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Thread: Daily picks.

  1. #11121
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    Doncaster Lincoln


    King Ottaker 10/1betfred/hills 9/1 generally


    The fields been cut down a little now,i think the two heavily backed favourites stand out a mile,Eastern Words 3/1 already has come out and won at Meydan on decent ground by 5ls at the end of Februaury rated just 98 hacked up there as well and the bonus of the ground looking like being good maybe even faster..The other Haqeeqy all runs on good or faster won 4/6 its last run here over 7fs gave the field a 10l start they came standside switched to the outer and still won easily looks a group hourse to me that's 4/1..If they had both been 6/1 would just bet them both ew you could still bet them ew with extra places etc as they do stand out especially with ground likely to be good,maybe even gd/fm
    I was hoping King Ottaker would be bigger but with lots not running,it looks to have an obvious ew chance although is exposed compared to the two favs,has had eleven runs two wins and hasn't won since April 19,was running in group races over further running respectably but form started to regress..Came back after a little break in first time visor at windsor in the winter hill finished last then got switched first time ever handicap,out the back over this c/d looked to be travelling well but stopped in run am not totally convinced looking at replay wouldv'e got a lot closer but impossible to tell.That run was off 104,then ran in the Balmoral at Ascot all the low drawn runners and first four went over too the farside so high draws were stranded in the middle,King Ottaker ran on again getting stopped in run was drawn 22 that day so that was a better run finishing fifth the best of the runners to race up the centre.He was off a 100 that day got another pound drop too 99,would only be a tentative selection all its form is on softer ground although sire motivator does ok on faster ground but always seems to be held up out the back but it looks like it's taking its chances over the mile..Its wins came on debut and then another after a seven month break so might suit first time out.

    Haqeeqy 9.4 that's ridiculous as saud group horse,thankgod for the drift incredible had a stone on hand at finishh,won exacty as it dod last season when giving the firld 10ls start,nice start to the year getting lincoln winner.although ended up with a dead bet on Koing Ottaker and backed Eadtern world at 11/2 this morning..It was as if the market read my wrute up and let me get the prices...
    Last edited by gigilo; 27th March 2021 at 4:32 PM.

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  3. #11122
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    Naas 2.50


    Power Under me 4/1 365/sportsbook/ppower/betfred generally


    A 6f handicap on soft ground at Nass,Power Under Me won on debut over this c/d and has been giuven a mark of 100 so certainy has something to prive first time out against older horses and an O'brien 3yr old open to improvement..There were three races on the day Power Under Me won run by 2yr olds,Power Under Me won on the farside from a middle draw against the rail,looked under pressure but looked like it loved the ground and stayed on strongly going away at finish,eventually looking far better than the result..The time of the race was .39 quicker than the following maiden won by Elizabethan rated 93,the third in that race Colfer Bay a further 4 1/4ls behind went onto win its last two races and now rated 85..
    Also Coulthard has hacked up in anmerica rated 95 and PUM won on the bridle from that o debut,the following nursery at Nass was .71 slower than PUM and that winner is now rated 87 also,rememberung that PUM was making its debut..Alot to ask on debut run of the season but everthing points to the mark being fine,even if it bombed out i would still follow it and there is the guessing with the draw its drawn wide in 13 but its open to improvement so will follow it for awhile..I don't follow irish racing and i havn't loked at the rrst of the field so purely gig on those races at Naas on the same ground..

    9/2 generally not a bean for it.

    Got stake back got placed ran a decent race all the finishers finished 1,2,3 and the ground was absolutely desperate looked beat 2fs out but still ran well..

    Donny 5.25


    Systemic 8/1 365 15/2 hills 7/1 betfred/unibet


    I have been avoiding Systemic on the aw a 4yr old with eight runs,last three runs TB applied and has been running ok at Newcstle against the progressive Madeeh twice has found nothing when cantering in two defeats though so may simply not be well handicapped..The one reason for maybe taking a chance could be the switch to turf has only run on it once that was here on debut over 1m2fs last June eventually beaten just over 7ls but was staying on well after getting outpaced and then not given too hard a race..The first three had all previous experience winners now rated 97,second 88 and the third 79,the time of the race also compared well to the following 1m2f race won by Al Zaraqaan rated 95 with the second and third rated 88 and 79,think Systemic looked as good as those in second and third..Worth a small bet too see if it can maybe find a little more switched back to second ever run on turf off 77..


    Another very strage drift 11/2 on betfair drufts to 11s in last quarter of an hour,never even given a chance and stopped ring three out,impossible for it to drift on current form to that price.non trier.
    Last edited by gigilo; 28th March 2021 at 5:41 PM.

