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Thread: Daily picks.

  1. #11321
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    A tricast bet predicts the first, second and third finishers in an event in correct order, whereas combination forecasts pick the 1-2-3 in any order.

  2. #11322
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    Try some small bets on the aw ultra competitve stuff though..

    Wolves 3.30


    De Vegas Kid 12/1 365 10/1 generally skybet 5 places unibet 11/1 4 places


    On downgrade the De Vegas Kid form very inconsistent on turf and the aw,invariably gets left and never gets involved runs off lowest mark since November 2018 did win over c/d off 77 i December 2020 but looks to have regressed..Has been kept to Brighton throughout the summer three places off 77 in 0-80 a 0-70 tomorrow,dd run over 7f here in early October,can't say there was a lot of encouragement fro that run..just hoping the go a good clip and maybe show a bit more dropped in class over this slightly longer trip..Beveradges had a good record riund here when with Mark Johnson 2/3/1/10 here won off 75 but another thats been on downgrade since leaving the stable and joining Mick Easterby,forst run back on the aw since those runs off 66 stables on a bad run only horse he's sent to the track..
    Healing Power was second last time out at Chelmsford in a 0-65 a weak race but good on the clock,it was 2ls quicker than the 0-75 on the card taken literally looks well in,think that race will work as over 4 1/2ls back to the third,the ? is tactics trip and track hard to make all at Wolves but wouldn't discount may get lucky and a soft lead from decent draw..Omany Amber has some decent form c/d winner could still be an improver on surface coming back here as well..

    These skybet places are crazy gets 5th De Vegas Kid will settle for that nice drift as well..14/1!!



    4.0

    Broughtons Flare 12/1 365 10/1 4 places 10/1 generally 4 places Carmelo Soprano 12/1 generally 4 places

    Each way chances but both drawn in the carpark they were 1st and 3rd here on 4th October,but they both came from off the pace,they will need a decent pace,place chances Harbour Project looks interesting also ran on the same card as these two but ran around 4ls slower...The pace was very slow and stayed on strongly,this looks another improver to me if like fir the other two they go quick enough,definitely one to consider and 15/2 victor 7/1 generally might be worth a small bet..Inclination is getting better with everyrun last time out led till the final furlong over here different tactics,if it did suit front runners on the day could run well as one of a couple that could improve..

    My 4 picks 1,3,4,5 ran its best race last timeout Inexplicable gutted as never had a saver got 3rd and 4th so no loss on the race,sickening..




    5.30


    Chipiron 8/1 skybet 4 places 9/1 victor/sportsbook Winklevi 13/2 skybet 4 places

    Impossible handicap Chipiron and Winklevi were 1,2 here earlier in the year in a 0-80,place chances again with track form,the one open to most imprivement Liverpool Knight just eight runs from the Gosden yard now with Alan King two respectable runs in better races recently without figuring..One run here as a 3yr old hacked up in a maiden by over 6ls.

    Not the same mistake this time had saver and the other two were placed forecastsa and tricast up a great day again,everuthings been placed bar one runner..£62 tricast £16 exacta £13.52 forecast...


    6.30

    Eltham Palace 13/2 365 6/1 generally generally 4 places skybet/betfred Blazer Two 13/2 skybet 4 places

    A poor race 0-55 over 1m4fs a thirteen race maiden was 3rd here in a 0-75 back in April although very slowky run race,a running on third here in a 0-55 over 1m1 1/2fs gives it decent place chaces again upped in trip..Blazer two ran its best ever race so far over 1m2fs second in a 0-55 needs to show it stays but only eight runs such little form might be worth risking..

    7.0

    Scarborough Castle 7/2 365 skybet 4 3/1 skybet 5 places places Beau Geste 6/1 victor/hills 4 places 888sort 6/1 11/2 skybet 5 places

    Scarborough Castle won over c/d last time out a bad race but time was decent for the grade,another that came from the back could be relying on a decent pace,off just 49 looks more races to be won through the winter..Beau Geste 3/8 at the track but in recent times impossible to predict and hasn't won on the aw since February 2020,although last time ran in a 0-55 won off 53 off 54 tomorrow,could run well could dog it another that needs pace.

    Kempton 1.35


    Miss Marble 6/4 365 11/10 generally


    Miss Marble won the fastest maiden run at Chelmsford this year 1m 35.95 the second from that race won a handicap off 85 last week so looks a 90 plus horse at least,sire stats aren't great here and it will be a very interesting maiden with Gosden and Haggas and Bin Suroor in the race will certainly be a race to follow if the fav gets beat...


    Very nice almost covered my day on that hacked up wins at 1/2,the other dire stuff i've done most have drifted like barges,that will probably end up bet of the week..
    Last edited by gigilo; 1st November 2021 at 6:42 PM.

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  4. #11323
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    Lingfield 2.03

    Clasheniska 14/1 generally...

  5. #11324
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    Lingfield 2.03

    Clasheniska 14/1 generally...


    Exposed 5yr old 2/11 on the aw changed stables after winning over tomorriws c/d then runner up off 60 in this grade a 0-65,has got down to that mark of 60 again,trainer Adam West is on a long losing run so could only be a token pick..I though its recent run over 6fs at Wolves was ok when running on 8/11 in a 0-70 maybe needs dropping into an even easier race maybe a 0-60 and the first two in the market could be imprivers,probably one to follow for a few runs as it keeps dropping in the weights...

    lol drifts to 21s hugh taylor puts it up at 12s drifts like a barge out the back never given a race,they went no pace so can put a line thrugh it but the betting said it all,they have that lined up for something else as i suspected from that stable and of course as write up first two in bettng come 1,2..
    Last edited by gigilo; 2nd November 2021 at 3:14 PM.

  6. #11325
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    Try some small bets on the aw ultra competitve stuff though..

    Wolves 3.30


    De Vegas Kid 12/1 365 10/1 generally skybet 5 places unibet 11/1 4 places


    On downgrade the De Vegas Kid form very inconsistent on turf and the aw,invariably gets left and never gets involved runs off lowest mark since November 2018 did win over c/d off 77 i December 2020 but looks to have regressed..Has been kept to Brighton throughout the summer three places off 77 in 0-80 a 0-70 tomorrow,dd run over 7f here in early October,can't say there was a lot of encouragement fro that run..just hoping the go a good clip and maybe show a bit more dropped in class over this slightly longer trip..Beveradges had a good record riund here when with Mark Johnson 2/3/1/10 here won off 75 but another thats been on downgrade since leaving the stable and joining Mick Easterby,forst run back on the aw since those runs off 66 stables on a bad run only horse he's sent to the track..
    Healing Power was second last time out at Chelmsford in a 0-65 a weak race but good on the clock,it was 2ls quicker than the 0-75 on the card taken literally looks well in,think that race will work as over 4 1/2ls back to the third,the ? is tactics trip and track hard to make all at Wolves but wouldn't discount may get lucky and a soft lead from decent draw..Omany Amber has some decent form c/d winner could still be an improver on surface coming back here as well..

