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Thread: Daily picks.

  1. #10301
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    Kempton 4.45

    Clement...11/1 ppower/sportsbook/skybet 10/1 boyles/totesport

    Think it's worth following clement now its dropped to a mark of 60,although you may have to wait a while as stables totally out of form no winners for five months on the flat and tomorrow kate leahy rides 7 pound claimer,but she is a virtual passenger on top as well even though takes the horse down to 53..The last time clement ran in a 0-60 was January 2016 winning by 5ls,got up to a mark of 82 2016 season but been on downgrade since,although still on last seasons win in a 0-70 over 7fs at lingfield again off 61 would be a big danger in a race like this,probably favourite,has only had four runs since the win in April and was a bit of an eyecatcher in octiober in another 0-70 over tomorrows c/d passing quite a few under hands n heels.Until stable hits form you can't have much confidence especially with inexperienced jock but now in the right grade to be worth following.John O'shea keeps puttong her up,maybe to get horse into these races but horse is very pace dependant if they went realky quick then she could get l;ucky and run well,if they go slow will look one paced and out the back..
    Astro speed looks like an improver only had six runs decent time at lingfield last time out had another winner foreign legion just behind giving 10 pound,form looks strong for grade and viola park rarely runs a bad race likes the track hard to see these two not running wel,k may well finish 1,2 in a weak race..

    11/1 corals
    Last edited by gigilo; 15th January 2019 at 12:53 PM.

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  3. #10302
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    was gonna back it gigs but not after reading that write up... no confidence at all....

  4. #10303
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    The problem is it might go and win when stables still out of form so all you can do is bet the prices,jockey looks poor as well but its a horse that needs a fast pace anyway so its always a risk on the aw it's just ion the right race and will be in the future..




    AW Marathon finals day

    Aircraft carrier 14/1 unibet 8/1 victor Festival of ages 12/1` unibet 10/1 victor

    Have had ante post bets in most of the races on finals day,am not really into backing horses on the aw over these distances but as the time was good tonight and watersmeet rated 104 was brushed aside easily by these two by 5ls,they look likely to improve more and still lightly raced..On paper looks the best race run over 2mile so far and now a break for these two,festival of ages was beaten fair and square but still only five races i doubt there wil be much betwen them again come finals day.
    Last edited by gigilo; 14th January 2019 at 9:38 PM.

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  6. #10304
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    Just some small interests again and an ew multiple..1/4 stakes Clement falsely run race again,drufted to 26s this is what happened before it started running well last season,once it gets decent pace to aim at will look a far better bet and probably without this strange jock booking..

    Kempton 4.30

    Cashel 13/2 365 6/1 skybet/totesport/betfred 11/2 sportsbook/ppower/unibet

    Gradually improving from appleby stable,has been an eyecatcher the last twice stepped up into a 0-65 last time out after its eyecatching 0-60 run both runs over 7fs the step up to the mile looks to suit..looks a bit quirky but as most of these aw runners if there's a decent pace on should run well.Slightly off putting is the form of the appleby stable just 2 winners from last 50 runners otherwise wouldv'e looked a far better bet...thats why small stakes unfortunately,although could be a monster trade wouldn't tota;ly surprise me iof went off favourite..

    5.0

    Woods 5/4 365

    When i first saw the time of the debut run 1m23.86 i thought must be a red hot maiden,was probably still a decent time for a maiden run but track was riding very quick that day,think it would be disappointing if the fav wasn't at least an 85 horse on that run,probably prices are about right with some making debuts but is open to lots of imkpriovement and mile looks to suit staying on strongly last time out..

    6.0

    Mandrinho 7/1 365/sportsbook 6/1 ppower 13/2 unibet

    Mandrinho doesn't win very often but has decent record over kemptons 6fs 1/2/4 is a pound higher than last win which was over this c/d, last run here was 4th staying on strongly in a 0-85 and previous c/d run was a 0-80 when 2nd..Again i think its one of those horses the quicker they go on this track the better he is,seems to be a running theme on the aw at the moment of falsely run races hopefully will go decent pace then has decent ew chances at least..
    Last edited by gigilo; 16th January 2019 at 10:05 AM.

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  8. #10305
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    AW 3yr old final

    Red impression 9/4 lads

    Red impression on only second ever run breaking the 2yr old track record at lingfield 1m9.76 a decent time for any age group, but won with ease you could probably shave another half a second off that time with ease of win and that would not put him too far behind the older horses contesting on finals day Kachy etc...I was waiting too see it priced up as originally i liked the first three in betting mubakker,concierge and san donato all having won easily on the aw in decent times,they may well be as good as red impression yet but can only go on what's been done so far and you have to presume red impressions going to improve.Any sort of improvement this makes this a top class aw horse,done it on the clock and the track so although 9/4 looks short with finals day long way off,it's going to take something very good to beat it,maybe worth keeping an eyeout for bigger prices yet only a couple of books up you may see 3/1 in the next week,thats what i was hoping to see ...Thats four ante post bets for finals day,as mentioned previously it's obviously a risk wether they run or not,but if they look the best horses on the clock then you have to do them..
    5/2 sportsbook/ppower

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  10. #10306
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    Just some small interests again and an ew multiple..1/4 stakes Clement falsely run race again,drufted to 26s this is what happened before it started running well last season,once it gets decent pace to aim at will look a far better bet and probably without this strange jock booking..

