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Thread: Daily picks.

  1. #10641
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    Epsom 6.20


    Amanto 20/1 365 16/1 Totesport/betfred/hills/victor


    Small speculative bet on Amanto an 8yr old now and still horses improving in this race and bar one you couldn't rule anything out Amanto has been hurdling quite a bit but still 0/17 two recent thirds over the hurdles and a weak looking run last time out no show at newbury.Fannie by gaslight would be different class to these on soft ground on last years form and the favourite Allegiant also better class form just over slightly shorter last two runs over 1m2fs here better class form if the channon horse comes back to form and if Allegiant likes the step up in trip then they would win..Then you have loads on form some improving and they look hard to seperate,so will just have a small bet on Amanto has won over c/d last season winning a weak race off 65 and then was third in this race last season off 70,then came back over c/d again and was fourth of eight although that was only a 0-70 but a lot softer ground,off 67 tomorrow.Has had a wind op since last run,worth a few coppers at those prices even though maybe three or four still better than it,a very strong race for a 0-75 i would follow this one in a weaker race next few runs..
    16/1 across the boards 18/1 sportsbook,not a bean for it i was hoping to see the ground as gd/fm but doesn't look like its drying out to quick,anyway was only a small interest so ain't going t break the bank..


    Ffos las 5.35


    Sir Arthur Dayne 10/11 365 5/6 victor 4/5 hills


    A very short price for a nursery and carrying welterwieght of 10-1 it will probably just win or bomb out completely hadn't shown alot in three runs although the third of fiur at epsom that little field i think the first two were decent handicappers even though this one was beaten over 4ls by them..Won a maiden next time out on quickker ground and that might be the key to the horse,would not want to see any rain or too much overwaterng at ffos las tomorrow,as when it won at lingfield by an easy 9ls the time of the 7f race was only slow by .22 the later maiden won by winner with an rpr rating of 76 was .67 slower than Sir Arthur dayne and carried 11 pound less,tomorrow Sir Arthur dayne runs off 73 could be a big improver on fast ground as long as it gets it and remains an interesting runner..The betting should tell the story,especially being a trainer with favs you would probably avoid.

    4/5 across the boards lots of watering i see this morning,hopefully no overdone..like yarmouth on tuesday..
    Last edited by gigilo; 1st August 2019 at 11:49 AM.

  2. #10642
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    Same old story watered the ground and the race was a couple of seconds above standard,yet on tuesday all races on straight track well below standard why they water in the morning just ridiculous shouldv'e known better still an interesting runner..Got 5s a place for amanto for 4 places which looked a nice bit of value so got stakes back i said would probably be 4th of 5th ran a good race running on at finish all the horses with ? didn't perform as pointed out in write up....some small ew multiples hoping for places more than winners..July was a decent month considering bad start had a big drifter on betfair went off 19s,a lot of shorter priced winners some forecasts again just chipped away to get a 47% ROI settle for that after the start...Think it might be break time soon,havn't stopped since march 12 hour days,have 20 picks a day now if i could bets on them all would be winning nearly everyday,getting frustrating so time for a week off i think..

    Newmarket 6.25


    Hello baileys 7/1 sportsbook/ppower 13/2 skybet/hills 6/1 lads/corals


    Obviously no johnson superstar hello baileys flopped on soft ground last time out finishing tamely in 4th maybe a case of one just fir nuseries on debut ran at york finished just behind no mercy in 4th had previous experiene and that ones run well in a nursry off 77..Ground should be quicker tomorrow,based on debut run would think the johnson horse is an 80+ runner so although unlikely to win newmarket maiden this late in the season would be unlucky to run into three other 80+ runners just what's seen so far in the race although there's always a possibilty it could be running in these for marks but will take the chance it's tryin.

    8.0



    Loving glance 5/2 corals/victor/lads 9/4 generally this morning



    This looks another runner that looks good for an obvious place on debut 2nd in a maiden to whispering glance beaten a nk,that one had been 2nd to fabulist on debut recebt 2nd in a 0-100,again its another maiden that potentially could be red hot not much form to go on might be race worth following..


    8.35



    Miracle of medinah 3 places 8/1 hills 15/2 corals/lads/boyles/ generally

    12s 11s generally now..
    Miracle of medinah hasn't won since 2017,has obviously had some problems was a decent handicapper and very consistent and can't really believe its 8yr old as i remember putting it up as a horse to follow as 2yr old,handicapper has been unrelenting still on a mark of 90 maybe needs dropping a few pounds but ran quite well at newbury penuktimte run when 2nd to Embour in a 0-100..Think the horse needs fast ground and decent pace,hopefully no watering at newmarket ran strangely over 5fs last time out,back up to 6fs could easily figure if it reproduced that newbury run,but hasn't win for a longtime.


    Wolves 3.10


    Fantastic flyer 9/4 ppower/sportsbook 2/1 hills/skybet/lads/corals/totesport/betfred generally


    A strage win last time out for fantastic flyer winning form looked like it had come to an end,then won again looked a dubious result but at least on the clock seemed ok won a class 6 and that win wss faster than the class 4 on the same day on the card..The only explaination would be first time pieces,is 4 pound well in on that run gets to run off 65 if it can reproduce that run again then the one to beat..Descendant won here from ireland 2018 and now looks well handicapped only runs off 53 and won off 61 previously,along with sfumato.

    KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!Was relying on this one as looked bet of the day,everything else has drifted so glad it went in,monster speedfigure last time out as in wrute up..

    Have added in this race for a smaller seperate multiple,,this looks a very competitve race to lot smaller stakes


    Musselburugh 6.0


    Lucky violet 10/1 generally Make me 14/1 generally 16/1 generally


    Make me has only won a maiden and stuck on marks in high 60s but has run ok in handicaps even thoigh not really looked like winning,was 3rd to furzig in a 0-80 at thirsk on seasonal debut and a 5th next time out to club wexford in a 0-85 at ayr..Ladt few runs very disappointing would like to see this well backed,as run over c/d before in same grade off 67 off 68 tomorrow,pieces are taken off tomorrow only win in them guessing wehther or not easterby trier i find his horses impossible too predu=ict but on best runs ew chances..
    Luckily violet got stopped in run with 100 yards to go last time out,that race wasn't as good as tomorrows probably wouldv'ee been 3rd donnellys rainbow got no run either and was 3rd,think if ground gets quick then lucky violet could run slightkly better had been running in some decenrt races at ayr and hamilton previous three runs on faster grouns..If ground does dry out then has a decent ew chance,although like a lot of these meetings its going to e weather dependant..currently saus good would like to see gd/fm tomorrow.Tukhoom has the best recent form a 4th in a 0-95 at leicester has to be the one to beat if it goes on the track..another that seems to need faster ground to show best

    The going here is looking a bit suspect now says 7.0 going stick,so may not be fast enough for these two..seems to be a load of drifters in the picks today again and already i can see why newmarkets put 5mm of water on tthis morning,just a joke it is ensuring no fast ground exactly what i wanted...Why they are putting on water when the grounds not even quick its just a complete joke,would also explain the drifts..

    As i said in wrute up donnellys rainbow unlucky in run on sifter ground infront of lucky violet and the ground was just to slow for the ones i did in multis,virtually gd/sft never mind gd/fm..
    Last edited by gigilo; 2nd August 2019 at 6:12 PM.

  3. #10643
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    Got literally dozens of hotrses marked off fancied loads of winners today,just can't get bets on and a lot of the races are small fields with no ew angle so wouldn't put them on here anyway,think i will have the week off next week..