    These skybet places are crazy gets 5th De Vegas Kid will settle for that nice drift as well..14/1!!



    4.0

    Broughtons Flare 12/1 365 10/1 4 places 10/1 generally 4 places Carmelo Soprano 12/1 generally 4 places

    Each way chances but both drawn in the carpark they were 1st and 3rd here on 4th October,but they both came from off the pace,they will need a decent pace,place chances Harbour Project looks interesting also ran on the same card as these two but ran around 4ls slower...The pace was very slow and stayed on strongly,this looks another improver to me if like fir the other two they go quick enough,definitely one to consider and 15/2 victor 7/1 generally might be worth a small bet..Inclination is getting better with everyrun last time out led till the final furlong over here different tactics,if it did suit front runners on the day could run well as one of a couple that could improve..

    My 4 picks 1,3,4,5 ran its best race last timeout Inexplicable gutted as never had a saver got 3rd and 4th so no loss on the race,sickening..




    5.30


    Chipiron 8/1 skybet 4 places 9/1 victor/sportsbook Winklevi 13/2 skybet 4 places

    Impossible handicap Chipiron and Winklevi were 1,2 here earlier in the year in a 0-80,place chances again with track form,the one open to most imprivement Liverpool Knight just eight runs from the Gosden yard now with Alan King two respectable runs in better races recently without figuring..One run here as a 3yr old hacked up in a maiden by over 6ls.

    Not the same mistake this time had saver and the other two were placed forecastsa and tricast up a great day again,everuthings been placed bar one runner..£62 tricast £16 exacta £13.52 forecast...


    6.30

    Eltham Palace 13/2 365 6/1 generally generally 4 places skybet/betfred Blazer Two 13/2 skybet 4 places

    A poor race 0-55 over 1m4fs a thirteen race maiden was 3rd here in a 0-75 back in April although very slowky run race,a running on third here in a 0-55 over 1m1 1/2fs gives it decent place chaces again upped in trip..Blazer two ran its best ever race so far over 1m2fs second in a 0-55 needs to show it stays but only eight runs such little form might be worth risking..

    7.0

    Scarborough Castle 7/2 365 skybet 4 3/1 skybet 5 places places Beau Geste 6/1 victor/hills 4 places 888sort 6/1 11/2 skybet 5 places

    Scarborough Castle won over c/d last time out a bad race but time was decent for the grade,another that came from the back could be relying on a decent pace,off just 49 looks more races to be won through the winter..Beau Geste 3/8 at the track but in recent times impossible to predict and hasn't won on the aw since February 2020,although last time ran in a 0-55 won off 53 off 54 tomorrow,could run well could dog it another that needs pace.


    Makes a decent day 2 winners 5 places a saver and a forecast and tricast up ..

    Kempton 1.35


    Miss Marble 6/4 365 11/10 generally


    Miss Marble won the fastest maiden run at Chelmsford this year 1m 35.95 the second from that race won a handicap off 85 last week so looks a 90 plus horse at least,sire stats aren't great here and it will be a very interesting maiden with Gosden and Haggas and Bin Suroor in the race will certainly be a race to follow if the fav gets beat...


    Very nice almost covered my day on that hacked up wins at 1/2,the other dire stuff i've done most have drifted like barges,that will probably end up bet of the week..

  7. #11326
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    Newcastlw 2.25


    Lethal Vision 40/1 ppower/sportsbook/kybet/betway


    A nursery for horses rated upto 70 impossible race,so have just had a token bet on the rag Lethal Vision sire Lethal Force poor stats here as well although Lingfield 14% so will keep it noted but it did run here last time out over 6fs..Finishing only 8/13 but drawn 1 and dropped out was never ever involved winning time 1m11.66 in the nursery on the card Hot Diggity Dig won in 1m12.53,if times are to be believed then Lethal Vision wouldv'e been 4th in the handicap and is 10 pound better in with the winner of that race..At these prices worth aving a few coppers on to see it probavly is reasonably well in but maybe need dropping in class and with that being only its third run..Not a great draw again,betting will be interestng if David Brown thnks it has more ability than actually shown off 55 then you'd expect it to be backed..will keep it in notebook regardless..

    Hugh taylor made sure that wouldn't be doing anything blasts off infront into a headwind from a bad draw and tracks riding slow,no chance ridden for anotherday..keep for notebook.


    3.0

    Vintage Polly 10/30 ppower 3/1 hills/victor Van Djik 20/1 365 14/1 generally


    A desperate race a 0-55 upto a mile Vintage Polly gave the field 8ls then made 6ls up in the last furlong,so looks like might be capable of a little more improvement,was rated 70 at one time now 54 had Big Dutchie behind in 4th that day and looks like another impriver matbe add ffor forecasts..The problem with these races at Newcastle they sometimes go so slow and horses like Vintage Polly didn't get race run to suit,similarly Van Djik an habitual slow starter somtimes gives a dozen lengths awat and race is gone,a 4yr old but already 41 runs and just the 4 wins..It's last two runs here has been beaten 58ls and 60ls highlighting what can happen for a slow starter,has now dropped to 52 probably not that relevant it nees to get out on reasonable terms then has a decent ew chance..The main reason fir doing it is lto ran 5th in a 0-60 at Wolves and the trainers 4/12 running at 33%,fate will be known within 1/2 furlong if it breaks on level terms and they go a decent pace then will probably run well..If not then could well be last..was hoping might get some bigger prices,possibilty it might drift yet..Another token pick ..

    Laughable Van Djik gives them a 2f start thats 3 times its done that at Newcastle and Vintage Polly gets done on the line beaten by the draw from being dropped out and funishing wide..
    Last edited by gigilo; 5th November 2021 at 4:06 PM.