    Kempton 4.30

    Cashel 13/2 365 6/1 skybet/totesport/betfred 11/2 sportsbook/ppower/unibet

    Gradually improving from appleby stable,has been an eyecatcher the last twice stepped up into a 0-65 last time out after its eyecatching 0-60 run both runs over 7fs the step up to the mile looks to suit..looks a bit quirky but as most of these aw runners if there's a decent pace on should run well.Slightly off putting is the form of the appleby stable just 2 winners from last 50 runners otherwise wouldv'e looked a far better bet...thats why small stakes unfortunately,although could be a monster trade wouldn't tota;ly surprise me iof went off favourite..

    KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!RELENTLESS!!! Hope someone diod brockey rise as well,ffs that was my 4th pick but ledt it off as was only 9/2 this morning druftede to 11s and won the last at lingfield,couldn't believe the short [prvces last night after last time out we backed it...Don'y know how that cape greco wass evens crazy pruces,been waiting for cashel after big eyecatcher two runs back..

    5.0

    Woods 5/4 365 2.78 betfair..

    When i first saw the time of the debut run 1m23.86 i thought must be a red hot maiden,was probably still a decent time for a maiden run but track was riding very quick that day,think it would be disappointing if the fav wasn't at least an 85 horse on that run,probably prices are about right with some making debuts but is open to lots of imkpriovement and mile looks to suit staying on strongly last time out..

    6.0

    Mandrinho 7/1 365/sportsbook 6/1 ppower 13/2 unibet

    Mandrinho doesn't win very often but has decent record over kemptons 6fs 1/2/4 is a pound higher than last win which was over this c/d, last run here was 4th staying on strongly in a 0-85 and previous c/d run was a 0-80 when 2nd..Again i think its one of those horses the quicker they go on this track the better he is,seems to be a running theme on the aw at the moment of falsely run races hopefully will go decent pace then has decent ew chances at least..
    Pity about the other two would put a line through both runs especially the haggas horse drifted like a barge very strange although it didn't look a world beater on debut its form/time was far better than that run,one for handicaps i think..Had a few things marked off tomorrow all terrible pruices can't bet any of them..
    Last edited by gigilo; 16th January 2019 at 7:14 PM.

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  12. #10307
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    Havn't been feeling to well recently and the aw cards just seem to get worse everyday,just token bet for me especially as its newcastle..

    Newcastle 7.45

    Epeius 11/1 skybet/victor

    Epeius doesn't win very often just 2/26 starts and off 65 not exactly thrown in as highest winning mark 63,has been well beaten by favourite avenue of stars and duke cosimo in august but similarly beat them well in november when 2nd to lucky lodge in a 0-70,run before that was 6th of 14 to secretinthepark in a 0-75 not beaten far stopped in run.Last time out ran at swell so can put a line through that got left at start,if it runs to most of its newcastle c/d form would have a decent ew chance in a 0-65 tomorrow,even though really competitve for grade.
    Duke cosimo was 2nd in a better clas race than tomorrows over c/d,hadn't run to that level for a long time although is best form of these if it reproduced it,the track was riding very slow that dat presume it will be the same tomorrow with these temps,the one to beat if it repeats it.
    Last edited by gigilo; 21st January 2019 at 7:54 PM.

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  14. #10308
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    Your health is more important than the horse racing.hope it improves.good luck.

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  16. #10309
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    Can't see much tomorrow you might get a free bet out of this one..

    Lingfield 3.45

    Vandella 4/5 hills 8/11 sky/lads/ppower/victor/sportsbook/corals/betfred/totesport/188bet generally.

    Vandella ran second on debut at lempton beaten 1/2l winning time 1m25.30 nothing special on standard going but track was riding slow,was by far the quickest race on the card obviously impossible to evaluate in a maiden with loads not run,i would be a bit surprised if this isn't near a 90 horse with normal improvement just based on the winning time,there was a simon dow horse back in third so maybe some doubt over form betting will obviously be informative ...Prices aren't overly generous but if something has to run to 90+ in debut which very rarely happens then will probably win,you may get a free bet or decent trade out of it if nothings fancied to really take it on it could well go off very short...will be interestig race to follow if it did get beat..i'd imagine if these aren't up to much will be 2/5 3s on..