    Donny 5.15


    Springwood Drive 8/1 sportsbook/ppower 7/1 365/victor/888sport


    Springwood drive ran a good race on debut at ripon behind abate,was beaten 4 3/4ls but gave the field 10ld start then got stopped with two furlongs to go would never have wion but looked open to loads opf improvement,form didn't look great winners finished fourth off 74 in handicap and the runner up attorney general has only won a poor maiden even though rated 75 but only had the three runs..Two runs since debut springwood drive only mediocre form at catterick over 7fs and then outpaced at wolves in a rspectablr race finished just behind ghaith touched off yesterday at ffos lass off 72..If its the ground it needs then might run ok off a mark of 62,first time in a handicap think this will be last easterby horse i will do for awhile have done a few lately and can't even get one in the frame..Trainer is impossible to get right..am sure the betting will tell the story,i will be following this for awhile even though i will avoid stables other runners, keep your eye on the ride as was considerate last time out..
    12/1 sportsbook/ppower victor/365 bigger on the fair,looking ominous again easterby stable..


    Hamilton 8.20



    Bobby jean 40/1 365/betway 33/1 betfred/totesport/victor/lads Cache queen 14/1 365/hills 10/1 betfred/totesport



    A couple of speculative bets on the irish horses running at hamilton,both on downgrade and horses that usually run in slightly better races cache queen was second in a race for horses rated up to 70 back in may,has a very strange looking profile all recent form over longer trips but was touched off 62 in august 2018..Adrian Mc Guiness brings the one horse to the track and it runs off lowest ever mark of 54,don't know if 1m1f is long enough but enough of a dogs dinner race to have a small bet..The other runner Bobby jean graham lee rides,i can't even find when she last had a winner the trainer Tara lee cogan says last wiin 436 days ago which probably explains the big prices,has run poorly last few runs although had no chance last time out against 80 rated horses..again has strange profile is 8 so probably a bit of a rogue but was 4th at the curragh in may behind 70 rated hotrses and then ran at hamilton two races later a race similar to this went off favourite finishing 3rd of 6 was a weak 0-70 but a bit better than tomorrows 0-60..Obviously would like to see loads of money for it in this grade with trainer coming from ireland and graham lee booked,would have an ew chance on the two runs mentioned.


    Not a bean for any of these and another easterby drifter...
    Last edited by gigilo; 3rd August 2019 at 1:36 PM.

  4. #10644
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    Got literally dozens of hotrses marked off fancied loads of winners today,just can't get bets on and a lot of the races are small fields with no ew angle so wouldn't put them on here anyway,think i will have the week off next week..


    Donny 5.15


    Springwood Drive 8/1 sportsbook/ppower 7/1 365/victor/888sport


    Springwood drive ran a good race on debut at ripon behind abate,was beaten 4 3/4ls but gave the field 10ld start then got stopped with two furlongs to go would never have wion but looked open to loads opf improvement,form didn't look great winners finished fourth off 74 in handicap and the runner up attorney general has only won a poor maiden even though rated 75 but only had the three runs..Two runs since debut springwood drive only mediocre form at catterick over 7fs and then outpaced at wolves in a rspectablr race finished just behind ghaith touched off yesterday at ffos lass off 72..If its the ground it needs then might run ok off a mark of 62,first time in a handicap think this will be last easterby horse i will do for awhile have done a few lately and can't even get one in the frame..Trainer is impossible to get right..am sure the betting will tell the story,i will be following this for awhile even though i will avoid stables other runners, keep your eye on the ride as was considerate last time out..
    12/1 sportsbook/ppower victor/365 bigger on the fair,looking ominous again easterby stable..


    Hamilton 8.20

    Unreal drifts to 22s on the fair and gets beat by the rag,nice tiuch on race git 5s a place and 3.5 4 places but ffs getting done by the total rag unreal luck again,had bee a non trer at wolves when i saw drft thought perhaps they were saving it,gutted!!

    Bobby jean 40/1 365/betway 33/1 betfred/totesport/victor/lads Cache queen 14/1 365/hills 10/1 betfred/totesport



    A couple of speculative bets on the irish horses running at hamilton,both on downgrade and horses that usually run in slightly better races cache queen was second in a race for horses rated up to 70 back in may,has a very strange looking profile all recent form over longer trips but was touched off 62 in august 2018..Adrian Mc Guiness brings the one horse to the track and it runs off lowest ever mark of 54,don't know if 1m1f is long enough but enough of a dogs dinner race to have a small bet..The other runner Bobby jean graham lee rides,i can't even find when she last had a winner the trainer Tara lee cogan says last wiin 436 days ago which probably explains the big prices,has run poorly last few runs although had no chance last time out against 80 rated horses..again has strange profile is 8 so probably a bit of a rogue but was 4th at the curragh in may behind 70 rated hotrses and then ran at hamilton two races later a race similar to this went off favourite finishing 3rd of 6 was a weak 0-70 but a bit better than tomorrows 0-60..Obviously would like to see loads of money for it in this grade with trainer coming from ireland and graham lee booked,would have an ew chance on the two runs mentioned.


    Not a bean for any of these and another easterby drifter...

  5. #10645
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    ew multiples small interest a couple of shots in the dark tomorrow..


    Nottingham 7.0


    Last look evens sportsbook/ppower Narnkyol 3/1 totesport generally


    Don't know what to make of good look won by 5ls on debut in a decent time sister to farhh,but the form of that race hasn't worked ot with seconf and third well beat could just be cpincidence with those two runners but loked form to follow.Tomorrow the grounds going to best soft at nottingham at best,although good looks out of pivotal so should be no problem..
    Narynkol ran some good maidens last season beateb by 104 rated argentello and having 102 rated desert fire behind in fourth althiugh that ones debut run,could be a nice maiden this first time out for Narynkol,unsure of ground but looks one to follow in future races regardless of tomorrows race,maybe a chance it won't run..


    Catterick 2.30


    Celerity 40/1hills/victor 33/1 betfred/totesport/corals/lads



    A shot in the dark with a 73 runner maiden with lisa willianson wo never has any winners,the first horse you would cross off usually but for some reason as a 5yr old this season has shown its best ever form and by a longway..This season been second to the dapper man in a 0-75,11 pound out of the handicap and a really strange piece of different class for at chester was fifth in a 0-80 couldn't really say it was a fluke as split recent winners Bossipop and tonights winner Redrosezorro and behind that was zac brown also a winner on saturday and was again 16 pound out of the handicap..then form went backwards slightly although still ran ok in a 0-70 off 52,then a far weaker run at ponte got left...Obviously profile tells ypu will never win a race but based on three pieces of form this season could potentially run well,it's a pity the grounds going to be so slow as non of those runs have been on softer ground but it wouldn't surprise me if it picked up a seller this season at some point..


    5.10



    Explain 16/1 ppower/sportsbook 14/1 totesport/betfred/victor/skybet


    Explain is another that you would need a leap of faith based on this years runs,looks to be regressing and i did back it a few times last season it got touched off twice i gave up on it the it won have always avoided it since.,its another veteran with loads of runs 7/57..Did win a 0-90 last season off 72 but previous to that hadn't won since 2017 on heavy ground either,it used to look like a horse that preferred gd/fm but the last three wins have been on softer ground..Also its last run on soft ground was over tomorrows c/d in october finishing fifth in a 0-80 off 76,since then hasn't run on softer ground bar on debut this season when running over 6fs in a 0-85 at ripon..5th of the 9 beaten 4 1/2ls off 71..Tomorrow gets softer ground runs off just 63 in a 0-75,the carr stables back in form,another stable i can't get right but they are in form.Would like to see loads of money for it off this mark and if it is the ground it needs then obviously very well handicapped in a race full of similarly hard horses to catch right..Sword exceed has been taken out tyhrre times because of slower ground still only seven runs on the turf but its last run was in the same race with explain over the c/d on soft ground finishing 4th on that form would have decent ew chance,be interesting to see it its taken out tomorrow...