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  5. #11123
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    Musselburugh Sprint Cup


    Jabbarocike 12/1 365/hills 10/1 skybet


    Jabbarockie an 8yr old looks the opposite of profile to bet never won in this grade before highest winning mark is 94 that was last season in a 0-95 but that was first time out last seaso at Newmarket the first three were clear ad the second went onto be rated 102 and the third went onto be rated 98 and actually beat Jabbarockie later in the season..For some reason Jabbarockies form was its best ever last season,after that run was second in a 0-105 at Donny trying to make all,horses rarely make all there then was 3/6/5/6 in ultra competitve class 2 handicaps,not sure what the ground will be hopefully good ground as the imprived run were all on that surface or maybe even quicker..Has won over this c/d before a weaker race,but the horse is all about speed it led every race it ran in last season at some point,if it gets a decent draw then will probably do so again and is now a pound below that last winning mark..Trainers already had 2/5 winners this season,the track looks ideal hopefully fit and decent place chances,probably will bet another one yet..
    Last edited by gigilo; 30th March 2021 at 5:22 PM.

  6. #11124
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    Wolves 8.30 Saturday


    Rectory Road 7/1 hills/888sport 15/2 365


    A respectable mid 80s handicapper with Balding and then Ron Harris and now regressed and left the Harris stable to join Alice Hayes it usually misses the break looking at its form its a habit that has always happened till last time out i would normally leave this horse alone but am hoping it will do the exact same thing as last time out when tried to make all over 1m 1 1/2fs here..It led to the 1/2 furlong pole getting beat by 2 1/2ls by International Law second fav on saturday,looked to have the race won if you stopped it at this shorter distance of 1m 1/2f and has 5 pound turnaround with International Law,if it runs the exact same race and doesn't miss the break then it has a great chance of being involved at the finish..The time was respectable in that race,easily make a case for it being the same price as International Law on that last run,although it will have to buck the trend and lead twice in two runs when it's invariably always missed the break..Will give it one chance,i would never back it again and the fact Alice Haynes is running at 13% she maybe one of the newer trainers worth following in the future she maybe a bit of a shrewdy..



    Wolves 4.49


    Lovely Lou lou 5/2 generally King Athelstan 7/1 hills/365



    An amateur riders race with virtually no form,0-55 over 1m4fs the favourte Lovey lou lou hasn't done much was with John Ryan and rated 70 won two races a bumper and a maiden over 1m6fs,last run fir John Ryan was beaten 10ls here in january 2020 over 1m6fs off 70..Has done virually nothing since that run and joined John Butler although last couple of runs over 2mile at lingfield has run ok beaten 5ls in both races,still very weak form..I'm hoping it's been laid out for this race ecause the jockey i can't even find a ride fir and it's ridden by Charlotte Butler,trying to find if shes ridde anywhere or related to Jihn Butler..
    King of Athelstan would stand out in this race and rdee by Simon Walker,i backed it three runs back has a decent record at lingfield,dudn't get a very clear run beaten 2 1/4ls in a 0-60,am a bit suspicious they are running this down thefield as its run at swekl two races fir new trainer Sra Ender she has had very few winners...Also the surface it has never run on Tapeta they maybe going for a touch with another run down thefield and at lingfield will try it but don't be surprised if it doesn't handle the surface eve though this is a perfect race for it..

    7.0


    Final Attack 12/1 sportsbook/ppower


    A regular here at Wolves not sure i've ever backed it when it's won,usually gets left if they crawl usually runs poorly if they go quick then usually runs well has been going off massive prices even though in September won off 46 in a decent time in this grade..won a 0-60 in january off 51 a couple of poor runs followed by a decent running on 4th in a 0-60 off 53..Both winner broken Rifle and second Pallas dancer have run well since the former won last time out at Newcastle,the fact it has not been backed shows the stable have little confidence when it will run well,if the go fast enough with claimer taking off 7 and down to just 46 in a 0-55 would have decent ew chances..Think they might've gone too slow for Pilot Wings last time out and might run better if they go quick enough,bit like Final Attack needs a decent pace,Pilot Wings was over 4ls behind Act of Magic tomorrows favourite no pace guaranteed again..Am hoping Captain Lucifer will take Act of Magic on and give Final Attack and Pilot Wings a better chance and Captain Lucifer could be an improver,so forecasts savers etc..
    Last edited by gigilo; 2nd April 2021 at 6:48 PM.