    Pity couldn't have got a load on at 8/11 wouldv'e been monster trade was always going to get ovrrbet,got a freebet annoyingly the obvious ew bet wins against it 20s on the fair as wel...didn'ty like havlins intervioew earlier in the day when ge said she's on the small side etc didn't seem confident at all..
    Last edited by gigilo; 23rd January 2019 at 4:54 PM.

  17. #10310
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    Havn't been feeling to well recently and the aw cards just seem to get worse everyday,just token bet for me especially as its newcastle..

    Newcastle 7.45

    Epeius 11/1 skybet/victor

    Epeius doesn't win very often just 2/26 starts and off 65 not exactly thrown in as highest winning mark 63,has been well beaten by favourite avenue of stars and duke cosimo in august but similarly beat them well in november when 2nd to lucky lodge in a 0-70,run before that was 6th of 14 to secretinthepark in a 0-75 not beaten far stopped in run.Last time out ran at swell so can put a line through that got left at start,if it runs to most of its newcastle c/d form would have a decent ew chance in a 0-65 tomorrow,even though really competitve for grade.
    Duke cosimo was 2nd in a better clas race than tomorrows over c/d,hadn't run to that level for a long time although is best form of these if it reproduced it,the track was riding very slow that dat presume it will be the same tomorrow with these temps,the one to beat if it repeats it.
    Will settle for the place,couldv'e had a good evening with harvest day winninjg bet it the last twice been in bed all day just looked went out to 10/1 was 9/2 last time i saw prices.avenue of stars have backed it last few times as well,just seemed to favour horses on the pace tonight epeius ran well from lon way behind..

  18. #10311
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    Some small interests again 1/4 stakes,if it wasn't swell i probably wouldn't bother but will have some small multiples as well...looking more at places than winnersthere's nothing in prices in way of value that stands out..a couple of them look unlikely winners just horses i will be following for a while..Also 8 horse races so you can guarantee there will be some non runners,very small interests for me.

    Southwell 1.45

    Hanati 15/8 skybet 9/4 betfred/totesport 3.4 betfair..

    Hanati ran a decent 2nd over c/d on debut although was beaten by a horse rated just 60 and that runner has been well beaten since although the winner had only run the once at swell so interesting to see it back over the c/d in future..The time looked fairly decent was only.49 slower than the calss 3 won by moonraker on the same day,hanati has since won beating kadiz also running tomorrow but that one has a huge 14 pound turnaround with it fir 1 1/4ls,even though won relatvely easy you'd expect it to turn the form around but will stick with proven c/d win and hope hanatis a far better horse on this surface.
    The karl burke horse looks the most interesting 3rd on debut at newcastle in a decent looking maiden even had a 75 rated runner just behind it in that race out of society rock sire 25% on surface it could be different class to these,but a year lay off and 3rd ever run so could just be going for a mark after its second run was disappoinuing,maybe a little saver at 10/1/forecast will probably be hammered of stable think its spot on if going for a mark then obviously unbacked.

    16/1 the burke horse looks unlikely to be showing today,be interesting to see how its ridden got free bet on hanati after big drift,shouldv'e won morris is on a nighmare run.

    2.55

    Purple rock 8/1 skybet/mathonbet 15/2 victor

    The combination of gay kelleway and faye Mc,anoman and drawn 9 there's loads of negatives horse is not an east ride and has eyeshields on forst time tomorrow,last couple of runs have been poor over 2m2fs you could excuse that run then ran at wolves over 1m4fs another disappointing run.
    Don't know if horse is a bit of a rigue but only won 3/43 but the one run over tomorrows c.d was a decent run when running off this mark of 72 finishing second,the winner amitie waltz just touched off a mark of 80 next time out and the 3rd vivernus was rated 72 that day,won by 13ls next time out then was rated 82 and got tiouched off by azari recently...A hard ride for this jockey and horse hasn't won for two seasons but will probably pick up a race on this surface before end of the season,although maybe not under this jock.

    11s on betfair tracks riding really slow can see faye mcmanohan committing suicide pace but might get a little something un rynning,its best form was when track was fast its desperate there today..



    4.05

    Majestic moon 11/1 365/sportsbook 10/1 ppower

    Majestic moon was running well in these class races last season and better class races at the track,won this race last year off 77 and was then 2nd off 82,hasn't looked the same horses since even though coming back to the track in december,but ran ok in this grade when 4th to gabrials centurion beaten easily by 2 1/2ls this month...Just looking at that run cannot beat it even though 6 pound better off,looked an improver so realistically just place chances in competitve race,is 9yr old now so possibly on downgrade from last season,be interesting to see if it can get back to its best from julie fielden stable..

    Chelmsford 6.25

    At your service 9/2 generally 5/1 victor/skybet 6/1 marathinbet Always amazing 5/1 365

    At your service looks an improver running on well when stopped in run last time out in a 0-65 and always amazing coming back to form in a 0-65 last time out when not getting a clear run and tiouched off,negatives are obvious to see both horses like to come off the pace and chelmsford invariably suits the pace horses..They look obvious place chances in a 0-60,if tracks not suiting front runners then obvious winning chances..maybe putbin distant view for forecasts..