    Ripon 8.20


    Euro implosion 4/1 sportsbook/ppower 7/2 365/lads Theatro 11/2 365/betway



    I was hoping to see the rain tonight for Theatro as hacked up by 12ls over c.d penultimate run,was forecast now its been changed so has put me off slightly as even though the ground was gd/sft today i think it could be nearer good tomorrow when it won here the grund was very slow so might want loads of rain..The interesting thing was the time as gold arch ran in the other division and was beaten easily in a race that was 1.7 seconds slower,so if it had been softer ground then it mightv'e been against it now with it drying out will not know and its the last race on card so all day for ground to dry out,will put it in as the prices would be wrong of rain did come,although i do think Theatro will need it, poorer runs on faster ground.
    Euro implosion has been consistent running well on gd/sft and faster ground,last two runs has run better on quick ground,a third here on gd/fm in a 0-80 and the winners gone in again and another good third in another 0-80 the problem is for his one it now looks like it needs fast ground as both runs were just outside standard..Hopefully the ground will go one way or the other and maximize one of their chances..
    Last edited by gigilo; 6th August 2019 at 10:15 AM.

  6. #10646
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    I agree with what you say about Celerity and explain.explain frustrating and celerity,as you say.seems better this year.

  7. #10647
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    Try and find 4 for a multiple..

    Kempton 6.0


    Dubai warrior 5/4 365


    A shopping list of [picks and can't narrow anything doen from the 20+ picks i have si have just done this for now,maybe if some drifts tomorrow on others,dubai warrior hasbn't run since november 2018 so a long lay off could be anything clocked a time of 1m37.21 at chelmsford on debut winning easily..If this had been a month on or two then you could safely sa this is a 90+ horse maybe potential for even better,the form of that race has not worked out seconds rated 84 thirds rated 77 but thats as good as they look but did beat them easily on debut..Betting will be interesting as it looked a 90+ horse on debut,if its fit and improved could be very decent,there's a possibilty this could go off very short 2/5 think it all depends on how good the varian horse is..Roger varian has one in here so betting will probably tell the story,i think the hughes horse ran quite well on debut,knockacullion it looks like could be nice handicapper if the newcomers are no good and this is trying could run ok...
    Last edited by gigilo; 6th August 2019 at 10:53 PM.

  8. #10648
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    ew multiples small interest a couple of shots in the dark tomorrow..


    Nottingham 7.0


    Last look evens sportsbook/ppower Narnkyol 3/1 totesport generally


    Don't know what to make of good look won by 5ls on debut in a decent time sister to farhh,but the form of that race hasn't worked ot with seconf and third well beat could just be cpincidence with those two runners but loked form to follow.Tomorrow the grounds going to best soft at nottingham at best,although good looks out of pivotal so should be no problem..
    Narynkol ran some good maidens last season beateb by 104 rated argentello and having 102 rated desert fire behind in fourth althiugh that ones debut run,could be a nice maiden this first time out for Narynkol,unsure of ground but looks one to follow in future races regardless of tomorrows race,maybe a chance it won't run..

    KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!A very nice maidencracking race to bet in,got 1.45 for 2nd horse and backed irt ew as well as single on fav..!!


    Catterick 2.30


    Celerity 40/1hills/victor 33/1 betfred/totesport/corals/lads



    A shot in the dark with a 73 runner maiden with lisa willianson wo never has any winners,the first horse you would cross off usually but for some reason as a 5yr old this season has shown its best ever form and by a longway..This season been second to the dapper man in a 0-75,11 pound out of the handicap and a really strange piece of different class for at chester was fifth in a 0-80 couldn't really say it was a fluke as split recent winners Bossipop and tonights winner Redrosezorro and behind that was zac brown also a winner on saturday and was again 16 pound out of the handicap..then form went backwards slightly although still ran ok in a 0-70 off 52,then a far weaker run at ponte got left...Obviously profile tells ypu will never win a race but based on three pieces of form this season could potentially run well,it's a pity the grounds going to be so slow as non of those runs have been on softer ground but it wouldn't surprise me if it picked up a seller this season at some point..


    5.10



    Explain 16/1 ppower/sportsbook 14/1 totesport/betfred/victor/skybet


    Explain is another that you would need a leap of faith based on this years runs,looks to be regressing and i did back it a few times last season it got touched off twice i gave up on it the it won have always avoided it since.,its another veteran with loads of runs 7/57..Did win a 0-90 last season off 72 but previous to that hadn't won since 2017 on heavy ground either,it used to look like a horse that preferred gd/fm but the last three wins have been on softer ground..Also its last run on soft ground was over tomorrows c/d in october finishing fifth in a 0-80 off 76,since then hasn't run on softer ground bar on debut this season when running over 6fs in a 0-85 at ripon..5th of the 9 beaten 4 1/2ls off 71..Tomorrow gets softer ground runs off just 63 in a 0-75,the carr stables back in form,another stable i can't get right but they are in form.Would like to see loads of money for it off this mark and if it is the ground it needs then obviously very well handicapped in a race full of similarly hard horses to catch right..Sword exceed has been taken out tyhrre times because of slower ground still only seven runs on the turf but its last run was in the same race with explain over the c/d on soft ground finishing 4th on that form would have decent ew chance,be interesting to see it its taken out tomorrow...

    Ripon 8.20


    Euro implosion 4/1 sportsbook/ppower 7/2 365/lads Theatro 11/2 365/betway



    I was hoping to see the rain tonight for Theatro as hacked up by 12ls over c.d penultimate run,was forecast now its been changed so has put me off slightly as even though the ground was gd/sft today i think it could be nearer good tomorrow when it won here the grund was very slow so might want loads of rain..The interesting thing was the time as gold arch ran in the other division and was beaten easily in a race that was 1.7 seconds slower,so if it had been softer ground then it mightv'e been against it now with it drying out will not know and its the last race on card so all day for ground to dry out,will put it in as the prices would be wrong of rain did come,although i do think Theatro will need it, poorer runs on faster ground.
    Euro implosion has been consistent running well on gd/sft and faster ground,last two runs has run better on quick ground,a third here on gd/fm in a 0-80 and the winners gone in again and another good third in another 0-80 the problem is for his one it now looks like it needs fast ground as both runs were just outside standard..Hopefully the ground will go one way or the other and maximize one of their chances..

    KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!LOL I told you theatro had 10ls on gold arch,laid it and for 2 places, winner 11/2 plus the secoind ew as well as the firecast.cleaned up on the day,an absolute beauty miles clear of the field the pair exactly as times suggested 1.7 seconds!!!Form at its finest!!!
    Last edited by gigilo; 6th August 2019 at 8:28 PM.

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  10. #10649
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    Cracking day in the end bar those two rags a £14 exacta and the csf was £11 can't believe they paid so well..worked out lovely as for some reason ground never drued out think they said they had some showers there but race was slow by 6 seconds so ws definitely slow going,think the seconds woryh another go as its last two runs have been on fast ground nearer to standard times...
    Last edited by gigilo; 6th August 2019 at 10:55 PM.

