Are you alright Andy? Not like you to be so brief. I hope you're well.
Are you alright Andy? Not like you to be so brief. I hope you're well.
JBCraic (20th May 2018), swedish chef (20th May 2018)
Windsor 8.45
Biotic 11/1 ppower/sportsbook
Overwatered ground at Windsor (6.3) on going stick if that doesn't change will be nearer gd/sft good ground they have gd/fm on the Windsor website total rubbish,as long as they l;eave it alone should be nearer good by the off just ridiculous the amount of water putting on from what I can see they just aren't going to let there be fast ground..Biotic the angle was gd/fm ground non in this race really,although is last race on the card so hopefully will be at least good by the end of the card maybe slightly quicker.
BiotIc used to be different class to these and even last season on 2017 turf debut was 3rd off 73 over this c/d then followed that up with another second off 74,even ran a decent fourth off 74 at sailsbury all those races better than this,then switched to the aw shown absolutely nothing four runs and its mark have plummeted to a mark of 61 so is absolutely chucked in on last years Windsor form.If he's fit and if he still retains any of last years ability you'd expect these sort of prices to crash,so that will be obvious pointer if he goes unbacked in just a 0-70 then he will run as his prices suggest.He maybe worth following back here just incase not fit,but even though he has great track form off higher marks he hasn't wion since 2015 althouigh lowest mark since july 2014 when he was a sprinter on the aw..
Could still be a relatively nice trade just can't see how it will be bigger than 5-6/1 in this grade and of retains ability and stable think they have it somewhere near a mark of 70 then could go iff same price as with market leaders..
11/1 coral 9/1 unibet 17/2 totesport/btfred 8/1 lads
7/1 hills/betway
Just 13/2 left now 365/marathonbet/sportsbook/ppower/unibet/victor...hopefully you can still still get free bet out of that price.
Into 5/1,as I said would be decent trade although it now looks like heavy rain around 5mm says thunderstorm which is why essenaitch has been heavily backed into fav likes softer ground,betting copuld completely change on biotic if that rain arrives in evening..
Last edited by gigilo; 21st May 2018 at 9:37 AM.
3/1 tops now ,2/1 some firms still very little to gon although as I said sometimes you just get a weak bunch and so far at least on the clock that's what's happened,a few promising new ones ran this weekend will be having another bet in the Coventry it' not 100% certain he runs yet as O'Brien has the 2nd and 3rd favs as well the irish rover could possibly be the Coventry horse and this one the norfolk...if it does run could go off even a lot shorter yet unless something comes out over the next week..
Last edited by gigilo; 20th May 2018 at 9:20 PM.
JBCraic (20th May 2018)
Windsor - my weather service says light showers between 1 and 6 this afternoon but 23 degrees so cant see it changing the going much
Was still worth doing,as long as I think they will shorten I will put them up won a few quid trading today on the race got hammered just before the off into 5.6 think it was as biog as 7/1 today nothong wrong withy ground really looked good ground probably one to give another chance to as they crawled round which wouldn't have suited...as said in write up would be amazed if it was bigger than 5-6/1 sp 4/1,think if it had shown anything at home would've been fav anyway..Might have a few days away from betting and look at the 2yr olds too much racing for me not feeling great and long season ahead.
Last edited by gigilo; 21st May 2018 at 9:27 PM.
notnowcato (21st May 2018)
Take it easy Giggs. You have the winning formula, it's not going to go away.
Take care of your health giggs,that comes first.good luck.
Been doing the same thing for 20 years same hours work from 9am till 3am regardless of health,if I didn't I just wouldn't bother doing anything I need to cover everything,completely shattering this time of year onwards just so much to cover when I have 15-20 picks running in a day I just won't post especially if not three or four stand out at prices and am not going to put up lists of horses..because wouldn't want anyone to have a big losing run.
Lingfield 4.35
Jack black 7/1 35 8/1 ppower/sportsbook 15/2 skybet
Victor 13/2
Jack black don't know if this is just a run out for the summer jumping ,joined brett Johnson last season and the horse raced with loads of enthusiasm and improved hurdling mark last winning in September off 113,horse races from the front but also has a turn of foot as well..Has had six runs on the aw not shown much gets in here on first flat run on turf off 53,new mark of 120 over hurdles could be well handicapped slightly speculative first run back and over 1 m3 1/2 furlongs,a very poor race so interesting to see if he has natural flat speed for this trip..I presume will try and lead,reminds me of another horse that improved last season and won a couple tonto's spirit from hurdling,off just 53 think its worth a small bet,might just need further but from watching its hurdle replays looked to have nice turn of foot in the races it ran in end of 2017 jump season..trainer had winner yesterday.
Same old story non stop rain the angle on the horse was good/fast ground and drifted like a barge since rains have fallen previous form on gd/sdt poor ...thibk it will be no betting days till next week too many ground changes..
Last edited by gigilo; 24th May 2018 at 3:57 PM.
2017diary (23rd May 2018), JBCraic (23rd May 2018), snidge (25th May 2018), swedish chef (24th May 2018)
I'd love to see all your picks giggs. People can choose to follow or not nothing to do with you. I enjoy the write ups and your reasoning but generally wouldn't follow unless the price is good.
I do send out multiples by email to a few that like to play them in pennys but can be 10-15 picks so they have to be split and even to pennys cost bombs,think a few do them on betfair so stakes are split to trouble is you end up on bfsp so could be a 12/1 shot and end up 4/1 that's the drawback even though a plus you can get such tiny stakes on..Might put up another thread and if anyone wants to have a dabble on multiples to these tiny stakes they can have ago,although there won't be any write ups or anything I could still put books prices up,will have a think about it..
samchris (25th May 2018), Therightroad (25th May 2018)
Royal hunt cup
Hors de combat 50/1 365/lads 60s with lads price boost/corals
Hors de combat seven year old now,but still showing decent standard of ability has already won in meydan off 100 this season in February he hasn't won very often three times but they save him for the ground very lightly raced record is 3/31 is stuck in the low 100s but more often than not runs respectably.He ran in the corresponding race last season was 13/29 but at the two furlong pole got hampered and stopped in run,shuffled back to last five or six and then picked up again to pass maybe eight or nine runners and still finishing strongest at finish.He maybe an unlikely winner lots of new horses in this years race but he could run well as likes the track,the trip and probable ground good or preferably faster,usually goes off nearer 16/1 in these races as last year so three times the price he has been previously infact he's never been bigger than 25/1 in his thirty races.Would be amazed if he's not half these odds by the off or even slightky shorter has already run two nice races in meydan in competitive handicaps for horses rated up to 108 and 115 finishing 1st and 3rd,the prices look big as he's almost a guaranteed runner
Last edited by gigilo; 24th May 2018 at 12:42 AM.
Colin Phillips (24th May 2018), JBCraic (23rd May 2018), swedish chef (24th May 2018), Tabletop (23rd May 2018), topper (24th May 2018)
Pluralism of Ideas and the prosperity of any land are intertwined. Freedom of minds and skill of intellect to 'think the unthinkable' is how humanity has progressed; when minds are incarcerated nothing endures.
thank you Gigi.....
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Last edited by gigilo; 24th May 2018 at 4:52 PM.
Metro (24th May 2018), notnowcato (24th May 2018), swedish chef (24th May 2018)