  7. #11125
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    Musselburugh Sprint Cup


    Jabbarocike 12/1 365/hills 10/1 skybet


    Jabbarockie an 8yr old looks the opposite of profile to bet never won in this grade before highest winning mark is 94 that was last season in a 0-95 but that was first time out last seaso at Newmarket the first three were clear ad the second went onto be rated 102 and the third went onto be rated 98 and actually beat Jabbarockie later in the season..For some reason Jabbarockies form was its best ever last season,after that run was second in a 0-105 at Donny trying to make all,horses rarely make all there then was 3/6/5/6 in ultra competitve class 2 handicaps,not sure what the ground will be hopefully good ground as the imprived run were all on that surface or maybe even quicker..Has won over this c/d before a weaker race,but the horse is all about speed it led every race it ran in last season at some point,if it gets a decent draw then will probably do so again and is now a pound below that last winning mark..Trainers already had 2/5 winners this season,the track looks ideal hopefully fit and decent place chances,probably will bet another one yet..
    Copper Knight 9/1 Boyles


    Copper Knights one of those horses that was getting worse throughout last season i know i was avoiding it as just looked stupid prices even though was getting itself well handicapped started 2020 with a second to Makanah off 102 on fast ground in a decent time at Newmarket..The horse that finished behind it Count D'orsay by 2 1/4ls is 24 pound worse off with Copper Knight tomorrow showing how much it regressed last season..It didn't run terribe in quite a few of those decent class 2 handicaps at york 6th has loads in hand with Jabbarockie on that run,but its form went further backwards..There didn't seem to be any excuses as runs well on most grounds but i did notice the runs on faster ground were far better than the soft ground runs..it ran its best race on seasonal debut and is 20 pound lower tomorrow off just 82,from the 9 draw positve a negative for me would be Ellie Mcain riding..It has run twice here in class 2s over c/d a 6th to Caspian Prince in 2018 and a 4th to Saheeq in 2019 off 100..if Easterbys got it back to anything like last seasons debut then would be favourite to win this at the weights,but you couldn't possibly be confident..

    Zarzyni is the most lightky raced had 10 runs with Mike Halford got to a mark of 101 ran in a couple of group races last season,switched to the Barron stable now off 90 from the 12 draw,hasn't run over this short before on the tyrf but was hampered over 6fs behind Stramline and Summerhand first run bak on the aw,Summerghand won the aw finals race yesterday...Has to be considered so maybe a saver and try some speculative forecasts.
    Last edited by gigilo; 3rd April 2021 at 11:43 AM.

  8. #11126
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    Wolves 8.30 Saturday


    Rectory Road 7/1 hills/888sport 15/2 365 Pope Gregory 3/1 sportsbook/ppower 5/2..


    A respectable mid 80s handicapper with Balding and then Ron Harris and now regressed and left the Harris stable to join Alice Hayes it usually misses the break looking at its form its a habit that has always happened till last time out i would normally leave this horse alone but am hoping it will do the exact same thing as last time out when tried to make all over 1m 1 1/2fs here..It led to the 1/2 furlong pole getting beat by 2 1/2ls by International Law second fav on saturday,looked to have the race won if you stopped it at this shorter distance of 1m 1/2f and has 5 pound turnaround with International Law,if it runs the exact same race and doesn't miss the break then it has a great chance of being involved at the finish..The time was respectable in that race,easily make a case for it being the same price as International Law on that last run,although it will have to buck the trend and lead twice in two runs when it's invariably always missed the break..Will give it one chance,i would never back it again and the fact Alice Haynes is running at 13% she maybe one of the newer trainers worth following in the future she maybe a bit of a shrewdy..
    Have added Pope Gregory last time out ran a decent time when the track was running slow was 1.3 seconds quicker than the second division and just too frank the form Makambe came out and won similar race earlier last week,had this race as a race to follow but missed it last night so will have to add it on being such a weak race..


    KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!



    Wolves 4.49

    Lovely Lou lou 5/2 generally King Athelstan 7/1 hills/365
    7/2 365 3/1 generally 4s on betfair



    An amateur riders race with virtually no form,0-55 over 1m4fs the favourte Lovey lou lou hasn't done much was with John Ryan and rated 70 won two races a bumper and a maiden over 1m6fs,last run fir John Ryan was beaten 10ls here in january 2020 over 1m6fs off 70..Has done virually nothing since that run and joined John Butler although last couple of runs over 2mile at lingfield has run ok beaten 5ls in both races,still very weak form..I'm hoping it's been laid out for this race ecause the jockey i can't even find a ride fir and it's ridden by Charlotte Butler,trying to find if shes ridde anywhere or related to Jihn Butler..
    King of Athelstan would stand out in this race and rdee by Simon Walker,i backed it three runs back has a decent record at lingfield,dudn't get a very clear run beaten 2 1/4ls in a 0-60,am a bit suspicious they are running this down thefield as its run at swekl two races fir new trainer Sra Ender she has had very few winners...Also the surface it has never run on Tapeta they maybe going for a touch with another run down thefield and at lingfield will try it but don't be surprised if it doesn't handle the surface eve though this is a perfect race for it..


    Hopeless his daughter,but bonus Kig Athelstan driftig to 10/1 got 2.5 for 4 places as well settle for that strange druft out to 13s on betfair,nice start for placepot as well .


