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Thread: Daily picks.

  1. #10061
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    Almost a monster night,but still very nice night that couldv'e been very special,shouldv'e done som,e more multiple had every winner and forecast as write up,ended up betting two of the winners but got three forecasts and most of multios should returna few quid,any luck wouldv'e been fortunes...The write up was worth fortunes,i shouldv#e bet other horses with drifts liker the irish hiorse was 7/1 al day and the drift on war department,hope others diod better than me..

    Yankee profuts 4 of them 52,57,200,200 brilliant returns for places...if you got prices i redid them this moring as well with the first one at 10/1 as well so would be 60% of those returns as well..
    Last edited by gigilo; 3rd October 2018 at 9:30 PM.

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  3. #10062
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    Almost a monster night,but still very nice night that couldv'e been very special,shouldv'e done som,e more multiple had every winner and forecast as write up,ended up betting two of the winners but got three forecasts and most of multios should returna few quid,any luck wouldv'e been fortunes...The write up was worth fortunes,i shouldv#e bet other horses with drifts liker the irish hiorse was 7/1 al day and the drift on war department,hope others diod better than me..

    Yankee profuts 4 of them 52,57,200,200 brilliant returns for places...if you got prices i redid them this moring as well with the first one at 10/1 as well so would be 60% of those returns as well..


    So close, so bloody close

  4. #10063
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    Well done Andy!
    Pluralism of Ideas and the prosperity of any land are intertwined. Freedom of minds and skill of intellect to 'think the unthinkable' is how humanity has progressed; when minds are incarcerated nothing endures.

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  6. #10064
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    Thanks as always, well done mate.

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  8. #10065
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    Have been unwell possibly another pneumonia,waiting on chest xrays and on anti nbiotics hopefully will not be admitted again so won't be posting much although will be watching the racing stioll and a biot of form if up to it,one runner i think could be a huge gamble in the Balmoral handicap although last year never ra in it and is entered next saturday at ascot as well but will still do it anyway as can see it going off a lot shorter than currenat price.

    Balmoral handicap

    Raising sand 14/1 365/hills/betfred/totesport

    Raising sand

    A 6yr old but still very lightly raced just twenty runs,18 on turf 5 wins has run some decent eyecatching races this season on gd/fm ground but never won on anything faster than good.also 8th in cambridgeshire today but ground was gd/fm was a non runner two years ago when entered over same c/d on same ground,that was becaise of the ground so still ran ok finising 8th today.Last season won off 92 and ran its best ever races when running on favourite track ascot,a third to Accidental agent and Lord glitters in next weeks race off 98 on gd/sft ground those two were rated 103 and 102 at that point now both rated 116 thats what it was up against so an outstanding piece of ascot soft ground form.
    Raising sands been 1/1/3/4 at ascot when the grounds been good or worse abd even though this season has been 17/7/8 has run well all those runs staying on at finish on gd/fm ground ,is off 98 now same as third last season might get dropped another pound after today.Have looked at the front 6/7 in the blamoral market and non of those runners have course and ground form comparable to the run of raising sands run in the ascot race,that race looks a stronger race than the balmoral especially for raising sands if the ground comes up soft which is highly likely on the day.The prices may not seem overly generous but i would have it infront of the first six in betting idf condiotions are right,plenty of gd/fm ground for others that's good but those horses look likely to have conditions against them...
    The balmoral was won by lord glitters last season and accidental agent was 4th just two weeks after raising sands finished third to them,so that track form just looks better and better wouldn't even surprise me if it went off favourite..

    There might be a couple of books that go 16/1 yet but as long as grounds not gd/fm its going to be shorter..
    Took 12s earlier in week,but you had to guees on the weather absolutely pissed it the form of last years was completeky different gravy to them on that ground,ground came perfect only this motrning,hope a few followed even though was hard to bet before last night when ptioces had gone got 18s for bal;moral last night but obviously rise in weights now but if griunds similarv still has obvious chance....
    Last edited by gigilo; 6th October 2018 at 3:51 PM.