  11. #10650
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    Try and find 4 for a multiple..

    Kempton 6.0


    Dubai warrior 5/4 365


    A shopping list of [picks and can't narrow anything doen from the 20+ picks i have si have just done this for now,maybe if some drifts tomorrow on others,dubai warrior hasbn't run since november 2018 so a long lay off could be anything clocked a time of 1m37.21 at chelmsford on debut winning easily..If this had been a month on or two then you could safely sa this is a 90+ horse maybe potential for even better,the form of that race has not worked out seconds rated 84 thirds rated 77 but thats as good as they look but did beat them easily on debut..Betting will be interesting as it looked a 90+ horse on debut,if its fit and improved could be very decent,there's a possibilty this could go off very short 2/5 think it all depends on how good the varian horse is..Roger varian has one in here so betting will probably tell the story,i think the hughes horse ran quite well on debut,knockacullion it looks like could be nice handicapper if the newcomers are no good and this is trying could run ok...
    KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBPOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMM!!!Sweated up and keen to post hacked up could be listed class yet.. 4/11!!!

  12. #10651
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    Try some multiples to very small stakes tomorrow

    Nottingham 4.30


    Ugo Gregory 5/2 hils



    Ugo gregory got dropped to sprinting after running over further in seven previous runs,takes on the older horses tomorrow after winning over cd
    a 0-75 by an easy 2 1/2ls difficult to know the value of the form and the time alsi difficlt to evaluate will pretty much be very slow tomorrow like its win..Having gone through the race not that many with very soft ground form,so stuck with it even though my enemy number one easterby, horses like cupid arrow could run well doesn't win too often but was second in a 0-65 over c/d penultimate looks one of the more obvious ones leads and favourite may follow it through from similar draws..Wouldn't discount that one even though flopped at catterick and also maybe prestbury park was better than these last season,has regressed but yhrows in the odd decent run and off 66 lowest ever mark may run ok.


    5.0


    Deinonychus 5/2 365/skybet/victor 9/4/sportsbook/ppowr Lucys law 8/1 generally



    Deinonychus eight year old only twenty four runs,had a longlay off and come back from two years off has run ok fourth in a 0-75 over c/d recently then ran even better at ripon over 1m4fs in a 0-75 very little value in the prices even though has the best recent form but should run well on those runs on ground it likes..Movie star has only had seven runs,so not thoroughly exposed and ran well penultimate run off 62 in a 0-65 just getting collared and drops in class and trip obvious ew chances and one other Lucy's law a maiden on the turf 0/14 has been a non runner because of soft ground which sees strange looking at its form as a fifth in a 0-70 over 1m2fs at haydock recently and a third to captain pugwash in a 0-65 at wetherby on very slow ground,off 63 tomorrow off 58 with claimer taking off another five so off 53 although the claimer izzy clifto not great could run well,will proably be dependant on jock,trainers not been in great form either so would only be a tentative pick..These three would run well on their best form this season in a poor race.


    Ffos Las 3.45


    Beerwiththeboys 9/2 365/victor/skybet 4/1 generally



    Beer with the boys keeps dropping in class still only twelve lifetime runs,was rated 75 at one point and has only won a maiden on soft ground at ponte,a third last season off 68 in a 1m4f handicap and this season after a wond op been stepped up in trips.Hasn't run badly in a 0-85 and a 0-80 over 1m6f twice beaten four and five lengths,gets to drop onto a 0-65 tomorrow runs off 67 with five pound claim,as long as it is the ground it wants then looks obvious place chance with favourite its how we roll..


    Lingfield 4.55



    Steel Helmet 4/1 hills Yasir 18/1 ppower/sportsbook 16/1 lads


    Absolutely desperate race and with five 3yr olds lightly raced at bottom of the handicap from dunlop and prescott and hannon likely one of these will be better than the older horses that are totally exposed,but would be a complete guess to which ones..Steel helmets found a little improvement with steps up to 1m6fs at chelmsford in a 0-65 coming second then winning last time out over two miles the race at newcastle last time out was terrible..As long as there's not to many improvers in the race from the three year olds then should run well in relation to the older horses entered in the race and decent place chances..
    Yasir the veteran 118 races wins over a variety of distances and runs ok if he gets a decent pace to chase a couple of races this season has been running on at finish in this class over 1m6fs then last time out same again over two mile running on third in a 0-60 beaten 6ls off 54..The probability is they will go slow here but a pound below last win in december then an ew chance..


    7.0



    Delicate Kiss 6/1 ppower/sportsbook Pheidippides 9/1 365


    Kitcarina is the most lightly raced only eight tries,three on the aw and already won a 0-80 this season st kempton if it goes on the track then will probably win dropped into a 0-75 only two pound higher drawn 1 you could have a saver and maybe try some forecasts with the other two...Slighty bigger prices delicate kiss thoroughly exposed has won over c/d twice before,lt run here won by over 4 1/2ls in this grade,eight pound higher tomorrow, bit exposed but would could run well for a place.Similarly Pheidippides another c/d winner,eleven runs on the aw one win off 75 here won a very similar race to tomorrows and has been rated 80 in the past,if it runs to that form another decent ew chance..


    7.30


    Hidden dream 16/1 ppower/sportsbook/victor Catapult 12/1 365 9/1 hills


    A couple of shots in the dark really as a 0-50 one of the worst races you will see,a john butler horse so betting will probably tell the story only the five runs shown virtually nothing, but the one run at wolves over 7fs was sixth in a 0-60 running on well after getting left,may have hit the frame with decent break..Then next run out the back never involved,horse might just be a rogue but off just 50 with another five off so seven pound lower than the wolves 0-60 and now in a 0-50 betting will be interesting,even though does have a very poor draw..
    Catapults bit of a rogue 1/31 but still only a four year old the one win coming over cd last season off 49 in a 0-60 and had a third here over the c/d has lots of bits and pieces of form that gives it an ew chance and runs off just 46 trainers also had a couple of winners lately as well so might run well even without winning..

    Disappoiting to see tracks drying ground,ffos las looking nearer good now,rain was forecast at these meetings but now been chaged just tyoical..i did the form o soft ground was actually hoping for heavy,probablt ruined all the bets now..ifacr they have the goings nearer gd ground the angle was soft ground..
    Last edited by gigilo; 13th August 2019 at 2:16 PM.

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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    Try some multiples to very small stakes tomorrow

    Nottingham 4.30


    Ugo Gregory 5/2 hils



    Ugo gregory got dropped to sprinting after running over further in seven previous runs,takes on the older horses tomorrow after winning over cd
    a 0-75 by an easy 2 1/2ls difficult to know the value of the form and the time alsi difficlt to evaluate will pretty much be very slow tomorrow like its win..Having gone through the race not that many with very soft ground form,so stuck with it even though my enemy number one easterby, horses like cupid arrow could run well doesn't win too often but was second in a 0-65 over c/d penultimate looks one of the more obvious ones leads and favourite may follow it through from similar draws..Wouldn't discount that one even though flopped at catterick and also maybe prestbury park was better than these last season,has regressed but yhrows in the odd decent run and off 66 lowest ever mark may run ok.

    KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBPOOOMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMM!!God knows whst it traded in running a stone in hand from where it won,unreal.


