No mate not on there
No mate not on there
Newcastle 5.15
Gun case 20/1 365..12/1 generally
Lion hearted still looks wel in off 58 and three pound claimas well so probably only playing for two places,did thorntoun lady last time out ran a decent race is 25/1/28/1 again and could easily well figure again in this grade althoigh has never won over the trip i still think its more likely she will win a race at wolves form looks better there,could put here in for oirecasts maybe wouldn't put anyone off betting it maybe a decent trade at these prices..
Guncase hasn't been in best form recently but been running in better races has a decent record in class 6 races,last two runs here in class 6s won off 63 in august and was placed third off 65 in november,hasn't run in a 0-60 since winning in november 2017,lots of negatives tomorrow drawn 1 on farside,trainers totally out of form 0/44 runners in 111 days but ,on its runs of earlier in year wouldn't even be double figures...It's one for following over next couple of months off this mark just a small bet tomorrow at a big price in right grade.Similar to thorntoun lady could still be well backed and a decent trade at worst..
16/1 generally now,no money for it favs now odds on and contracting even more no great surprise..
Last edited by gigilo; 15th February 2019 at 3:34 PM.
Chopper (14th February 2019), pernicious (14th February 2019), TheDukester (15th February 2019)
A couple of token bets again,the aw cards really are desperate been a very slow season for betting be glad when finals day arrives...
Lingfield 3.15
Something lucky 15/2 hills 7/1 corals 13/2 lads/marathinbet/sportsbook/victor/
The most exposed runner in the field, last time out lost 12ls from the break eventually beaten 4 1/2ls under hands n heels,although that was an eyecatching finish the horse has a habit of doing it on a regular basis a new habit in recent runs, so could only be a token bet..Was a big improver on the aw last season after several years in doldrums then went to appleby stable won off 80 in july ,ran well in a couple of better races than tomorrows placed in class3 earlier in the year off higher marks and was placed at swell this grade in november and 5th on january 1st in a 0-90 at swell..Appleby was interviewed before its last run and he said he preferred the other runner wether that was just due to its slow starts or he has he thought horse is out of form but beat the other that day, although behind joegogo tomorrows 2nd fav really can't beat it and probably relying getting out on terms and them going quick infront and gave then a huge start..If it gets out on terms then should,joegoogo the one with best recent form and will lead,there's only 7 runners so no great ew angle so small bet..runs off 78 which is lowest mark since march 2018,visors back on after blinkers were tried last time out wins have come with them on....Could be a decent trade if the clive cox favourite isn't right after long lay off..could well go off nearer 4/1.
Got the place,shouldv'e won half the track again could see a furlong out 8ls behind wouldv'e won 3ls another 50 yards frustrating horse clearky best horse in the race..bot og profiot anyway only had small bet oity it hadn't been eight runners..
Kempton 8.15
Becker 7/1 365/skybet/victor/betway/totesport/betfred/
If this had been 5fs then Becker wouldv'e been favourite in this race in all probability,been running in better races than these 0-65s has been running over 5fs and not really 6fs looking at the races its run in maybe not a 6f horse but as dropped into a weaker race will have a small bet on it.There is another negative as well drawnh in carpark in 12 so that lessens confidence even more,had run ok when third at newcatle behind tiugh
remedy in January 2018 over 6fs,has been with robert cowell for last five runs has run well in most of them last four runs 6/14,4/11,2/7,4/9,6/11
off marks of 71,69,67,67,66 class 4s and 5s,tomorrow off 64 lowest ever mark and luke morris rides in class 6.Hopefully ridden with a bit of restraint from the 12 draw,more hopeful than confident over this trip.Could still be a decent trade at prices as if it got out on terms would expect it to be a lot closer to 2nd fav joegogo after big stsrt last time out and if cox horse drifted,betting will be interesting as cox horse is lightly raced.
Drifting like a barge 4/1 this morning 15/2 365/skybet/victir/boyles...9s on betfair maybe put an in running lay incase morris blasts out from stalls..
Last edited by gigilo; 16th February 2019 at 7:04 PM.
Metro (16th February 2019), TheDukester (16th February 2019)
Aim For Glory 1.20 Gowran
Ran very well on hurdles debut until blowing up between last 2 Limerick Dec 26.
Also declared for Victor Ludorum Hurdle so trainer has high hopes for him , so has to be ew value at 10/1
Unlucky to fall; jockey had not gone for him and the other two did not go further away from rivals after that.
One to follow surely, though time might run out for a Fred Winter entry.
