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Thread: Cheltenham Festival Preview nights

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    Interesting , I always suspected Grand Crus participation in the GC was dependent on Kauto . If the latter turns up and jumps at his best at speed he could easily put a novice on the floor.

    I do hope that whatever happens he does not run in the GC. It is too tough a race for a novice . Lanzarote and Gloria Victis for a start paid the ultimate price , Beefy was lucky not to .

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    Senior Member trudij's Avatar
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    Its not that simple, and people who think it is are missing something pretty huge in the rough and tumbleness of racing. (IMO)

    the Gold Cup is much less of a hard race than the Sun Alliance for any novice who knows his job - theres no more chance of him being killed in the GC than there is in the SA.
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    Quote Originally Posted by trudij View Post
    Its not that simple, and people who think it is are missing something pretty huge in the rough and tumbleness of racing. (IMO)

    the Gold Cup is much less of a hard race than the Sun Alliance for any novice who knows his job - theres no more chance of him being killed in the GC than there is in the SA.
    Totally agree, however there are some who will never accept this fact.

    Nick Dundee was the last crack novice who met an injury in the Sun Alliance.

    Gloria Victis could have sustained that injury in any race

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    Quote Originally Posted by harry View Post
    Totally agree, however there are some who will never accept this fact.

    Nick Dundee was the last crack novice who met an injury in the Sun Alliance.

    Gloria Victis could have sustained that injury in any race
    Even more recently Citizen Vic looked a very nice prospect and was running a huge race in a good renewal.

    AP is adament Glorai Victis went wrong on the flat, could have happend any time.

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    Quote Originally Posted by DukeofMarmalade View Post
    Even more recently Citizen Vic looked a very nice prospect and was running a huge race in a good renewal.

    AP is adament Glorai Victis went wrong on the flat, could have happend any time.
    i was watching a re-run of the 2000 gold cup this evening and i think AP is right

    he definately slowed down about 30/40 yards before the second last and AP didn't have time to do anything about it
    put your hands up for detroit- i love this city

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    Senior Member granger's Avatar
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    Some people say he’s the best since Arkle and that’s certainly true when you look at what he’s done

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    Stillorgan Park Hotel , March 4th Hosted by Matt Chapman
    Panel :
    Barry eraghty ( BG )
    Davy Russell ( DR)
    Robbie Power ( RP)
    Jessica Harrington ( JH)
    Henry De Bromhead ( HDB)
    Tony Mullins ( TM )
    Noel O' Brien (NB) ... The Irish Jumpins Handicapper
    Leo Powell ( LP) .. Irish Field
    Barry orr ( BO) ...Betfair

    The Supeme
    NOB : Best rated in descending order , Steps , Tetlami , Simonsig , Gallileos Choice , Midnight Game , Darlan
    JH : Steps To Freedom had a greaty summer and has has a break to freshen up , and should arrive in good shape
    RP : Steps to Freedom will love the better ground and will go well fresh , there was no point running him over soft ground in the winter
    TM : Gallileos Choice has beaten nothing, Steps To Freedom
    BG : Tetlami is his horse with Steps To Freedom and darlan the dangers , Montbazon ew chance and Gallileos Choice is a lay
    Davy Russell: will ride midnight game or Trifollium , but will be a ground decision , they love midnight games work in clonsutton . Make Your Mark will go to the Neptune , hints at hidden talent in Midnight Game .
    Henry : Steps to f Freedom . Prospect wells ew , but then they say he will go to the county ! so Montbazon ew
    Chappers : Colour Squadron

    The Arkle
    BG : Sprinter is like a ferrari amongst Fiats ..he cruises at 40 mph
    DR : No ride in this and bar a deluge of rain Bog warriorr wont go . Sprinter Sacre , three runs three course records this term speaks for itself
    NB : Sprinter is higher rated already than the normal Arkle winner , Peddlers likely to go to the jewson , Al Ferof to come home second
    Henry : Al Ferof to place
    Tony : cant have a Kings Theatre progeny over fences cause they are cowards and heartless over fences so that strikes out Cue Card and Menorah too