    5.0


    Deinonychus 5/2 365/skybet/victor 9/4/sportsbook/ppowr Lucys law 8/1 generally



    Deinonychus eight year old only twenty four runs,had a longlay off and come back from two years off has run ok fourth in a 0-75 over c/d recently then ran even better at ripon over 1m4fs in a 0-75 very little value in the prices even though has the best recent form but should run well on those runs on ground it likes..Movie star has only had seven runs,so not thoroughly exposed and ran well penultimate run off 62 in a 0-65 just getting collared and drops in class and trip obvious ew chances and one other Lucy's law a maiden on the turf 0/14 has been a non runner because of soft ground which sees strange looking at its form as a fifth in a 0-70 over 1m2fs at haydock recently and a third to captain pugwash in a 0-65 at wetherby on very slow ground,off 63 tomorrow off 58 with claimer taking off another five so off 53 although the claimer izzy clifto not great could run well,will proably be dependant on jock,trainers not been in great form either so would only be a tentative pick..These three would run well on their best form this season in a poor race.

    KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMM!!!!Lovely drift 4.3 on the fair,looked unbeatabler as long as ground was on soft side!!!!A great day sp 3/1


    Ffos Las 3.45


    Beerwiththeboys 9/2 365/victor/skybet 4/1 generally



    Beer with the boys keeps dropping in class still only twelve lifetime runs,was rated 75 at one point and has only won a maiden on soft ground at ponte,a third last season off 68 in a 1m4f handicap and this season after a wond op been stepped up in trips.Hasn't run badly in a 0-85 and a 0-80 over 1m6f twice beaten four and five lengths,gets to drop onto a 0-65 tomorrow runs off 67 with five pound claim,as long as it is the ground it wants then looks obvious place chance with favourite its how we roll..


    Lingfield 4.55



    Steel Helmet 4/1 hills Yasir 18/1 ppower/sportsbook 16/1 lads


    Absolutely desperate race and with five 3yr olds lightly raced at bottom of the handicap from dunlop and prescott and hannon likely one of these will be better than the older horses that are totally exposed,but would be a complete guess to which ones..Steel helmets found a little improvement with steps up to 1m6fs at chelmsford in a 0-65 coming second then winning last time out over two miles the race at newcastle last time out was terrible..As long as there's not to many improvers in the race from the three year olds then should run well in relation to the older horses entered in the race and decent place chances..
    Yasir the veteran 118 races wins over a variety of distances and runs ok if he gets a decent pace to chase a couple of races this season has been running on at finish in this class over 1m6fs then last time out same again over two mile running on third in a 0-60 beaten 6ls off 54..The probability is they will go slow here but a pound below last win in december then an ew chance..

    KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM M!!And a lovely place with yasir,anything else would be a bonus now!!!!
    7.0



    Delicate Kiss 6/1 ppower/sportsbook Pheidippides 9/1 365


    Kitcarina is the most lightly raced only eight tries,three on the aw and already won a 0-80 this season st kempton if it goes on the track then will probably win dropped into a 0-75 only two pound higher drawn 1 you could have a saver and maybe try some forecasts with the other two...Slighty bigger prices delicate kiss thoroughly exposed has won over c/d twice before,lt run here won by over 4 1/2ls in this grade,eight pound higher tomorrow, bit exposed but would could run well for a place.Similarly Pheidippides another c/d winner,eleven runs on the aw one win off 75 here won a very similar race to tomorrows and has been rated 80 in the past,if it runs to that form another decent ew chance..

    Non runner was a bonus,just to see the otherone come 4th got stake back anyway 1.6 for 4 places so annoying wen you have multiples running on as well...


    7.30


    Hidden dream 16/1 ppower/sportsbook/victor Catapult 12/1 365 9/1 hills


    A couple of shots in the dark really as a 0-50 one of the worst races you will see,a john butler horse so betting will probably tell the story only the five runs shown virtually nothing, but the one run at wolves over 7fs was sixth in a 0-60 running on well after getting left,may have hit the frame with decent break..Then next run out the back never involved,horse might just be a rogue but off just 50 with another five off so seven pound lower than the wolves 0-60 and now in a 0-50 betting will be interesting,even though does have a very poor draw..
    Catapults bit of a rogue 1/31 but still only a four year old the one win coming over cd last season off 49 in a 0-60 and had a third here over the c/d has lots of bits and pieces of form that gives it an ew chance and runs off just 46 trainers also had a couple of winners lately as well so might run well even without winning..

    Disappoiting to see tracks drying ground,ffos las looking nearer good now,rain was forecast at these meetings but now been chaged just tyoical..i did the form o soft ground was actually hoping for heavy,probablt ruined all the bets now..ifacr they have the goings nearer gd ground the angle was soft ground..
    Last edited by gigilo; 13th August 2019 at 7:09 PM.

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    Chepstow 7.45



    Clear spring 20/1 skybet/sportsbook/ppower/victor/unibet


    Probably desperate ground at chepstow tomorrow,lots of well handicapped hores in here Doc sportello,Naadirr and clear spring plummetted in weights and smokey lane back on its right ground,wouldn't be a shock so see any of them run well but would be guessing as all veteran stage now,Doc sportello has been running in decenr races on the turf and not been beaten far the last time out in a 0-95 just a length even though only 6th of 7 if it goes on this heavy ground and track could run well..Clear spring only ran two races last season has shown nothing since october 2017 won off 85 even though only had six runs since,although this season has run in weaker races a 0-85 and a 0-80 has run ok 4th and 5th not beaten far..those rus have been on fastr ground,doesn't usuallly run on fsster going so tomorrow ground should suit.That last win ws on heavy and its previous run before that was over c/d 2nd off 85,speculative bet but this is still a 0-80 and any improvement fr slower ground might run well..Be intersting betting wise this race as i've mentioned fiur and anyone of them on desperate ground could win this as they have all plumetted i weghts,althiugh they are veterans but i could see a few of them winning before the ed of the season..
    Last edited by gigilo; 15th August 2019 at 11:00 AM.

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    Try some ew multiples again,just a complete guessing game on the turf though as some mettings are drying out quickly..

    Thirsk 5.55


    Alotabottle 85/40 marathonbet 2/1 hills/victor/sportsbook/ppower Socru 9/1 hills Stronsay 11/1 victor/sportsbook/ppower



    Alotabottle won easy at catterick last time out,was around .70 slower than the 0-75 older handicap but did win easy and carried 9-10 6 pound more than the 74 rated older horse handicapped winner, the only horse open to improvement in the race if it handles the track then would be the one to beat running off 75 in 3yr old handicap..Socrus interesting first time headgear last time out and best ever run a staying on 6th in a 0-90 at york,dropped into this 0-75 any more improvement decent ew chance off 70.
    Stronsay bit inconsistent has won here before in a maiden,would be surprised if it could win but was third in recent run in a 0-80 at catterick off 72,off 70 tomorrow ew chances even though drawn in the carpark..

    Wolves 1.40


    No more regrets 14/1 victor/hills/365 Casarubina 20/1 365/victor 28/1 might try and see if it trades a little lower in running must be a right hound with that drift



    A couple of speculative ones No more regrets was rated 84 with Richard Hannon completely different class to these,then went to patrick morris that in itself probably tells you has had problems three winners all season stable, tumbling down the weights for him but run ok in two races at chester well beaten but far better races than this..A fifth of seven in a 0-95 at chester on june 15th only beaten 4ls and a sixth of nine in a 0-80,those were not terrible runs and now drops into a 0-60 a massive 18 pound drop just since may,another five from the claimer so runs off 57..Has a poor draw which is a big negative but if stable think it can just run to 60+ then at these prices you would expect to be well backed,if not then you will probably see that regression..
    Casarubina trained by littmoden,prices havn't contracted since i put it up so probably has regressed since last run you would want to see loads of money for this especially with josephine gordon booked,first time in handicap on fourth run off 59..On debut ran here over 5fs was beaten 6ls but looked a respectable maiden winner ustaths rated 81 and the horse directly behind it that day fairy fast had previous experience is rated 63 so looks ok on that run and even its turf runs havn't been to bad..Really you would expect these to be heavily backed in this 0-60 if just remotely showing ability..You'd want to be seeing these halving in prices in a 0-60.