    3,5
    1,2,3
    1,2,8
    2,4,5,6,7
    1,2,3,5
    1,5,6

    7.0


    Final Attack 12/1 sportsbook/ppower


    A regular here at Wolves not sure i've ever backed it when it's won,usually gets left if they crawl usually runs poorly if they go quick then usually runs well has been going off massive prices even though in September won off 46 in a decent time in this grade..won a 0-60 in january off 51 a couple of poor runs followed by a decent running on 4th in a 0-60 off 53..Both winner broken Rifle and second Pallas dancer have run well since the former won last time out at Newcastle,the fact it has not been backed shows the stable have little confidence when it will run well,if the go fast enough with claimer taking off 7 and down to just 46 in a 0-55 would have decent ew chances..Think they might've gone too slow for Pilot Wings last time out and might run better if they go quick enough,bit like Final Attack needs a decent pace,Pilot Wings was over 4ls behind Act of Magic tomorrows favourite no pace guaranteed again..Am hoping Captain Lucifer will take Act of Magic on and give Final Attack and Pilot Wings a better chance and Captain Lucifer could be an improver,so forecasts savers etc..
    Stinking drift on this again 17s on betfair,either non trier or again perhaps a lack of pace in the race just hope they go off quick enough..to give it a place chance
    Last edited by gigilo; 3rd April 2021 at 8:45 PM.

  9. #11127
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    Musselburugh Sprint Cup


    Jabbarocike 12/1 365/hills 10/1 skybet


    Jabbarockie an 8yr old looks the opposite of profile to bet never won in this grade before highest winning mark is 94 that was last season in a 0-95 but that was first time out last seaso at Newmarket the first three were clear ad the second went onto be rated 102 and the third went onto be rated 98 and actually beat Jabbarockie later in the season..For some reason Jabbarockies form was its best ever last season,after that run was second in a 0-105 at Donny trying to make all,horses rarely make all there then was 3/6/5/6 in ultra competitve class 2 handicaps,not sure what the ground will be hopefully good ground as the imprived run were all on that surface or maybe even quicker..Has won over this c/d before a weaker race,but the horse is all about speed it led every race it ran in last season at some point,if it gets a decent draw then will probably do so again and is now a pound below that last winning mark..Trainers already had 2/5 winners this season,the track looks ideal hopefully fit and decent place chances,probably will bet another one yet..
    Absolute legend

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  11. #11128
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    Musselburugh Sprint Cup


    Jabbarocike 12/1 365/hills 10/1 skybet


    Jabbarockie an 8yr old looks the opposite of profile to bet never won in this grade before highest winning mark is 94 that was last season in a 0-95 but that was first time out last seaso at Newmarket the first three were clear ad the second went onto be rated 102 and the third went onto be rated 98 and actually beat Jabbarockie later in the season..For some reason Jabbarockies form was its best ever last season,after that run was second in a 0-105 at Donny trying to make all,horses rarely make all there then was 3/6/5/6 in ultra competitve class 2 handicaps,not sure what the ground will be hopefully good ground as the imprived run were all on that surface or maybe even quicker..Has won over this c/d before a weaker race,but the horse is all about speed it led every race it ran in last season at some point,if it gets a decent draw then will probably do so again and is now a pound below that last winning mark..Trainers already had 2/5 winners this season,the track looks ideal hopefully fit and decent place chances,probably will bet another one yet..

    KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOOOOMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!And the firecast,nice additio with arzyni,wat a tuch exacty as wrte up goes off 4/1 jf...Two big race winners two weeks riunning!!!
    Last edited by gigilo; 3rd April 2021 at 3:17 PM.

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  13. #11129
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    Copper Knight 9/1 Boyles


    Copper Knights one of those horses that was getting worse throughout last season i know i was avoiding it as just looked stupid prices even though was getting itself well handicapped started 2020 with a second to Makanah off 102 on fast ground in a decent time at Newmarket..The horse that finished behind it Count D'orsay by 2 1/4ls is 24 pound worse off with Copper Knight tomorrow showing how much it regressed last season..It didn't run terribe in quite a few of those decent class 2 handicaps at york 6th has loads in hand with Jabbarockie on that run,but its form went further backwards..There didn't seem to be any excuses as runs well on most grounds but i did notice the runs on faster ground were far better than the soft ground runs..it ran its best race on seasonal debut and is 20 pound lower tomorrow off just 82,from the 9 draw positve a negative for me would be Ellie Mcain riding..It has run twice here in class 2s over c/d a 6th to Caspian Prince in 2018 and a 4th to Saheeq in 2019 off 100..if Easterbys got it back to anything like last seasons debut then would be favourite to win this at the weights,but you couldn't possibly be confident..

