Daily picks.

[gigilo]

Thursdays card,have done every race but they are just interest bets i could be miles off as southwell meetings unsure of how tracks running so even if they don't win will be hoping lots get placed,i did the form so thought may as well put the card up..There's nothing really great at pruces lots of poor races and some guessing so i will just be playing around with 1/4 of a point...


Southwell 4.10


Summer Katz 6/1 hills 7/1 ppower/sportsbook/betfred/betway/victor

Summer Katz was a natural on this surface last season on only second run won a maiden here by 8ls,couldv'e been 12ls more impressive was the time 2ls quicker than the 0-73 on the same card Samovar was second in that 0-73 so beat that one 3ls with ease on the clock another of tomorriws runners..That run was way back in november 2019,then a month later won in a canter again over 6fs at the track this time winning another maiden in a quicker time than Samover winning a class 4 0-80 handicap on the same card off 75 carrying 9-2..Summer Katx was a length quicker and carried seven pound more winning easily..was obviously a very talented runner on this surface,come back onto the turf and tailed off in three runs,would be ashame if horse has gone backwards but returning here off just a mark of 73 would be thrown in on those two runs on the surface last season,on the clock would be easy to make a case for it being an 85 rated horse in a 0-75 handicap....The betting will surely be the big pointer,if stable have it right and back to best then could easily go off 2/1 tops even though the race looks ridiculously competitve,i suspect if it goes unbacked then there's a bigger problem..
Maybe a couple of ew savers on the two Scott Dixon horses the one mentioned Samover 15/2 hills a regular here with stacks of c/d form thoroughky exposed usually gets to the front has taken so much racing hard too believe the horse keeps its enthusiasm,came back here on August 31st finishing fourth to Dark Shot..That race has worked out quite well the first five have all run well and backed the form up,that was a 0-80 tomorrow a 0-75,am not sure why Barry Mc Hugh is riding as Dixon puts on jocks that know the horses which is a bit off putting ad the 11 draw,at least jock and trainer have had a recent winner.. Crosse fires Dixons other,seems unbelievable he's had 118 races and still only eight,last season winning five races again here at his favourute track and the last one off 80,he's fallen down to 70 lowest since the winning run,was in that 0-80 with Samovar was well beaten in the end although didn't get a run mid race and was eased at finish..He wouldn't have won but may have been a length or two better and drawn in two looks like he retains some ability,hard to know how much but will have a small ew bet on him as well 18/1 hills 28/1 365 25/1 ppower/sporstboo..Undercover Brother only ran slightly slower in the weak handicap he won later on the card of the 0-80,hard to take that at face value but would add in fir forecasts just incase..


4.40

A 5f 2yr old maiden not great form on offer and what form there is is counteracted by por sire stats,Jacattack ran behind an 82 and 94 rated runners when third at musselburugh behind Digital and Significantly,that was on softer ground then ran on slightky quicker ground going off fav a poor fifth really in a weakish maiden..There aren't any sire stats for sire Anjaal on this surface,aklthough sire Bahamin bounty had winners here so a bit more hope..Similarky Shaykhoon a poor sire with very few wunners nothing related to fibresand,sire Compton place at least had some winnets on surface,these twi looked mid 70 horses at least,sires dampen enthusiasm but if they go on surface then should run well.

Jacattack 10/30 sportsbook/victor/ppower Shaykhoon 10/30 sportsbook/ppower/victor


5.10

A terrible 0-60 over 6fs very little form to go on,Kraka is one of the few horses with track form has only ever won 3/51 goes looks to be on downgrade on even those figures but was third here off 64 january 2019 an ew chance,although Christine Dunnett on her usual massive losing run..Foad has form over the trip in this grade out of Kodiac running off just 50 could easily run well another ew chance,and Bernard Spieroint a 3yr old running in 0-65s better sire stats 15% on surface and another decent ew chance.

Kraka 10/1 sportsbook/ppower 11/1 victor/hills/skybet Foad 6/1 365 Bernard Spierpoint 7/1 365



7.15


A 0-55 over a mile,terrible race the two that stand out on recent track form are Atlanta Queen and Dew Breeze they both ran well in two divisions on the 31st of August over c./d Atlanta Queen was third and so was Dew Breeze in the other division on the clock very little seperated them..Atlanta Queen has loads of form here from the front in this grade and that last run was probably her best run in a longwhile the winner of that race Capla Cubiste was third in a 0-70 tinight sio form looks solid puchita was a couple of lengths behind as well in fourth..And the division Dew Breeze ran in Star of James won that 0-70 tonight,they both drop in grade if they runto that form and back it up the two to beat,negatives trainers are on poor long losing runs..Dangers Geography plenty of track form and on decent mark could run well at a bigger pruce and also Badger Berry only rated 47 won a poor race over 6fs here then got no run behind puchita fourth off 50 ,looks to be improving on this surface another to consider and for for forecasts etc,this one looks worth following as was unlucky in the 0-60 here over 6fs so minimum putting in for forecasts..Hopefully at worst both will hit the frame and get the forecast.


Atlanta Queen 11/2 ppower/sportsbook/skybet Dew Breeze 4/1 365


5.40

Puchita won today usualy runs its races at swell,put up five pound for that run and obvious chances with drop in grade in theory,bound to be involved in such a poor 0-60 again..Global melody has never won over 6fs two 5f wins here off last one january 2020 off 64,strangeky has loads of decent form here over 6fs in better races,if it runs to the form of last season when placed in first four numerous times in 0-65s and 0-70s would have a great ew chance and probably best chace of wunning over this trip,trainers last three runners two winners..And again another very interesting 3yr old,Passional 16% sire on syrface 15% over the trip,only three runs first time in handicap last time out running on fourth in a 0-65 all aged handicap and now running off just 57,another great place chance at worst.


Passional 11/4 365 Puchita 10/30 365/victor Global Melody 10/1 365/victor 9/1 victor 8/1 hills/betway/betfred 7/1 ppower/sportsbook


6.15

For a six runner race could be an ok maiden,Mc Merryjim ran here on debut ran Kool me dee to 3/4length,that one went went onto win again off 81 and come fourth in a nusery off 83,Mac Merryjim should be equal to that but flopped on turf but back here that race was alsi run in a decent time as well..The Meehan horse ran well on debut in maiden at newmarket Dandyman does well on this surface his horses always imprive for a run,the only two runners with form,plus a kevin ryan honour point the sire Meglia d'oro has a 30% strike rate on surface and over this trip 25% runner and a johnson horse thats sire has had 12 runners and 4 winners the sire violence was a topclass dirt horse as well..Those sire stats from johnson and ryan suggest its highly likely one of them could be decent maybe top class compared to Macmerryjim maybe even the pair so would only be a token bet,they will need to run to 85+ on debut as long as Macmerryjim runs to debut run..


Macmerryjim 2/1 365


6.45


A 0-70 over 7fs,automatic go to horse wouldv'e been Robero on last seasons form but has shown nothing,been contesting slightly better races but stopping too quickly,posituve is it's never run in this grade before at swell its actially off lowest ever mark won here off 77 in January winning a 0-75..There are other negatuves too jockey Callum hutchinson has never riode a winner either but takes the horse down to just 65,just one place froom thirteen runs,but still catches the eye off this mark..
Six strings gets first time visor Josephine gordon rides,but the horses profile is just 2/33 went off 2/1 fav last time out,runs off lowest ever mark tomorrow of 67 and last season had three places at the track off marks of 79,75,75 would be hard to keep out of the frame in this poor race on those runs off current mark..was behind robero in one of those runs when runner up to it..
Of the more lightky raced runners Evening Spirit 3yr old rated 71 out of Invincible Siriit a decent sire on surface 17% winners 14% trip probably only runner open to improvement has run ok without looking like a winner to happen,but nothing solid in here only a small bit of improvement needed...


Robero 10/1 ppower/sportsbook/victor 15/2 hills Six Strings 9/2 victor/hills Evening Spirit 5/1 hills/victor


7.45


Virtually nothing to go on in the second div,top weight maykir is very slow won a 0-50 here looks place material again off 54 but claimer takes off five pound so off 49,Lucsifer has won over 7fs here off 52 since then has kept missing the break decent ew chances off 50 and gets first time blinkers..Three year old poetuc lily won last tume out won a 0-60 on the turf and now raed 50 out of poets voice 16% on the surface in such a poor race and just eight runs probale favourute..Negative the 1 draw if not getting out on terms then that becomes a big negatuve,trainers in great form fiur out of last fie runners have won


Maykir 11/4 365 Poetic Lily 3/1 sportsbook/victor/ppower Lucsifer 9/2 365/victor

[gigilo]

Thursdays card,have done every race but they are just interest bets i could be miles off as southwell meetings unsure of how tracks running so even if they don't win will be hoping lots get placed,i did the form so thought may as well put the card up..There's nothing really great at pruces lots of poor races and some guessing so i will just be playing around with 1/4 of a point...


Southwell 4.10


Summer Katz 10/1 victor/hills/365 9/1 boyles big drifter this morning..

Summer Katz was a natural on this surface last season on only second run won a maiden here by 8ls,couldv'e been 12ls more impressive was the time 2ls quicker than the 0-73 on the same card Samovar was second in that 0-73 so beat that one 3ls with ease on the clock another of tomorriws runners..That run was way back in november 2019,then a month later won in a canter again over 6fs at the track this time winning another maiden in a quicker time than Samover winning a class 4 0-80 handicap on the same card off 75 carrying 9-2..Summer Katx was a length quicker and carried seven pound more winning easily..was obviously a very talented runner on this surface,come back onto the turf and tailed off in three runs,would be ashame if horse has gone backwards but returning here off just a mark of 73 would be thrown in on those two runs on the surface last season,on the clock would be easy to make a case for it being an 85 rated horse in a 0-75 handicap....The betting will surely be the big pointer,if stable have it right and back to best then could easily go off 2/1 tops even though the race looks ridiculously competitve,i suspect if it goes unbacked then there's a bigger problem..
Maybe a couple of ew savers on the two Scott Dixon horses the one mentioned Samover 11/1 victor 365 a regular here with stacks of c/d form thoroughky exposed usually gets to the front has taken so much racing hard too believe the horse keeps its enthusiasm,came back here on August 31st finishing fourth to Dark Shot..That race has worked out quite well the first five have all run well and backed the form up,that was a 0-80 tomorrow a 0-75,am not sure why Barry Mc Hugh is riding as Dixon puts on jocks that know the horses which is a bit off putting ad the 11 draw,at least jock and trainer have had a recent winner 14/1 now.. Crosse fires Dixons other,seems unbelievable he's had 118 races and still only eight,last season winning five races again here at his favourute track and the last one off 80,he's fallen down to 70 lowest since the winning run,was in that 0-80 with Samovar was well beaten in the end although didn't get a run mid race and was eased at finish..He wouldn't have won but may have been a length or two better and drawn in two looks like he retains some ability,hard to know how much but will have a small ew bet on him as well 18/1 hills 28/1 365 25/1 ppower/sporstboo..Undercover Brother only ran slightly slower in the weak handicap he won later on the card of the 0-80,hard to take that at face value but would add in fir forecasts just incase..