    Lovely start 28/1 ew plus did 4 places 4s a place!!other came 5th as well..


    Thirsk 7.30


    Al Erayg 7/1 hills


    Was unlucky last time out when i left him alone,he had first time pieces on and never looked like losing till getting collared by the well handicapped mikmak in a 0-90 that was with a step up to a mile as well..He's unreliable so hopig the pieces work again,had run here earlier in the season when fifth of ten in a 0-105 staying on,tomorrow the extra furong off 74 a repeat then ew chances i this 0-80//

    6.30


    Mogsy 6/4 365/skybet/hills/victor/sportsbook/betfred/totesport



    Mogsys fit takes on an odds on shot from haggas stable,was second at haydock on gd/sft ground the thirds come second off 82 last run in a handicap so mogsy looks at least on that run its third lifetime run, then maybe around an 85 horse,went off 40/1 so perhaps stable don't think much of it..The fav ran in a maiden won by thrilla in manilla chocca full of winners it could be anything had a 90 horse directly behind it and this was montathams debut run..I suspect he's different class but hasn't run for 294 days,so have added it in adds up if place..

    4.55


    Raquet 16/1 totesport/betfred/hills/unibet 365 20/1 sportsbook/ppower/victor


    Raquet won this ladies amateur riders race last season,don't know who shannon watts is she's had one winner so would only be a token pick ground looks like being on soft side which should suit won the race last season off 52 with Ella Mc cain taking off 5 so 47 tomorrow off 46 with five off a pound out of the handicap but still well in at the weights.Horse has won five races over 6fs on softer ground,yet this season has had nine races only one over 6fs and that was on gd/fm the rest over 5fs.Has shown nothing bar one run at ripon when drawn on the wrongside and was first of seven on that side finishing third in the race,drawn 15 tomorrow draws a conondrum now although is drawn next to jacobs pillow if the highs are a advantage then might run ok from the draw..

    Notts 2.35


    Valentino Sunrise 9/4 generally



    A short price Valentino Sunrise would expect it to drift from 9/4 although its last three runs have been good,it looks the one to beat on its very last run in a 0-70 at donny but its other runs like the rest of the field wouldn't make it anything like a confident pick it just looks obvious for the frame if running to last three runs and the fact its won on heavy ground which it could be tomorrow..Is drawn 11 tomorrow don't know if that will be an advantage or not,one boy ran well in a 0-65 LTO and bronze beau has been running well in these races even though veteran has a chance..Celerity i have out up recenty is a 70 horse maiden,might be worth putting an in running lay as on these straight tracks has been leading..

    Got 1.44 a place,main thing was getting in the frame although traded 1.24 in running..
    Last edited by gigilo; 16th August 2019 at 2:42 PM.

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    Much as suspected today,five seconds two of the just touched off ground was desperate at thrsk as well i think the 5.55 race the form will be priven wring as the favourute beat the winner by 10ls on previous run was a day for heavy ground horses there..

    Acombe York wednesday



    Persuasion 6/1 lads/corals..



    Winning a maiden at goodwod on debut same maiden that Duke of Hazzard won previous season now rated 111 after winning earlier in the month,very impressive on deut gave the field 8ls was very free, to handle the track and run so free and finish off the race getting stopped in run didn't really look like a 2yr old..The time was pretty decent as well just .71 slower than Land of legends winning the 3yr old 0-105 handicap off 96 and that one hacked up as well i'd imagine potentially that persuasion is better than a group 3 horse and runs in the Acombe at york on wednesday..Sire acclamation has better stats on gd/fm ground is currently gd/sft at york but by wednesday if forecasts are right it shouldv'e dried out,Charlie Hills trains won the corresponding race last season with Phoenix of spain so becomes even more interesting as that one won 2,000 guineas this season..Obviously there are loads you could like its a bit of speculation but any improvement then should be involved in finish and could yet be anything..
    Last edited by gigilo; 17th August 2019 at 1:11 AM.

  17. #10656
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    lingfield placepot

    1,4,8,12
    1,4,5,7
    1,3
    1,2,3
    2,7,8
    2,3,4,7,12




    ew multiples

    Windsor 5.30


    Foxy femme 9/2 365 4/1 sportsbook/hills/betfred/totesport Tone the bone 5/1 365/hills/skybet/totesport/betfred

    13/2 lads 6/1 generally looks like rai has hot the track si now that draw might hit the track and probaly turns it into another ottery..
    Potentially quite a few unexposed runners so would only be minimum stakes,tone the bone has already won twice so mightv'e come to an end its winning run might just be as good as it is but looks to have a decet ew chance was a c/d winner off 55 back in april,beat simba samba off 61 that one has won since but onky a poor race.Last time out was second at yarmouth was second off 67 that was a 0-80 for 3yr olds but was only a 5f race,now up to 69 back up to 6fs,at least is drawn lowish hopefully ground will be on quicker side of good and stands rail an advantage,to give it place chances.
    Foxy femme won at leicester last time out five lifetime runs a 0-70 off 61,now runs off 68 the seconds franked the form gold at midnight winning a class 4 at newmarket and two respectable runs stepped up in class since,although ever rock ws back in third ex[osed runners and reopposes tomorrow..Sonia henie won a better race than this on the aw last time out and looks one to follow that was first run for trainer david loughnane if it can bring that form to the turf then would be favourite,might be worth addig in for forecasts,at the moment the ground looks like being good would like to see it faster and no rain if things chage ground/weather wise i might do something else or add another pick but leave this as it is at the moment..Really have only dine them if ground is quick and relying on draw being an advntage.


    Catterick 3.0


    Santafiora 11/1 365/betway/victor 10/1 generally


    Santafiora looks a bit more interesting than form reads,won 3/24 1/11 on turf won two races on the aw earlier in the year off 52 and 55 in january,may 31st went off 3/1f in a 0-70 on heavy ground at carlisle off 56 finished second,simialr runs o the aw and a respectable run on the turf
    although only sixth at thirsk.Last time out was sixth at donny in a 0-70 drawn 10 but dropped out and ended up beig on the putsude of the field,probably a lengt or two better than that run..I put up springwood drive that da came second and has won twice since,including today and the thirds won maid of spirit hacking up in a class 4,was just behind fumbo jumbo which it shouldv'e finished infront of and the one won the 0-70 at thirsk..It looks like the horse wants some definite cut,was very sift yesterday but now drying if ithe grounds still on the slow side then off a mark of just 53 then could easily run well,this looks like one to follow o soft ground off these marks does tend to stat slowly so may pop up at a decent prce before the end of the season.Julie camacho is on a bit of a losing run as well,she usually has a good strike rate so won't be giving on this at big prices in future.