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  10. #10066
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    Have been unwell possibly another pneumonia,waiting on chest xrays and on anti nbiotics hopefully will not be admitted again so won't be posting much although will be watching the racing stioll and a biot of form if up to it,one runner i think could be a huge gamble in the Balmoral handicap although last year never ra in it and is entered next saturday at ascot as well but will still do it anyway as can see it going off a lot shorter than currenat price.

    Balmoral handicap

    Raising sand 14/1 365/hills/betfred/totesport

    Raising sand

    A 6yr old but still very lightly raced just twenty runs,18 on turf 5 wins has run some decent eyecatching races this season on gd/fm ground but never won on anything faster than good.also 8th in cambridgeshire today but ground was gd/fm was a non runner two years ago when entered over same c/d on same ground,that was becaise of the ground so still ran ok finising 8th today.Last season won off 92 and ran its best ever races when running on favourite track ascot,a third to Accidental agent and Lord glitters in next weeks race off 98 on gd/sft ground those two were rated 103 and 102 at that point now both rated 116 thats what it was up against so an outstanding piece of ascot soft ground form.
    Raising sands been 1/1/3/4 at ascot when the grounds been good or worse abd even though this season has been 17/7/8 has run well all those runs staying on at finish on gd/fm ground ,is off 98 now same as third last season might get dropped another pound after today.Have looked at the front 6/7 in the blamoral market and non of those runners have course and ground form comparable to the run of raising sands run in the ascot race,that race looks a stronger race than the balmoral especially for raising sands if the ground comes up soft which is highly likely on the day.The prices may not seem overly generous but i would have it infront of the first six in betting idf condiotions are right,plenty of gd/fm ground for others that's good but those horses look likely to have conditions against them...
    The balmoral was won by lord glitters last season and accidental agent was 4th just two weeks after raising sands finished third to them,so that track form just looks better and better wouldn't even surprise me if it went off favourite..

    There might be a couple of books that go 16/1 yet but as long as grounds not gd/fm its going to be shorter..
    Well done Andy!
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  11. #10067
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    Well done giggs.done it in a ew yankee at 9s last night but didnt mind missing him at the price today.i made my money last week 40/1 8 places.so didnt mind today.

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    great shout

  13. #10069
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    well done, an intense focus on ground conditions really pays off at this time of year

  14. #10070
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    Try some ew multiples...some are really just thieving bets for places

    Windsor 1.50

    Shoot for gold 3/1 365/victor 11/4 skybet

    Shoot for gold ran on same card as tomorrws favourite timeiof its maiden was around two secobnds quicker than the favs but hard to read too much into it as favourites race was slowly run but it should at least be hitting the frame on that run and maybe give the fav a race.

    KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMM!!!Ten 10ls quicker on debut and just rwaffiornmed it best ew bet of the day,wish there were a few more like this,thought it would opern 7/4 been a while since seen one like this..

    4.0

    Kingston kurrajong 14/1365/ ppower/sportsbook/betfred/totesport generally 14/1.

    Kingston kurrajongs been consistent having comeback to form in the early part of the year won a couple of races on the aw now looking a bit high in the handicap has a similar profile on turf and although is unlikely in a race chocca full of unexposed runners he did finish third off 78 at ripon going off 2/1 favourite on soft ground.
    That race was one of its best ever runs in a 0-90 has not been in that sort of form recently but not run on softer ground since that run,trainers not in any form and kieren fox rides,usually jason watsons been riding he's on sir plato,jock bookings suggest not expecting much but would have an ew chance on that ripon run back in april especially as went off 2/1 favourite and is a c/d winner.Betting will probably be a pointer switched back to this ground you'd expect it to be backed if in form.Secret return and employer have form in this class of race and on the ground and are also viable ew alternatives..
    What a farce sits out the back cantering on rail,no intention of trying went off about 32s on betfair,one for notebook.
    Another huge drift 10/1 this morning out to 22/1 would have to think horse isn't right today..
    Kempton 6.45

    Cool reflection 6/4 365 13/8 skybet/victor Tanqeeb 14/1 generally Absolute huge drioft on Tanqeeb 18/1 as write up ride will be interesting..