Lovely start crosse fire just gets touched off feel robbed 28/1 and Samover gets 4th 16/1,i knew summer katz wasn't going to do anything zilch money for it gutted can't believe got touched off by the 6f horse dixons horses have run blinders and Samovar mised the break....


4.40

A 5f 2yr old maiden not great form on offer and what form there is is counteracted by por sire stats,Jacattack ran behind an 82 and 94 rated runners when third at musselburugh behind Digital and Significantly,that was on softer ground then ran on slightky quicker ground going off fav a poor fifth really in a weakish maiden..There aren't any sire stats for sire Anjaal on this surface,aklthough sire Bahamin bounty had winners here so a bit more hope..Similarky Shaykhoon a poor sire with very few wunners nothing related to fibresand,sire Compton place at least had some winnets on surface,these twi looked mid 70 horses at least,sires dampen enthusiasm but if they go on surface then should run well.

Jacattack 10/30 sportsbook/victor/ppower Shaykhoon 10/30 sportsbook/ppower 4/1 victor/skybet

Just another place fahey horse unplaced,no great surprises will do well to get winners tonight just want plenty of places after the first result..


5.10

A terrible 0-60 over 6fs very little form to go on,Kraka is one of the few horses with track form has only ever won 3/51 goes looks to be on downgrade on even those figures but was third here off 64 january 2019 an ew chance,although Christine Dunnett on her usual massive losing run..Foad has form over the trip in this grade out of Kodiac running off just 50 could easily run well another ew chance,and Bernard Spieroint a 3yr old running in 0-65s better sire stats 15% on surface and another decent ew chance.

Kraka 10/1 sportsbook/ppower 11/1 victor/hills/skybet Foad 9/1 hills 8/1 generally Bernard Spierpoint 7/1 365


KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!A nd the forecast with foad,won't be losing today what a tiuch !!!!



7.15


A 0-55 over a mile,terrible race the two that stand out on recent track form are Atlanta Queen and Dew Breeze they both ran well in two divisions on the 31st of August over c./d Atlanta Queen was third and so was Dew Breeze in the other division on the clock very little seperated them..Atlanta Queen has loads of form here from the front in this grade and that last run was probably her best run in a longwhile the winner of that race Capla Cubiste was third in a 0-70 tinight sio form looks solid puchita was a couple of lengths behind as well in fourth..And the division Dew Breeze ran in Star of James won that 0-70 tonight,they both drop in grade if they runto that form and back it up the two to beat,negatives trainers are on poor long losing runs..Dangers Geography plenty of track form and on decent mark could run well at a bigger pruce and also Badger Berry only rated 47 won a poor race over 6fs here then got no run behind puchita fourth off 50 ,looks to be improving on this surface another to consider and for for forecasts etc,this one looks worth following as was unlucky in the 0-60 here over 6fs so minimum putting in for forecasts..Hopefully at worst both will hit the frame and get the forecast.


Atlanta Queen 11/2 ppower/sportsbook/skybet Dew Breeze 4/1 365


5.40

Puchita won today usualy runs its races at swell,put up five pound for that run and obvious chances with drop in grade in theory,bound to be involved in such a poor 0-60 again..Global melody has never won over 6fs two 5f wins here off last one january 2020 off 64,strangeky has loads of decent form here over 6fs in better races,if it runs to the form of last season when placed in first four numerous times in 0-65s and 0-70s would have a great ew chance and probably best chace of wunning over this trip,trainers last three runners two winners..And again another very interesting 3yr old,Passional 16% sire on syrface 15% over the trip,only three runs first time in handicap last time out running on fourth in a 0-65 all aged handicap and now running off just 57,another great place chance at worst.


Passional 7/2 victior/hills Puchita 10/30 365/victor Global Melody 10/1 generally


6.15

For a six runner race could be an ok maiden,Mc Merryjim ran here on debut ran Kool me dee to 3/4length,that one went went onto win again off 81 and come fourth in a nusery off 83,Mac Merryjim should be equal to that but flopped on turf but back here that race was alsi run in a decent time as well..The Meehan horse ran well on debut in maiden at newmarket Dandyman does well on this surface his horses always imprive for a run,the only two runners with form,plus a kevin ryan honour point the sire Meglia d'oro has a 30% strike rate on surface and over this trip 25% runner and a johnson horse thats sire has had 12 runners and 4 winners the sire violence was a topclass dirt horse as well..Those sire stats from johnson and ryan suggest its highly likely one of them could be decent maybe top class compared to Macmerryjim maybe even the pair so would only be a token bet,they will need to run to 85+ on debut as long as Macmerryjim runs to debut run..


Macmerryjim 2/1 365


6.45


A 0-70 over 7fs,automatic go to horse wouldv'e been Robero on last seasons form but has shown nothing,been contesting slightly better races but stopping too quickly,posituve is it's never run in this grade before at swell its actially off lowest ever mark won here off 77 in January winning a 0-75..There are other negatuves too jockey Callum hutchinson has never riode a winner either but takes the horse down to just 65,just one place froom thirteen runs,but still catches the eye off this mark..
Six strings gets first time visor Josephine gordon rides,but the horses profile is just 2/33 went off 2/1 fav last time out,runs off lowest ever mark tomorrow of 67 and last season had three places at the track off marks of 79,75,75 would be hard to keep out of the frame in this poor race on those runs off current mark..was behind robero in one of those runs when runner up to it..
Of the more lightky raced runners Evening Spirit 3yr old rated 71 out of Invincible Siriit a decent sire on surface 17% winners 14% trip probably only runner open to improvement has run ok without looking like a winner to happen,but nothing solid in here only a small bit of improvement needed...


Robero 10/1 ppower/sportsbook/victor 15/2 hills Six Strings 9/2 victor/hills Evening Spirit 5/1 hills/victor


7.45


Virtually nothing to go on in the second div,top weight maykir is very slow won a 0-50 here looks place material again off 54 but claimer takes off five pound so off 49,Lucsifer has won over 7fs here off 52 since then has kept missing the break decent ew chances off 50 and gets first time blinkers..Three year old poetuc lily won last tume out won a 0-60 on the turf and now raed 50 out of poets voice 16% on the surface in such a poor race and just eight runs probale favourute..Negative the 1 draw if not getting out on terms then that becomes a big negatuve,trainers in great form fiur out of last fie runners have won


Maykir 3/1 365 hills Poetic Lily 10/30 victor/hills Lucsifer 9/2 365/victor

[gigilo]

5.10

A terrible 0-60 over 6fs very little form to go on,Kraka is one of the few horses with track form has only ever won 3/51 goes looks to be on downgrade on even those figures but was third here off 64 january 2019 an ew chance,although Christine Dunnett on her usual massive losing run..Foad has form over the trip in this grade out of Kodiac running off just 50 could easily run well another ew chance,and Bernard Spieroint a 3yr old running in 0-65s better sire stats 15% on surface and another decent ew chance.

Kraka 10/1 sportsbook/ppower 11/1 victor/hills/skybet Foad 6/1 365 Bernard Spierpoint 7/1 365


KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAABB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!Will do me and a £50 exacta csf £43 a good night now whatever..

[gigilo]

5.40

Puchita won today usualy runs its races at swell,put up five pound for that run and obvious chances with drop in grade in theory,bound to be involved in such a poor 0-60 again..Global melody has never won over 6fs two 5f wins here off last one january 2020 off 64,strangeky has loads of decent form here over 6fs in better races,if it runs to the form of last season when placed in first four numerous times in 0-65s and 0-70s would have a great ew chance and probably best chace of wunning over this trip,trainers last three runners two winners..And again another very interesting 3yr old,Passional 16% sire on syrface 15% over the trip,only three runs first time in handicap last time out running on fourth in a 0-65 all aged handicap and now running off just 57,another great place chance at worst.


Passional 11/4 365 Puchita 10/30 365/victor Global Melody 10/1 365/victor 9/1 victor 8/1 hills/betway/betfred 7/1 ppower/sportsbook


KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM! !Here we go again,how the hell this wasn't 3/1 ish is beyond me best form in the race and trainer now 3/4 last runners,this is daylight robberr!!!

[gigilo]

.15

For a six runner race could be an ok maiden,Mc Merryjim ran here on debut ran Kool me dee to 3/4length,that one went went onto win again off 81 and come fourth in a nusery off 83,Mac Merryjim should be equal to that but flopped on turf but back here that race was alsi run in a decent time as well..The Meehan horse ran well on debut in maiden at newmarket Dandyman does well on this surface his horses always imprive for a run,the only two runners with form,plus a kevin ryan honour point the sire Meglia d'oro has a 30% strike rate on surface and over this trip 25% runner and a johnson horse thats sire has had 12 runners and 4 winners the sire violence was a topclass dirt horse as well..Those sire stats from johnson and ryan suggest its highly likely one of them could be decent maybe top class compared to Macmerryjim maybe even the pair so would only be a token bet,they will need to run to 85+ on debut as long as Macmerryjim runs to debut run..


Macmerryjim 2/1 365


KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMM!!Not another shirley,looked nice race!!!! something had to run to at least 85 on debut big ask..

[gigilo]

7.15


A 0-55 over a mile,terrible race the two that stand out on recent track form are Atlanta Queen and Dew Breeze they both ran well in two divisions on the 31st of August over c./d Atlanta Queen was third and so was Dew Breeze in the other division on the clock very little seperated them..Atlanta Queen has loads of form here from the front in this grade and that last run was probably her best run in a longwhile the winner of that race Capla Cubiste was third in a 0-70 tinight sio form looks solid puchita was a couple of lengths behind as well in fourth..And the division Dew Breeze ran in Star of James won that 0-70 tonight,they both drop in grade if they runto that form and back it up the two to beat,negatives trainers are on poor long losing runs..Dangers Geography plenty of track form and on decent mark could run well at a bigger pruce and also Badger Berry only rated 47 won a poor race over 6fs here then got no run behind puchita fourth off 50 ,looks to be improving on this surface another to consider and for for forecasts etc,this one looks worth following as was unlucky in the 0-60 here over 6fs so minimum putting in for forecasts..Hopefully at worst both will hit the frame and get the forecast.