    5.55


    Evening attire 12/1 365/victor/corals

    Evening attire another older horse 8yr old,hasn't won since 2016 and i would be surprised if it won tomorrow but thought it was worth following after its chelmsford run when 2nd to salute the soldier off 73,had two of tomoroiws runners hammer gun and kadrizzi behind...This is another rise in grade for it,it really needs a 0-75/0-80 with a decent draw,tomorrow out in the car park 11/11 so lot to ask for a horse that likes to be prominent,it's more of a to follows horse really it might get lucky and get to the front early could trade well in running,if not will just wait for another day as has become well handicapped..


    Nothing wrong with picks just terrible rides,although i knew that was likely with those jocks had to do them though just incase at leaet they are still there to follow just need better jocks and rught conditionsas non of the ran badly and showed what i'd seen on previous runs.
    Last edited by gigilo; 24th January 2019 at 6:44 PM.

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  20. #10312
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    Some small interests again 1/4 stakes,if it wasn't swell i probably wouldn't bother but will have some small multiples as well...looking more at places than winnersthere's nothing in prices in way of value that stands out..a couple of them look unlikely winners just horses i will be following for a while..Also 8 horse races so you can guarantee there will be some non runners,very small interests for me.

    Southwell 1.45

    Hanati 15/8 skybet 9/4 betfred/totesport 3.4 betfair..

    Hanati ran a decent 2nd over c/d on debut although was beaten by a horse rated just 60 and that runner has been well beaten since although the winner had only run the once at swell so interesting to see it back over the c/d in future..The time looked fairly decent was only.49 slower than the calss 3 won by moonraker on the same day,hanati has since won beating kadiz also running tomorrow but that one has a huge 14 pound turnaround with it fir 1 1/4ls,even though won relatvely easy you'd expect it to turn the form around but will stick with proven c/d win and hope hanatis a far better horse on this surface.
    The karl burke horse looks the most interesting 3rd on debut at newcastle in a decent looking maiden even had a 75 rated runner just behind it in that race out of society rock sire 25% on surface it could be different class to these,but a year lay off and 3rd ever run so could just be going for a mark after its second run was disappoinuing,maybe a little saver at 10/1/forecast will probably be hammered of stable think its spot on if going for a mark then obviously unbacked.

    16/1 the burke horse looks unlikely to be showing today,be interesting to see how its ridden got free bet on hanati after big drift,shouldv'e won morris is on a nighmare run.

    2.55

    Purple rock 8/1 skybet/mathonbet 15/2 victor

    The combination of gay kelleway and faye Mc,anoman and drawn 9 there's loads of negatives horse is not an east ride and has eyeshields on forst time tomorrow,last couple of runs have been poor over 2m2fs you could excuse that run then ran at wolves over 1m4fs another disappointing run.
    Don't know if horse is a bit of a rigue but only won 3/43 but the one run over tomorrows c.d was a decent run when running off this mark of 72 finishing second,the winner amitie waltz just touched off a mark of 80 next time out and the 3rd vivernus was rated 72 that day,won by 13ls next time out then was rated 82 and got tiouched off by azari recently...A hard ride for this jockey and horse hasn't won for two seasons but will probably pick up a race on this surface before end of the season,although maybe not under this jock.

    11s on betfair tracks riding really slow can see faye mcmanohan committing suicide pace but might get a little something un rynning,its best form was when track was fast its desperate there today..



    4.05

    Majestic moon 11/1 365/sportsbook 10/1 ppower

    Majestic moon was running well in these class races last season and better class races at the track,won this race last year off 77 and was then 2nd off 82,hasn't looked the same horses since even though coming back to the track in december,but ran ok in this grade when 4th to gabrials centurion beaten easily by 2 1/2ls this month...Just looking at that run cannot beat it even though 6 pound better off,looked an improver so realistically just place chances in competitve race,is 9yr old now so possibly on downgrade from last season,be interesting to see if it can get back to its best from julie fielden stable..

    Chelmsford 6.25

    At your service 9/2 generally 5/1 victor/skybet 6/1 marathinbet Always amazing 5/1 365

    At your service looks an improver running on well when stopped in run last time out in a 0-65 and always amazing coming back to form in a 0-65 last time out when not getting a clear run and tiouched off,negatives are obvious to see both horses like to come off the pace and chelmsford invariably suits the pace horses..They look obvious place chances in a 0-60,if tracks not suiting front runners then obvious winning chances..maybe putbin distant view for forecasts..


    KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!Nice to save the day with 7/1 nice drift with nearly all the books half hour befire the off the others ran ok as well wrong draws jocks etc...as in wrute up..just seen it got hammered into 4/1 7.05 on betfair..