    Zarzyni is the most lightky raced had 10 runs with Mike Halford got to a mark of 101 ran in a couple of group races last season,switched to the Barron stable now off 90 from the 12 draw,hasn't run over this short before on the tyrf but was hampered over 6fs behind Stramline and Summerhand first run bak on the aw,Summerghand won the aw finals race yesterday...Has to be considered so maybe a saver and try some speculative forecasts.
    And the firecast for good measure apity about the sps...Exacta 24 csf 17
    Last edited by gigilo; 3rd April 2021 at 3:25 PM.

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    Nice end to the day with Pope Gregory...

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    Placepot wolves

    1,3,6
    1,3,5,8,10
    1,2
    1,2
    3,4,5,6
    1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8







    Wolves 5.40



    Seaforth 18/1 skybet 14/1 generally


    A 0-55 over the 1m1/2f at Wolves,all thoroughly exposed looks a pinjob Seaforths the oldest runner in the race at 9 and not a horse i would normally
    bet but it has won races on the aw 6/56,won twice last season off 51 and 57 over 7fs and a mile at lingfield.After the win at lingfield was in the 60s didn't show anything in 4 runs,last time out was only 8th of 10 in the race i put up Pope Gregory as above last time out,seemed to travel ok in that race and then looked like might get involved but never got a run..The horse may have been flattered as they finished in a heap and not really knowing if it wouldv'e run on even if clear..But drops from a 0-65 into a 0-55 and with Angus Villiers taking off 5 down to 51,so that winning mark of last year..Decent ew chances if is back to its best.
    Memory hill has only had 9 lifetime runs,has never won was with Grace Harris and left to go to Robert Stephens stable,that is off putting as she picks up horses then does well with them,she took it from the Dave Evans stable,June of last year it was 4th to Mister Struuter over tomorrows c/d was 1/2l behind Seaforth but has a 10 pound turnaround...If it came back to that form then would also look a decent ew bet running off just
    47...trainers had a wuinner and a place from last six runners.


    Might do something else later.
    Last edited by gigilo; 10th April 2021 at 5:19 PM.

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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    Placepot wolves

    1,3,6
    1,3,5,8,10
    1,2
    1,2
    3,4,5,6
    1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8

    1920 bets Returns £59.46 for every penny staked placepot,a decent return was hard to cut it down any further maybe the last leg,but i was right by putting 8 in as fav unplaced..







    Wolves 5.40



    Seaforth 18/1 skybet 14/1 generally


    A 0-55 over the 1m1/2f at Wolves,all thoroughly exposed looks a pinjob Seaforths the oldest runner in the race at 9 and not a horse i would normally
    bet but it has won races on the aw 6/56,won twice last season off 51 and 57 over 7fs and a mile at lingfield.After the win at lingfield was in the 60s didn't show anything in 4 runs,last time out was only 8th of 10 in the race i put up Pope Gregory as above last time out,seemed to travel ok in that race and then looked like might get involved but never got a run..The horse may have been flattered as they finished in a heap and not really knowing if it wouldv'e run on even if clear..But drops from a 0-65 into a 0-55 and with Angus Villiers taking off 5 down to 51,so that winning mark of last year..Decent ew chances if is back to its best.
    Memory hill has only had 9 lifetime runs,has never won was with Grace Harris and left to go to Robert Stephens stable,that is off putting as she picks up horses then does well with them,she took it from the Dave Evans stable,June of last year it was 4th to Mister Struuter over tomorrows c/d was 1/2l behind Seaforth but has a 10 pound turnaround...If it came back to that form then would also look a decent ew bet running off just
    47...trainers had a wuinner and a place from last six runners.


    Might do something else later.
    KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!Unbelievable picking,trying to be selective won't last long as lots of turf soon then moaning about the overwatered ground!!! RELENTLESS Still 16s on betfair as well unreal!!!
    Last edited by gigilo; 10th April 2021 at 8:22 PM.

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    Gigolo gives us a placepot for today

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    Bath 7.10 friday


    Sefton Warrior 12/1 ppower/sportsbook/victor 11/1 888/sky/betfred/boyles/betway 10/1 Hills 9/1 365 11/1


    Fast ground at Bath over 1m3 1/2fs Sefton Warrior a 4yr old,ten runs so maybe not thoroughly exposed although hasn't run since November and its last two runs were over hurdles beate 37ls and PU,previous run to that was only 5th of 8 in a 2mile race at Chelmsford last 110 yards just stopped so not quite as bad as appears.In the June of 2020 was a decent 5th of 12 to Boss power at Yarmouth in a 0-70 over this trip,the first six of seven in that race all went onto win races and it was a far better race than this Bath race,Seftopn Warrior then won a 0-65 over 1m6fs at the same track off
    65..That was a weak race although the third was over 5ls behind and the runner up Sophar Sogood has been 1/3/2/3 on its last four aw runs off 70 was off 60 the day it was runner upto Sefton Warrior,that win for Sefton Warrior was also in first time pieces,the was unplaced on soft ground and then the Chelmsford run..The hurdles runs followed no pieces,they are back on again on friday and its mark has come down to 67 althoigh Angus Villiers takes off 5 so down to 62,lowest ever mark,has a bit to prive after the break and poor hurdles runs betting will surely be a pointer,trainers horses running well Richard Spencer 5/32 and jockeys 6/36..If stable think its back to last summers form i'd expect it to be going off around 5/1 11/2..and would have a decent ew chance..
    Last edited by gigilo; 15th April 2021 at 7:11 PM.