Atlanta Queen 11/2 ppower/sportsbook/skybet Dew Breeze 4/1 365

Almost a monster touch beaten a nose but got forecast and tricast,guted i never had a saver on geiography was 10/1 earlier stupid not betting it at that pruce,can't complain though been a stonking day i read the race pefectly both hit frame and another forecast wouldv'e been the icing on the cake if it had held on!!!Been a cracking nights work spent hours on the card forecast £31 tricast £85..

[gigilo]

Kempton 6.15


Emerald Ensign 20/1 hills


A speculative pick over a mile at kempton,race is full of horses with top trainers that could be far better than Emerald Ensign anway lots been sprinting noew stepping up in trip,although only a 0-65 handicap..Emerald Ensign has run a couple of decenr races in handicaps a second in a 0-75 at catterick and then saddle slipped over a mile at ripon,last time out ran at chester in a class 2 over 6fs beaten just 3 1/4ls,might just be a horse without a trip but two hadicaps it's run in have looked respectable..Surprised they havn't run it in a sprint in a 0-65 now its running off just 61,a token bet dropped in class but upped in trip..On track form not a great deal to go on,although Study The Stars stumbled and got stopped in run a few times in the first division of two mile handicaps run on the same night,was beate an east 7ls but may have been a few lengths bettrr than that,actually looks very one paced and need of further to me,but maybe worth a token bet as well off just 61,did run quite well at sailsbury previous run to that fourth in a 0-75 staying on over 7fs..Probably needs a decent pace and could run ok if getting it..

[gigilo]

7.45


Virtually nothing to go on in the second div,top weight maykir is very slow won a 0-50 here looks place material again off 54 but claimer takes off five pound so off 49,Lucsifer has won over 7fs here off 52 since then has kept missing the break decent ew chances off 50 and gets first time blinkers..Three year old poetuc lily won last tume out won a 0-60 on the turf and now raed 50 out of poets voice 16% on the surface in such a poor race and just eight runs probale favourute..Negative the 1 draw if not getting out on terms then that becomes a big negatuve,trainers in great form fiur out of last fie runners have won


Maykir 3/1 365 hills Poetic Lily 10/30 victor/hills Lucsifer 9/2 365/victor

Another winner just doubled stakes on the last to 1/2 point as winning half a skip so small profit on race,lusciffer trae odds on i think and never got in the three and the winner mustv'e traded big at some point,got 10/30 a great day a pity atlanta queen traded 1.16 ffs own fault for not backing geography at 10/1 another drubbing fir books at swell..

[gigilo]

York 1.30


Dubai Honour 7/2 365 3/1 888sport/victor/boyles/skybet 7/2 betfair

A nursery over a mile and could be horses in here that are listed msybe even group class still,top weight Dubai Honour won at haydock on third run,
won easily quickening up on what the ground was forecast as good but the ret of the card suggested gd/sft at very best..The interesting thing was the time .40 quicker tha the class 2 handicap won by Danyah for older horses that one a 93 rated 3yr old and Dubai Honour carried five pound more tha that winner..If taken at face value then you'd be looking at 100+ fir Dubai Honour,but having used times st haydick numerous times and not working out on the straight or round track then i wouldn't take it with slight suspicion..Think the older handicappers ran slower early,Prince of Dubai the sires art around at 40% strike rate as well,although the most off putting thing on siore stats is the ground,looking desperte at york that could be the negative,but will have to follow it based on the haydock run..I'd be amazed if not at least one maybe all the tipsters don't put this up if its still around 5/2 tomorrow..Northern Express and Heights of Abraham the dangers if not going on ground..

Drifts to 5.4 got my stake back in running,knew it would travel well traded 1.46 and never even got placed in the end,although got 1.5 for 4 places so small profit on the race,the drift said everything probably the ground too slow..welterweight still probably listed class at least keep in notebook,false result.

[gigilo]

Musselburugh 4.0


Boudica Bay 10/1 365 likely to go off 9/2-5/1 tops.


If Boudican Bay was anywhere near its best would probably be favourite foir this race,has already won a race this season at Redcar a 0-64 hacking up off 62 at 5/2 favourite,has tended to miss break or rer up in a few races so has become a little unpredictable in recent runs,although only on the 14th August was fourth in a 0-80 at chester nearest finish beaten just 2 1/4ls..if you could guarantee it running to that form then it would be a 6/4 shot..Hs flopped at newcastle on tapeta since then gd/fm at Bathmthats enabled it to drop ti just a mark of 60 last time it was off that mark was August 2019 over this c/d,has run here numerous times 1/1/1/2/4/10,been inconsistent this season though i suspect it will get out on terms and go close or miss break and that will be it..


Try some ew thieving multiples prices are giving nothing away..doesn't look a day for getting rich,but spent 24 hours doing iot so better do something..very small stakes..as so many picks.

Wolves 5.0

Footstepsonthemoon 10/30 365


Footstepsonthemoon was flattered by the secnnd to 100 rated Mowhak King,was backed up by the time as well a lot slower than the first second division,i think he's a low to mid 70 horse,shouldn't be good enough to win a maiden and priobably won't be..but looks the obvious one for the place from the 1 draw..I wouldn't be surprised to see a turn up in this race two newcomers from fahey and guest stable and even the top one Pride of UK ran alright on debut,this could be a very strange informative betting heat



5.30


Candescence 2/1 sportsbook/betway Followthesteps 5/1 365

Candescence has tio give a field of maidens weight,there are three or four interesting runners,nine pound to horses that only have to be rated 76-77 and lots open to improvement..Again looks obvious for places with decent sire stats out of Power..won second race at ponte easily over 6fs the seconds won since..second run beaten over this trip maybe the ground was on the slow side,but as said giing weight to maidens could easily be one lurking.
The other Followthefootsteps ran ok here on debut was way off the pace had no chance but made ground not given a hard race eventually beate
3 3/4ls,the time seemed ok but the fourth ran poorly at kempton last week and that one was fourth..The time that night was .80 quicker than the 0-55 older horsed handicap,i would estimate this could be a 75+ horse exactkly whst you want,but he's drawn 11 with jimmy Quin riding so maybe just going for a mark,but if trying and 7fs suits,footstepsinthesand decent sire stats here over 7fs..Be interesting to see how quinn rides it.
And Karl Burkes runner fifth behind fiur winners on debut,market will surely be the pointer up to 7fs and aw surfcace..



Yarmouth 1.15


Divine Consent 4/1 hills/skybet Bad Rabbit 11/2 victor/ppower/sportsbook Son Of Red 5/1 365/hills/victor[

Desperate ground Haggas runs Devine Consent ran ok on fourth ever run and handicap debut third at wolves over 1m4fs,tomorrow slight drop in class sire stats 3/8 on heavy 14% over the trip and 2/9 at track,if they don't go on the ground then are going to see some poor runs as i've picked all the top weights..The others Son Of Red sires quite poor and nothing on soft ground,but grandsire was Shamardal so there is hope and this one ra i a decent 1m23f race at chelmsford behind Global Art touched off saturday and the runner up has won since,if this bombs pout tomorrow will be woryh following back at chelmsford running off just 61..The other Bad Rabbit had shoen nothing till running on desperate ground and comig second in a 0-70 off 58,that form was far better than whats been shown in here si far but needs to back that run up with such poor profile,megan nicholls takes off five so,so two pund lower tomorrow

Pays 4 places so two placed,going to need a miracle to get winners today..




3.23


Praised 3/1 corals/lads 5.8 betfair. Redemptive 9/1 365/hills/victor


Praised won a weak race at redcar,only just got home last time out on that form won't be good enough and no 15/8 shot its debut run looked a better run but more hoping the different ground and up in trip will suit,to me looked like it wanted sifter ground with leg action last time out..Its current mark looks what it should be so hoping fir iprovement through pivotal stats 14% on heavy,although in saying that 7f winners are quite low..Most of these are exposed,Redemptive included but did win here over 7fs on soft ground off 67 looks poorly handicapped now off 72 after some poor runs,relying on the ground showing a bit more back here did win easily over the c/d win and was a second quicker than the first division..



Windsor 4.10


The kings Steed 11/2 skybet Leo Davinci 5/1 victor/sportsbook/ppower Divine Queen 9/2 skybet/vcittor

Another desperate race for horses rated upto 62 and on heavy ground,The Kings Steed has run twi decent races back to back on slow ground,won last time out at sailsbury over 7fs had Divine Queen just behind in fourth beaten 13/4ls,the drop back a furlong tomorrow..This is a better race on paper but desperate ground which suited them last time out,Divine Queen has a seven pound turnaround over a furlong less..Divine Queen did a similar thing on penultimate run over 7fs at yarmouth the trip slightky extending her,so back in trip and she's only had the six runs.
The other Leo Davinci has the opposite problem a 7f horse,never run over 6fs running in better races ladt season won off 67 and was placed on marks of 67 and 75,now changed trainers first run of the season was fift to Zip over 7fs at haydoc,not much since but fifth at kempton last week over 6fs at kempton,drops in class needs the ground to help him..dropping in class off lowest ever mark..Out of the rags Firenza Rosa has loads of form on heavy,and although 6fs looks too far don't be surprord if throws in a decent run..



5.10


Mars Landing 10/11 365


Mars landing is rated 84 run well in handicaps that last twice sire stats aren'rt brilliant on heavy ground but they do suggest he should go in it,so the obvious one to beat in a maiden..

[gigilo]

Try again,desperate ground at Musselburugh it rained and the ground was heavy Boudica Bay was 5/2 i couldn't even see it placing has never been placed on sot ground was expecting a huge drift so glad to get a free bet,ii think thats the slowest ground i've ever seen at musselburugh 5f sprints slow by 6.88 seconds on one of the quickest 5fs you can run over,incredibly bad ground everywhwere..How the hell that Footsteps thing was 5/4 absolutely nuts betting in these races and as i said the newcomers betting would be the ones to watch 20/1 earlier the guest horse footsteps is only a low rated 70 horse 5/4 some punters are nuts.Tomorrow same story tiny stakes again,be glad when turf finishes had a brilliant 6 months so not blowing bombs on this desperate turf ground,but as i've done the form will do somethings most days..back to ew multis 1/4 stakes again.