    Champion Hurdle
    Jessie : Oscars Well will improve , enjoy better ground and the pace
    Robbie : Ground and pace will suit Oscars Well
    Tony : Hurricane is a cert
    Davy : Hurricane is a cert , go all in .
    Barry : Hurricane to win , Oscars could place , Binocular could place
    NB : Hurricane wins on ratings , Binocular could place
    Leo : Hurricane Cert , Oscars wells the place
    Barry Orr : Zarkander may interest punters wo Fly or the place

    Neptune
    BG : Simonsig is well and schooled well , has plenty of pace and is not slow , just thought that the neptune distance may be the better option
    Noel O : Ratings Boston Bon 151 , Simonsig 146 , Monksland 144 Soux les Cieus 143 on what they have shown to date
    Davy Russell: Simonsig is very good . Make Your mark would have to improve 10lbs and more on his last run to beat Boston Bob , but blamed the ground at Leopardstown when he emptied two out
    Tony Mullins : Monksland looks like a bit of value on a line through Lyreen Legend
    Jessie : simonsig to win
    Robbie : Simonsig is better than he showed against Fingal Bay
    Leo : Simonsig , Monksland eachway and will improve for the ground
    Chappers : Make Your mark , he is a fan

    RSA
    Noel: Grand crus on 159 to win if he runs this, Join together 156 has to be noted , First Lieutenant is impressive and Sir Des Champs is an improver
    Tony : Grands Crus will go to the Gold Cup he thinks . Bobs Worth is thus the best bet on the board , He cant have First Lieutenant . It is difficult to plcae horses and targets with teh jewson and mentions the likes of allee garde and call the police .
    Davu Russelll: Does not know the Gigginstown pair race targets , First Lieutenant is very hard to get right he has som many issues , he is a big horse , but he is flying at the moment
    Barry : Thinks Grand Crus is beatable , Bobs worth was not fit last time out and has had the breathing operation First lieutenant a danher and also respects Invictus
    Leo : Grand Crus , Bobs worth , First Lieutenant
    Robbie : Grand Crus is a lay of the meeting , he loves Sir Des Champs and thisnks the RSA is his race
    Jessie : First Lieutenant on the ground and course form .
    Chappers : Champion Court

    Champion Chase
    Henry : Sizing Europe is in good form and ready
    Robbie Power : Big Zeb is not without his chance forget the last run
    Barry G : SE is a worthy favourite , Zeb will act on the ground , and Finians needs to hold back more , but is working well
    Davy : SE
    Jessie : SE
    Tony SE
    Noel : Sizing is 11lbs clear
    Leo : SE

    Champion Bumper
    Jessie : jezki will run and is a good horse
    Tony : Mullins camp like champagne fever but he gets nervous and acts up watch him in the ring , its a hard race , Royal Guardsman impressed in his run . Moscow may want heavy ground
    Robbie Power : Moscow mannon can handle the better ground . Jezki is am improving horse
    Davy Russel : its hard , noted the Village Vic who is with Hobbs , does not like the mullins horses , he says the best bumper horses in Ireland are staying at home
    Leo : Royal Guardsman

    jewson
    Barry : Henderson is sweet on solix , Champion Court is respected , Peddlers Cross if he goes for this is a good shout also Sir Des Champs
    Davy Russell: Sir Des Champs is impressive but does not know the target for the Gigginstown horses including Degiftofdegab
    Robbie Power : Sir Des Champs is the one for him , but thinks RSA , then Solix
    Leo : Sir Des Champs
    Tony : Sir Des Champs , For Non Stop has good form and could be good
    Noel O Brien : Peddlers Cross !!!!!!!!!!
    Chappers : Crystal Bonus , Nicholls likes him