  20. #11135
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    The thing tonight looking ominous 18/1 now had a pull in the weights with Grand Canal for 1/2l at chelmsford and that ones been backed into 7/2 fav and still getting backed,so maybe horse isn't right yet..otherwise would be backed just on that formline alone..

    And of course Grand canal hacks up and backed into fav...

    Newbury Spring mile Sunday 3.55


    Nugget 8/1 sportsbook/skybet/ppowwr 15/2 hills/betfred.

    Watering at Newbury so wanted to see how the going was today,at the moment as it should be good but drying out,i just hope that they don't water again and it's faster on sunday have looked through the race and there doesn't appear to be much form on rattling ground although lots of 4yr olds unexposed...Nuggets had seven runs,his early season run at Donny last season was first win,looked one to follow in low 80s but got beat both next time up runs as fav,so started tol look a little unreliable..It's most interesting run was whe winning at Newmarket in a small field where the race was fast by 1.45 seconds,was by far the quicker race on the day,not one other race went under standard that day including a class 4 handicap wion by Al Rufaa rated 85 that won by 3 1/2ls yet was over two seconds slower than Nuggets race,the runner up Yes My boy has gone on to be rated 101,90 in the Newmarket race although on the aw and the 3rd Cognac 2l behind won its next race in a 0-100 and now rated 98..Nugget has run already this season a small field at Notts only a 0-95,never got much of a run in that race but hadn't run for 9 months..This ios obviously a bigstep up in class but if the ground does ride really quick and they don't overwater perhaps the horse will be shown to be better than current mark of 92,based on that run at Newmarket could well be..



    2.45 Greenham


    Alkumait 5/1 ppower/sportsbook 5places


    This horse looks all about fast ground,just the four runs and on third run here over 6fs looked his best run and looked a bit special,winning over 6fs off a really fast pace the race was fast by 1.9 seconds was actually faster than the older horse group 3 horses on the day he won going away
    and looked value for more than that win..Then last time out ran in the Dewhurst was last beaten 27ls,strange thing was the betting that day going off 12/1 the horse he slaughtered in that 6f race at Newbury went off 9/1 and that finished 7th while Devilwala was 4th only beaten 2 3/4ls and that had finished 5 3/4ls behind Alkumait in that Newbury race..So that race giot franked even though he was last,the trainer saud he wantrd fast griund the ground that day was gd/sft verging on soft ground although wasn't terrible,what it does tell you is Alkumait anythung slower than gd/gdfm will be no good..A very interesting runner based on that Newbury run and still open to loads of impriovement as long as waters not chucked on.
    Last edited by gigilo; 16th April 2021 at 7:33 PM.

  21. #11136
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    The thing tonight looking ominous 18/1 now had a pull in the weights with Grand Canal for 1/2l at chelmsford and that ones been backed into 7/2 fav and still getting backed,so maybe horse isn't right yet..otherwise would be backed just on that formline alone..

    And of course Grand canal hacks up and backed into fav...

    Newbury Spring mile Sunday 3.55


    Nugget 8/1 sportsbook/skybet/ppowwr 15/2 hills/betfred.

    Watering at Newbury so wanted to see how the going was today,at the moment as it should be good but drying out,i just hope that they don't water again and it's faster on sunday have looked through the race and there doesn't appear to be much form on rattling ground although lots of 4yr olds unexposed...Nuggets had seven runs,his early season run at Donny last season was first win,looked one to follow in low 80s but got beat both next time up runs as fav,so started tol look a little unreliable..It's most interesting run was whe winning at Newmarket in a small field where the race was fast by 1.45 seconds,was by far the quicker race on the day,not one other race went under standard that day including a class 4 handicap wion by Al Rufaa rated 85 that won by 3 1/2ls yet was over two seconds slower than Nuggets race,the runner up Yes My boy has gone on to be rated 101,90 in the Newmarket race although on the aw and the 3rd Cognac 2l behind won its next race in a 0-100 and now rated 98..Nugget has run already this season a small field at Notts only a 0-95,never got much of a run in that race but hadn't run for 9 months..This ios obviously a bigstep up in class but if the ground does ride really quick and they don't overwater perhaps the horse will be shown to be better than current mark of 92,based on that run at Newmarket could well be..