Leicester 1.35


Devils club 4/1 365 Make A Spark 16/1 generallty


A mile race on desperate ground,Devils Club probably exposed to asome of these has finished 1st and 3rd in these 0-60s in last two turf attempts
now looks like taking on les exposed runners,maybe just playing for a place,sire Helvellyn is 6/36 on heavy ground so will stick with it hope there's not too many unexposed ones..
The easterby horse Make me Laugh has one run when running fifth on desperate ground at Thirsk in a 0-75 wasn't beaten far 3ls and staying on,but next time out went off 33/1 10/12 you wouldv'e thought wouldv';e been bet after that run at Thirsk..Will surely be loads of money fior it if they exopect the ground to make the difference in this 0-60 off just 51...current betting suggest not..Gypsy Boy heen a bit unlucky and the mot obvious alternative.

2.10


Listen Again 11/4 hills/victor 5/2 ppower/sportsbook Sprot Of Rowdon 13/2 ppower/sportsbook generally 12 betfair

The second division of the 0-60s Listen Again was fourth in that 0-75 that Make Me Laugh was fifth in,then followed that up with a second in a 0-65 so obvious for the frame at worst and on known form obvious fav,4/27 over the trip the sire and sire Make Believe 3/17 on heavy ground..I suspect like today this is going to go off exceptionally short looking at what others have done so far,maybe as short as 5/4 unless something is fancied in the race..but as today showed this really bottomless ground a lot simply aren't going on it..
The other Spirit Of Rowdon ran well in a 0-65 although was off 45 and claimer took off 7 as well,strictly on paier a better race than this but sire Charm Spirit 3/12 at the track 17% over the trip soft ground stats are poor just 4/56 but has had 2/18 on heavy,if it gets the trip and backs that run up off 47 with the claimer taking off 7 would have decent ew chances/


5.35


Fannie By Gaslight 9/1 hills 17/2 ppower/sportsbook


A 0-70 Fannie By Gasliht running off 68 carrying welterweight on desperate ground,at its best would have a decent ew chance won 3/20 hasn't been over raced,but this season not hit form yet..Won off 70 last season at Chester,fourh in a 0-85 at Ayr going off favourite and a third on heavy ground at Newbury,hasn't run off 68 since winning by 8ls in august 2018,De sousa rides not a regular jock but has won on him before..


Newcastle 7.45


Future King 11/8 ppower/sportsbook Bomra Green 10/30 365


Boma Green has had four runs and penultimate run was fourth in a 0-95 at York then flopped at Kempton,sire stats at newcastle Iffraaj are good here obvious chances in a maiden and still open to a little improvement..Future King ran on slow ground at haydock on debut third behind 93 and 87 rated horses a nice debut,respectable sire stats on surface..


Try something seperate on the aw as well multiples.

Wolves 4.55

Peerless 3/1 ppower/victor/spotrtsbook 365 Vivacious Boy 6/1 generally victor/hills Sociality 12/1 365 8/1 generally

The best form in the race is from Peerless and Vivacious Boy,Peerless last twi runs in nurseries fifth in a 0-75 and last time out second in a 0-65 on fast ground,sire stats are only average on this surface but at least has a decent draw,suspect it may drift in betting..Vivacious Boy has run poorly here before on only second run,maybe worth forgiving as sire mayson 14% at wolves and 16% over 5fs,has also been running in 0-65s
so dropping in grade as Peerless..assuming surface is ok then obvious chances of going close..
Sociality is going to win a race if its last run is anything to go by,sat out the back over this c/d was motoring at finish in a 0-65 looks one to follow,the negative will be if Butler trys with it,far easier races open to it especially with the two heading the market..impossile to leave out though and could easily run well if they go quick enough..Similarly to a lesser extent Shawshank that looks like winning a race as well,was poorly positioned and ran wide and was only a 1/4l behind Sociality,if one or both of the favourites bombed out would have somesortof chance..Up side down ran in a 0-70 here last time has the best known aw run,drawn 1 so maybe worth an inrunning saver at 9/1 a line through kim wexler gives it 4ls on sociality if trip suits..impossible to leave out and even on its 3ls beating here last time out a strict line of form has the beating of Vivacious Lad..Saver and forecasts,late edition as went through race again,could add in ew multis as well


6.0


Bay Of Naples 6/1 ppower/sportsbook generally

Bay Of Naples runner up last time out that was in a weak 0-60,jock let it slip back through the field mid race,then stayed on aggain am hoping that two hard races in quick succession and coming back again will still have enough left to run well again..Penultimate run was third in a 0-65 the time seemed quite good een though beaten 3 3/4ls,the first and second were 3yr olds,hopefully will go quick enough and decent ew chances...i think a crawl would make the horse look slow.
The Rocket Man was running in better races on the turf in high 60s then started to become disappointing till last time out when winning a 0-60 at wolves,25% sire toronado on surface and 25% over this trip obvious saver alternative open to improvement..



6.30


Beau Geste 4/1 365


Beau Geste a 4yr old only ten runs 3/5 on the aw,Tony Carroll purchased him in December 2019 and won first time out for hi and giot those two ther wins,won over a slightly longer trip in a 0-65 back in february and although beaten last two runs has still run ok,ran on the trf at Goodwood was fourth in a 0-70..Is only four pund higher than the last wolves run,wwas run in a decent time and he has holly doyle booked hoping the 44 dat break has freshened the horse up..Obvious place chances again,maybe open to a little improivement




7.0


Sir Hamilton 2/1 365 Daffr 9/2 ppower/sportsbook


Sir Hamilton was a high 80s horse,been on downgrade for awhile,been swapping trainers now with Joseph Parr twi runs for current trainer 2/2 those races were only 0-70s price is very skinny think its based on Joseph Parrs strike rate currentky 24%,time was ok last time out so obvious places again..Daafrs a c/d winner again because trauiners in form a shortish price although at its best would probabkly be favouruite fir this,last time out a fiurth at chelmsfird in a 0-80..Was also seconf here in a 0-80 back in august as well,Harry Russell takes off 5 so down ti 66 he will be off infront the negative could be shorter trup,last few wins have been over further but is off a decent mark now,and Zafaranah as looked to be coming back to form slowly could hit the frame at a big price 16/1 with lightly raced 2nd fav noble dawn


7.30


Jack D'or 6/1 hills Flying Dragon 8/1 ppower/sportsbook

Might keep this race seperate from the multis or do some smaller ones as these two look more speculatuve,if Ho Team brings its third in a 0-90 at chester from last time out onto this syrface then would be a hot favourite fir fahey stable,will add for forecasts and hope one of these two hits the frame..Flying Dragon has been running poorly last couple of runs,only three runs on the aw last one was here when second in a 0-75 runs off same mark of 71 in a 0-72,a token choice and similarkly Jack D'or was fifth to Sea Fox over c/d in 2010 off 75 running on went off 3/1 fav and only beaten 1 1/4ls..It looks like they are struggling to find its right trip running over 1m2fs in 0-75s,a token bet based on its one orevious run here off a four pund lower mark.



8.0


Freedom and Wheat 9/2 hills Inaam 16/1 ppower/sportsbook..


Freedom and Wheats profile is very strange just looked very slow i've backed him a few times befire,not even sure it's wen he's won either,a low grade 7f -1m1/2f horse on the aw,highest ever rating of 65 just looked really slow..Won a very poor race off 55 in August over 7fs,then last time out won another weak race a 0-65,would never have picked it and it looked like a titally different horse coming from off the pace it looked different class to that fiekd..Can't see why there would be any improvement,the winning time was ony .30 slower than the class 4 as well on the same card,usually a run like that is followed by a blow out hopefully they will go a decent pace to at least see if the pace of the race is where the improvementd come from..Got a six pound rise for that run and steps into the best ever race it's run in,if that doesn't run well the race looks impossible John Butlers got another runner with Holly Doyle riding,hacked up off 70 in November over c/d and in a good time you'd want to see this smashed off the boards with this comb to show its trying,only a pound higher than the win betting will be the pointer..was 11/4 fav in that race and this is a simlar race..

[gigilo]

Try again,desperate ground at Musselburugh it rained and the ground was heavy Boudica Bay was 5/2 i couldn't even see it placing has never been placed on sot ground was expecting a huge drift so glad to get a free bet,ii think thats the slowest ground i've ever seen at musselburugh 5f sprints slow by 6.88 seconds on one of the quickest 5fs you can run over,incredibly bad ground everywhwere..How the hell that Footsteps thing was 5/4 absolutely nuts betting in these races and as i said the newcomers betting would be the ones to watch 20/1 earlier the guest horse footsteps is only a low rated 70 horse 5/4 some punters are nuts.Tomorrow same story tiny stakes again,be glad when turf finishes had a brilliant 6 months so not blowing bombs on this desperate turf ground,but as i've done the form will do somethings most days..back to ew multis 1/4 stakes again.

Leicester 1.35


Devils club 4/1 365 Make A Spark 16/1 generallty


A mile race on desperate ground,Devils Club probably exposed to asome of these has finished 1st and 3rd in these 0-60s in last two turf attempts
now looks like taking on les exposed runners,maybe just playing for a place,sire Helvellyn is 6/36 on heavy ground so will stick with it hope there's not too many unexposed ones..
The easterby horse Make me Laugh has one run when running fifth on desperate ground at Thirsk in a 0-75 wasn't beaten far 3ls and staying on,but next time out went off 33/1 10/12 you wouldv'e thought wouldv';e been bet after that run at Thirsk..Will surely be loads of money fior it if they exopect the ground to make the difference in this 0-60 off just 51...current betting suggest not..Gypsy Boy heen a bit unlucky and the mot obvious alternative.

2nd and unplaced

2.10


Listen Again 11/4 hills/victor 5/2 ppower/sportsbook Sprot Of Rowdon 13/2 ppower/sportsbook generally 12 betfair

The second division of the 0-60s Listen Again was fourth in that 0-75 that Make Me Laugh was fifth in,then followed that up with a second in a 0-65 so obvious for the frame at worst and on known form obvious fav,4/27 over the trip the sire and sire Make Believe 3/17 on heavy ground..I suspect like today this is going to go off exceptionally short looking at what others have done so far,maybe as short as 5/4 unless something is fancied in the race..but as today showed this really bottomless ground a lot simply aren't going on it..
The other Spirit Of Rowdon ran well in a 0-65 although was off 45 and claimer took off 7 as well,strictly on paier a better race than this but sire Charm Spirit 3/12 at the track 17% over the trip soft ground stats are poor just 4/56 but has had 2/18 on heavy,if it gets the trip and backs that run up off 47 with the claimer taking off 7 would have decent ew chances/

Both unplaced


5.35


Fannie By Gaslight 9/1 hills 17/2 ppower/sportsbook


A 0-70 Fannie By Gasliht running off 68 carrying welterweight on desperate ground,at its best would have a decent ew chance won 3/20 hasn't been over raced,but this season not hit form yet..Won off 70 last season at Chester,fourh in a 0-85 at Ayr going off favourite and a third on heavy ground at Newbury,hasn't run off 68 since winning by 8ls in august 2018,De sousa rides not a regular jock but has won on him before..