    When i first looked at cool reflections run last time put i thought the race it ran in at wolves looked red hot,but was a bit misleading as on the clock you'd be looking at 90+ horse but the class 6 later on card won also in a very quick time by a 66 rated horse suggests times are exaggerated.Still open to improvement so hard to give any definites on trating, but will be interesting to see if it comes on with improvement possible again.
    Tanqeeb ran well on debut third at ffos las the time looked quite good,the fourth has oin since and now rated 78 tanqeeb was infront of that one and conceded four pound,flopped on next run soft ground and is a very interesting runner as could easily be an 85+ horse but whether its running in a maiden to get really nice opening mark or trying to win the race betting will be really interesting.Crowley had the choics and is on second favourute so could be a run down the field,will definitely going in notebook for hanmdicaps regardless of tomorrows result
    9.15


    Little palver generally now 10/30 7/2 skybet.victor/ppower/sportsbook 7/1 Bigbravebob 365/skybet

    Don't know what to make of little palver has looked well handicapped for a longtime and have backed him a couple of times given up on him then wins at bath making all after always fgetting behind in recent times is running off same mark as win at bath 72 jock amelia glass brings it down another seven from that run..That was a weak 0-75 so has to back that run up and prove wasn't fluke but if it wasn't then the mark of 72 with seven off looks well in on its run in march off 85 when fourth over c/d good time went below 1m11 seconds..can see it winning or bombing out completely..
    There are loads open to improvement in the race hard to narrow down and even though big bad bob only finished third in a claimer over c/d recently it didn't look a bad race with the fourth glory in paris running well back here in a 0-80 next time out,was a decent time for a claimer and if others don't improve then an ew chance.Also mont ridiculously well hamdicapped ran in a 0-105 back her two seasons ago off 91 and now rated in the 70s could bounce back in this grade..

    7.45

    Manson 14/1 365..10/1 skybet


    I said i would keep backing manson as should be winning races on the aw but again gets chucked in an ultra competitve race,another class 2 last time out again same as most of its races coming off a race that wasn't overly quick finishing 4th nearest finish again.He might get a better pace to aim at in this bigger field but never guaranteed round kempton,some of its best form is going right handed already second this season to via serendipity off 92 over a mile, tomorrowl off 86..Think he will be kept on the go on the aw and even though might not be this one eventually will get race run to suit..
    Last edited by gigilo; 8th October 2018 at 4:06 PM.

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  16. #10071
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    What a win. Was like it was the only horse in race.
    Well done on the first gigs.

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    Eachway multis trying to nick places in the main as most are exposed bar a couple ...roll on the aw season

    Brighton 3.0

    Calan 5/2 365 10/30 sportsbook/ppower most books 3/1

    This could be a redhot maiden johnston,appleby newcomers plus gosden runner as well catan might be up against it with penalty the chelmsford race it ran in last time out has thrown up a few winners so with experience looks good for fighting out places,only eight runners so would keep a close eye on that.NON RUNNER JUST 7 RUNNER RACE AS WAS PROBABLY ALWAYS GOING TO HAPPEN LUCKY ITS UP EARLY ..

    KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!Had bet at 4.5 was 4/1 i think and on the place wich covered the multiples just incase,sl;uiced up nice maiden at chelmsfiord,working out lovely,scraped home by 7ls pulling up..

    3.30

    Allegian 9/4 365 Narjes 5/1 365 generally 8/1 this morning..

    Allegian real ly the only unexposed runner in the race,won at Epsom on handicap debut in a 0-75 better race than tomlorrows with de sousa riding i can see this getting bet exclusively wouldn't even surprise me iof went off odds on,only negatuve i can see is gd/fm ground,but will go ogf vety short trading freebet opportunity.Narjes is capable of running well in better races than this,don't like sophie rolaston but takes the horse down to a mark of just 58 with her 7 tajken off second here in a 0-70 last time out back in 0-65

    As predicted the fav nbacked into 1.68 was great for tradibg won a nice few quid on race and with narjes placing,as i said jocks useless shouldv'e sluiced up a decent jock wouldv'e been 8/1 winner...

    Newcastle 8.15

    Swift emperor 14/1 victor/corals/blacktype 12/1 sportsbook/ppower/lads/365 generally.