    4.0




    Billy wedge 9/1 lads/hills/sportsbook/betfred/totesport/betway


    10/1 sportsbook/victor

    This would definitely be speculative i wasn't going to put it up as the traier tracey waggot she never has any winners 2/87 so the chances of picking her winners are highly unlikely..Billy wedge a ten race maiden has three runs on softer ground a third in a maiden over 7fs at thirsk and a fourth off 69 over same c/d at thirsk,faster ground runs then again june 18th a second of twelve in a 0-70 again at thirsk over that c/d,that first division was only .08 slower than the second division won by bee machine favourite for tomorrows first division of the two..A different track and maybe just be a thirsk specialist but drops into a 0-60 tomorrow off the same mark,would have an obvious ew chance if could bring that run to
    catterick..Our charlie brown 9/1 also was in this race at thirsk was fourth off 62 in first time pieces and the stalking moon was 5th a sh/hd between them they would have good chances again in tomorrows 4.30 second division if the form repeated even though both have become unreliable and o downgrade. both dropped two pound.charlie brown 14/1 The stalking moon 14/1

    5.35


    Tapis libre 8/1 365 9/1 ppower/sportsbook/skybet/lads/victor/efred/totesport/corals


    A ladies amateur riders race with joanna mason riding veteran Tapis libre eleven now could be last season and last couple of runs not showing much,the last time he won was off 76 this time lst year with same type of race,joanna masons won on him ten times and the only time he's run well this season was at york when again on softer ground was sixth in the quee mothers cup a 0-95 same sort of race again..As said earlier hopefully the ground will be as slow as possible and might see a better run off a mark of 68,although there are horses i here that could be improving and some that are well handicapped anyway.Would like to see lots of rain and lots of money for it..




    Lingfield 4.45


    Mystical moon 8/1 365 10/1 victor/boyles 11/1 skybet/hills 12/1 888 sport 16/1 sportsbook/ppower


    Unfortunately it looks like mystical monn has lost this race before it's starteed but at the prices have to back it,then just keep following it for awhile 2/18 on the aw won off 45 and 51 march/april 2019 then was fifth in may losing place from decent draw and then staying on i a 0-65 then again last time out was drawn low agai got no run ran on and then eased just beaten 2 1/2ls in a 0-70..Tomorrow runs in a 0-55 but drawn 12/12 just have to follow for a few races,all you can do is hope the pce doesn't hold up tomorrow and running off just 51 tomorrow..

    And a non runner the one that looked the real value running today,no doubt because of the draw..just typical ad rain at windsor ffs,hope its not ging to be anothee week of impossible ground predictions
    Last edited by gigilo; 19th August 2019 at 2:28 PM.

  18. #10657
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    lingfield placepot

    1,4,8,12
    1,4,5,7
    1,3
    1,2,3
    2,7,8
    2,3,4,7,12

    £350 profit just needed one more result.




    ew multiples

    Windsor 5.30


    Foxy femme 9/2 365 4/1 sportsbook/hills/betfred/totesport Tone the bone 5/1 365/hills/skybet/totesport/betfred

    13/2 lads 6/1 generally looks like rai has hot the track si now that draw might hit the track and probaly turns it into another ottery..
    Potentially quite a few unexposed runners so would only be minimum stakes,tone the bone has already won twice so mightv'e come to an end its winning run might just be as good as it is but looks to have a decet ew chance was a c/d winner off 55 back in april,beat simba samba off 61 that one has won since but onky a poor race.Last time out was second at yarmouth was second off 67 that was a 0-80 for 3yr olds but was only a 5f race,now up to 69 back up to 6fs,at least is drawn lowish hopefully ground will be on quicker side of good and stands rail an advantage,to give it place chances.
    Foxy femme won at leicester last time out five lifetime runs a 0-70 off 61,now runs off 68 the seconds franked the form gold at midnight winning a class 4 at newmarket and two respectable runs stepped up in class since,although ever rock ws back in third ex[osed runners and reopposes tomorrow..Sonia henie won a better race than this on the aw last time out and looks one to follow that was first run for trainer david loughnane if it can bring that form to the turf then would be favourite,might be worth addig in for forecasts,at the moment the ground looks like being good would like to see it faster and no rain if things chage ground/weather wise i might do something else or add another pick but leave this as it is at the moment..Really have only dine them if ground is quick and relying on draw being an advntage.


    It rains and the two soft ground horses come 1,2 shouldve had the forecast once the ground went against my two,it just did my head in oce i saw the going chang and the crazt ting is they were drawn wide and got the rail ad the twi i did wet up the centre just unbelievable.luckily one git in the frame..


    Catterick 3.0


    Santafiora 11/1 365/betway/victor 10/1 generally


    Santafiora looks a bit more interesting than form reads,won 3/24 1/11 on turf won two races on the aw earlier in the year off 52 and 55 in january,may 31st went off 3/1f in a 0-70 on heavy ground at carlisle off 56 finished second,simialr runs o the aw and a respectable run on the turf
    although only sixth at thirsk.Last time out was sixth at donny in a 0-70 drawn 10 but dropped out and ended up beig on the putsude of the field,probably a lengt or two better than that run..I put up springwood drive that da came second and has won twice since,including today and the thirds won maid of spirit hacking up in a class 4,was just behind fumbo jumbo which it shouldv'e finished infront of and the one won the 0-70 at thirsk..It looks like the horse wants some definite cut,was very sift yesterday but now drying if ithe grounds still on the slow side then off a mark of just 53 then could easily run well,this looks like one to follow o soft ground off these marks does tend to stat slowly so may pop up at a decent prce before the end of the season.Julie camacho is on a bit of a losing run as well,she usually has a good strike rate so won't be giving on this at big prices in future.



    4.0




    Billy wedge 9/1 lads/hills/sportsbook/betfred/totesport/betway


    10/1 sportsbook/victor

    This would definitely be speculative i wasn't going to put it up as the traier tracey waggot she never has any winners 2/87 so the chances of picking her winners are highly unlikely..Billy wedge a ten race maiden has three runs on softer ground a third in a maiden over 7fs at thirsk and a fourth off 69 over same c/d at thirsk,faster ground runs then again june 18th a second of twelve in a 0-70 again at thirsk over that c/d,that first division was only .08 slower than the second division won by bee machine favourite for tomorrows first division of the two..A different track and maybe just be a thirsk specialist but drops into a 0-60 tomorrow off the same mark,would have an obvious ew chance if could bring that run to
    catterick..Our charlie brown 9/1 also was in this race at thirsk was fourth off 62 in first time pieces and the stalking moon was 5th a sh/hd between them they would have good chances again in tomorrows 4.30 second division if the form repeated even though both have become unreliable and o downgrade. both dropped two pound.charlie brown 14/1 The stalking moon 14/1

    KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAABB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOO MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!Couldn't be arsed to write the same foirmline up,that will do about time pity the other let it down in other divvision.and the stalking moon got the place as well in 4th will settle of that today!!!.

    5.35


    Tapis libre 8/1 365 9/1 ppower/sportsbook/skybet/lads/victor/efred/totesport/corals


    A ladies amateur riders race with joanna mason riding veteran Tapis libre eleven now could be last season and last couple of runs not showing much,the last time he won was off 76 this time lst year with same type of race,joanna masons won on him ten times and the only time he's run well this season was at york when again on softer ground was sixth in the quee mothers cup a 0-95 same sort of race again..As said earlier hopefully the ground will be as slow as possible and might see a better run off a mark of 68,although there are horses i here that could be improving and some that are well handicapped anyway.Would like to see lots of rain and lots of money for it..