Huge gamble no attempt to even put in race went off 3/1


Newcastle 7.45


Future King 11/8 ppower/sportsbook Bomra Green 10/30 365


Boma Green has had four runs and penultimate run was fourth in a 0-95 at York then flopped at Kempton,sire stats at newcastle Iffraaj are good here obvious chances in a maiden and still open to a little improvement..Future King ran on slow ground at haydock on debut third behind 93 and 87 rated horses a nice debut,respectable sire stats on surface..

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAA ABBBBOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MM!!Nice race to bet in got 1.5 a place for Boma as well,huge turnaround in what was looking a wipeout day,will settle for that..annoying holly doyle got 4th on Beau geste in multiples...
Try something seperate on the aw as well multiples.

Wolves 4.55

Peerless 3/1 ppower/victor/spotrtsbook 365 Vivacious Boy 6/1 generally victor/hills Sociality 12/1 365 8/1 generally

The best form in the race is from Peerless and Vivacious Boy,Peerless last twi runs in nurseries fifth in a 0-75 and last time out second in a 0-65 on fast ground,sire stats are only average on this surface but at least has a decent draw,suspect it may drift in betting..Vivacious Boy has run poorly here before on only second run,maybe worth forgiving as sire mayson 14% at wolves and 16% over 5fs,has also been running in 0-65s
so dropping in grade as Peerless..assuming surface is ok then obvious chances of going close..
Sociality is going to win a race if its last run is anything to go by,sat out the back over this c/d was motoring at finish in a 0-65 looks one to follow,the negative will be if Butler trys with it,far easier races open to it especially with the two heading the market..impossile to leave out though and could easily run well if they go quick enough..Similarly to a lesser extent Shawshank that looks like winning a race as well,was poorly positioned and ran wide and was only a 1/4l behind Sociality,if one or both of the favourites bombed out would have somesortof chance..Up side down ran in a 0-70 here last time has the best known aw run,drawn 1 so maybe worth an inrunning saver at 9/1 a line through kim wexler gives it 4ls on sociality if trip suits..impossible to leave out and even on its 3ls beating here last time out a strict line of form has the beating of Vivacious Lad..Saver and forecasts,late edition as went through race again,could add in ew multis as well

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6.0


Bay Of Naples 6/1 ppower/sportsbook generally

Bay Of Naples runner up last time out that was in a weak 0-60,jock let it slip back through the field mid race,then stayed on aggain am hoping that two hard races in quick succession and coming back again will still have enough left to run well again..Penultimate run was third in a 0-65 the time seemed quite good een though beaten 3 3/4ls,the first and second were 3yr olds,hopefully will go quick enough and decent ew chances...i think a crawl would make the horse look slow.
The Rocket Man was running in better races on the turf in high 60s then started to become disappointing till last time out when winning a 0-60 at wolves,25% sire toronado on surface and 25% over this trip obvious saver alternative open to improvement..

[B]2nd beaten a nose[B]



6.30


Beau Geste 4/1 365


Beau Geste a 4yr old only ten runs 3/5 on the aw,Tony Carroll purchased him in December 2019 and won first time out for hi and giot those two ther wins,won over a slightly longer trip in a 0-65 back in february and although beaten last two runs has still run ok,ran on the trf at Goodwood was fourth in a 0-70..Is only four pund higher than the last wolves run,wwas run in a decent time and he has holly doyle booked hoping the 44 dat break has freshened the horse up..Obvious place chances again,maybe open to a little improivement

4th annoying shouldv'e been placed she gave up on it cost me fortunes not placing..




7.0


Sir Hamilton 2/1 365 Daffr 9/2 ppower/sportsbook


Sir Hamilton was a high 80s horse,been on downgrade for awhile,been swapping trainers now with Joseph Parr twi runs for current trainer 2/2 those races were only 0-70s price is very skinny think its based on Joseph Parrs strike rate currentky 24%,time was ok last time out so obvious places again..Daafrs a c/d winner again because trauiners in form a shortish price although at its best would probabkly be favouruite fir this,last time out a fiurth at chelmsfird in a 0-80..Was also seconf here in a 0-80 back in august as well,Harry Russell takes off 5 so down ti 66 he will be off infront the negative could be shorter trup,last few wins have been over further but is off a decent mark now,and Zafaranah as looked to be coming back to form slowly could hit the frame at a big price 16/1 with lightly raced 2nd fav noble dawn

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7.30


Jack D'or 6/1 hills Flying Dragon 8/1 ppower/sportsbook

Might keep this race seperate from the multis or do some smaller ones as these two look more speculatuve,if Ho Team brings its third in a 0-90 at chester from last time out onto this syrface then would be a hot favourite fir fahey stable,will add for forecasts and hope one of these two hits the frame..Flying Dragon has been running poorly last couple of runs,only three runs on the aw last one was here when second in a 0-75 runs off same mark of 71 in a 0-72,a token choice and similarkly Jack D'or was fifth to Sea Fox over c/d in 2010 off 75 running on went off 3/1 fav and only beaten 1 1/4ls..It looks like they are struggling to find its right trip running over 1m2fs in 0-75s,a token bet based on its one orevious run here off a four pund lower mark.

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8.0


Freedom and Wheat 9/2 hills Inaam 16/1 ppower/sportsbook..


Freedom and Wheats profile is very strange just looked very slow i've backed him a few times befire,not even sure it's wen he's won either,a low grade 7f -1m1/2f horse on the aw,highest ever rating of 65 just looked really slow..Won a very poor race off 55 in August over 7fs,then last time out won another weak race a 0-65,would never have picked it and it looked like a titally different horse coming from off the pace it looked different class to that fiekd..Can't see why there would be any improvement,the winning time was ony .30 slower than the class 4 as well on the same card,usually a run like that is followed by a blow out hopefully they will go a decent pace to at least see if the pace of the race is where the improvementd come from..Got a six pound rise for that run and steps into the best ever race it's run in,if that doesn't run well the race looks impossible John Butlers got another runner with Holly Doyle riding,hacked up off 70 in November over c/d and in a good time you'd want to see this smashed off the boards with this comb to show its trying,only a pound higher than the win betting will be the pointer..was 11/4 fav in that race and this is a simlar race..

That was agony another 50 yards wouldv'e had the 1,2 what a turnaround from that dire turf stuff!!!A great turnarpund on the day..

[gigilo]

Some utter trash racing for a saturday three poor cards Ascot for watching but betting looks a waste of time,fancy nothing really will have a token bet on one fir now might do some sort of lucky 15 for an interest later

Wolves 4.55

Monaadhil 14/1 generally




Do a couple of ew trixies for now,no more than speculative Monaadhil 2/16 all runs four runs on the aw was rated 84 when with Marcus Tregoning then joined Ruth Carr in june 2019 been totally regressive,now down to just 59,one decent run for her that was penultimate run when 4th over c./d in a 0-65,was beaten 5 1/4ls but gave the field 15ls start..The time was respectable for grade,but the followed that up with another poor run at Chelmsford,drops into a 0-60 for the first time tomorrow and back over the c/d fourth,Ruth Carrs having a nightmare run,but at least it's in the right grade..
Reponse Exacte has had fourteeen runs won as a 2yr old on debut has already been with six trainers,they are all struggling to find its trip mark has gone from 82 down to just 57,last time out at least showed some form when second over 7fs,terrible profile but a bad race a possibility could run well upped another furlong..


6.0

Appleby and gosdens head the market both newcomers,they won't have to be brilliant to win this No man ran respectable third on debut well beaten 6 14/s the second was an appleby horse was 5ls behind that so tomorrow betting should be very informatuve..The winner of the race looked a bit special and the appleby runer up had been second to maximal on debut run,if the Palmer horse imprives for that debut run then obvious ew chance..The other Millitary man ran in what looked maybe slightly better than an average maiden but maybe just average for newmarket,one paced fifth Gleneagles a great sire on turf but the stats are poor so far on the aw so would be a token pick with maybe improvement over this longer trip..The Appplebt horse cost over 1,000,000 so this could be a hot maiden with gosde runner as well..

No man 15/2 victor Millitary man man 7/1 365


6.30


Gavlar 13/2 hills generally 7/1 365

Gavlar veteran now at as 9yr old,on downgrade bur run ok in three out if its last four runs wuth three fourths,all those races were 0-65s or better although hasn't won since august 2018 so looks more of a place chance,a line through Selsey Sizzler ties in with the fav if it can run to its last three out of four runs then decent place chance..

[gigilo]

Some utter trash racing for a saturday three poor cards Ascot for watching but betting looks a waste of time,fancy nothing really will have a token bet on one fir now might do some sort of lucky 15 for an interest later

Wolves 4.55

Monaadhil 14/1 generally




Do a couple of ew trixies for now,no more than speculative Monaadhil 2/16 all runs four runs on the aw was rated 84 when with Marcus Tregoning then joined Ruth Carr in june 2019 been totally regressive,now down to just 59,one decent run for her that was penultimate run when 4th over c./d in a 0-65,was beaten 5 1/4ls but gave the field 15ls start..The time was respectable for grade,but the followed that up with another poor run at Chelmsford,drops into a 0-60 for the first time tomorrow and back over the c/d fourth,Ruth Carrs having a nightmare run,but at least it's in the right grade..
Reponse Exacte has had fourteeen runs won as a 2yr old on debut has already been with six trainers,they are all struggling to find its trip mark has gone from 82 down to just 57,last time out at least showed some form when second over 7fs,terrible profile but a bad race a possibility could run well upped another furlong..


6.0

Appleby and gosdens head the market both newcomers,they won't have to be brilliant to win this No man ran respectable third on debut well beaten 6 14/s the second was an appleby horse was 5ls behind that so tomorrow betting should be very informatuve..The winner of the race looked a bit special and the appleby runer up had been second to maximal on debut run,if the Palmer horse imprives for that debut run then obvious ew chance..The other Millitary man ran in what looked maybe slightly better than an average maiden but maybe just average for newmarket,one paced fifth Gleneagles a great sire on turf but the stats are poor so far on the aw so would be a token pick with maybe improvement over this longer trip..The Appplebt horse cost over 1,000,000 so this could be a hot maiden with gosde runner as well..

