7lbs (while others are rising). If he was just in decline would they have entered him for the very valuable Gigaset race at Ascot in a couple of weeks' time? I have as much chance of making the cut there as he has but why enter him in the first place? His run the other week wasn't without promise and was his first since a gelding operation in May so that might explain why he was looked after when he didn't get a clear run. With another half a stone off today...

    I can't see him winning given the profile of some rivals but I really don't think he should be 100/1 if there were sound reasons for entering him in such valuable races as this and the Gigaset.
    Tried to make all on the unfavoured side and was involved in the fight for second place on that side. For me, that justifies the selection. He outran his odds by some way.
    Two's company, three's allowed.

  10. The Following User Says Thank You to Desert Orchid For This Useful Post:

    Outsider (12th July 2018)

  11. #1146
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Jul 2017
    Posts
    693
    Thanks
    287
    Thanked 188 Times in 177 Posts
    Blog Entries
    427
    Have you ever considered bet365 extra place markets DO.
    I bet he would have been at least 20/1 10 places and he was 10th.
    If i fancies a big priced one i will back it normally and then do a cover bet on the extra place market.
    I never thought i would get excited watching a photo for 9th lol.

  12. #1147
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Aug 2005
    Posts
    12,254
    Thanks
    463
    Thanked 528 Times in 373 Posts
    When my brain is in gear it might occur to me to look about at place markets but no sooner do you mention ten-place markets on here than it's in one ear and out the other. There's so little inside my head for info like that to cling to.

    Note to self: check for 10-places!
    Two's company, three's allowed.

  13. The Following User Says Thank You to Desert Orchid For This Useful Post:

    Outsider (13th July 2018)

  14. #1148
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Jul 2017
    Posts
    693
    Thanks
    287
    Thanked 188 Times in 177 Posts
    Blog Entries
    427
    Quote Originally Posted by Outsider View Post
    Got to do MASTER CARPENTER 25/1 corals 33s in the john smiths.
    Loves york and won this 3 yr ago and is down to a good mark.has been consistent all year.
    Would love some rain but has won on firmish.
    Glad to see this got in the race.in the last 10 yrs 9 winners were drawn 11 or over,the only one that wasnt was Master carpenter(1)
    When he won it he was rated 103 and runs tomorrow off 93.
    The negatives i suppose is a 7 yr olds have a poor record and he would probably be better with softer going.
    But hes been running well and its a low mark and a good price.

  15. #1149
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Aug 2005
    Posts
    12,254
    Thanks
    463
    Thanked 528 Times in 373 Posts
    Forget all the peripheral stuff.

    I'm having a weekend away from home with Mrs O. If Master Carpenter has indeed made the final line-up I wouldn't want to be on anything else!
    Two's company, three's allowed.

  16. The Following User Says Thank You to Desert Orchid For This Useful Post:

    Outsider (14th July 2018)

  17. #1150
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Aug 2005
    Posts
    12,254
    Thanks
    463
    Thanked 528 Times in 373 Posts
    Master Carpenter qualifies for the thread today. Good thing.

    Others of interest on a tough day by sheer dint of numbers:

    Asc 12.45 Poyle Vinnie 25/1

    Nwm 1.40 Shady McCoy 25/1 & Tupi 25/1

    Nwm 3.20 Petrus 25/1

    I'm really tight for time and can't explain but trust me they shouldn't be those prices. I'm not saying they will win, obviously. Even if they should be just 10/1 chance it's 1/10 they won't win. But they might give us a wee shudder along the way...
    Two's company, three's allowed.

  18. The Following 2 Users Say Thank You to Desert Orchid For This Useful Post:

    Colin Phillips (14th July 2018), Outsider (14th July 2018)

  19. #1151
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Dec 2003
    Location
    Talbot Green
    Posts
    12,427
    Thanks
    1,179
    Thanked 588 Times in 432 Posts
    Blog Entries
    1
    Well done with Poyle Vinnie and Shady McCoy, DO.
    Ah! but a man's reach should exceed his grasp......

  20. The Following 2 Users Say Thank You to Colin Phillips For This Useful Post:

    Desert Orchid (14th July 2018), Outsider (14th July 2018)

  21. #1152
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Jul 2017
    Posts
    693
    Thanks
    287
    Thanked 188 Times in 177 Posts
    Blog Entries
    427
    This racing game can be so frustrating at times.
    BURNT SUGAR was put up on here by Danny in the victoria cup and i made money in the extra place market.
    Euchen glen was put up by DO (i think) in the plate and skates in today.

    I did 2 in the 140 and 2 in the 340 in 4 ew dbles. I had Burnt sugar at 25s and nothing with it.
    I backed the other 3 in singles but not Burnt sugar.
    Just one of those days.

    Well done today DO.pity master carpenter couldnt do it.Petrus ran ok in 4th.

  22. The Following User Says Thank You to Outsider For This Useful Post:

    Desert Orchid (14th July 2018)

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •