Cheers !
8.25 kempton
This looks a weak race to me going through the times of the runners on these surfaces and quite a few that have yet to show any poly form plus there are 7 of the 13 runners that havn't run for at least 120 days.Garstang heads the weights over a trip he's never run over,megalala over a trip that he has little form over now 11yr old,ellie in the pink returns to the aw off highest ever mark yet the aw previous form doesn't look that great.
Legal legacy looks consistent but still creeping up the weights and now fav,qaraabas form looks ok but aw run was terrible so i think there maybe some value in mafi.Mark hoad trained runner won off a welterweight 9-13 last time out after a break of 128 days,imposing looking fella that maybe open to improvement won that lingfield race in 1m37.71 not a great time but they just didn't go quick enough for him and another ten pounds off his back tomorrow.
The form looks rock solid beating legendary conceding a massive 19 pound,on lincoln trial day at wolves legendary hacked up by 3ls from 70 rated devote myself and although legendary must've improved from its debut behind mafi it just gives the form a rock solid look.At 14/1 i think there will be ew money for this with so many ? over a lot of the runners and i can see this going off nearer 8/1,looks competitive but with so many not having a run i think this will shorten and may be reasonably well handicapped
Didn't notice the time of the first ec so puts a bit of a different complexion on the times but the ryan horse looked 10ls better than that form so still looks worth following.Even if only on the fibresand i will keep it down on my to follows for the time being anyway,the same with minstrels gallery last
week and the johnston ruinner up hamis al bin looks a handicap snip on the time last week.
Fancy Well Mett in the 4.05 at War. Nearly bought this end of last year from Shark. Unlucky on last run
1pt trade honourable knight 365 6/1
Will be a miracle if this goes off 6/1 honourable knight has a c/d record of 3/1/4/3/1 in the process the quickest recent time over c/d.He'e already beaten shirataki over c/d 2 3/4ls 3pound worse off but shiratakis priced at 11/4.Shalambar priced at 3s just got touched off by shirataki last time out in a slowly run race,previous to that won a weak race over c/d in a slow time.
Jamarjo priced at 5s also won a slow race over c/d has already finished behind shirataki in yet another slowly run race over c/d and a strict line through thundering home should have a lot to fiond with honourable night.
The 6/1 looks huge should be more like 7/2 shot based on all the form and times at the track!! and thats the likely price it will be.
Worth watching mister broughton in the last at kempton tomorrow as well had it down as non trier last time out,i very rarely back mussons horses and was hoping to see this a big price somewhere.Opened 11/2 into 9/2 i'm not backing it,i just hope it trys as hard as it did last time out and wait for another day.
4/1 honourable knight.
Last edited by gigilo; 22nd March 2012 at 10:32 AM.
1pt trade prohibition 3/1 365
.05ptew
1pt trade jj leary 9/4 365
.10ptew
wolves 6.40
1pt trade sudden wish 4/1 365
.05ptew
1pt trade songbird blues 11/2 365
.05ptew
5.20 lingfield.
Surprised prohibition has opened 3/1 as this race is absolutely dire and i was thinking this was going to open around 2/1 hanagan booking a positive,i was trying to find something away from this but this must surely be overbet into well below 2s minimum so its worth a trade at the very least.Even today ollon and mccool bananas have franked the form the latter winning and ollon third in beter class race finishing behind prohibition.
I've also had a little token ew bet the race he won last time out was different class to these although off a slow pace,no way you could be confident as he hasn't shown any form for 3 seasons.But it looks like a faster run race at lingfield may suit,the trade should cover the bet if it throws in previous form.
Last edited by gigilo; 22nd March 2012 at 7:04 PM.
6.40 wolves
Another poor race and what had looked a totally unreliable ian williams horse in jj leary looked different horse last time out though over c/d and maybe this track suits better.Won easily from george fenton should beat it again tomorrow as had a bit in hand,the danger looks chart on kempton form but i thought jj leary was going to be 6/4 as they're the only two i can make a case for so the 9/4 looks generous.With his horses running so well unless chart is strongly fancied i expect this to be heavily backed to the price as mentioned maybe even lower.
6.40 wolves
Two stand out in this race and thats the bit of form when sudden wish and songbird blues met on jan 4th.Sudden wish is 4 pounds worse off tomorrow and songbird blues was given an exaggerated ride from behind as she was when running behind source of light finishing with loads in hand.Sudden wish may come on again hadn't run for 5 months and was drawn wide at lingfield so could easily improve a few pounds.
Songbird blues has loads of solid form in these races and only because she's been given to long a waiting tactics been beaten,she also split homeward strut and speedy yaki and they went on to be one two in a far better race than tomorrows.Three winners in behind sudden wish and songbird blues race were arabian flight,jj leary and moataz they look like they should dominate the betting to me.I'd make these 3/1 the pair and pretty sure at least one will be a big gamble.
There is one other in the race marthas way looks like it will be winning has 8 pound pull with songbird blues and was picking up at the finish when behind it in the homeward strut race.Apart from those three its hard to find anything i may do some fcasts and tricasts these three.
1pt trade volcanic dust 16/1 ppower
8.10 wolves
Volcanic dust runs in a race where nearly all of the runners are poorly handicapped a 4th to diamond charlie on the 20th of december when with a clear run wouldv'e hacked up off 80,interesting that the other div which had island legend,captain scooby two of tomorrows runners priced at 5/1 and 6/1 they were over half a second slower than volcanics run.He was even carrying more weight than those two that night as well,has run poorly since but had a break of over 2 months and the 16s would look masssive if recapturing that form,money coming for it and could well be a huge gamble!!