    10/1 365 9/1 ppower/sportsbook/victor 8/1 skybet



    2.45 Greenham


    Alkumait 6/1 365 11/2 ppower/sportsbook/skybet/betfred 5places


    This horse looks all about fast ground,just the four runs and on third run here over 6fs looked his best run and looked a bit special,winning over 6fs off a really fast pace the race was fast by 1.9 seconds was actually faster than the older horse group 3 horses on the day he won going away
    and looked value for more than that win..Then last time out ran in the Dewhurst was last beaten 27ls,strange thing was the betting that day going off 12/1 the horse he slaughtered in that 6f race at Newbury went off 9/1 and that finished 7th while Devilwala was 4th only beaten 2 3/4ls and that had finished 5 3/4ls behind Alkumait in that Newbury race..So that race giot franked even though he was last,the trainer saud he wantrd fast griund the ground that day was gd/sft verging on soft ground although wasn't terrible,what it does tell you is Alkumait anythung slower than gd/gdfm will be no good..A very interesting runner based on that Newbury run and still open to loads of impriovement as long as waters not chucked on.

    5.05

    Good Birthday 9/1 generally


    Good Birthday probably has the best known form in the race and plenty of it here,but has become hard to win with,not overly raced with 18 runs and 3 wins but hasn't won since August 2019 off 95 at Beverley likes gd/gdfm ground so conditons look ok as long as not overwatered..Seasonal debut was 3rd off 98 in a 0-105 at Newmarket a 5th in a class 2 at Sandown,and a staying on 7/11 over this c/d nearest finish off 90..Then was 8/27 in the Cambridgeshire didn't have a brilliant draw ran ok beaten just over 8ls..Then ran a poor race on soft ground,gets to run in a 0-85 tomorrow off 86,lowest mark since March 2019 off 82 winning first handicap,that was also on seasonal debut so some hope goes well fresh..Lots of unexposed 4yr olds,but if runs to any of last seasons best form then decent ew chances..


    Same old story at Newbury overwatered ground,ffs it drives you mad two days ago they were going under standard perfect fir Alkamait today nearer 2 seconds above in grouop 3 races going stick 6.7 complete farce..5s out to 13s
    Last edited by gigilo; 18th April 2021 at 3:11 PM.

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    Windsor 1.40 Monday


    Carp Kid 17/2 hills


    I think Carp Kid will be winning this season at some point,hasn't won since May 2019 has only ever won 4/32 but is quite consistent at Windsor 1/3/2/3/2 was second here twice last season off 75 was even second here over a mile in a 0-80 and then 4th at Newbury in a 0-85..The obvious negative is really hasn't done anything first time out so may have to wait till returns here,but as its form here is so consistent will have a small bet,runs off 69 now and drops into a 0-70..It looks a positive dropping into a 0-70 but this has horses like Hawridge Flyer that usually runs in bewtter races also,think the ground and how much water they chuck on will decide its chaces as if overwatered would have a great chance,the favourite Ranco ran well in a 0-75 on the aw and there are a couple of others coming back from lay offs that are wel handicapped..



    Windsor 4.45

    Bronze River 17/2 hills


    Bronze River was with Andrew Balding last season,has only ever won two maidens,was third in a 0-90 last season at Newmarket and also 4th in a 0-95 beaten 1 1/2ls at Sandown then 4th of 6 at Ascot in a 0-95 just didn't stay..Didn't run too badly over these trips next couple of runs,then joined the Roger Teal stable just three weeks ago,has already run twice disappointing on the aw not showing anything,but gets the chace too run in a 0-75 on good/gdfm ground if not overwatered,was running off 82 last season n most races tomorrow off 72 will be interesting to see if there's any money for it as really in ths grade if anywhere near last seasons form would be near enough favourite...Speculatve with an unfashionable trainer,but definite chances at best..
    Wouldn't be a shock if 10yr old Pactolus were to run well rated 82 still on the aw and just 68 on turf,was third here off 75 last season in a 0-85,is well handicapped enough to alsi have place chances in an open looking race.
    Last edited by gigilo; 17th April 2021 at 8:33 PM.

  23. #11138
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    The thing tonight looking ominous 18/1 now had a pull in the weights with Grand Canal for 1/2l at chelmsford and that ones been backed into 7/2 fav and still getting backed,so maybe horse isn't right yet..otherwise would be backed just on that formline alone..

    And of course Grand canal hacks up and backed into fav...

    Newbury Spring mile Sunday 3.55


    Nugget 8/1 sportsbook/skybet/ppowwr 15/2 hills/betfred.