    Testa rossa looks well in still and the third horse behind it last time out looks sire to run well Valentino dancer the winning time was good last week in a 0-80 this race might be slightly better but if they run like that they should go very close again..The one other runner in the race on track form and aw form that catches the eye is swuift emperor,won over c.din 2017 off 86,was also 4th in the lincoln trial off 90 at wolves going off just 9/2,this os only a 0-85 so really would be expecting this to be quite heavily backed if anywhere near that form.Hasn#t shown much on turf lately but bacvk in the right grade off just a mark of 81 lowest sonce 2015,betting will be the pointer as wouldv'e been favourite on last years form even off higher marks.Non runner valentino dancer so that leaves elusive heights in the mix also not far behind testa rossa in that previous c/d run...

    Catterick 3.40

    Hee haw 5/1 365 9/2-4/1 generally Black friday 10/1 sportsbook/ppower

    Am not sure hee haw or Black friday will be suited by catterick and that could be the negaytive for them both,hee haw ran in far better race at ponte last time out ideally wants a bit of cut to show best don't really know what grounf will be good at best but could be gd/fm if it has drued out..Is the obvious choice on form but has to prove it on track.
    Similarly Black cat lay off of a 103 days and first time pieces last seen on the turf when again running at ponte a decent 3yr old handivap off 75 claimer takes off 3 tomorrtow down to a mark of 70,looks well handicapped if fiot and handling track,betting informative again.

    Got 4s a place for black friday robbed by the draw again wpuldv'e sl;uiced up,had a feeling hee haw wouldn't like the track been a good day just needed more winners..hard to get multiples together as well..nice result for placepot..

    4.10

    Spirit of wedza 6/1 365/sportsbook/ppower

    Spirit of wedza rarely wins bt usually about in these types of races against exposed runners,runs here quite regilarly last three runs 1,2,3 drawn in 2 obvious place chances even if hard to catch winning..Prestbury park and lucky beggar could run well if ground is on good side,well handicapped hard to win with like spirit of wedza..

    Leicester 2.50

    Canadian george 5/2 365 Royal household 9/2 generally.

    A seller if these two run to their best then the obvious picks but still a slight ? when they run in this grade,highest rated runners in race Canadian george 11 race maiden form over a mile and 1m2fs maybe this race on slightky quicker ground will help than last couole of runs on sifter getting beatb in finishes.Royal householsd joined Alan king from hannon astable,has had some decent form in handicaps but shown nothing for new trainer over hurdles still interesting in such a poor race..

    Both placed..

    4.25

    Bertog 5/1 generally this morning.

    Another thorougjly exposed runner would need this to be a weak race,verve of henry candys already well backed belrog is only rated 75 but plenty of respectable handicap form and some in better races than its mark siggests but others not so good,again if it runs to best should be hard to keep out of the frame presuming the maiden isn't somethung special.
    Last edited by gigilo; 9th October 2018 at 4:02 PM.

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  19. #10073
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    Eight each way super heinz is 1,920 bets.

    Or would you play them differently? Couple of each way lucky 15s and hope you get the right ones together?


    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

  20. #10074
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    Quote Originally Posted by BennyB View Post
    Eight each way super heinz is 1,920 bets.

    Or would you play them differently? Couple of each way lucky 15s and hope you get the right ones together?


    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
    Probably ew superyanks/yanks shorter ones and ew lucky 15s on some of the bigger ones,if i really liked them and there were lots of bigger prices i would be doing the heinzes but still waiting for some really good cards to have a go at think balmoral challemge cup day last season was a day i did them last season hopefully thopse cards will be good again a week on saturday.
    Last edited by gigilo; 9th October 2018 at 9:42 AM.

  21. #10075
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    Best of luck Gigs - deserve to cop one just for the logistics of getting all those bets on.
    Hurricane Fly - whatever he runs in he wins

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  23. #10076
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    Eachway multis trying to nick places in the main as most are exposed bar a couple ...roll on the aw season

    Brighton 3.0

    Calan 5/2 365 10/30 sportsbook/ppower most books 3/1

    This could be a redhot maiden johnston,appleby newcomers plus gosden runner as well catan might be up against it with penalty the chelmsford race it ran in last time out has thrown up a few winners so with experience looks good for fighting out places,only eight runners so would keep a close eye on that.NON RUNNER JUST 7 RUNNER RACE AS WAS PROBABLY ALWAYS GOING TO HAPPEN LUCKY ITS UP EARLY ..

    KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!Had bet at 4.5 was 4/1 i think and on the place wich covered the multiples just incase,sl;uiced up nice maiden at chelmsfiord,working out lovely,scraped home by 7ls pulling up..

    3.30

    Allegian 9/4 365 Narjes 5/1 365 generally 8/1 this morning..

    Allegian real ly the only unexposed runner in the race,won at Epsom on handicap debut in a 0-75 better race than tomlorrows with de sousa riding i can see this getting bet exclusively wouldn't even surprise me iof went off odds on,only negatuve i can see is gd/fm ground,but will go ogf vety short trading freebet opportunity.Narjes is capable of running well in better races than this,don't like sophie rolaston but takes the horse down to a mark of just 58 with her 7 tajken off second here in a 0-70 last time out back in 0-65

    As predicted the fav nbacked into 1.68 was great for tradibg won a nice few quid on race and with narjes placing,as i said jocks useless shouldv'e sluiced up a decent jock wouldv'e been 8/1 winner...

    Newcastle 8.15

    Swift emperor 14/1 victor/corals/blacktype 12/1 sportsbook/ppower/lads/365 generally.

    Testa rossa looks well in still and the third horse behind it last time out looks sire to run well Valentino dancer the winning time was good last week in a 0-80 this race might be slightly better but if they run like that they should go very close again..The one other runner in the race on track form and aw form that catches the eye is swuift emperor,won over c.din 2017 off 86,was also 4th in the lincoln trial off 90 at wolves going off just 9/2,this os only a 0-85 so really would be expecting this to be quite heavily backed if anywhere near that form.Hasn#t shown much on turf lately but bacvk in the right grade off just a mark of 81 lowest sonce 2015,betting will be the pointer as wouldv'e been favourite on last years form even off higher marks.Non runner valentino dancer so that leaves elusive heights in the mix also not far behind testa rossa in that previous c/d run...
    Smashed into 7/2 fav and worst race it's ever run just crazy that newcastle track wouldv'e landed some nice multiples as well,just backed into as i said wouldv'e been fav on last seasons form a monster trade...
    Catterick 3.40

    Hee haw 5/1 365 9/2-4/1 generally Black friday 10/1 sportsbook/ppower

    Am not sure hee haw or Black friday will be suited by catterick and that could be the negaytive for them both,hee haw ran in far better race at ponte last time out ideally wants a bit of cut to show best don't really know what grounf will be good at best but could be gd/fm if it has drued out..Is the obvious choice on form but has to prove it on track.
    Similarly Black cat lay off of a 103 days and first time pieces last seen on the turf when again running at ponte a decent 3yr old handivap off 75 claimer takes off 3 tomorrtow down to a mark of 70,looks well handicapped if fiot and handling track,betting informative again.

    Got 4s a place for black friday robbed by the draw again wpuldv'e sl;uiced up,had a feeling hee haw wouldn't like the track been a good day just needed more winners..hard to get multiples together as well..nice result for placepot..

    4.10

    Spirit of wedza 6/1 365/sportsbook/ppower

    Spirit of wedza rarely wins bt usually about in these types of races against exposed runners,runs here quite regilarly last three runs 1,2,3 drawn in 2 obvious place chances even if hard to catch winning..Prestbury park and lucky beggar could run well if ground is on good side,well handicapped hard to win with like spirit of wedza..

    KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!Tops off cracking day just got in one losing race for m,e to buttons,would settle for this everyday loads of mukltis up don't know if i've got them altogether althiugh got all the single races in same bets..

    Leicester 2.50

    Canadian george 5/2 365 Royal household 9/2 generally.

    A seller if these two run to their best then the obvious picks but still a slight ? when they run in this grade,highest rated runners in race Canadian george 11 race maiden form over a mile and 1m2fs maybe this race on slightky quicker ground will help than last couole of runs on sifter getting beatb in finishes.Royal householsd joined Alan king from hannon astable,has had some decent form in handicaps but shown nothing for new trainer over hurdles still interesting in such a poor race..

    Both placed..

    4.25

    Bertog 5/1 generally this morning.