No man 15/2 victor Millitary man man 7/1 365


KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOMMM!! Lovely when you ee the goseden and appleby horses drift and yours ends up fav,nice day on a load of shite racing!!


6.30


Gavlar 13/2 hills generally 7/1 365

Gavlar veteran now at as 9yr old,on downgrade bur run ok in three out if its last four runs wuth three fourths,all those races were 0-65s or better although hasn't won since august 2018 so looks more of a place chance,a line through Selsey Sizzler ties in with the fav if it can run to its last three out of four runs then decent place chance..

Shouldv'e won,they just went too slow ended up a sorint the front of the market was full of dogs,annoying as that race was perfect for it will have to settle for another winning day and the place..

[gigilo]

Some ridiculously copetitve cards toorrow will try some small ew multis and singles..

Windsor 4.0


Espresso Freddo 8/1 ppower/sportsbook Part Island 4/1 sportsbook/ppower/generally


Espresso Freddo thoroughly exposed off 68 but last five runs on sifter ground has been first 0ff 58 followed by 2/2/2/3 was third in a 0-80 at newmarket last turf run of 2019,comeback this season on aw no good then last time out second to the progressive Flying Moon in a 0-70.
Last season was second in this race off 66 but on desperate ground,so not well handicapped but likes ground and c/d ew chances..Party Island
been consistent,doesn't look to be improving but appears to love thios ground a second at haydock in a 0-75 and a win there in a 0-69..Last time out run looked below par,no real excuse unless the horse is just a total mudlark if it is then tomorrows ground will suit..Mabo and Dancing Jo were second and third to Expresso Freddo last season when they met at bath,they have ew chances at bigger prices,Dancing Jo has a 20 pound turnaround for 4 1/2ls,which looks huge but thats the only bit of soft ground form she's ever shown,she has looked like a fast ground horse they have avoided slow ground sire stats aren't great but don't necessarily suggest she would prefer fast ground as opposed to softer.







Wolves 4.25


Sulochana 6/1 ppower/sportsbook Pax Britannica 15/2 365 13/2 hills

A wide open 0-60 handicap over 1m4fs,Sulochanas had seven runs
best runs have been last two a second in a 0-65 a Bath off 56 at Bath over 1m5fs and then a third in a 0-60 at Chelmsford
beaten 3 1/4ls over 1m 5 1/2fs,drops back slightly in trip to 1m4fs with first time blinkers..Sire stats ae decent on surfce 18* winners and 20% over the trip,Cieran Fallon rides,trainer hughie morrison aso has the favourite no form yet but has angus villiers booked ridig lots of winners betting will be informative..
Pax Brittanica ran in a slightly beter race last time out at Newcastle running fifth beaten in a 0-70 was upped to this trip after staying on in a 0-65 at lingfield on penultimate run,off just 56 if handles the track then another with decent place chances dropped into a 0-60 and Critique looks well in with seven pound claimer has run well in this grade before and although ran poorly here one run thats when blinkers weren't on so maybe saver/firecasts.

5.0


Swissal 11/2 hills 5/1 ppower/sportsbook


The most interesting horse in this race is Dubai Elegance 25/1 ppower/sportsbook,i put it up in December and January when winning back to back races lat win was in a class 5 0-75 off 58 over 7fs the other run over 7fs here was second off 58 in a 0-58,this really is only a slightly better race..The huge negative is Derek Shaw no winners since lockdown and his hirses are running abysmally,have also noticed all its wins and best runs were with pieces on last five runs was 5/1/1/2/5 then for no apparent reason not on since February 20th,maybe saving them for a touch when horses are in form but at current prices i wouyld chuck some coppers on off a mark of just 55..
Swissal i've oput up a couple of times,from the 10 draw it looks of very little value at 9/2 although did come second in a 0-65 two days ago ad is due to go up in weights,the time of its division was virtually the same as the second div so will take the risk dropped in class and hope it gets the pace it will need to get involved..dropping in class

5.30


Sfumato 15/2 generally


Sfumato wouldv'e stood out at the prices on last years form,but looks far more unreliable this season has a 1/3 over this c/d from last season won off 59 and then ws third in a 0-65 going off 3/1 both races..hasn't really shown much since..Numerous runs over 6fs since,simply looks like he hasn't been getting home,ony respectable run was a fourth recenty in a 0-65 over the 6fs here at wolves,but again never got home runs off 58 a pound below last win,nothing more than hopeful the 7fs may suit better..Favourite Soveriegn Beauty was rated 70,has a dodgy profile but last time out suddenly back to form when second off 60 at sailsbury,the sire free eagle does well on tapeta 14% so could well impoie for surface..
Kyllachy dragon has an even worse profile tailed off gambled last week at swell the one interesting thing is both recent runs here in December and January was second off 65 and third off 63 tomorrow off just 57,this race is so bad these three could be the three to concentrate on fiorecasts/savers etc etc.




7.30


Champs De Reves 7/1 365 8s betfair My Poem 13/2 365/hills


Champs De Reves looks exposed,last three runs has stepped up in trip two seconds on turf both to sing the blues at bath so decent turf runs the last run was in a 0-80 if it could transfer that run to tapeta then would look a little better,in between though has been fourth of nine over 1m6fs at chelmsford on the aw,megan nicholls takes off three tomorrow,there are a lot less exposed runners in this race vulnerable but obvious place chances off 71..
My poem has been running in some decent races on turf a third and fiurth in a 0-80 and 0-85..sire stats look good on surface 15% but when you look at sire over the 1m4fs just 2/51 so seems an unlikely winner,it maybe the horse wants dropping to 1m2fs ran well here over 1m1/2f in a 0-78 staying on third..Will add it tomorrow,but i will be watching this one closely for future reference for coming back here over shorterr if it doesn'tt stay..
Manjaam has plenty of form here and over longer trips here,running over hurdles and now slipped to a decent mark if this field doesn't show improvement or go on the surface he would be the obvious one to have a saver on..lowest mark since march 2016..

8.0

Enzo 16/1 ppower/sportsbook

I did a few John Butler horses last week useless,then of course he had a winner after long losing run Enzos profile is poor but has dropped down to last winning mark which was its lowest ever mark of 55 August 2019 was also placed off 62,63,63 last season once over this c/d and once at lingfield over 1m2fs..Did nothing after that although a couple of those runs didn't get clear runs,has had two runs this season shown absolutely nothing just weakening when going with the pace,you'd want to see this heavily backed from this stable and wit Luke Morris riding,at least it's in the right grade now..It's such an open race it's hard to pick anythuing else as nine of the thirteen runners have a chance on form,so for now wuill just stick with Enzo till watched some replays..if they went for a gamble on Enzo it's even possible it could end up favourite,vice versa could be 33s by the off..An interesting runner.

[gigilo]

Some ridiculously copetitve cards toorrow will try some small ew multis and singles..

Windsor 4.0


Espresso Freddo 8/1 ppower/sportsbook Part Island 4/1 sportsbook/ppower/generally


Espresso Freddo thoroughly exposed off 68 but last five runs on sifter ground has been first 0ff 58 followed by 2/2/2/3 was third in a 0-80 at newmarket last turf run of 2019,comeback this season on aw no good then last time out second to the progressive Flying Moon in a 0-70.
Last season was second in this race off 66 but on desperate ground,so not well handicapped but likes ground and c/d ew chances..Party Island
been consistent,doesn't look to be improving but appears to love thios ground a second at haydock in a 0-75 and a win there in a 0-69..Last time out run looked below par,no real excuse unless the horse is just a total mudlark if it is then tomorrows ground will suit..Mabo and Dancing Jo were second and third to Expresso Freddo last season when they met at bath,they have ew chances at bigger prices,Dancing Jo has a 20 pound turnaround for 4 1/2ls,which looks huge but thats the only bit of soft ground form she's ever shown,she has looked like a fast ground horse they have avoided slow ground sire stats aren't great but don't necessarily suggest she would prefer fast ground as opposed to softer.

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBOOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!!Sluiced up Party Island placed as well.....







Wolves 4.25


Sulochana 6/1 ppower/sportsbook Pax Britannica 15/2 365 13/2 hills

A wide open 0-60 handicap over 1m4fs,Sulochanas had seven runs
best runs have been last two a second in a 0-65 a Bath off 56 at Bath over 1m5fs and then a third in a 0-60 at Chelmsford
beaten 3 1/4ls over 1m 5 1/2fs,drops back slightly in trip to 1m4fs with first time blinkers..Sire stats ae decent on surfce 18* winners and 20% over the trip,Cieran Fallon rides,trainer hughie morrison aso has the favourite no form yet but has angus villiers booked ridig lots of winners betting will be informative..
Pax Brittanica ran in a slightly beter race last time out at Newcastle running fifth beaten in a 0-70 was upped to this trip after staying on in a 0-65 at lingfield on penultimate run,off just 56 if handles the track then another with decent place chances dropped into a 0-60 and Critique looks well in with seven pound claimer has run well in this grade before and although ran poorly here one run thats when blinkers weren't on so maybe saver/firecasts.

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK AAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBPOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!Can't believe this never went off favourite unbelievable 8s still on the fair!!!!

5.0


Swissal 11/2 hills 5/1 ppower/sportsbook


The most interesting horse in this race is Dubai Elegance 25/1 ppower/sportsbook,i put it up in December and January when winning back to back races lat win was in a class 5 0-75 off 58 over 7fs the other run over 7fs here was second off 58 in a 0-58,this really is only a slightly better race..The huge negative is Derek Shaw no winners since lockdown and his hirses are running abysmally,have also noticed all its wins and best runs were with pieces on last five runs was 5/1/1/2/5 then for no apparent reason not on since February 20th,maybe saving them for a touch when horses are in form but at current prices i wouyld chuck some coppers on off a mark of just 55..
Swissal i've oput up a couple of times,from the 10 draw it looks of very little value at 9/2 although did come second in a 0-65 two days ago ad is due to go up in weights,the time of its division was virtually the same as the second div so will take the risk dropped in class and hope it gets the pace it will need to get involved..dropping in class

Nice place gave them 15ls strt and Dubai Elegance got up for 4th both ppower ad sportsbook paying 4 places,having a monster night...