    Ryanair
    Barry Geraghty : Riverside Thaetre has a big chance , Somersby and Medermit respected
    Chappers : Rubi Light and Noble Prince cant win this
    Davy Russell : Chappers is full of **** , Rubi Light and Nobel Price can win this . Nobl;e Prince has had a wind operation and will improve . Medermit could go to the Gold Cup
    Noel O Brien : Somersby has a good chance on his curremt form Rubi Light improving and has class
    Jessis : Rubi Light can win on better ground once this yaer and fancies it , Albertas Run next Then Riverside Thaeatre
    Henry : Great Endevour at the price
    Robbie : Albertas Run , Riverside Theatre
    Leo : Rubi Light , Riverside Theatre , somersby

    World Hurdle
    Nobody really opposing big Bucks
    Barry : Oscar Whisky will give it a try
    Robbie : will get the leg up on Mourad
    Noel O Brien : oscar Whiskey is only four pounds behind Big Bucks !!
    Jessie : Big Bucks , Oscar Whiskey , Voler La Vedette ...also noted Thousand Stars
    Barry Orr : So Young
    Davy Russel : the rest are making up the numbers

    Triumph Hurdle
    Davy hates teh race , its rotten and the horses in it are shite , Jessie hates it and so does Robbie . Barry won it three times so he likes it . its a pin sticker and the form is no good
    Noel O Brien syas Burrenbridge is the best of the Irish
    Robbie Power : Shadow Catcher not good enough
    Barry G : Grumeti , Baby Mix , Pearl swan
    Jessie : stick a pin in the page
    Davy : Stay in bed and dodge the bullets in this race

    Albertt Bartlett
    A proper National hunt race
    Davy : Bostion Bob , may ride ipsos du berlais or Sea of Thunder . Rocky Creek wants it soft Brindisi Breeze is good too needs soft
    Tony : Mount Benbulbengoing very well and Boston Bob for the Neptune
    Noel : Boston Bob , Sea Of Thunder
    Barry Orrr: Mount Benbulben Nap

    Gold Cup
    Robbie Power : Surprise on the cards , not teh top two , Burton Port , Synchronised
    Henry : Long Run
    Noel : top two are 17lbs clear . Long Run
    Barry Geraghty : Burton Port is well improved .
    Jessie : long Run , Burton Port , Synchronised
    Tony : Long Run , Grand Crus
    Davy Russell: Burton Port
    Chapper : Captain Chris ....but they all laughed at him

    200 Charity Bet
    Leo : Monksland/Sprinter sacre
    Noel : Boston Bob , wherever
    Tony : Felix Younger
    Henry : Sizing europe , Hurricane Fly Double
    Robbie : steps To Freedom , Oscars wells ew
    Barry : Sprinter Sacre
    Davy : Hurricane fly , Sizing Europe , Boston Bon ( 3m) treble , watch Midnight Game
    Jessi e : Steps to Freedom , Sprinter

  8. #88
    Senior Member Roddy Owen's Avatar
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    Shephers Crook,Aston Rowant,tonight

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    Mmmm a lot of them saying Hurricane is a cert?? No such thing as a cert Hamm!

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    Senior Member Hamm's Avatar
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    Seems there is a lot of people betting on here betting on the certs (Hurricane Fly, Sizing Europe, Quevega, Big Bucks etc). All I know is the bookies will be more than happy to keep taking your money.

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    All backed 6 months ago Hamm. I'm happy with my book for now. ta.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Euronymous View Post
    Stillorgan Park Hotel , March 4th Hosted by Matt Chapman
    Panel :
    Barry eraghty ( BG )
    Davy Russell ( DR)
    Robbie Power ( RP)
    Jessica Harrington ( JH)
    Henry De Bromhead ( HDB)
    Tony Mullins ( TM )
    Noel O' Brien (NB) ... The Irish Jumpins Handicapper
    Leo Powell ( LP) .. Irish Field
    Barry orr ( BO) ...Betfair