    Another thorougjly exposed runner would need this to be a weak race,verve of henry candys already well backed belrog is only rated 75 but plenty of respectable handicap form and some in better races than its mark siggests but others not so good,again if it runs to best should be hard to keep out of the frame presuming the maiden isn't somethung special.
    Another decent place,only just walked through door hoping this would hit the frame as these are the ones that knock out all the multiple money the bankers!!

    Fixture list dying down slightly should soon be time for some aw previews...
    Last edited by gigilo; 10th October 2018 at 12:33 AM.

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    You are amazing, gigolo.

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    Ah! but a man's reach should exceed his grasp......

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    Eachway multiples,don't know whats going on with the ground at yarmouth and musselburugh i've been checking for several days and huge amonuts of rain were forecast,they are now saying the tracks have had virtually non seems very suspect to me and wasted a whole day yesterday,have just looked at weather at yarmouth and says raining complete opposite of bha site so anyones guess on ground.Might add some more in tomorrow if any definites they say gd/fm i just can't see it will check in the morning,very annoying as looked a reasonable meeting as have picks for gd/sft and gd/fm..

    Windsor 3.10

    Russian realm 9/1 365/ppower/sportsbook/betfred/tiotesport / Sweet pursuit 16/1 sportsbook/ppower/365/victor

    Lady dancelot looks the obvious pick very consistent won last time out and was 2nd in a 0-90 at goodwood earlier in the season to raucuous so could easily go in again off just a 2 pound higher mark won going away last time out...Slightly bigger prices Russian realm drops into a 0-80 tomorrow and off lowest ever mark of 78,hasn't been in much form recent runs but early season form was 3rd to adams ale at ripon off 84 and 2nd to aces off 83 in a class 2 at epsom..Halfway down the field in ayr bronze cup last time out so drops into a 0-80 for first time has an ew chance off 78 won off 81 last season.
    Sweet pursuit an improving sprinter winning a couple back to back, last couple of runs no show,whether thats because has reached optimum mark
    could well be the reason but ran well enough at ffos las on similar soft ground as tomorrows when 4th of 16 in a 0-90 behind bernard o'reilly
    off 79,as said maybe simply reached that optimum mark but a pound below that run when 4th in a better race and on same ground..would have a decent ew chance on that form with finley marsh taking off 5..Mullionheir only c/d winner in the race that has won in this grade so off a pound higher than last win on very soft ground another obvious chance maybe some forecasts with others..

    4.10

    Cuban heel 9/4 365/victor

    Cuban heel exposed maiden but at least has form on soft ground,looks more place than win in a race with unexposed runners but has obvious chance of nothing imprives rated 79 a second to sir plato in a 0-80 best of recent form but has been beaten 12 times already and quite a few short prices..Last run was only 6th of 11 in a maiden at kempton,11/8 fav so hoping surface was the excuse.


    5.15

    Queen penn 5/1 365/skybet generally

    Queen penn has been improving with racing,recent runs over 7fs winning at thirsk in a 0-90 and last time out runner up to explain in another 0-90 those races were over 7fs, step up to a mile tomorrow so has to prove itself over distance and has had three hard races in a month..Think that could be the negative as has the best known form a matter of wehther races have caught up with it as still looks one thats going to win more races..Fahey has this runner and paramount love and that runner will equally like the ground he sends these two to windsor,paramount love disappointing in recent runs but won a 0-80 earlier in the season on what was desperate ground and it will be similar a possibility of revival on ground that could suit and off just 72 could be more races in lightly raced runner yet.
    Also think crafty madam along with queen penn the other obvious form pick,still relatively lightly raced ran in a 0-90 last time out running on over 7fs at newmarket drops on class and those two stand out on recent form...



    Kempton 6.15

    Alsvinder 11/1 betbright/lads/hills/skybet/victor/betway..




    Alsvinder is looking a little exposed now and chucking in some poor runs with good,was 2nd at chelmsford in a 0-95 three runs back but two poor runs since this is a 0-90 and has run over c/d befire when 2nd in a 0-90 last season off 87 and time was decent,anything like its best form then decent ew chance..