    Lingfield 4.45


    Mystical moon 8/1 365 10/1 victor/boyles 11/1 skybet/hills 12/1 888 sport 16/1 sportsbook/ppower


    Unfortunately it looks like mystical monn has lost this race before it's starteed but at the prices have to back it,then just keep following it for awhile 2/18 on the aw won off 45 and 51 march/april 2019 then was fifth in may losing place from decent draw and then staying on i a 0-65 then again last time out was drawn low agai got no run ran on and then eased just beaten 2 1/2ls in a 0-70..Tomorrow runs in a 0-55 but drawn 12/12 just have to follow for a few races,all you can do is hope the pce doesn't hold up tomorrow and running off just 51 tomorrow..

    And a non runner the one that looked the real value running today,no doubt because of the draw..just typical ad rain at windsor ffs,hope its not ging to be anothee week of impossible ground predictions
    Last edited by gigilo; 20th August 2019 at 12:03 PM.

  19. #10658
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    Kempton 4.0


    Choral music 12/1 ppower/sportsbook 10/1 victor/365/hills/lads/totesport/betfred/corals


    Choral music 19 runs five wins usually very consistent both on turf and the aw,last two runs have been poor though especially last run at lingfield hard to really make any excuses but run before last two runs was 2nd to quick breath here over 7fs in a 0-75 off 73..had run two of its poorer runs before that run as well so it's a bit speculatuve if its just gone out opf form for now..But has decent c/d record winning in october off 73 then followed that up with a 4th i a 0-80 in november,a better race than tomorrows only beaten 1 1/4ls staying on,as mentioned in and out snce but back down to a mark of 70 would have a decent ew chance in this grade if just running to its curret mark.Trainer jihn long doest have many runners but he does seem to save the whe they are ready to run,17 runners this season three winners and five places i got a ittle bot of 16s was hoping a few more books would open 16s but not to be..although if it ran anywhere near its best should only be 6-7/1 anyway in this grade..tops
    Last edited by gigilo; 19th August 2019 at 6:21 PM.

  20. #10659
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    These going changes are ridiculous i did the form at bath on gd/sft ground loads of rain expected so thats ruined the form will stick with a couple of them but i think they need good ground not fast,just very small interests multiples..


    Bath 4.05


    Sir plato 6/1 totesport/betfred 13/2 hills 9/1 ppower/sportsbook



    Sir plato was looking the obvios bet with rain forecast,the rain hasn't materialized and looks like being quick ground now has run ok on gd/fm but this race looked ideal a 0-65 running off just 65 with claimer taking off another three down to just 62 never run in this grade before..Went off favourite last time out at windsor off 67 again the ground probably too quick in a 0-80 at widsor beaten just over 5ls,probably still has an ew chance but i can see the ground being rattling tomorrow...Will have to follow it for a few runs with stable in such good form..

    3.25


    Heritage 5/2 888sport/victor/365 Line of reason 11/2 generally 6/1 unibet


    Heritage has already woj two races as a 3yr old winning handicaps off 81 and 82 on fast ground,last time out second here to miss celestial beaten at odds on that ones gone onto run third to mister jumbo at chester and on sunday third to shades of blue and perfection both rated 105 so form might still be quite good coming back here,although the huge weight of 9-10 for the 3yr old taking on older horses is a big task.
    Paul midgley sends Line of reason all the way to bath no other runners there,looking at its form its very rarely run on turning tracks infact has avoided them i presume he's sent it just because of the fast ground,a mark of 85 is obvously very well in but nothing to suggest on form this season it should win,although it is now in the right races be interesting to see if it just gets left on turning track.


    Carlisle 3.10



    Ugo Gregory 3/1 skybet/sportsbook/ppower/betfred/ttsport Bedtime Bella 9/2 totesport/betfred 4/1 hills



    Both improvers on soft/heavy ground they will need to improve on the races won so far as there are oters i here with better form,the ground looks like being desperate there tomorow already soft and more rain tey will relish the ground,although both have welterweghts..Hoping really the ground will hinder the others as much as them not having as good a form..If ground dries out hen kollossus would have a decent chace was third in a bettr race last time out at hamilton..



    Carlisle 4.55



    Beverley bullett 8/1 generally



    Doesn't win too often Beverley bullet,stuck in mid 60s for over two seasons winning off 60,62,64,66 likes desperate conditions and is a c/d winner has form with loads in this race some it should beat some it shouldn't plus it has the car park draw in 14.Plenty of negatives but as least proven on ground and c/d a recent ataying on fifthere in a 0-85 over a furlong shorter tha tomorrows race,as long as draws not a diasdavantage then ew chances,firewaters still open to iprovement as a 3yr old second in a simialr race at haydock recently on desperate ground so at least prves it stays on ground.Iconic bay looks well handicapped on a win at ayr last season on desperate ground in a 0-75,off putting is that three runs here have been poor,could be coincidence and maybe this desperate ground will suit better running off a 4 pound lowr mark than that win..and parole has some of the best form in the race winning a 0-75 back in 2017,the rain hasn't arrived as forecast here either so ground might be not be as bad as looked likely and could run well at 20/1,easterby has five ruunners here today with york on.

    5.55



    Lucky icon 6/4 365



    A very short pruce and am not even sure jocke has even rde a winner te rides not even a place,am not quite sure f that is rght but that makes the ptice look even shorter,rated 127 over hurdles after an easy win last time out and now joining the Phil kirby stable,a very strange entry for
    first debut ru gets in off what looks a rodiculous mark of 46,will be intersting to see if it runs i've looked at the recent hurde wins and the time of the lst win was just outsode standard tomorrow totally different conditions..Would beunusual to see a horse run times like tht ober hurdkes then won on heavy ground on the flat,the positve you could take from the sire sixties icon 20% strike rate o heavy ground,no doubt ut will wi by hald the track or will bomb out completely,would be a very por entry if theywere t run this not knowing it goes on heavy ground..

    Was supposed to be rain at carlisle now that hasn't arrived either,was expecting heavy ground now i see gd/sft and all mine are drifting i really can't be bothered to go through it all again have menntioned a couple of others in write up as well now...waste of time and effort..
    Last edited by gigilo; 21st August 2019 at 2:10 PM.

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    Too many guessing games for me as regards ground so jst one bet for me in last at york,going to leave racing till the wekend now as i can't get the going right at these tracks hopefuilt drys out by friday./saturday..

    York 4.50



    Salayel 5/1 ppower/sportsbook/ 9/2 victor/lads/hills


    Salayel just five lifetime runs,first four runs in dubai on the aw then joined roger varian stable made debut after a four month break coming second to california love that one tiuched off in a 0-105 at chelmsford on the 10th of august...The race at newmarket was only .08 slower than the bunbury cup on the same day and that was a big field 0-105,horse still ope to improvement would liike no rain and the track to be as quick as possible,hopefully dry out a bit more overnight..loads of others you could pick out am not even going to try and pick anything else with the current going..The times of the races that day suggest even though off 91 still could be well in this type of race,inteesting runner..
    Whitefountainfairy 9/1 has been an eyecatcher numerous times especally at goodwood in better races than this,last time out agai at goodwood eyecatcher hs become very well handicapped..Strange hasn't been entered at goodwood next couple of days on ground that wouldv been perfect,hasn't form here or on these tracks like york and has the draw in car park 18,but does have the class o figure in this race..Still unsure of ground looks like being gd/gdfm ne may get away with it and obvious chance at least on form..
    Last edited by gigilo; 22nd August 2019 at 10:32 AM.

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