    5.55


    Evening attire 12/1 365/victor/corals

    Evening attire another older horse 8yr old,hasn't won since 2016 and i would be surprised if it won tomorrow but thought it was worth following after its chelmsford run when 2nd to salute the soldier off 73,had two of tomoroiws runners hammer gun and kadrizzi behind...This is another rise in grade for it,it really needs a 0-75/0-80 with a decent draw,tomorrow out in the car park 11/11 so lot to ask for a horse that likes to be prominent,it's more of a to follows horse really it might get lucky and get to the front early could trade well in running,if not will just wait for another day as has become well handicapped..


    Nothing wrong with picks just terrible rides,although i knew that was likely with those jocks had to do them though just incase at leaet they are still there to follow just need better jocks and rught conditionsas non of the ran badly and showed what i'd seen on previous runs.
    Last edited by gigilo; 24th January 2019 at 7:33 PM.

  21. #10313
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    nice get outta jailer always follow someone whos in form .. that man at the mo is MART

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    Wolves 5.45

    Clement 20/1 365

  23. #10315
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    Kempton 4.45

    Clement...11/1 ppower/sportsbook/skybet 10/1 boyles/totesport

    Think it's worth following clement now its dropped to a mark of 60,although you may have to wait a while as stables totally out of form no winners for five months on the flat and tomorrow kate leahy rides 7 pound claimer,but she is a virtual passenger on top as well even though takes the horse down to 53..The last time clement ran in a 0-60 was January 2016 winning by 5ls,got up to a mark of 82 2016 season but been on downgrade since,although still on last seasons win in a 0-70 over 7fs at lingfield again off 61 would be a big danger in a race like this,probably favourite,has only had four runs since the win in April and was a bit of an eyecatcher in octiober in another 0-70 over tomorrows c/d passing quite a few under hands n heels.Until stable hits form you can't have much confidence especially with inexperienced jock but now in the right grade to be worth following.John O'shea keeps puttong her up,maybe to get horse into these races but horse is very pace dependant if they went realky quick then she could get l;ucky and run well,if they go slow will look one paced and out the back..
    Astro speed looks like an improver only had six runs decent time at lingfield last time out had another winner foreign legion just behind giving 10 pound,form looks strong for grade and viola park rarely runs a bad race likes the track hard to see these two not running wel,k may well finish 1,2 in a weak race..

    11/1 corals
    As above stables still out of form o'shea on nightmare run he's persisting with kate leahy the 7 pound claimer and tomorrow runs over the 7fs at wolves which is its least favourite track out of the three it has form on has never won here before,was a weak race last time out same grade as tomorrows but drifted like a barge and was same resuilt outpacee and just staying on at the end of the race.That run has given it another three pound drop and with her claim lifetime lowest mark off jusr 50 with claim,the horse showed it still retains abiliy back october but last time out was one of its worst ever runs,i still think you'll have to wait till maybe better jock and guarantee pace on as thats the only time it runs well.Tomorrows race for a 0-60 is red hot and loads in form,think its unlikely tomorrow will be the day again but can't not bet it at [pruces,just a case of persevering with it,one thing don't want to see is it a fast finishing 4th or 5th as will kil its price next time out..The only positive for it tomorrrow is visor is back on,hasn't had it on for last four runs, but has won its last four races with it on,thats the one positve it has,went off 16/1 last time out and tomorrows race is far better so even the 20/1 isn't looking massive even though it should be in this grade on most of its form.

    20/1 365


    7.45

    Something lucky 9/1 sportsbook/ppower

    Something lucky looks a little exposed now off 80 the two obvious horses in race joegogo won saturday night and even with penalty is srtill 6 pound lower than when 4th over c/d in a 0-85 and a third before win in this class off 76 the claimer takes off 7 so only off 74 still well handicappede.Same applies to acclaim the nation been running well on the aw on different surfacesa second to machree at chelmsfird oin a 0-85 looks the best piece of form in the race,two lengths clear of chice encounter winner twice since,has followed that up with a win and a second in a 0-90 and a 0-85 if goes on track the one to beat..with joegogo.Something lucky last win was off this mark,has won over c/d but has finished a few lerngths behind acclaim the nation in one of those races so has a bit to find with only 5 pound pull,there are five maybe six front runners in the race so there is a chance race could be run to suit for something lucky usually comes off the pace.He is at his optimum matk ahainst two horses that still look well handicapped,just a small bet and maybe some forecasts..

    25/1...

    9/1 betbright..
    Last edited by gigilo; 29th January 2019 at 2:24 PM.

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  25. #10316
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    Ran as market expected again clement 38s,it must be deliberate putting her up because the only way its could win with her on is complwte pace collapse,am gping to keep persevering as only had a token bet on it so far,once the right conditions come round with loads of pace then maybe worth risking a bigger bet hyopefully with a better jock on..Was hoping for a pace collapse in the later race and the track seens like its massively biased towards front runners with ex[posed winner making all in the 6f handicap and first four prominent,track riding really quick as well even though desperately cold complete opposite of what i was expecting..



    Lingfield 3.20


    Violet's lads 4/1 skybet..7/2 ppower/sportsbook/totesport/betfred 11/2 corals..

    Violet lads heading the weights in a maiden handicap,carrying a massive weight and conceding loads of weight to unexposed 3yr olds so could easily be something in here better than these horses rated upto 60 althopugh most of the runners havn't shown a great deal yet..Maybe worth an ew bet has run eight times on the aw placed five times,last five runs over c/d has been 3/4/2/2/2 has been touched off last three runs wouldn't say a dodgepot has been second in two 0-65s and a 0-70 in those runs,last run here was second to chica de la noche form that has worked out well for a low grade race.The winners won again,as has the third Astrospeed,fourth foreign legion has won three back to back won the opener tonight clements race,the sixth collates also won as well and the fifth was third to aguerooo two days ago...unfortunately has terrible draw in 11 so negative but if the go decent pace should be involved in the finish..This morning big drifter 5/1 marathonbet 11/2 betfair think all the meetings had cold temps hit the tracks so tracks could be really slow and obviously with welterweight might throw races into a lottery,won't really know till racing starts.glad i never risjked any other bets today as can see some strange results..

    11/2 corals 6/1 sportsbook/boyles/totesport/ppower 7.8 betfair

    Gets left and switches to inside was full of running but jopck just gave up as had no chance will probably back it again in one of these races...
    Last edited by gigilo; 30th January 2019 at 4:47 PM.

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  27. #10317
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    As above stables still out of form o'shea on nightmare run he's persisting with kate leahy the 7 pound claimer and tomorrow runs over the 7fs at wolves which is its least favourite track out of the three it has form on has never won here before,was a weak race last time out same grade as tomorrows but drifted like a barge and was same resuilt outpacee and just staying on at the end of the race.That run has given it another three pound drop and with her claim lifetime lowest mark off jusr 50 with claim,the horse showed it still retains abiliy back october but last time out was one of its worst ever runs,i still think you'll have to wait till maybe better jock and guarantee pace on as thats the only time it runs well.Tomorrows race for a 0-60 is red hot and loads in form,think its unlikely tomorrow will be the day again but can't not bet it at [pruces,just a case of persevering with it,one thing don't want to see is it a fast finishing 4th or 5th as will kil its price next time out..The only positive for it tomorrrow is visor is back on,hasn't had it on for last four runs, but has won its last four races with it on,thats the one positve it has,went off 16/1 last time out and tomorrows race is far better so even the 20/1 isn't looking massive even though it should be in this grade on most of its form.

    20/1 365


    7.45

    Something lucky 9/1 sportsbook/ppower

    Something lucky looks a little exposed now off 80 the two obvious horses in race joegogo won saturday night and even with penalty is srtill 6 pound lower than when 4th over c/d in a 0-85 and a third before win in this class off 76 the claimer takes off 7 so only off 74 still well handicappede.Same applies to acclaim the nation been running well on the aw on different surfacesa second to machree at chelmsfird oin a 0-85 looks the best piece of form in the race,two lengths clear of chice encounter winner twice since,has followed that up with a win and a second in a 0-90 and a 0-85 if goes on track the one to beat..with joegogo.Something lucky last win was off this mark,has won over c/d but has finished a few lerngths behind acclaim the nation in one of those races so has a bit to find with only 5 pound pull,there are five maybe six front runners in the race so there is a chance race could be run to suit for something lucky usually comes off the pace.He is at his optimum mark against two horses that still look well handicapped,just a small bet and maybe some forecasts..

    25/1...

    9/1 betbright..
    KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!Cannot believe that got the forecast as above and had saver on acclaim the natuon at 7.8 it drufted to 11.0 on befair,just ridiculous all the early races huge pace bioas just held up all night every single sprint gave the appleby horse no chance the way the track was riding...INcredible pruces for wuinner 7/2 last night,turned into the value unbelievable led all the way...had a combination and a rverse the 1st and 2nd crazy betting the waty the track was riding hope you did the firecasts and had a saver still have to rub my etes at that sp .Ileft a warning when i put tomorrows bet about the appleby horse,exactly what happened..
    Last edited by gigilo; 29th January 2019 at 10:13 PM.

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  29. #10318
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    Exacata 31 csf 27 ..

  30. #10319
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    Nothing outstanding at prices again tomorrow,more looking at places i think with some ew multiples will be very small stakes 8 runner races so 1/4 stakes as probably the usual non runners..