    7.45


    Characteristic 10/1 ppower/sportsbook 8/1 365 all other firms 9/1 skybet/victor / Jahbath 10/11 365

    Maiden on the aw over a mile,characteristic ran over 7fs on debut at chelmsford winner finas has looked a bit special winning again since the time of the maiden was the quickest 2yr old maiden run at the track this season and there have been several other winners come out of the race 3rd and 4th catan and brian epstein have won since.Characteristic was beaten 4 1/s in that race,i'd be keeping it in ntebook for handicaps regardless of tomorrows result as time looked good.
    Jahbath decent 2nd on debut at sailsbury,as time was far quicker than other division the third an alan king debutant makes the form look a little suspect so will be interesting to see if that race works out ..
    Last edited by gigilo; 15th October 2018 at 9:27 AM.

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  27. #10079
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    Have been unwell possibly another pneumonia,waiting on chest xrays and on anti nbiotics hopefully will not be admitted again so won't be posting much although will be watching the racing stioll and a biot of form if up to it,one runner i think could be a huge gamble in the Balmoral handicap although last year never ra in it and is entered next saturday at ascot as well but will still do it anyway as can see it going off a lot shorter than currenat price.

    Balmoral handicap

    Raising sand 14/1 365/hills/betfred/totesport

    Raising sand

    A 6yr old but still very lightly raced just twenty runs,18 on turf 5 wins has run some decent eyecatching races this season on gd/fm ground but never won on anything faster than good.also 8th in cambridgeshire today but ground was gd/fm was a non runner two years ago when entered over same c/d on same ground,that was becaise of the ground so still ran ok finising 8th today.Last season won off 92 and ran its best ever races when running on favourite track ascot,a third to Accidental agent and Lord glitters in next weeks race off 98 on gd/sft ground those two were rated 103 and 102 at that point now both rated 116 thats what it was up against so an outstanding piece of ascot soft ground form.
    Raising sands been 1/1/3/4 at ascot when the grounds been good or worse abd even though this season has been 17/7/8 has run well all those runs staying on at finish on gd/fm ground ,is off 98 now same as third last season might get dropped another pound after today.Have looked at the front 6/7 in the blamoral market and non of those runners have course and ground form comparable to the run of raising sands run in the ascot race,that race looks a stronger race than the balmoral especially for raising sands if the ground comes up soft which is highly likely on the day.The prices may not seem overly generous but i would have it infront of the first six in betting idf condiotions are right,plenty of gd/fm ground for others that's good but those horses look likely to have conditions against them...
    The balmoral was won by lord glitters last season and accidental agent was 4th just two weeks after raising sands finished third to them,so that track form just looks better and better wouldn't even surprise me if it went off favourite..

    There might be a couple of books that go 16/1 yet but as long as grounds not gd/fm its going to be shorter..
    5/1 fav....This was looking very good till rest of weeks forecast dry weather all week so by saturday the soft ground will have gone and this will double in price again,i can see this getting a point bigger everyday leading upto weekend unless there's more rain so opportunity to lay off for free bet if you've had a big enough bet to warrant doing that..
    Last edited by gigilo; 16th October 2018 at 11:06 AM.

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    Kempton 8.15


    Grandee 25/1 365 25/1 lads/corals 22/1 sportsbook/ppower


    Grandee moved to O'meara stable from harrington stable was rated 102 at one time and uis really a middle distance horse last time out over tomorrows c/d of just a mile was an eyecatcher obviously o'meara experimenting and was an eyecatcher getting stopped in run with a furlong to go.That race on paper would be the equivalent of tomorrows but tomorrows race has three that head the market all from top stables looking like huge improvers,grandee may have gone very close in the run here in that last run, although it looks like he really wants another two furlongs especially with chance of a dawdle over these trips on the aw..If they go quick enough tomorrow he could run well,although would be a big turn up if he won he could run into a place,he looks very similar to most of the runners bar the unexposed ones,could see him halving in price with punters betting him ew after watching replays..so also nice trading position as well..
    That was first ever run on the aw, i expect o'meara to campaign him on the surface through the winter over an extra two furplongs rated 87 so could still win some nice handicaps this winter,..


    25/1 skybet
    Last edited by gigilo; 16th October 2018 at 10:59 AM.

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