5.30


Sfumato 15/2 generally


Sfumato wouldv'e stood out at the prices on last years form,but looks far more unreliable this season has a 1/3 over this c/d from last season won off 59 and then ws third in a 0-65 going off 3/1 both races..hasn't really shown much since..Numerous runs over 6fs since,simply looks like he hasn't been getting home,ony respectable run was a fourth recenty in a 0-65 over the 6fs here at wolves,but again never got home runs off 58 a pound below last win,nothing more than hopeful the 7fs may suit better..Favourite Soveriegn Beauty was rated 70,has a dodgy profile but last time out suddenly back to form when second off 60 at sailsbury,the sire free eagle does well on tapeta 14% so could well impoie for surface..
Kyllachy dragon has an even worse profile tailed off gambled last week at swell the one interesting thing is both recent runs here in December and January was second off 65 and third off 63 tomorrow off just 57,this race is so bad these three could be the three to concentrate on fiorecasts/savers etc etc.

Forecasts and savers unreal and got evens for 4 places sfumato annoying it never hiot the frame done in photo but as write up nothing in the race nice little touch again, forecast paid £17.58 exacta £20 and backed the pair a great day 6.27 Soveriegn beauty,anything else would be a huge bonus!!




7.30


Champs De Reves 7/1 365 8s betfair My Poem 13/2 365/hills


Champs De Reves looks exposed,last three runs has stepped up in trip two seconds on turf both to sing the blues at bath so decent turf runs the last run was in a 0-80 if it could transfer that run to tapeta then would look a little better,in between though has been fourth of nine over 1m6fs at chelmsford on the aw,megan nicholls takes off three tomorrow,there are a lot less exposed runners in this race vulnerable but obvious place chances off 71..
My poem has been running in some decent races on turf a third and fiurth in a 0-80 and 0-85..sire stats look good on surface 15% but when you look at sire over the 1m4fs just 2/51 so seems an unlikely winner,it maybe the horse wants dropping to 1m2fs ran well here over 1m1/2f in a 0-78 staying on third..Will add it tomorrow,but i will be watching this one closely for future reference for coming back here over shorterr if it doesn'tt stay..
Manjaam has plenty of form here and over longer trips here,running over hurdles and now slipped to a decent mark if this field doesn't show improvement or go on the surface he would be the obvious one to have a saver on..lowest mark since march 2016..

Mugged mtyself in that race gave the sire stats and it prived right again,hated it last and fav,the other got left just being greedy adding in that race,

8.0

Enzo 16/1 ppower/sportsbook

I did a few John Butler horses last week useless,then of course he had a winner after long losing run Enzos profile is poor but has dropped down to last winning mark which was its lowest ever mark of 55 August 2019 was also placed off 62,63,63 last season once over this c/d and once at lingfield over 1m2fs..Did nothing after that although a couple of those runs didn't get clear runs,has had two runs this season shown absolutely nothing just weakening when going with the pace,you'd want to see this heavily backed from this stable and wit Luke Morris riding,at least it's in the right grade now..It's such an open race it's hard to pick anythuing else as nine of the thirteen runners have a chance on form,so for now wuill just stick with Enzo till watched some replays..if they went for a gamble on Enzo it's even possible it could end up favourite,vice versa could be 33s by the off..An interesting runner.

Unbelievable smashed off the boards,they just kepyt backing it and inti fav as write up,cruising found nothing using same tactics as last two runs i thought they would hold it up tonight,incredible all dat long hammered prces got pushed out then hammered again,Can't complain had a great day again,just annoying no returns of those last two races..

[gigilo]

Chelmsford 6.15


Storm Over 25/1 hills 20/1 ppower/sportsbook

No positives for Storm Over in recent runs shown nothing since returning in july,although last time out was badly hampered got taken wide and was 10th of 12 so not much to read from that run but just got the impression wouldv'e run a bit better than the previous four runs this season..was impossible to tell..Other negatives,trainers in poor form no winners in 61 runners,although they havn't being running terribly but going off all big prices..The positves are horse likes the track,1/4/3/1/4 also 3/11 on the aw last wi was january when winning over c/d off 83 a better race tha this 0-80 and also the fourth in a 0-95 off 87 now down too just 79,never run in this grade before,would probably be favourite to win this race on any of those two runs earlier in the year..



8.15


Bad Attitude 7/2 365 10/30 hills Artistic Vision 14/1 365/sky generally

A weak 0-55 over 1m2fs,Bad Attitude won over c/d in march off 60 just a weak 0-60 but that was for 3yr olds a fifth over c/d in september to Bayston Hill in a 0-60 better than tomorrows race and last time out touched off at wolves in a race i put the winner up on monday..He looks very one paced and vulnerable to anything with any improvement,but best known form with claimer runs off 52 with five pud claimer six lower than the baysto hill run..The other Artistic Vision ran in that Bayston hill race,got along way behind and looked one paced at finish,it may have had a little more in hand as jock was not hard on him difficult to tell,bombed out next time out reverting to type but will have a speculatuve bet on it as the bayston hill race was a respectable time,although he has a fair bit to prove but just the six runs..went off 4/1 on monday here over a mile beaten 11ls it may well drift like a barge after that run..

[gigilo]

Stormover ran flat again,trainers out of form was up there but found nothing and Bad Attitude went off 8/11 laughable pruce i backed it agai at evens after non runners and laid off at 1.2 it traded 1.02 was canterig,but as in write up the horse is very one paced they went no gallop desperate time very poor ride by the jock to sit off that pace,it's one of those horses you will see placing throughout the aw season and will win a race or two..


Leicester 12.20


Balgara 12/1 hills/victor 10/1 generally

Another desperate ground meeting at Leicester,the races were a guessing game there the last meeting and the grounds going to be even worse on monday,so for now just the one pick in a 7f nursery for horses rated upto 70..Balgara has had six runs was running in decent maidens nearer last than first in all three first runs but plenty of winners have come out of all three,then went handicaping at sandown on soft ground running in a 0-75 over 7fs finishing third..Gave the field 10ls strt in that 0-75,didn't get the clearest of runs and did have a chance of winning entering final furlong,ultimately looked to get outstayed the winner Valorant was runner up in a 0-95 at Donny this week and the fourth envega was only fourth of five next time out in a 0-85 but was staying on in a ponte nusery..The fifth Risque was 4ls behind Bagara and that finished 5/27 in a newmarket nursery on next run..first four were rated 82,84,92 and 94..The ground at sandown was sot race was slow by six seconds,the following 0-80 for older horses was slower than the nursery,so the time was backed up as well..Begara was off 64 in that race was switched to the aw at kempton and two poor runs beaen easily in mondays grade.. Sire Equiano not great stats outside of sprinting distances,soft ground 16% but the ground will be heavy stats go down too 10% so about average,just purely based on the Sandown run from the form i can see would be favourite to win this race ignoring the twi kempton races,sire not great there either..A massive field with desperate ground but betting should be informative..would be amazed if this doesn't halve in prices..
Yorkshire Lady has riun in three maidens not showng much although ran ok at beverlet beaten over 8ls was stayig on and the horse ifront of it
ran ok in a 0-80 last time out i suspect her opening mark of 60 is ok,whther its anygood in this 0-70 and heavy ground would be guesswork and Cuban Fox alreadt beaten in 0-60s placing ran ok in a 0-70 over 6fs last time out on heavy ground..These two probably have place chances,although you would suspect something hidden in fifteen runners.


Leicester 3.55

George Rinsdale 5/2 365 2/1 hills

George Rinsdale has gone up 12 pounds since winning here over c/d off 50,although the day he won by 6 1/2ls he couldv'e won by 10+ has won again at Ayr and last time out was second at Ayr in a 0-70 over a mile,back here in a 0-65 skinny at 2/1 maybe get slighty bigger when otherbooks open up..He loks open to more imprvement on this surface,but is no cetainty a couple of others catch the eye Dave Evans sends four to newcastle and one of them Scofflaw although regressing could easily run well in this race,was rated 8 at one point in 2019 won off 76 at cheter on the turf in the August..Had shown nothing this season till getting backed in a 0-80 at Windsor finishing fifth,maybe a sighn of coming into form dropped in class back on the aw and hollie doyle booked runnig off just and lowest ever mark..And the two more obvious runners Armed and Clifftop heaven both slipped in weights and both have run inbetter races here obvious alternatives to the favourite,both were rated higher in previous runs here..


Newcastle

4.30

Sittenham Wood 7/1 365/betfred/ppower/sportsbook/victor/sky


You're taing a risk with Sittenham Wood he won easily by 6 1/2ls on 22nd September a terrible race but time compres well to most of mondays runners c.d runs,was rated 55 winning that race but his next two runs he's been tailed off 57ls and 29l different tracks and surfaces,hard to find excuses for losses like that..you could say ground on one run at redcar and maybe going the wrng way at kempton but the distances beaten was beaten miles out..More of a token selection back at this track,and with Danny Tudhope back on board..


5.30

Line Of Reason 16/1 betfred/victor/ppower Manshood 16/1 ppower/sportsbook/victor

An ultra competitive 6f race for horses rated upto 80 and eight c/d winners,just a couple of token bets bot runners traned by Paul Midgeley h's on a losing run so would be token bets,Line of Reason rarely wins now been racing all through the summmer,am not sre if he 's had enough last two runs have been out of line with most runs this season..He wn off 78 in late June but was touched off in another 0-80 was fourth and fift in a 0-90 always there abouts so looks a little overpruced in a 0-80,just last two runs been poor back on 78 and has track form..
Midgleys other Manshood is very unpredictable,a win ad two seconds here also won in june off 76 but a slightly weaker race but followed that up here in a 0-85 finishing second off 83 tomorrow off 77,he is unreliable but could be competitve if at his best in a 0-80..


6.30


Ask The Wind 9/2 hills 4/1 365


A 0-70 nursery over 7fs,again lots lihtky raced so guesswork and the surface the best piece of looking turf form s far is from Ask the Wind just three runs and the last was first time in a nusery,second at Goodwood to Consrvatire beaten 3ls,that was over 7fs Conservatoire franed the form toda winning a 0-90 at Donny..The third in the Gooodwood race Farasi Lane was third in a 0-90 nursery on previous run so the form looks solid around the first three,the negatives are sire stats just around 10% on surface and trip,the Goodwood run was on desperate ground and sire stats point towards running over further,there are some very good sire stats on this surface over 1m4fs and upwards..The do crawl here in lots of races
so that could be a negative as well but a mark of 64 is definitely one it will be wnning off even if it is over further..
High peak has previous experience here was second on debut,doesn't look chucked in off 70 but form ties in with fav has run terrible last two runs but bee gelded if nothing imprives then must have place chances at least if repeating debut run..