    The Supeme
    NOB : Best rated in descending order , Steps , Tetlami , Simonsig , Gallileos Choice , Midnight Game , Darlan
    JH : Steps To Freedom had a greaty summer and has has a break to freshen up , and should arrive in good shape
    RP : Steps to Freedom will love the better ground and will go well fresh , there was no point running him over soft ground in the winter
    TM : Gallileos Choice has beaten nothing, Steps To Freedom
    BG : Tetlami is his horse with Steps To Freedom and darlan the dangers , Montbazon ew chance and Gallileos Choice is a lay
    Davy Russell: will ride midnight game or Trifollium , but will be a ground decision , they love midnight games work in clonsutton . Make Your Mark will go to the Neptune , hints at hidden talent in Midnight Game .
    Henry : Steps to f Freedom . Prospect wells ew , but then they say he will go to the county ! so Montbazon ew
    Chappers : Colour Squadron

    The Arkle
    BG : Sprinter is like a ferrari amongst Fiats ..he cruises at 40 mph
    DR : No ride in this and bar a deluge of rain Bog warriorr wont go . Sprinter Sacre , three runs three course records this term speaks for itself
    NB : Sprinter is higher rated already than the normal Arkle winner , Peddlers likely to go to the jewson , Al Ferof to come home second
    Henry : Al Ferof to place
    Tony : cant have a Kings Theatre progeny over fences cause they are cowards and heartless over fences so that strikes out Cue Card and Menorah too

    Champion Hurdle
    Jessie : Oscars Well will improve , enjoy better ground and the pace
    Robbie : Ground and pace will suit Oscars Well
    Tony : Hurricane is a cert
    Davy : Hurricane is a cert , go all in .
    Barry : Hurricane to win , Oscars could place , Binocular could place
    NB : Hurricane wins on ratings , Binocular could place
    Leo : Hurricane Cert , Oscars wells the place
    Barry Orr : Zarkander may interest punters wo Fly or the place

    Neptune
    BG : Simonsig is well and schooled well , has plenty of pace and is not slow , just thought that the neptune distance may be the better option
    Noel O : Ratings Boston Bon 151 , Simonsig 146 , Monksland 144 Soux les Cieus 143 on what they have shown to date
    Davy Russell: Simonsig is very good . Make Your mark would have to improve 10lbs and more on his last run to beat Boston Bob , but blamed the ground at Leopardstown when he emptied two out
    Tony Mullins : Monksland looks like a bit of value on a line through Lyreen Legend
    Jessie : simonsig to win
    Robbie : Simonsig is better than he showed against Fingal Bay
    Leo : Simonsig , Monksland eachway and will improve for the ground
    Chappers : Make Your mark , he is a fan

    RSA
    Noel: Grand crus on 159 to win if he runs this, Join together 156 has to be noted , First Lieutenant is impressive and Sir Des Champs is an improver
    Tony : Grands Crus will go to the Gold Cup he thinks . Bobs Worth is thus the best bet on the board , He cant have First Lieutenant . It is difficult to plcae horses and targets with teh jewson and mentions the likes of allee garde and call the police .
    Davu Russelll: Does not know the Gigginstown pair race targets , First Lieutenant is very hard to get right he has som many issues , he is a big horse , but he is flying at the moment
    Barry : Thinks Grand Crus is beatable , Bobs worth was not fit last time out and has had the breathing operation First lieutenant a danher and also respects Invictus
    Leo : Grand Crus , Bobs worth , First Lieutenant
    Robbie : Grand Crus is a lay of the meeting , he loves Sir Des Champs and thisnks the RSA is his race
    Jessie : First Lieutenant on the ground and course form .
    Chappers : Champion Court

    Champion Chase
    Henry : Sizing Europe is in good form and ready
    Robbie Power : Big Zeb is not without his chance forget the last run
    Barry G : SE is a worthy favourite , Zeb will act on the ground , and Finians needs to hold back more , but is working well
    Davy : SE
    Jessie : SE
    Tony SE
    Noel : Sizing is 11lbs clear
    Leo : SE