    2.05

    Filament of gold 5/1 365 9/2 skybet 10/30 sportsbook/ppower Creoso cymraeg 6/1 365/skybet/corals/victor/lads 5/1 ppower/sportsbook

    Filament of gold an 8yr old would have to be a poor race for it to win but it is only a 0-55 there are three or four runners that if they go on the surface have more potential,filament of golds last two runs have been here second and third in a 0-60 and 0-60 drops into a 0-55 obvious ew chances..Creoso cymraeg a trainer i would normall avoid but has had a winner in last 14 days althiugh very rarely has winners on the flat,at least this runners onkly had five runs so could be opeb to a little improvement,thought it ran ok over c/d when beaten 6ls by love rat,not great fotm but time looked ok was over two seconds quicker than other division on the day.Another decent ew chance on that form,big question mark will be the surface it could be desperately slow if thats the cae then always open to strange results and thorough stayers and that nmight play into the stayer
    siyahamba maybe saver 11/1/forecasts..The other interesting runner is Alcanar from tony carroll stable,a maiden after four runs but has run well in slightky better races and being out of teofilio cannot discount sires 25% on surface and been heavily backed,so would add in for forecasts..




    2.40

    Melgate magic 5/2 365 15/8 skybet 7/4 ppower/sportsbook

    Melgate magic won well first time on surface raised quite a lot in weights and now up in class,time of the race seems better than the other runners that have rin on this surface so far but not all expopsed think main positve is out of harbiur watch a sire thats 23% on surface so still o[pen to improvement,the one to beat on its last win,.If anything could improve it maybe the fahey horse piccothepack 20/1 might be worth a little saver/ forecast just purely as out of piccolo good sire on surface and ran ok coming back from a long break at wolves missed the break especially as most of these are looking exposed.



    4.10

    Esprit de corps 5/1 365/ppower/sportsbook 11/2 skybet/victor Gentleman 6/1 365/hills 13/2 ppower/sportsbook/skybet..

    No real peference over most of the foeld as the appleby horse could be anything space bandit,luis vaz de torres runs in better races and well hando9capped out of tagula so should go well on the surface..Have just stuck with these two on their run in a 0-95 maybe not the strongest 0-95 ever run at swell either but dropping into a 0-75 tomorrow,they were 3rd and 4th on new years day,gentleman actually runs off a 9 pound lower mark but the claimer is grace mcentree a virtual lpassenger so negated slightly by that and esprit de corps like appleby trainer davuid barron alwats catches the eye at swell lightky raced in recent times and been out of form till that run,hopefully still open to improvement on sirface.
    It may just turn out both space bandit and luis vaz de torres are better horses antywaty but these two are bigger prices and have that one piece of decent swell form.


    Newcastle 8.0

    Thorntoun lady 11/1 ppower/sportsbook

    A nine year old trained by jim goldie and only 3/45 runs last win was october 2017 in this grade but was probably a worse race,this looks the wrong venue to me as her recent form she has been an eyecatcher in better races even over the 6fs at wolves last time out trip looked too short not beaten far in 5th in a 0-65..She has run here plenty of times,lots ofr form thereabouts,last time she ran over c/d was only 7th of 13 in a 0-65 off 56 with same apprentice on claming 7..She may have been in wrong place in the race only lucky lodge ran well on farside and finished secojd she was second in the group,i was hoping that she would be back at wolves over 7fs instead of these falsely run races at newcastle,prices of 11/1 with strike rate are disappointing but has run well last two runs at wolves.Even though poor win record,if they go quick enough she could run into a place off lowest ever mark with claimer taking off another seven off the mark of 54,negative is the claimer as inexperienced and still pretty weak..she's one i will follow for a few runs especially at wolves..Maureb wouldn't be out of this won off 63 in october 2017 at wolves so dropping in class,its for tailed off towards end of turf season that win off 63 was laat run on the aw so comes back on a mark of just 56 because of those tyurf runs has run well after a similar break befiore so wouldn't be a tital shock if running well..although another trainer thats out of form no winners fir 110 days..Could have some coppers on at 16/1 PP/SB,might be one to follow and worth watching closely in race.


    Pullmam brown n/r so took it out of write up.
    Last edited by gigilo; 31st January 2019 at 10:43 AM.

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  32. #10320
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    Nothing outstanding at prices again tomorrow,more looking at places i think with some ew multiples will be very small stakes 8 runner races so 1/4 stakes as probably the usual non runners..