Redcar 3.35


Max Oclock 14/1 ppower/sportsbook generally

An impossible looking nursery with lots of lightly raced horses,looks a fair race for the grade plenty of form in the race grounds going to be soft probably not fr off heavy ground,lots of lightly raced runners iposible guessing on those runners..Bomb Squad will definitely like the ground won a poor race at windsor when i put it up ar a massive price and been consistent since was third in a 0-70 last time out,exposed ground may determine if it can figure as obviously likes it desperate..Two other winners Vivacious Boy and Max oclock have both won 0-65s already,although i suspect this race maybe better even though just a 0-60...vivacious boy has finished behind bomb squad as well and was runner up t Max Oclock at ayr..Max Oclock won easily over 5fs at ayr the ground was given as good/gd/sft when infact it was soft ground the race was slow by over four seconds,he looked like there was more to come with a comfirtable win..Then has disappointed last three runs,twice on the aw and once at Thirsk on good ground..Perhaps he just had that one decet run,but the only time has run on slower ground it won,out of a very average sire in Camacho the stats are very poor on good or faster ground,but when on softer and heavy ground the look far better..So at the pruces will hope the ground brings the ayr form back certainly was ging aay at ayr over 5fs so it looked on that run that 6fs would suit,speculatuve but at pruces then worth a small bet..just four pound higher than the win..

[gigilo]

Stormover ran flat again,trainers out of form was up there but found nothing and Bad Attitude went off 8/11 laughable pruce i backed it agai at evens after non runners and laid off at 1.2 it traded 1.02 was canterig,but as in write up the horse is very one paced they went no gallop desperate time very poor ride by the jock to sit off that pace,it's one of those horses you will see placing throughout the aw season and will win a race or two..


Leicester 12.20


Balgara 12/1 hills/victor 10/1 generally

Another desperate ground meeting at Leicester,the races were a guessing game there the last meeting and the grounds going to be even worse on monday,so for now just the one pick in a 7f nursery for horses rated upto 70..Balgara has had six runs was running in decent maidens nearer last than first in all three first runs but plenty of winners have come out of all three,then went handicaping at sandown on soft ground running in a 0-75 over 7fs finishing third..Gave the field 10ls strt in that 0-75,didn't get the clearest of runs and did have a chance of winning entering final furlong,ultimately looked to get outstayed the winner Valorant was runner up in a 0-95 at Donny this week and the fourth envega was only fourth of five next time out in a 0-85 but was staying on in a ponte nusery..The fifth Risque was 4ls behind Bagara and that finished 5/27 in a newmarket nursery on next run..first four were rated 82,84,92 and 94..The ground at sandown was sot race was slow by six seconds,the following 0-80 for older horses was slower than the nursery,so the time was backed up as well..Begara was off 64 in that race was switched to the aw at kempton and two poor runs beaen easily in mondays grade.. Sire Equiano not great stats outside of sprinting distances,soft ground 16% but the ground will be heavy stats go down too 10% so about average,just purely based on the Sandown run from the form i can see would be favourite to win this race ignoring the twi kempton races,sire not great there either..A massive field with desperate ground but betting should be informative..would be amazed if this doesn't halve in prices..
Yorkshire Lady has riun in three maidens not showng much although ran ok at beverlet beaten over 8ls was stayig on and the horse ifront of it
ran ok in a 0-80 last time out i suspect her opening mark of 60 is ok,whther its anygood in this 0-70 and heavy ground would be guesswork and Cuban Fox alreadt beaten in 0-60s placing ran ok in a 0-70 over 6fs last time out on heavy ground..These two probably have place chances,although you would suspect something hidden in fifteen runners.


KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAABB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!Bagara smashed into 5/1 fav non runner thought ffs,took 16s Yorkshire Lady will settle for that and in multis!! aboiut time i had some luck!!Lokked well i on the sailsbury run all about stamina..hope you backed it!!. 11.5 bfsp.


Leicester 3.55

George Rinsdale 5/2 365 2/1 hills

George Rinsdale has gone up 12 pounds since winning here over c/d off 50,although the day he won by 6 1/2ls he couldv'e won by 10+ has won again at Ayr and last time out was second at Ayr in a 0-70 over a mile,back here in a 0-65 skinny at 2/1 maybe get slighty bigger when otherbooks open up..He loks open to more imprvement on this surface,but is no cetainty a couple of others catch the eye Dave Evans sends four to newcastle and one of them Scofflaw although regressing could easily run well in this race,was rated 8 at one point in 2019 won off 76 at cheter on the turf in the August..Had shown nothing this season till getting backed in a 0-80 at Windsor finishing fifth,maybe a sighn of coming into form dropped in class back on the aw and hollie doyle booked runnig off just and lowest ever mark..And the two more obvious runners Armed and Clifftop heaven both slipped in weights and both have run inbetter races here obvious alternatives to the favourite,both were rated higher in previous runs here..

KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMM!!Won exactly how it looke like it should a stone in hand!!


Newcastle

4.30

Sittenham Wood 7/1 365/betfred/ppower/sportsbook/victor/sky


You're taing a risk with Sittenham Wood he won easily by 6 1/2ls on 22nd September a terrible race but time compres well to most of mondays runners c.d runs,was rated 55 winning that race but his next two runs he's been tailed off 57ls and 29l different tracks and surfaces,hard to find excuses for losses like that..you could say ground on one run at redcar and maybe going the wrng way at kempton but the distances beaten was beaten miles out..More of a token selection back at this track,and with Danny Tudhope back on board..

Same as last two runs gave them 15ls,although this time got stopped in run wouldn't have won but woulfv'e been figting for a place maybe 4th,worth noting if it ca get out on terms no way it was going to win i've had 2 mw winners today,when was the last time mw had a treble..


5.30

Line Of Reason 16/1 betfred/victor/ppower Manshood 16/1 ppower/sportsbook/victor

An ultra competitive 6f race for horses rated upto 80 and eight c/d winners,just a couple of token bets bot runners traned by Paul Midgeley h's on a losing run so would be token bets,Line of Reason rarely wins now been racing all through the summmer,am not sre if he 's had enough last two runs have been out of line with most runs this season..He wn off 78 in late June but was touched off in another 0-80 was fourth and fift in a 0-90 always there abouts so looks a little overpruced in a 0-80,just last two runs been poor back on 78 and has track form..
Midgleys other Manshood is very unpredictable,a win ad two seconds here also won in june off 76 but a slightly weaker race but followed that up here in a 0-85 finishing second off 83 tomorrow off 77,he is unreliable but could be competitve if at his best in a 0-80..

Non trier manshood and jock gave up on line of reason,didn't want ti finish in the frame


6.30


Ask The Wind 9/2 hills 4/1 365


A 0-70 nursery over 7fs,again lots lihtky raced so guesswork and the surface the best piece of looking turf form s far is from Ask the Wind just three runs and the last was first time in a nusery,second at Goodwood to Consrvatire beaten 3ls,that was over 7fs Conservatoire franed the form toda winning a 0-90 at Donny..The third in the Gooodwood race Farasi Lane was third in a 0-90 nursery on previous run so the form looks solid around the first three,the negatives are sire stats just around 10% on surface and trip,the Goodwood run was on desperate ground and sire stats point towards running over further,there are some very good sire stats on this surface over 1m4fs and upwards..The do crawl here in lots of races
so that could be a negative as well but a mark of 64 is definitely one it will be wnning off even if it is over further..
High peak has previous experience here was second on debut,doesn't look chucked in off 70 but form ties in with fav has run terrible last two runs but bee gelded if nothing imprives then must have place chances at least if repeating debut run..

Worst ride of the day award different class to these and never involved till last 100 yards,will get penalised for it as well so annoying.

Redcar 3.35


Max Oclock 14/1 ppower/sportsbook generally

An impossible looking nursery with lots of lightly raced horses,looks a fair race for the grade plenty of form in the race grounds going to be soft probably not fr off heavy ground,lots of lightly raced runners iposible guessing on those runners.Bomb Squad will definitely like the ground won a poor race at windsor when i put it up ar a massive price and been consistent since was third in a 0-70 last time out,exposed ground may determine if it can figure as obviously likes it desperate..Two other winners Vivacious Boy and Max oclock Two other winners Vivacious Boy and Max oclock have both won 0-65s already,although i suspect this race maybe better even though just a 0-60...vivacious boy has finished behind bomb squad as well and was runner up t Max Oclock at ayr..Max Oclock won easily over 5fs at ayr the ground was given as good/gd/sft when infact it was soft ground the race was slow by over four seconds,he looked like there was more to come with a comfirtable win..Then has disappointed last three runs,twice on the aw and once at Thirsk on good ground..Perhaps he just had that one decet run,but the only time has run on slower ground it won,out of a very average sire in Camacho the stats are very poor on good or faster ground,but when on softer and heavy ground the look far better..So at the pruces will hope the ground brings the ayr form back certainly was ging aay at ayr over 5fs so it looked on that run that 6fs would suit,speculatuve but at pruces then worth a small bet..just four pound higher than the win..

Just incredible happes again smashed off the boards into 11/2 and second pick wins got 10s on the fair on Bomb Squad,i' going to have to start doing write ups and putting the second picks in seperate multiples,happens every single day,an incredible price in the fair as well only horse that had gone on the ground..Think the curtis horse was ridden to lose that race,went off infront no chance..

[gigilo]

Competitve stuff at swell even though small fields so a speculative bet on the ellison horse in the last..


Southwell 7.50


Lucky Robin 14/1 ppower/sportsbook 10/1 skybet/boyles/betway 11/1 hills/victor


Brian Ellison trained 8yr old a speculatuve bet a hurdler/chaser rated 117 hurdles 109 chaser only run twice on the aw at Newcastle poor runs 6th of 10 beaten over 8ls in this grade,went off 10/30 fav,the sire very few runners on the aw just three no winners and tree runners on turf but two winners..Nothing from previous form suggests abiity on the flat,but so lighty raced on it then will take a chance on it,the grandsire diligence has had 2/6 on fibresand but nothing further than 1m1f..Seems to lead all races it runs in,raated 117 over hurdles just 48 on flat in theory well handicapped but nothing shown on tapeta so could only be speculative..Being from the Ellison stable you'd want t see this going off 5/1 in a race like this Kieran Shoemark takes off another 5,so betting will surely be a pointer off such a low mark..The obvious ew alternatve would be Londonia,a c/d winner rated 105 over hurdles and although not showing much lately and was beaten 10ls here over 1m6fs,that was a far better race than tomorrows and running off last winning mark of 58..