    Champion Bumper
    Jessie : jezki will run and is a good horse
    Tony : Mullins camp like champagne fever but he gets nervous and acts up watch him in the ring , its a hard race , Royal Guardsman impressed in his run . Moscow may want heavy ground
    Robbie Power : Moscow mannon can handle the better ground . Jezki is am improving horse
    Davy Russel : its hard , noted the Village Vic who is with Hobbs , does not like the mullins horses , he says the best bumper horses in Ireland are staying at home
    Leo : Royal Guardsman

    jewson
    Barry : Henderson is sweet on solix , Champion Court is respected , Peddlers Cross if he goes for this is a good shout also Sir Des Champs
    Davy Russell: Sir Des Champs is impressive but does not know the target for the Gigginstown horses including Degiftofdegab
    Robbie Power : Sir Des Champs is the one for him , but thinks RSA , then Solix
    Leo : Sir Des Champs
    Tony : Sir Des Champs , For Non Stop has good form and could be good
    Noel O Brien : Peddlers Cross !!!!!!!!!!
    Chappers : Crystal Bonus , Nicholls likes him

    Ryanair
    Barry Geraghty : Riverside Thaetre has a big chance , Somersby and Medermit respected
    Chappers : Rubi Light and Noble Prince cant win this
    Davy Russell : Chappers is full of **** , Rubi Light and Nobel Price can win this . Nobl;e Prince has had a wind operation and will improve . Medermit could go to the Gold Cup
    Noel O Brien : Somersby has a good chance on his curremt form Rubi Light improving and has class
    Jessis : Rubi Light can win on better ground once this yaer and fancies it , Albertas Run next Then Riverside Thaeatre
    Henry : Great Endevour at the price
    Robbie : Albertas Run , Riverside Theatre
    Leo : Rubi Light , Riverside Theatre , somersby

    World Hurdle
    Nobody really opposing big Bucks
    Barry : Oscar Whisky will give it a try
    Robbie : will get the leg up on Mourad
    Noel O Brien : oscar Whiskey is only four pounds behind Big Bucks !!
    Jessie : Big Bucks , Oscar Whiskey , Voler La Vedette ...also noted Thousand Stars
    Barry Orr : So Young
    Davy Russel : the rest are making up the numbers

    Triumph Hurdle
    Davy hates teh race , its rotten and the horses in it are shite , Jessie hates it and so does Robbie . Barry won it three times so he likes it . its a pin sticker and the form is no good
    Noel O Brien syas Burrenbridge is the best of the Irish
    Robbie Power : Shadow Catcher not good enough
    Barry G : Grumeti , Baby Mix , Pearl swan
    Jessie : stick a pin in the page
    Davy : Stay in bed and dodge the bullets in this race

    Albertt Bartlett
    A proper National hunt race
    Davy : Bostion Bob , may ride ipsos du berlais or Sea of Thunder . Rocky Creek wants it soft Brindisi Breeze is good too needs soft
    Tony : Mount Benbulbengoing very well and Boston Bob for the Neptune
    Noel : Boston Bob , Sea Of Thunder
    Barry Orrr: Mount Benbulben Nap

    Gold Cup
    Robbie Power : Surprise on the cards , not teh top two , Burton Port , Synchronised
    Henry : Long Run
    Noel : top two are 17lbs clear . Long Run
    Barry Geraghty : Burton Port is well improved .
    Jessie : long Run , Burton Port , Synchronised
    Tony : Long Run , Grand Crus
    Davy Russell: Burton Port
    Chapper : Captain Chris ....but they all laughed at him

    200 Charity Bet
    Leo : Monksland/Sprinter sacre
    Noel : Boston Bob , wherever
    Tony : Felix Younger
    Henry : Sizing europe , Hurricane Fly Double
    Robbie : steps To Freedom , Oscars wells ew
    Barry : Sprinter Sacre
    Davy : Hurricane fly , Sizing Europe , Boston Bon ( 3m) treble , watch Midnight Game
    Jessi e : Steps to Freedom , Sprinter
    What was the impression you got from what was said about Make Your Mark? I ask because on better ground I think he may well be the best of the Irish novices but he has hardly got a mention. His bumper win was as impressive as any in Ireland this season (he went near enough Champion Bumper favourite) and he couldn't have won much easier on his hurdling debut. He travelled like the best horse last time but didn't get home on ground that clearly doesn't suit.

