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Thread: Outsider picks for Cheltenham

  1. #41
    Bruce_Savage
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    Trifolium looks a value bet in the Supreme at 14/1

  2. #42
    Senior Member betsmate's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bruce_Savage View Post
    Trifolium looks a value bet in the Supreme at 14/1
    Not unless Claisse has left the taps on?
    Winners have no shame, no matter how they win - Niccolò Machiavelli

  3. #43
    Bruce_Savage
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    Quote Originally Posted by rorydelargy View Post
    Both Alfie Sherrin (33/1) and Pentiffic (25/1) are overpriced in tomorrow's JLT Specialty Handicap Chase.
    How did Pentiffic earn his rating of 124?

    By beating Charminster by 3.25l in receipt of 13lbs and finishing a neck behind Lexicon Lad giving 4lbs.

    Has since been comprehensibly beat on all outings.


    How did Alfie Sherrin earn his rating of 128?

    Beating Kockavilla 7l in receipt of 6lbs at Wetherby, whose subsequent form since has been PU4PU78 - Beaten a total of 173l

  4. #44
    Senior Member On The Bridle's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bruce_Savage View Post
    How did Pentiffic earn his rating of 124?

    By beating Charminster by 3.25l in receipt of 13lbs and finishing a neck behind Lexicon Lad giving 4lbs.

    Has since been comprehensibly beat on all outings.


    How did Alfie Sherrin earn his rating of 128?

    Beating Kockavilla 7l in receipt of 6lbs at Wetherby, whose subsequent form since has been PU4PU78 - Beaten a total of 173l
    Exactly Bruce...
    Do not mistake my silence for ignorance, my calmness for acceptance nor my kindness for weakness.

  5. #45
    Senior Member granger's Avatar
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    I think mossley is a huge price in the Handicap tomorrow
    Some people say he’s the best since Arkle and that’s certainly true when you look at what he’s done

  6. #46
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    Quote Originally Posted by granger View Post
    I think mossley is a huge price in the Handicap tomorrow
    me too, glad to see someone else thinks so!

  7. #47
    Senior Member Hamm's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by granger View Post
    I think mossley is a huge price in the Handicap tomorrow
    Agree, IF he jumps.

  8. #48
    Senior Member Tout Seul's Avatar
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    Fruity O Rooney today is a distinct possibility

  9. #49
    SlimChance
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    I really like Going Wrong's profile in the last.

  10. #50
    Senior Member del boy's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by SlimChance View Post
    I really like Going Wrong's profile in the last.

    Described by his trainer as the ew bet of the meeting in one preview I believe.
    "Sometimes a horse is so far behind in a race, it actually thinks its leading...." Junior Soprano

  11. #51
    Senior Member On The Bridle's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by del boy View Post
    Described by his trainer as the ew bet of the meeting in one preview I believe.
    All in so...
    Do not mistake my silence for ignorance, my calmness for acceptance nor my kindness for weakness.

  12. #52
    Senior Member del boy's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by On The Bridle View Post
    All in so...
    Now Jinxed seeing as Jonah has commented....

    Elsewhere Mon Mone could be a massive price and run into a place. 10 or 11/1 for a place should be available come race time. Big weight and all but will be still going late on.
    "Sometimes a horse is so far behind in a race, it actually thinks its leading...." Junior Soprano

  13. #53
    Senior Member Dave G's Avatar
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    Sticking with Color Squadron in the opener, and one keeps catching my eye every time I look at the cross country race is Midnight Haze. Stepping up in trip, but a couple of them getting a little long in the tooth and I think could run well from the front at a big price (33/1).
    You should not confuse your career with your life.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Tanlic View Post
    If Overturn runs in the Champion Hurdle I might have a daft bet on him ew. Because he's not really a danger they couldwill totally ignore him if he sets off in front and with an easy lead he might just steal a place.

    Walk On in his chosen race. He was awesome on his return and could win at big odds
    After the first two results made my Cheltenham I thought why waste money<<<<
    Formely Fist of Fury

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    Senior Member Euronymous's Avatar
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    I get that as well. You sort of win enough money to feel satisfied and don't want to risk any of it. Risk aversion is one of the biggest hurdles (geddit!) to successful punting.

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    Midnight Haze e/w in the x country

  17. #57
    Senior Member trudij's Avatar
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    I do love Maljimar - I wish he could get up the hill... (and not in a sprinter sacre way,ive never doubted him!!)
    #YourStorm
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  18. #58
    Senior Member rorydelargy's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bruce_Savage View Post
    How did Alfie Sherrin earn his rating of 128?

    Beating Kockavilla 7l in receipt of 6lbs at Wetherby, whose subsequent form since has been PU4PU78 - Beaten a total of 173l
    Cheers Bruce - don't know where I'd be without you.
    handsome is as handsome does

  19. #59
    Senior Member On The Bridle's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by rorydelargy View Post
    Cheers Bruce - don't know where I'd be without you.
    Good call Rory, should have followed you in on the other one.
    Do not mistake my silence for ignorance, my calmness for acceptance nor my kindness for weakness.

  20. #60
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    Spot on with risk aversion Euro, I blew most of my profits from Alfie Sherrin on hurricane Fly. Gutted.

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