Thoughts on Cartmel Martin? Struggling to get away from Cygnet to be honest.
Thoughts on Cartmel Martin? Struggling to get away from Cygnet to be honest.
Cygnet the one to beat for sure, Railway Dillon far too short and likely to weaken late on here as think this will be too far for him.
I've taken a chance on Abbeyview at a price, had hoped that Third Of The Third would drift but that's not happened. Abbeyview was runner-up to TOTT at Tabley last month and I think there is likely to be more to come from Sheila Crow's horse at this trip. There's no shame in being beaten by Sam Cavallaro in a three horse race on quick ground as he was at Eyton on his penultimate outing and he has a top jockey in Paddy Gerety up.
Martin
Hurricane Fly - whatever he runs in he wins
Twitter: @Quevega
BennyB (27th May 2015), icebreaker (27th May 2015)
Cracking once again Martin - backed Cygnet at 100/30 and Abbeyview ew at 12/1.
Best thread on the net.
Good call Benny!!
Cheers lads,
Martin
Hurricane Fly - whatever he runs in he wins
Twitter: @Quevega
My post was a tentative guess in the hope that the King would pronounce me correct or incorrect!
Initial thoughts - if Drom doesn't win it will probably be one of the outsiders who goes in. Opera Og's best form has come with plenty of cut in the ground and his rider is having his first ride over regulation fences I believe/
Son Of Flicka is nowhere near the horse he was and should be nearer 14/1 than 5's. I wouldn't be a huge fan of Keki Buku either at the current price which basically leaves us with the outsiders.
Blackthirteen (25/1) had Son Of Flicka three lengths back in third when winning a Confined at Hornby Castle and had every chance when departing late on against the prolific Oaklands Bobby (won his last three) last time out. Blackthirteen looks to lack stamina in points so this drop in trip should suit and while we're taking a bit of a chance on the jockey with Jessica Gillam having yet to ride a winner under rules he looks at least double the price he should be and is well worth an each-way bet here.
Hurricane Fly - whatever he runs in he wins
Twitter: @Quevega
Hunter chase evening at Stratford...... calling Martin !
Anyway here's a twitter feed offering some info
http://www.twitlonger.com/show/n_1sme49m
Paint the clouds looks an outstanding bet @11/8.
Paint the clouds and current event looks a straightforward double. Mr Mercurial each way earlier on.
Waiting for the King to speak before betting though!
Ideally I'd like to see how the ground is for the first before punting.
There's a couple I like at big prices but they really need genuine good ground to have a chance I'd say - in the first the favourite should win, it's been competing in Open company of late and decent enough Open's too.
Dabinett Moon would interest me if the ground was genuinely good but I've a feeling it's more likely to be g/s or soft.
Martin
Hurricane Fly - whatever he runs in he wins
Twitter: @Quevega
I'm about 15 mins from Warwick its been hammering down all morning brightened up now
Cheers Jarv - hopefully not got into the ground too much as don't think some of these 3m4f races at Stratford are that much of a test on decent ground.
Martin
Hurricane Fly - whatever he runs in he wins
Twitter: @Quevega
How do we rate Tataniano's chances Martin? Itching to take him on tbh
The going is now Good all round after 6mm of rain. They are due only another 2mm this afternoon.
He looks short to me - I don't think he'll be able to dominate like he did at Kempton and if anything takes him on for the lead I can see him weakening from two out.
Would be keen on the chances of Silver Story who we know stays well and though there are recent concerns around his well being having had just the one run this season he still looks worth a bet at around 50/1 while Joker Choker would likely have been second here but for coming down late on last year and is another who's available at a big price.
Hurricane Fly - whatever he runs in he wins
Twitter: @Quevega
Struggling with what exactly Lord Fingal has beaten in his Hunter Chase outings, can't do any more than win but the form doesn't look great to me.
Following Dreams looks the most solid option here as not many of these would have the class to finish in the frame in the Foxhunters, Mr Mercurial would be the one most likely to do it but this years renewal would have been a year too soon for him.
Of the outsiders assuming it's decent enough ground - can only assume that's the case given Dabinett Moon just won then Star Of Massini @ around 200/1 e/w on Betfair would be my idea of a fair bet. He was only third in a Maiden HC last time out and has a bit to do with the principles on bare form and ratings but he's always looked like he'd appreciate a proper trip and the ground went against him really at Fontwell.
Connies Cross I like but looks so slow I couldn't have him unless it developed into a true stamina test and I think that Wayupinthesky is probably as tricky a ride at Mr Mercurial.
Martin
Hurricane Fly - whatever he runs in he wins
Twitter: @Quevega
Connies ran well