    2.05

    Filament of gold 5/1 365 9/2 skybet 10/30 sportsbook/ppower Creoso cymraeg 6/1 365/skybet/corals/victor/lads 5/1 ppower/sportsbook

    Filament of gold an 8yr old would have to be a poor race for it to win but it is only a 0-55 there are three or four runners that if they go on the surface have more potential,filament of golds last two runs have been here second and third in a 0-60 and 0-60 drops into a 0-55 obvious ew chances..Creoso cymraeg a trainer i would normall avoid but has had a winner in last 14 days althiugh very rarely has winners on the flat,at least this runners onkly had five runs so could be opeb to a little improvement,thought it ran ok over c/d when beaten 6ls by love rat,not great fotm but time looked ok was over two seconds quicker than other division on the day.Another decent ew chance on that form,big question mark will be the surface it could be desperately slow if thats the cae then always open to strange results and thorough stayers and that nmight play into the stayer
    siyahamba maybe saver 11/1/forecasts..The other interesting runner is Alcanar from tony carroll stable,a maiden after four runs but has run well in slightky better races and being out of teofilio cannot discount sires 25% on surface and been heavily backed,so would add in for forecasts..


    KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOOMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!! !Ashame that alomst got the lot Creoso wins and siyahamba places and filament of gold so all the places in just missed the forecasts,lovely start to the day....

    2.40

    Melgate magic 5/2 365 15/8 skybet 7/4 ppower/sportsbook

    Melgate magic won well first time on surface raised quite a lot in weights and now up in class,time of the race seems better than the other runners that have rin on this surface so far but not all expopsed think main positve is out of harbiur watch a sire thats 23% on surface so still o[pen to improvement,the one to beat on its last win,.If anything could improve it maybe the fahey horse piccothepack 20/1 might be worth a little saver/ forecast just purely as out of piccolo good sire on surface and ran ok coming back from a long break at wolves missed the break especially as most of these are looking exposed.

    Commited suicide unbelievable the tracks the slowest i've ever seen uit and goes racing 6ls clear actually ran 4ls quicker than the winner on the same card when they ran in seperate divs,so annoying at least it stayed in the frame shouldv'e sluiced up traded 1.16..



    4.10

    Esprit de corps 5/1 365/ppower/sportsbook 11/2 skybet/victor Gentleman 6/1 365/hills 13/2 ppower/sportsbook/skybet..

    No real peference over most of the foeld as the appleby horse could be anything space bandit,luis vaz de torres runs in better races and well hando9capped out of tagula so should go well on the surface..Have just stuck with these two on their run in a 0-95 maybe not the strongest 0-95 ever run at swell either but dropping into a 0-75 tomorrow,they were 3rd and 4th on new years day,gentleman actually runs off a 9 pound lower mark but the claimer is grace mcentree a virtual lpassenger so negated slightly by that and esprit de corps like appleby trainer davuid barron alwats catches the eye at swell lightky raced in recent times and been out of form till that run,hopefully still open to improvement on sirface.
    It may just turn out both space bandit and luis vaz de torres are better horses antywaty but these two are bigger prices and have that one piece of decent swell form.


    Newcastle 8.0

    Thorntoun lady 11/1 ppower/sportsbook

    A nine year old trained by jim goldie and only 3/45 runs last win was october 2017 in this grade but was probably a worse race,this looks the wrong venue to me as her recent form she has been an eyecatcher in better races even over the 6fs at wolves last time out trip looked too short not beaten far in 5th in a 0-65..She has run here plenty of times,lots ofr form thereabouts,last time she ran over c/d was only 7th of 13 in a 0-65 off 56 with same apprentice on claming 7..She may have been in wrong place in the race only lucky lodge ran well on farside and finished secojd she was second in the group,i was hoping that she would be back at wolves over 7fs instead of these falsely run races at newcastle,prices of 11/1 with strike rate are disappointing but has run well last two runs at wolves.Even though poor win record,if they go quick enough she could run into a place off lowest ever mark with claimer taking off another seven off the mark of 54,negative is the claimer as inexperienced and still pretty weak..she's one i will follow for a few runs especially at wolves..Maureb wouldn't be out of this won off 63 in october 2017 at wolves so dropping in class,its for tailed off towards end of turf season that win off 63 was laat run on the aw so comes back on a mark of just 56 because of those tyurf runs has run well after a similar break befiore so wouldn't be a tital shock if running well..although another trainer thats out of form no winners fir 110 days..Could have some coppers on at 16/1 PP/SB,might be one to follow and worth watching closely in race.

    Another that shouldv'e won as i said always gets done by the pace at newcastle bonus was the place 4.36 incredible drift some bad luck today multiples should be ok some returns double odds one winner with two complerye ew lucky 15s up,frustrating day as the easterby horse shouldv'e won and thorntoun lady.. Multiples ew luckys returns £30,£45,£100 and 120 couldv'e been si much better with a bit of luck..

    Pullmam brown n/r so took it out of write up.

    Thought it was going to be a brilliant month,but hardly any strong fancys bar one most of the cards were poor and have just been betting small stakes still managed a 53% ROI not basd on poor raciong,looks to me like the aw seasons going to be slow probably slowest ever..almost have felt like having a couple of months break as there should be loads of bets this time of year racings just so diluted with the extra newcastle meetings and i'm not even doing any preiews a sure sign cards are poor..
    Last edited by gigilo; 1st February 2019 at 11:36 AM.

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