Newcastle 8.0
Gowanbuster 5/1 365
Gowanbuster looked potentially a sprinter to follow when on third run at newcastle was 3rd to cowboy soldier and midsummer night those two now rated 87 and 86,the 4ths now rated 67 after winning but running some poor races since and the 5th harrogate is now rated 80 also the time was quicker than the class 4 run on the same day.Gowanbuster was given a mark of 75 think i put it up on next run in handicap was 8th of 9 went off 7/2 fav,been very disappointing in another five runs after that,then came back to form given very aggressive ride when 3rd in a 0-75 went clear on its own on farside rail,very rarely see anything go clear and winning never mind on far rail and was just collared at finish beaten 1/2l in dead heating 3rd well clear of 4th.
The time that day was pretty good as well 1m11.70 winner epeius has since won again beating lucky lodge the horse that dead heated with gowanbuster previous run,interesting formlines in 0-75s although bobby joe leg the 2nd has been beaten easily by avenue of stars previous run, tomorrows favourite so could be closely matched, gowanbuster then came out over 5fs at newcastle and again went off 9/4 fav and flopped...Horses profile looks unreliable but will give it a chance and have a small bet,it is drawn lowish with favourite hopefully runs to its penultimate run form and maybe some forecasts with peachey carnehan as well that one beat avenue of stars a few races back.Peachey carnehan had looked in great form then ran poorly last couple of runs,has had a break si could run well again in this race even though worse in at weights with avenue of stars..Tomorrows race is a 0-65 gowanbusters off 66,never run in a 0-65 before so drop in class,hopefully more posituve tactics will be used and will repeat penultimate run.
Peachey caarnehan non runner,thorntiun ladys in the race backed it the last three times,equally would have great chance if it can run to best so the one for forecasts etc.
Last edited by gigilo; 18th February 2019 at 5:20 PM.
HopeValleyMatt (17th February 2019), Metro (17th February 2019)
Some small interests and multiples,dire cards again fior bettibg on just 1/4 stakes for me 8 runner races will probably be 7 etc,etc..
Wolves 6.10
Foxy forever 14/1 sportsbook/ppower 18/1 marathonbet
Would be a bit of a surprise if foxy forever could win an aw handicap for horses rated upto 0-105 and hasn't won since october 2017 off 87,still off 86 tomorrow was unlucky not to win here in december and 2nd to doctor sardonicus off this mark in December in this grade in that ones 4/1 tomorrow has a 4 pound turnaround for 1 1/4ls..Unlikely winner but has some sort of ew chances,although will have to beat some decent horses still to hit the frame,doctor sardonicus,orvar and improving shamshon.All of those three look better so maybe only 4th best in but small bet at prices.
7.10
War tiger 7/4 365 13/8 betfair.
Showed big improvement last time out over c/d was only third run won easily in a decent time for ease of win 1m58.51 doig all the work from the front i can't weigh the other runners up so will have a small bet on this one as open to improvement and its mark looks ok looking strictly at the time..
Southwell 2.10
Cash n carrie 20/1 sportsbook/ppower 14/1 corals/lads
An impossible looking handicap 3yr olds with weught concessions against older horses with poor profiles,appleby has one in the race thats only started racing since november as a 5yr old,didn't show anything till fourth run when trying to make all at wolves over 1m 1 1/2fs was only 9th of 11 but at least showed some sort of ability in a 0-70..Next time out at wolves over same c/d was 3rd of 7 in a 0-75 beaten 4ls running on with first time pieces looked improved form in race seemed to have no chance off just 55,has run again since over further 1m3fs at kempton beaten easily.
Tomorrow runs on completely different surface over a mile,sire casamento hasn't had many runners at track but a couple of winners,runs off just
51 in a 0-55,may simply not like the surface but its easier than penultimate run and got pieces on again,if applebys galloped it on the track and knows it likes the surface then you'd expect it to be heavily backed at these prices,if not then will have to wait for return to wolvs.
Baron run the 9yr old has the best track form ran in a 0-70 last time out finisdhed 3rd,but there's a question mark over the trip but best recent form just looks ridiculously competitve,i expect the appleby horse will either be smashed off the boards or drift like a barge and back to wolves,a speculative pick.
I'd expect it to be around 6-7/1 if stable think surface will suit tops off this mark..
Took 20/1 on the others mentioned in write uo,the best form won the race and trip made no difference strange bettung was 8/1 last night..hope someone had a saver.
Chelmsford 7.55
White coat 5/4 365 Knife edge 10/30 bigger on betfair,big drift..