    It sounds as if the Jewson was considered the better option for Sir Des Champs - anyone suggest why Mullins appears to talking up RSA?
    Last edited by treetangle; 6th March 2012 at 8:20 PM.

  13. #93
    Senior Member Euronymous's Avatar
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    Mullins wasn't that effusive about Make your Mark on the stable tours I've seen. He seems keener on Sous les Cieux.

    I think he's always preferred the RSA over the Jewson for Sir des Champs but that wasn't really an option until Last Instalment went wrong.

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    Quote Originally Posted by trudij View Post
    Its not that simple, and people who think it is are missing something pretty huge in the rough and tumbleness of racing. (IMO)

    the Gold Cup is much less of a hard race than the Sun Alliance for any novice who knows his job - theres no more chance of him being killed in the GC than there is in the SA.

    Sorry but that is utter crap . The idea that a novice race - largely nowadays with small fields is a less hard race than the Gold Cup where they go much quicker and where the horses are much more experienced jumpers is twoddle. The rate of attrition for novices that try the championship race is clear enough .

    Horses like Citizen Vic were killed by the nasty trap that was the second last on the old course. That hardly counts.

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    There is something alien to me of running young horses on ground that does not suit them. Most trainers can get them race fit at home and why slog the guts out of them on bad ground and then expect them to fly around Chel.on good . Captain Cee Bee and Go Native are two that kept their powder dry for the big day. So dont worry if your fast ground fancy has not been seen for a while.

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    Going to Leopardstown tonight. On the off chance there's anything of note, I'll post it here tomorrow.

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    Senior Member On The Bridle's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by hezz View Post
    Going to Leopardstown tonight. On the off chance there's anything of note, I'll post it here tomorrow.
    Was going to go to Fermoy last night but reading the utter skitter that's these experts are coming out with put me off.
    Do not mistake my silence for ignorance, my calmness for acceptance nor my kindness for weakness.

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    Yeah I know what you mean. I'm really only going to watch what Mullins has to say on a couple of his and Segal. Russell should provide a bit of craic.

  19. #99
    Senior Member del boy's Avatar
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    Bradys one was on in Monaghan last night, if I get talking to someone who was there il post it.

    Naps were

    John Cullen; Kuato Star
    Peter Casey; Mount Benbulben
    Michael Hourigan; Royal Gaurdsman
    Willie Mullins; Sir Des Champs (Wherever he runs)
    J Ward; Sizing/Sprinter/The Fly
    T Martin; Saddlers Storm even though the intended target was Foxhunters
    Frank Berry; Somersby
    Dermot Weld; New Years Eve
    H De Bromhead; Sizing/The Fly
    Chapman; Rocky Creek, Balthazar King

    Other bits I can pick up are that Brady wanted to get a good bet on for Charity with Powers on One Cool Shabra for the Fred Winter.....

    Mullins thought that Champagne Fever was their best bumper horse but too slow for it, and would make up into a G1 chaser. Up the Beat jumps well and goes for a handicap...

    Henry, Faster the ground the better for Sizing Oz.

    I didnt go as I have been in the past and remember leaving it at 1am and the thing wasnt even over. It was a charity fundraiser, so it meant that there was a few races previewed, then a few races for a race night, a charity auction, then back to the race previews, more race night, then more auction then more race preview etc. Too much going on at the same night and attempting to put too much into one night.
    "Sometimes a horse is so far behind in a race, it actually thinks its leading...." Junior Soprano

  20. #100
    SlimChance
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    Quote Originally Posted by del boy View Post
    Bradys one was on in Monaghan last night, if I get talking to someone who was there il post it.

    Naps were

    J Ward; Sizing/Sprinter/The Fly


    Other bits I can pick up are that Brady wanted to get a good bet on for Charity with Powers on One Cool Shabra for the Fred Winter.....
    Did that clown get paid for that?

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