  8. #11327
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    Wolves 2.20


    Miss Wombleton 14/1 generally 4places skybet 5 places

    A small bet on Miss Wombleton has shown very little one bit of form at Redcar when running on at finish after a tardy start,still only 5th in this grade but did give ground away penultimate run,then ran at Ponte another slow start probably on the worst part of the track but simply outclassed..When finishing 5th at Redcar finished behind the Easterby horse in tomorrows race,no reason to see why it should reverse form maybe just a case of horse missing the break every race as well giving loads of ground..Has aso been going off massive prices 28/1,125/1,200/1,40/1,66/1 and 40/1 so not a penny for it even when it finished 5th...so the 14/1 hardly looks massive value you'd have to suspect that it will probably drift..Think the main positive could be the surface the main reason for giving it a chance sire Galileo Gold 3/14 on Tapeta 22% and over this trip 2/8 so far has got left every race and had no chance,i might give it a couple of chances if it shows something tomorrow and finishes out of the frame just because of the sire stats..on the aw.Smarden Flyer showed a a little something in a weak maiden last time out at Kempton,looked capable of a little better and might be worth risking a small bet at 9/1..


    Incredible gives them a 15ls start gets beaten 6ls and think jockey even gave it a little pull in the end,will have to back it again but it looks like its habitual..the other goe third so a little loss o the race..got hammered Miss Wombleton as well which seemed odd to me 6/1..
    Last edited by gigilo; 8th November 2021 at 3:55 PM.

  9. #11328
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    Chelmsford 4.30

    Niamh And Oonagh 20/1 ppower/sportsbook 14/1 hills 12/1 365


    Niamh And Oonagh as done vert little rated just 45 tomorrows race a 0-60 at Chelmsford,last time out showed a glimmer of form at Kempton a one paced 5th in a 0-65 at Kempton did look very slow but with such little aw form on offer than will hsve a speculative bet on it..Probably turn into a better trade than anything else,not quite sure why they are running it here the sire Free Eagle has great stats 20-25% on all aw tracks but just 11% here..Trainer hasn't had a winner in 120 days either so plenty of negatives,just a small interest..maybe needs dropping into a 0-55 back at one of the other tracks..


    16/1 generally being pushed out..

    With Southwell fibresand now gone for me the aw has been killed,used to break the aw meetings up nicely and such a great betting mediun the best in the country..may even pack in this season it will be so dull...
    Last edited by gigilo; 11th November 2021 at 3:08 AM.

  10. #11329
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    Can't say i can see anything outstanding at prices have gone for horses that need to come back to form even though in the right grade,very small stakes as could be a washout..

    Lingfield 12.45


    Delicate Kiss 10/1 ppower/sportsbook 8/1 skybet 4 places


    A wide open 0-65 over a mile Prince Rock looks like it will lead and one for in running could easily run well and Catch My Breath,i've backed this a few times during the season the day i left it it won over this c/d,its last two runs here when dropped into class 6s it's won so would have to be on the shortlist..Delicate Kiss is 7yr old now,won off 81 over c/d in December 2020 obviously on downgrade but hasn't run in this class since January 2018,looking unreliable and regressive but was still good enough to be second to Miquelon in late September even though beaten over 3ls over c/d,will probably be backed because of class drops but is drawn 9 also Rob Hornby rides and George Rooke who always rides goes to Wolverhampton..Might be worth some small savers and forecasts,but will only be tiny stakes..

    Got the hugh taylor jinx,he picks three horses of mine all half the price i put them up at first one runs the worst race its ever run and the first three had never won over a mile or even run well over it,what a wierd race,the price he put it up at 4/1 was virually what it went off at .


    2.30


    Bird For Life 11/1 generally 4 places


    A 0-60 over 2mile horrible race and hard to take many positives,Bird For Life 61 races 7 wins and still only 7yr old has respectable stats for low grade horse gets to run off 55 lowest mark since 2018 won a 0-70 off 56 here in May so more than capable of running well,just usually gets behind and if they crawl ends up having no chance..Was also 3rd here at the end of September in a 0-75 so can't see anyway its going to go off 11/1 in this grade,more likely to be 5-6/1 in this weak 0-60..Of the others the two maidens Hannalite and Gustave Aitch although something to prove over the trips would be my other two for short list..and Smith could win on default as consistent although if Bird to Life ran to early season form has the beating of it would be in for forecats etc.

    Same scenario 20ls behind with a furlong to go ,had a saver on Smith at 4/1 bet them all ew 1,2,4 and got firecast just ridiculous pace they go in those races Bird For Life beat it easily earier in the season and was better off at the weights,just needs a pace to aim at...


    3.05


    Good Effort 3/1 ppower/sportsbook/ppower 4 places skybet 5 places..Judicial 9/1 4 places 17/2 5 places


    Good Effort 3/3 at the track clocked up a really decent time last season when winning this in 1m8.99,front runs but has poor draw in 8 so might get collared in this race,in that same race last season Judicial was over 3 1/4ls behind again another poor draw but ew chances with almost certain guaranteed pace..Harrys Bar was looking like being a top class sprinter but hasn't gone on from those aw early runs,drawn 1 might take advantage if draws beat the others..


    KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!B acked this at 4/1 on first shows was 5/1 and a lovely touch with the firecast as well £18.79 exacta £19,Judicial lovely drift that time and for from last year spot on..one of the fastest ever times at the track when Good Effort won last season..best betting race of the weekend decent wining time as well 1m9.25 could be the next Kachy....



    Wolves 5.0

    Hooflepuff 5/1 365 7/2 generally 4 places


    Hooflepuff a regular round here this season has won over shorter in a 0-60 1m1/2f race and known for running better over 1m4fs 2nd here to Flying Dragon in a 0-75 over 1m4fs on October 2nd,then flopped over 1m4fs on the 18th died in last 1/2 furlong although well beaten in the end..
    On those runs decent ew chances again,just a matter if it's run its races this season still relatively well handicapped on last seasons form but a drawn wide in 9..This race has a few more unexposed younger runners impossible to read much into the form,My Boy Charles and Mulberry Silk interesting runners but not great sire stats and the total rag Dundory been with John O'shea for two runs from the A J Martin stable,has gone off 18/1 and 80/1 for those runs so nothing was expected..When trained in Ireland was running in better races than this and had
    two 3rd in 0-75s at Dundalk this time last year..Looking at recent sps and runs looks like horse has had a problem,but now in the right grade never run in a race this weak before and off just 61 so betting will be interesting..Just looks a bit strange that it has run over trips over a mile going right handed first couple of runs for Oshea and its win or place form has been at least over this trip or further..think O'shea is setting this up for a race maybe something even weaker than tomorrow..Maybe worth a very small bet..

    KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMM!!Another that couldn't lose on known form,the hugh taylor jinx lifted,and the rag i mentioned again got another hands n heels ride,very interesting going forward upped in trip..