Both these runners have decent form at wolves in respectable times,hard to pick between the pair of them as only two runs a piece both open to loads of improvement ..
Appleby horse doubled in price from 11/1 to 22s on betfair in 45 mins,think we can safely assume we won't see this within 20ls today..all drifters today again not too surprised just dire these aw cards been the same for weeks..
Last edited by gigilo; 21st February 2019 at 3:33 PM.
TheDukester (21st February 2019)
Nice one giggly had a saver at 16/1 but as you said the drift on cash and carry said it all. Keep up the good work pal
Nice, the betting was all over the place in the race how the winner could be the same prices as horses it looked different gravy to that had been running over the same 7f form made no sense 0-55 horses same prices with horse been running in 0-70s,there was actually no decent mile form in the race over c/d so it was essentially guessing over the trip anyway..Don't know why i bother with those appleby horses,they are impossible to predict,although it looks one to bet at wolves again over 1m 1 1/2 furlongs,it wants holding up like its last run at wolves as looks off good mark.
Nice forecast paid me a bit over 5-1. You’d be flying if you just layed all of Ryan Moore’s rides. He has been shocking the past few years.
Massive price difference betwwen the pair purely because he was riding when you think i put up tiger owl earlier and this one had finished behind it in a decent time and the one earlier hacked up,4/1 in a two horse race mad prices..Exacta 6.50 fiorecast 5.43 absolutely cracking race to bet in,ended a veru good day..
Last edited by gigilo; 21st February 2019 at 9:24 PM.
Some small bets again on another poor cards 1/4 syakes for me.
Wolves 5.55
A sure welcome 9/1 365/sportsbook/skybet/betway 17/2 betfred/totesport
A regular at track and c/d winner,looks a little exposed now but usually runs its race was 3rd to acclaim the nation and joegogo over c/d in a 0-80
on 29th of jan going off 7/2,so has an ew chance in this 0-75 although is a very competitve race.The negative could be the draw drawn in carpark in 11,the pace will be cut out by it's all a joke won a 0-80 last time out has finished behind a sure welcome earlier in the season over this c/d but tomorrow has the 2 draw..A sure welcome will need something to take it on to show it's best so just a small bet as not totally guarantteed to happen,probably need warriors valley to take it on another pace setter,maybe some forecsasts the three..
6.25
With caution 4/5 generally 5/6 betfair/hills/victor
With caution only beat a 64 rated runner on debut at lingfield so form doesn't look great,time was fairly decent for first ever run 1m11.70 with normal improvement you'd expect that time to dip well into the 1m.10s,that is the best form on the clock shown so far but there are others lighty raced as well..Betting will be interesting as regards the others,if nothings bet against this i wpuldn't be surprised to see it going off 2s on maybe shorter,so option of free bet if nothing else or decent trade.Confidence is slightly dampened by channon horse drawn 1 and with caution has the car park draw in 8,especially if that one comes on for debut run,but purely based on debut run on clock best so far.
Last edited by gigilo; 25th February 2019 at 3:06 AM.
Wolves 6.0
Nezar 16/1 sportsbook/ppower/victor 14/1 unibet/marathonbet/
Nezars an unreliable type but not impossiblr could run well in this race,although doesn't win too often only 5/52 is a pound above last winning mark which ws over this c/d march 2018 going off 9/4 favourite in this grade off 74 off 75 tomorrow.Not shown much since although ran respectable penultimate run when 3rd to diocles of rome off 76,invariably comes from off the pace and needs a decent gallop to aim at not guaranteed again tomorrow and again drawn wide..Just a small bet at prices,if the go quick could be finishing welll if not then will probably be nearer last than first,hasn't been backed in recent times probably because of running style so might be worth watching..
22/1 ppower/unibet bigger on betfair am not really surprised was only speculatuve anyway.
Last edited by gigilo; 26th February 2019 at 6:16 PM.
KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!Skip filled,another one robbed earlier cantering over the field,a gutter as did an ew double as well desperate stuff the earlier one...looked unbeatable on that last run the tate horse had a bit on forecast as well and exacta £3.70 forecast£ 3.08,picks are running well but takes a week to find some value and get no luck again..
Last edited by gigilo; 25th February 2019 at 7:35 PM.
Tabletop (25th February 2019)
Nice ew double lad shame about a sure welcome getting hampered. Luke Morris is another jock who has gone the way of Ryan Moore used to be the king of the all weather. Also nice forecast
gigilo (25th February 2019)
Pity about "A sure welcome" as it was as you say cantering. Great picks though Giggsy.
gigilo (25th February 2019)