    Watering at Newbury so wanted to see how the going was today,at the moment as it should be good but drying out,i just hope that they don't water again and it's faster on sunday have looked through the race and there doesn't appear to be much form on rattling ground although lots of 4yr olds unexposed...Nuggets had seven runs,his early season run at Donny last season was first win,looked one to follow in low 80s but got beat both next time up runs as fav,so started tol look a little unreliable..It's most interesting run was whe winning at Newmarket in a small field where the race was fast by 1.45 seconds,was by far the quicker race on the day,not one other race went under standard that day including a class 4 handicap wion by Al Rufaa rated 85 that won by 3 1/2ls yet was over two seconds slower than Nuggets race,the runner up Yes My boy has gone on to be rated 101,90 in the Newmarket race although on the aw and the 3rd Cognac 2l behind won its next race in a 0-100 and now rated 98..Nugget has run already this season a small field at Notts only a 0-95,never got much of a run in that race but hadn't run for 9 months..This ios obviously a bigstep up in class but if the ground does ride really quick and they don't overwater perhaps the horse will be shown to be better than current mark of 92,based on that run at Newmarket could well be..
    10/1 365 9/1 Ppower/sportsbook/victor


    KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAA ABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!! And again Unreal i've had Lincoln winner,Scottish cup sprint winner and now the Bunbury cup..what a season so far,won easiy as well was fuming about the waterig but didn't seem to makke anu difference just looks a massive improver!!!



    2.45 Greenham


    Alkumait 5/1 ppower/sportsbook 5places


    This horse looks all about fast ground,just the four runs and on third run here over 6fs looked his best run and looked a bit special,winning over 6fs off a really fast pace the race was fast by 1.9 seconds was actually faster than the older horse group 3 horses on the day he won going away
    and looked value for more than that win..Then last time out ran in the Dewhurst was last beaten 27ls,strange thing was the betting that day going off 12/1 the horse he slaughtered in that 6f race at Newbury went off 9/1 and that finished 7th while Devilwala was 4th only beaten 2 3/4ls and that had finished 5 3/4ls behind Alkumait in that Newbury race..So that race giot franked even though he was last,the trainer saud he wantrd fast griund the ground that day was gd/sft verging on soft ground although wasn't terrible,what it does tell you is Alkumait anythung slower than gd/gdfm will be no good..A very interesting runner based on that Newbury run and still open to loads of impriovement as long as waters not chucked on.

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  25. #11139
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    Southwell 8.30


    En Couleur 4/1 365


    En Coouleur made its debut over 7fs here totally outpaced till stayed on strongly back in March 2020 in a maiden ,didn't look a great race but it was the eyecatcher in it and proved it handled the surface,then two more runs one at newcastle beaten miles the same on turf at Redcar.Has been hurdling since some gradual improvement although not placing has been running in Class 4s its last run was its best beaten 9ls,looked to be cantering but just completey stopped after the last and had done this in a previous race as well..The horse might just be a rogue and not want to hit the front,or it simply doesn't stay the two miles over hurdles,switched now to the aw off 60,the price is not great this could be desperation or a plan,its debut showed it handled the surface and the sire Archipenko does really well on this surface 17% strike rate and 20% over this 1m4fs trip..The race looks wide open unless En Couleur turns out better than its mark,they are all 0-60 runners with loads of form here,they've met each other throughout the season so impossible to pick one out,so will just try the Mick Easterby horse
    and hope its not a dodgepot..
    Last edited by gigilo; 19th April 2021 at 7:03 PM.

  26. #11140
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    Donny 4.30


    Lucky Louie 12/1 sportsbook/victor/betfred/betway


    Typically at Windsor on monday i put up the Roger Teal runner and his very next runner won and his last runner since,tomorrow he has veteran Lucky Louie out running over 7fs at Donny,am not sure it's going to be a trier drawn wide stalls on stands side and for some reason vosors kept on something that really puts me off,has shown nothing with it on..The positives are likes the ground and has loads of form here although has never actually won on the track,has been 3/2/5/2/2 then 6/16 in a class 3 sprint beaten just over a legth and its only poor run here was on heavy ground last season..The horse has a poor win record,only 3/38 and last win was August 2019 off 75,last season was second in a 0-78 at Chepstow and fourth in a 0-85 at Sandown,is now running off 67 lowest mark since May 2017,drops into a 0-70 first time since April 2018..Jack Mitchell rides won twice on it placed numerous times and the horse has placed everytime on turf seasonal debut..if visor and draw aren't negatives then well enough handicapped to run well..Would add this in a too follows if it doesn't get placed.
    Lasting Legacy is drawn 12 against the rail,if high draws have an advantage looks the more obvious one in the race with only eight runs with two solid runs on Tapwta at Newcasle a third in a 0-85 the beaten over a mile by Pholas that went onto win a conditions race on aw finals day..off a mark of just 67 and open to improvement..
    Last edited by gigilo; 22nd April 2021 at 6:10 PM.

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