    7.30


    Glamorous Force 7/2 365 3/1 skybet 4 places Qaaraat 12/1 generally 4 places skybet


    Glamorous Force 4/24 but 0/5 on the aw just looks likely to run its race certainly no value in the prices was 4th here in same grade over c/d two runs back but rarely runs a bad race..Cometh The Man might drift to a backable price as has disappointed so many times Robert Cowell might be the trainer to get its head infront,think if it wins one will win more races,definite ability..
    The 6yr old Qaaraat from the inform Anthony Brittain stable ridiculous amount of racing 6yr old 97 races,rated 65 early 2021 now down to 51 last two runs here in August in this grade over c/d was 3/2 off 56 and 59 going off 4/1 and 9/2,they were poor races but this isn't much better and last time out ran ok at Newcastle 6th over 5fs in a 0-70..Might have to drop into a 0-55 but place chances on those two runs eary 2021..



    8.0


    Winklevi 2/1 365 4places skybet/ppower/sportsbook


    Winklevi 2nd last time out here for Dave Evans looks the best form in the race but horse drops back in trip but also drops in class drawn 11 probably a case of if Evans is trying with this from dodgy draw,Hashtagmetoo and Gleneaglet both have solid form and look the dangers.
    Last edited by gigilo; 13th November 2021 at 6:09 PM.

  11. #11330
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    Can't say i can see anything outstanding at prices have gone for horses that need to come back to form even though in the right grade,very small stakes as could be a washout..

    Lingfield 12.45


    Delicate Kiss 10/1 ppower/sportsbook 8/1 skybet 4 places


    A wide open 0-65 over a mile Prince Rock looks like it will lead and one for in running could easily run well and Catch My Breath,i've backed this a few times during the season the day i left it it won over this c/d,its last two runs here when dropped into class 6s it's won so would have to be on the shortlist..Delicate Kiss is 7yr old now,won off 81 over c/d in December 2020 obviously on downgrade but hasn't run in this class since January 2018,looking unreliable and regressive but was still good enough to be second to Miquelon in late September even though beaten over 3ls over c/d,will probably be backed because of class drops but is drawn 9 also Rob Hornby rides and George Rooke who always rides goes to Wolverhampton..Might be worth some small savers and forecasts,but will only be tiny stakes..

    Got the hugh taylor jinx,he picks three horses of mine all half the price i put them up at first one runs the worst race its ever run and the first three had never won over a mile or even run well over it,what a wierd race,the price he put it up at 4/1 was virually what it went off at .


    2.30


    Bird For Life 11/1 generally 4 places


    A 0-60 over 2mile horrible race and hard to take many positives,Bird For Life 61 races 7 wins and still only 7yr old has respectable stats for low grade horse gets to run off 55 lowest mark since 2018 won a 0-70 off 56 here in May so more than capable of running well,just usually gets behind and if they crawl ends up having no chance..Was also 3rd here at the end of September in a 0-75 so can't see anyway its going to go off 11/1 in this grade,more likely to be 5-6/1 in this weak 0-60..Of the others the two maidens Hannalite and Gustave Aitch although something to prove over the trips would be my other two for short list..and Smith could win on default as consistent although if Bird to Life ran to early season form has the beating of it would be in for forecats etc.

    Same scenario 20ls behind with a furlong to go ,had a saver on Smith at 4/1 bet them all ew 1,2,4 and got firecast just ridiculous pace they go in those races Bird For Life beat it easily earier in the season and was better off at the weights,just needs a pace to aim at...


    3.05


    Good Effort 3/1 ppower/sportsbook/ppower 4 places skybet 5 places..Judicial 9/1 4 places 17/2 5 places


    Good Effort 3/3 at the track clocked up a really decent time last season when winning this in 1m8.99,front runs but has poor draw in 8 so might get collared in this race,in that same race last season Judicial was over 3 1/4ls behind again another poor draw but ew chances with almost certain guaranteed pace..Harrys Bar was looking like being a top class sprinter but hasn't gone on from those aw early runs,drawn 1 might take advantage if draws beat the others..


    KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!B acked this at 4/1 on first shows was 5/1 and a lovely touch with the firecast as well £18.79 exacta £19,Judicial lovely drift that time and for from last year spot on..one of the fastest ever times at the track when Good Effort won last season..best betting race of the weekend decent wining time as well 1m9.25 could be the next Kachy....



    Wolves 5.0

    Hooflepuff 5/1 365 7/2 generally 4 places


    Hooflepuff a regular round here this season has won over shorter in a 0-60 1m1/2f race and known for running better over 1m4fs 2nd here to Flying Dragon in a 0-75 over 1m4fs on October 2nd,then flopped over 1m4fs on the 18th died in last 1/2 furlong although well beaten in the end..
    On those runs decent ew chances again,just a matter if it's run its races this season still relatively well handicapped on last seasons form but a drawn wide in 9..This race has a few more unexposed younger runners impossible to read much into the form,My Boy Charles and Mulberry Silk interesting runners but not great sire stats and the total rag Dundory been with John O'shea for two runs from the A J Martin stable,has gone off 18/1 and 80/1 for those runs so nothing was expected..When trained in Ireland was running in better races than this and had
    two 3rd in 0-75s at Dundalk this time last year..Looking at recent sps and runs looks like horse has had a problem,but now in the right grade never run in a race this weak before and off just 61 so betting will be interesting..Just looks a bit strange that it has run over trips over a mile going right handed first couple of runs for Oshea and its win or place form has been at least over this trip or further..think O'shea is setting this up for a race maybe something even weaker than tomorrow..Maybe worth a very small bet..

    KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMM!!Another that couldn't lose on known form,the hugh taylor jinx lifted,and the rag i mentioned again got another hands n heels ride,very interesting going forward upped in trip..


    7.30


    Glamorous Force 7/2 365 3/1 skybet 4 places Qaaraat 12/1 generally 4 places skybet


    Glamorous Force 4/24 but 0/5 on the aw just looks likely to run its race certainly no value in the prices was 4th here in same grade over c/d two runs back but rarely runs a bad race..Cometh The Man might drift to a backable price as has disappointed so many times Robert Cowell might be the trainer to get its head infront,think if it wins one will win more races,definite ability..
    The 6yr old Qaaraat from the inform Anthony Brittain stable ridiculous amount of racing 6yr old 97 races,rated 65 early 2021 now down to 51 last two runs here in August in this grade over c/d was 3/2 off 56 and 59 going off 4/1 and 9/2,they were poor races but this isn't much better and last time out ran ok at Newcastle 6th over 5fs in a 0-70..Might have to drop into a 0-55 but place chances on those two runs eary 2021..


    KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAABBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!!And forecast and tricast,turned into a cracking day some multiples landed as well...



    8.0


    Winklevi 2/1 365 4places skybet/ppower/sportsbook


    Winklevi 2nd last time out here for Dave Evans looks the best form in the race but horse drops back in trip but also drops in class drawn 11 probably a case of if Evans is trying with this from dodgy draw,Hashtagmetoo and Gleneaglet both have solid form and look the dangers.

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    Metro (13th November 2021)

  13. #11331
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    Try a thieving bet looks very competitve stuff the handicaps,might do something more interesting later,,

    Wolves ppot

    1,6,13,9
    5,7,13
    1,9,10
    1,4 banker 1 for smaller perm
    2,11
    1,2,3,5,6,7

    Lingfield 12.05

    Peripeteia 5/2 365 2/1 generally


    Perepiteia on debut was 2nd to Barshaa at Kempton that's won a 0-85 on the turf since and Perepeteias debut,time was decent as well,then went to Newcastle and beaten at a short price,so a little ? after that defeat but best known form although there are lightly raced runners in this maiden..Ryan Moore rides..

    Huge drift but 1.41 a place will settle for that...


    2.20


    Amirat Alward 7/2 365 3/1 generally


    Moore also rides this 2yr old has had three runs form looks very average probably mid 70s very similar to favourite Sixth Sense that's drawn 11
    Amirat Alward drawn 7 if there's anything rated 80+ in here i think they will struggle to win,but on known form so far they look the place bets..Betting will be a giveaway with just average form..

    KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAANNBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!T hink it was a dire race but won..nice


    3.30


    Clegane 8/1 ppower/sportsbook/hills/skybet


    Clegane is 2/12 on the aw has won here off 60 twice over c/d this season won a 0-79 here in a very fast time then third in another 0-70 but ran poorly last time out here over a mile,on those previous two runs would be half the price gets another 7 taken off from claimer as well but that big negative in 11 draw..

    7/2 this morning drifts to 12s,the way it was ridden had no chance rushed up to race wide throughout..


    Wolves 4.30


    End Zone 4/1 365 11/4 generally 4 places skybet 5 places


    Endzone 2/8 on the aw looking exposed on the aw then stepped up in trip to the mile at Newcastle three respectable races last three runs 2/1/3
    the win here over c/d off a big weight lower grade in a decent time 1m47.88,if it runs to that then obvious place chances..Peintre DEtoiles lightly raced dropping in grade beaten 6ls at Kempton in a 0-80,could be more improvement to come in this grade,Bakersboy has been disappointing winwise and 0/10 runs. but 5th here recently over an extra furlong in this grade was respectable drops back in trip ..could run ok..around 9/1 small ew.
    Peintre 11/1 this morning,looks overpriced.

    A very strange race Peintre places but the fav ran very poorly..

    5.30


    May Night 5/1 365 4/1 hills 4 places Wizard D'amour 5/1 365 9/2 generally firms 4 places

    Wizard D'amour was third here over c/d in a 0-80 here in a decent time and then runner up to May Night at Kempton,ran wide in the Kempton race and was always upfront,May Night was dropped out in that race gave them 10ls start,the ? will be the track as is probably well handicapped still..Billymill beat Wizard D'amour in that 0-80 here over c/d and could easily run well,has since left the Hannon stable and joined the Millmans for 49,000 guineas could run well if fit after a break 12/1..

    KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!That''l do me and the forecast!!Perfect..


    6.30


    Asean Legend 11/8 365 Yatarni 11/10 ppower/sportsbook

    Two runners with decent form and run decent times,a pity one wasn't a lot longer than the other prices reflect their form..
    Last edited by gigilo; 20th November 2021 at 6:34 PM.

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    Paddy Beag (19th November 2021)

  15. #11332
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    Not feeling well at the moment doing the form,but hard to get any enthusiasm done the form will try the usual thieving bets nothing standing out to me and might add a couple of speculatuve ones..later..not a day for getting rich

    Lingfield 11.50

    Crunchie 13/8 365 Notoriously Risky 5/4 generally

    Thirteen race maiden Notoriously Risky in Ireland second in a 0-80 and now running in a weak lingfield maiden it looks a two horse race,Crunchie only went off 17/2 for Gay Kelleway in a maiden over 6fs at Kempton horses rated in the high 70s and 80 just infront beaten 3ls in third..The time was ok as well so might not be a bad horse for the stable,has to give the fav five pound 5/2 in an eight horse race wouldv'e loked a decent ew bet but only seven runners tomorrow..

    Third fav wins,ran awful last time out and i backed it,i think the winner looks one to follow after that win and time..


    12.55


    Trevoli 2/1 hills 3 places


    Trevoli only ran on monday,and decent debut second for Iva Furtado in a 0-80 drops in class 0-75 i think it's a little short with a couple not fully exposed,if it runs its race then will be involved in the finish just looks obvious for the frame in thieving bet and potentially winning..

    An incredible sp 8/15 i thought 2/1 looked short never looked like winning,traded 1.35 as well got free bet..


    1.30

    Dubai Honour 11/8 365 6/5 generally


    Dubai Hope four lifetime runs won its last two,looks a decent sprinter won in a decent time at Wolves last time out really did blast away from the stalls 1m12.63 winning time think its well handicapped still off 87 but steps up in trip and if same tactics used then might be susceptible,to me looks an out and out 6f specialist be interetig to see how itt's ride here..

    Had a feeling it might get beat very little support bunched finish,horse looks tiny to me not sure it puts it all in either,as i said zilch value around today crap racing.


    2.05


    Marks Bear 4/1 365 7/2 hills skybet 4 places Fauvette 9/2 hills skybet 4 places

    Marks Bear is a pound lower than when second in a 0-90 over c/d in a decent time,may have been flattered as track was riding quick but this looks a very similar race and decet draw in 3,obvious place chances..Fauvette nine runs three winners 2/5 on the aw won a weak o075 last time out,not a great drawn in 9 but still looks ope to improvent,another obvious place chance..

    Both placed 2nd and 4th Marks Bear trades 1.22


    Chelmsford 6.45


    Sealed Offer 7/1 hills/365 4 places Got No Dollars 9/2 365/hills 4 places 13/2 ppower/betfair/sportsbook 6/1 generally


    Competitve race 0-70 over 7fs,Sealed Offer doesn't look well in but consitent last run here was 2nd in a 0-80 i think that was a weak race for the grade,but again decent ew chances if it runs up to most of its form,lots of unexposed ones in this so could be no more positve than that..Got No Dollars only won some wea races recently won easy here when over 6fs,this is a rise in class ad draw in 12 place chances again along with c/d winner Adace,that one winning easily last time out..Out of the bigger prces First Lott has appeared on the downgrade after looking like a horse that might progres as a 3yr old,this is far easier and may show something more in this race..




    Then will add these seperately,a couple of them are on my to follows they really don't look the right races to me and i think they probably need a drop in class but token bets,i won't be crossing them off if they do no good..

    Chelmsford 4.15


    Raydoun 16/1 365 365 4 places 12/1 generally 5 places

    A 0-75 over 7fs i've done Raydoun the last twice was waiting for an easier race than this,has only run in average 0-70s been a bit unlucky in running i doubt it's good enough to win this unless it imprives stepping up in class..Last tie out was draw on the fariside at Newcastle and ended up on the nearside rail,so could upgrade it to those that finished infront,but this race has less exosed runners and horses that have run i better races..The only positive is the track, sire Moojaahim has a 33% strike rate here and 3/18 over the trio,claimer Mark Crehan takes off 5 5 pound lower than that run last time out,actually think rack will be a negatuve as wel invariablt has got left but feel obliged have to do it just incase..Hard to guess on what is well in with so many lightly raced Siling Sunflower ws 3rd at Kempton recently in a 0-80 so probably has the best know bit of form but drawn wide in 13..


    5.45


    Mighty Fine 10/1 generally 5 places Cap Dantibes 8/1 365 skybet 5 places


    Mighty Fine another on my to follows and again am not quite sure why it's only 8/1,previously trained i France been with David Brown for two runs,ran a decent debut run in a 0-65 over 6fs stayed on well then last time out i put it up at Newcastle over 7fs was out te back and got pushed wide..Has been dropped two pound for that run,but steps up another furlong and is half the pruce it was last time out against horses with loads of track form,Chillsea,Lake Sand and Diamonds At Dusk look the three to beat to me,i suspect this will drift sire stats here and over the trip are average at best..Again feel obliged to do it,but suspect track maynot suit..
    As mentioned three mentioned previously look the more obvious runners i the race,then something like Ca Dantibes also has track form,has won here off 53 back in April changed trainers now with Michael Roberts,has only ever had five runners on the flat three placed,has run three respectable races recenty over longer distances...The main positive being draw in 1..
    Last edited by gigilo; 26th November 2021 at 3:11 PM.

  16. #11333
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    Some small itterests nothing stands out to me at prices,just with 4 and 5 places on offer have to try some thieving bets


    Kempton 12.50


    Trepidation 15/2 generally skybet 5 places generall4 places Rooful 10/1 skybet 5 places 11/1 4 places generally


    Lowgrade unreliable types a 0-55 over a mile,Trepidation 2/16 on the aw and 4 places and its last win was here off 54 in March been roundabout since then,that last win came when the track was riding slow and was alot faster than the first division back in March..If the temps drop it may ride slow so at least know the surface will suit,that's not guaranteed though as all the aw tracks have vbeen quick recently,a pound lower tomorrow off 53 place chances..
    Rooful a 3yr old six runs and has won a 0-65 on the turf off 48,that was after wind surgery then ran here over 7fs drawn wide looked a difficult ride the field finished in a bit of a heap eventually a running on 6th,time of the race was .74 quicker than the other 0-65 so wouldv'e won that race..Don't know if it will definitely stay but if it does then looks another with decent place chances..
    Sonnetina on its last run here looks to have ew chances as well,only win way back in May 2019 has loads of place form over a variety of trips and even slightly better races,was 4th here last time out in a 0-60 staying on the time was favourable compared to other mile races that night..
    Sonnetina a nr this morning so will put fav Channel packet in for forecasts.

    Trepidation places,Rooful get jinxed by hugh taylor again unplaced at 7/1.


    3.0

    First Charge 5/2 generally


    This looks a very weak 0-75 First Charge has beeen 1/1/2 last three runs beaten here in a 0-70 last time out,doesn't look well in anymore but it's such a poor race it looks like it could still win this the right favourute and if it runs to its last second then decent thieving bet on the places at worst.

    KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!A case of a very bad race for the grade and nothing to beat as i suspected!!


    4.10


    Scarborough Castle 2/1 hils 4 places Tullane 20/1 hills 5 places


    A 0-55 over 1m4fs the most progressie horse is Scarborough Castle won its last two races last time out a fairly decent time over 1m 1 1/2fs at Wolves,still in same grade looks likeky to win more races..The ? tomorrow is big steo up in trip,sire fastnet rock is a great aw sire at all the tracks but strangeky just 8#
    8% at Kempton so a bit off putting,but over this trip 22%..Bound to go off overbet but looks the most obvious runner in the race..
    A lot more speculative 16 runner maiden Tullane,impossible to predict has been placed 10 times and run ok here previously in the wilderness till last time out when showing a bit more when 5th at Wolves beaten 4 3/4ls if that's a sign of it coming to its best known form then could run well very speculatuve but wouldn't be a surprise if it hits the frame

    4th so at least ok for ew multiples,but staying never came into it crawled round,race was slow by 10 seconds can't remember the last time a race over 1m4fs was run that slowly a right farce..

    Wolves 4.0


    This Ones For Fred 11/2 hills 4 places Intoxification 22/1 victor 4 places 20/1 generally 4 places




    Another ten runner running maiden first run fir Alan King ans steps up in trip after two places over 1m4fs,last run back in 0-65 looked respectable
    no other reason to think it could imprive foir step up in trip other than trainer,sire Markaz suggests not just going to chance it after the decent musselburugh run.
    Intoxication a seven runner maiden from a weak stable,it's run one decent race that was penultimate run at Kempton over 2mile when third,the time seemed ok as well,then ran over the same c/d and ran poorly althiugh the race was 3 seconds slower so a speculative pick hoping they don't dawdle,sire not great stats here Havana Gold but over these sort of trips 6/40..

    KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!Got 7/1 was driofting all day till the last 15 mins,pished up!!!

    Would probably keep this race seperate probably the weakest of all the picks with a short priced fav improver in the race

    5.30

    Starfighter 10/1 skybet 5 places Beverdages 10/1 skybet 5lplaces 4places generally

    Very competitve 0-75 over 1m1 1/2fs,Starfighter i usually put a line thriugh as unreliable,but last two runs here over c/d back in March was 1/2 off marks of 74 and 77,on that form looks overpriced running off 73,again the usual negatve drawn in the carpark in 11..Was third at Newcastle lsst time out in a 0-80,so ew chances if not bearten by the draw..
    Similar is Bavardages,good record on the aw 3/11 and 3 places 4th here last time out over 1m1/2fs staying on,has been 1/3 over this c/d on two runs attempted and off 75 tomorrow off 64 with claimer taking off the three..Place chances again..Star Of Velour good track record but not over this trip,was 4th here last time out over c/d time looked quite good strictly on that run has a decent ew chance 11/1,so another to consider..


    7.0


    Beryl The Petal 4/1 skybet 4 places Desert Dream 7/1 skybet 4 places 15/2 victor/888sport

    Another weak 0-55 over 7fs Beryl The Petal another maiden after 9 runs,it's last run was over this c/d and finished really well,was the fastest of the two divisions the other won by Peachey Carnehan has roughly a length on that one on the times that heads the weights tomorrow..Desert Dreamer won in this grade in December 2020 off 55 off 50 tomorrow,unreliable but ran ok in last turf run,trainer has veey few winners so a possibility it may drift..Lots have ew chances,i might add something tomorrow of any big drifters that may have got overlooked
    Last edited by gigilo; 29th November 2021 at 5:25 PM.

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    Metro (29th November 2021)

  18. #11334
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    Just going to try an ew trixie tomorrow might add another later when more prices are up,just this for now..

    Lingfield 2.45

    Cafe Sydney 7/2 unibet/victor 4places 3/1 generally 4 places skybet 5 places Jedydd 15/2 victor hills 7/1 skybet 5 places 7/1 sportsbook/ppower 4 places

    A very poor race Cafe Sydney is a slowboat but at least has a decent record over c/d 1/1 off marks of 55 and 59,wether it should be 11/4 is another thing quite a few of these have finished not far behind it in those races and usually needs luck in running,but still looks the obvious frame horse..Jeddyd a 15 runner maiden impossible to predict has run some good races then followed that up with vey poor runs,its last run a second to
    Scarborough Castle looks ok in the context of this race,needs to back up a good run with another back to back..if so place chances..



    3.15


    Hellavaplace 11/2 365 5/1 hills/skybet 4 places

    Ultra competitve 0-60 over a mile Hellavaplace fifteen runs one win but on the aw six runs 1 win 2/2/3/3 doesn't look well handicapped but decent draw and with its aw record then obvious place chances again in similar race..


    Newcastle 7.15


    Maggies Joy 8/1 generally hills 4 places 8/1 ppower 4 places

    A nursery over a mile at Newcastle,impossible to read much into a lot of the runners most have only had 3/4 runs could be anything lurking,Maggies Joy could be well handicapped hadn't shown much till handicap run when 5th at Nottingham in a 0-75 runs off a mark of 63 in this 0-65..The sire Time Test 4/29 so stats are ok just 1/8 on Tapeta so only a small sample,drawn in 12 those are the positives,Karl Burke hasn't had a winner in 34 days and 36 runners that's the big negative but 9/16 runners have been placed in the last 14 days so haven't been running poorly..
    Last edited by gigilo; 30th November 2021 at 12:33 PM.

  19. #11335
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    Some small itterests nothing stands out to me at prices,just with 4 and 5 places on offer have to try some thieving bets


    Kempton 12.50


    Trepidation 15/2 generally skybet 5 places generall4 places Rooful 10/1 skybet 5 places 11/1 4 places generally


    Lowgrade unreliable types a 0-55 over a mile,Trepidation 2/16 on the aw and 4 places and its last win was here off 54 in March been roundabout since then,that last win came when the track was riding slow and was alot faster than the first division back in March..If the temps drop it may ride slow so at least know the surface will suit,that's not guaranteed though as all the aw tracks have vbeen quick recently,a pound lower tomorrow off 53 place chances..
    Rooful a 3yr old six runs and has won a 0-65 on the turf off 48,that was after wind surgery then ran here over 7fs drawn wide looked a difficult ride the field finished in a bit of a heap eventually a running on 6th,time of the race was .74 quicker than the other 0-65 so wouldv'e won that race..Don't know if it will definitely stay but if it does then looks another with decent place chances..
    Sonnetina on its last run here looks to have ew chances as well,only win way back in May 2019 has loads of place form over a variety of trips and even slightly better races,was 4th here last time out in a 0-60 staying on the time was favourable compared to other mile races that night..
    Sonnetina a nr this morning so will put fav Channel packet in for forecasts.

    Trepidation places,Rooful get jinxed by hugh taylor again unplaced at 7/1.


    3.0

    First Charge 5/2 generally


    This looks a very weak 0-75 First Charge has beeen 1/1/2 last three runs beaten here in a 0-70 last time out,doesn't look well in anymore but it's such a poor race it looks like it could still win this the right favourute and if it runs to its last second then decent thieving bet on the places at worst.

    KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!A case of a very bad race for the grade and nothing to beat as i suspected!!


    4.10


    Scarborough Castle 2/1 hils 4 places Tullane 20/1 hills 5 places


    A 0-55 over 1m4fs the most progressie horse is Scarborough Castle won its last two races last time out a fairly decent time over 1m 1 1/2fs at Wolves,still in same grade looks likeky to win more races..The ? tomorrow is big steo up in trip,sire fastnet rock is a great aw sire at all the tracks but strangeky just 8#
    8% at Kempton so a bit off putting,but over this trip 22%..Bound to go off overbet but looks the most obvious runner in the race..
    A lot more speculative 16 runner maiden Tullane,impossible to predict has been placed 10 times and run ok here previously in the wilderness till last time out when showing a bit more when 5th at Wolves beaten 4 3/4ls if that's a sign of it coming to its best known form then could run well very speculatuve but wouldn't be a surprise if it hits the frame

    4th so at least ok for ew multiples,but staying never came into it crawled round,race was slow by 10 seconds can't remember the last time a race over 1m4fs was run that slowly a right farce..

    Wolves 4.0


    This Ones For Fred 11/2 hills 4 places Intoxification 22/1 victor 4 places 20/1 generally 4 places




    Another ten runner running maiden first run fir Alan King ans steps up in trip after two places over 1m4fs,last run back in 0-65 looked respectable
    no other reason to think it could imprive foir step up in trip other than trainer,sire Markaz suggests not just going to chance it after the decent musselburugh run.
    Intoxication a seven runner maiden from a weak stable,it's run one decent race that was penultimate run at Kempton over 2mile when third,the time seemed ok as well,then ran over the same c/d and ran poorly althiugh the race was 3 seconds slower so a speculative pick hoping they don't dawdle,sire not great stats here Havana Gold but over these sort of trips 6/40..

    KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!Got 7/1 was driofting all day till the last 15 mins,pished up!!!

    Would probably keep this race seperate probably the weakest of all the picks with a short priced fav improver in the race

    5.30

    Starfighter 10/1 skybet 5 places Beverdages 10/1 skybet 5lplaces 4places generally

    Very competitve 0-75 over 1m1 1/2fs,Starfighter i usually put a line thriugh as unreliable,but last two runs here over c/d back in March was 1/2 off marks of 74 and 77,on that form looks overpriced running off 73,again the usual negatve drawn in the carpark in 11..Was third at Newcastle lsst time out in a 0-80,so ew chances if not bearten by the draw..
    Similar is Bavardages,good record on the aw 3/11 and 3 places 4th here last time out over 1m1/2fs staying on,has been 1/3 over this c/d on two runs attempted and off 75 tomorrow off 64 with claimer taking off the three..Place chances again..Star Of Velour good track record but not over this trip,was 4th here last time out over c/d time looked quite good strictly on that run has a decent ew chance 11/1,so another to consider..


    7.0


    Beryl The Petal 4/1 skybet 4 places Desert Dream 7/1 skybet 4 places 15/2 victor/888sport

    Another weak 0-55 over 7fs Beryl The Petal another maiden after 9 runs,it's last run was over this c/d and finished really well,was the fastest of the two divisions the other won by Peachey Carnehan has roughly a length on that one on the times that heads the weights tomorrow..Desert Dreamer won in this grade in December 2020 off 55 off 50 tomorrow,unreliable but ran ok in last turf run,trainer has veey few winners so a possibility it may drift..Lots have ew chances,i might add something tomorrow of any big drifters that may have got overlooked
    KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMM!!That'll do today...

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    Kempton 5.0


    English Spirit 9/2 365 3/1 gernerally 4 places Samphire Coast 12/1 365 14/1 generally 4 places 16/1 victor


    A couple of smal bets a 0-60 over a mile,English Spirit looked like it needed a mile last time out over 7fs here in a slightly better race a 0-65 could be an improver off a mark of 60,obvious place chances..More speculative would be Derek Shaws Samphire Coast,an 8yr old now and not won since
    November 2019,on downgrade ran in its weakest ever race last time out here over this mile in a 0-65..Only finishing 7th but looked a little better than that,think its a case of having a decent pace to aim at which beats it most of the time,tomorrow is a 0-60 lowest mark of 62 since 2017,i think Derek Shaw will get another win out of it but might even have to go lower in grade but worth a small bet in this grade..Trainers totally out of form no winners for 102 days 52 runners so might be a case of keeping it in notebook..definitely showed ability two runs previous as well even though well beaten...
    Last edited by gigilo; 1st December 2021 at 4:34 PM.

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    Newcastle 4.45


    Blackheath 10/1 ppower/sportsbook 4 places skybet 5 places


    An open looking handicap over 6fs at Newcastle,Spartan Fighter came back to form last time out won in December 2020 and January off 75 and 78
    sill only off 73 and got the same draw as last time out win in 13,if its back t it's very best then obvious to be in the shake up at worst..That race had Gowanlad and Blackheath behind so they shouldn't be far away from wherever Spartan Fighter finishes,Gowanlad 3rd and Blackheath was 4th,both running on but Blackheath was out the back gave them 10ls start and looked like it had a bit of running left in it,never got a completely clear run..
    The horse has an unreliable profile since joining Michael Dods,its very last run for Ed Walker was here off 87 when 4th to Brian The Snail in a 0-90 a 0-75 this race off just 70,but has not really shown anything much on the turf with the stable either,runs a coule of eyecatching places then finishes tailed off or last.Its last two runs here have been in this grade over this c/d and running on the last twuce so will give it a chance,think the negative looking at the last meeting the high draws looked a big advantage and being prominent..Invariably misses the break and already know Spartan Fighter will lead might do some forecasts etc with the other two.
    Last edited by gigilo; 2nd December 2021 at 7:16 PM.

  22. #11338
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    Newcastle 4.45


    Blackheath 10/1 ppower/sportsbook 4 places skybet 5 places


    An open looking handicap over 6fs at Newcastle,Spartan Fighter came back to form last time out won in December 2020 and January off 75 and 78
    sill only off 73 and got the same draw as last time out win in 13,if its back t it's very best then obvious to be in the shake up at worst..That race had Gowanlad and Blackheath behind so they shouldn't be far away from wherever Spartan Fighter finishes,Gowanlad 3rd and Blackheath was 4th,both running on but Blackheath was out the back gave them 10ls start and looked like it had a bit of running left in it,never got a completely clear run..
    The horse has an unreliable profile since joining Michael Dods,its very last run for Ed Walker was here off 87 when 4th to Brian The Snail in a 0-90 a 0-75 this race off just 70,but has not really shown anything much on the turf with the stable either,runs a coule of eyecatching places then finishes tailed off or last.Its last two runs here have been in this grade over this c/d and running on the last twuce so will give it a chance,think the negative looking at the last meeting the high draws looked a big advantage and being prominent..Invariably misses the break and already know Spartan Fighter will lead might do some forecasts etc with the other two.
    KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAABBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!Cracking race to bet in only gets placed Blackheath but the other two finish 1,2 again,that draw and leading is just unbeatable,had a couple of savers as well so vcleasned up 7.29 Spartan Fighter nice drift csf £28.54 Exacta 33.80 more like it....
    Last edited by gigilo; 3rd December 2021 at 5:58 PM.

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    Wolves 1.40


    Broken Rifle 9/1 ppower/sportsbook


    Broken Rifle rarely wins just 1/25 that win 1/16 on the aw with 7 other places usually runs its race here and running off lowest ever mark,most of its form was with Ivan Furtado as well
    and has now changed stables with Harriet Bethell..Just worth a small bet has won off 60 here over this c/d placed a few tumes off 65 over c/d,last time out was third here in a 0-60 a 0-65 tomorrow,a 0-65 tomorrow but time seemed respectable has decent ew chances if it repeats that run.Tio Mio still lightly raced favourite and obvious alternative.


    Ran its usual race placed again,had a bit more on the 4 places 3.9 was a big drifter,certainly doesn't like winning as itr looked likely in the last furong..
    Last edited by gigilo; 8th December 2021 at 2:45 PM.

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    What you think of Southwell Gigsy?

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