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Thread: Daily picks.

  1. #9341
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    Another dire card at swell will have some small ew multiples and,can't see anything outstanding on prioces looks better on places..

    Placepots

    2,4,5
    3,5,6,8,10
    2,3
    6,7,8
    1,2,3,4,5,
    1,2,3

    2,4,5
    5,8
    2,3
    6,7,8
    1,2,3,4,5,
    1,2,3

    2,4,5
    5,8
    2,3
    6,7,8
    1,2,3,4,5,
    1




    Southwell

    2.15

    Angel palanas 9/2 365/skybet/victor/betfred/totesport/corals 4/1lads / Kommander kirkup 9/2 skybet/corals/totesport/betfred 5/1 hills/betway

    Think there's more races to be won with angel palanas won by 6ls last time out and the time of that race was faster than the0-80 kommander kirkup contested on same card .30 quicker,has gone up 10 pound at revised weights should still beat commander kirkup especially as looked good for the 6ls.The big negative for me is jock,he went off really quick in that race and although was never going to get beat hit the horse 9-10 times,can just see this inexperienced jock trying claiming 7 use same tactics asnd burning horse out but have to follow it on clock run.Don't be surprised if he gives it a stinker,kommander kirkup is the other 2nd to hammer gin in that 0-80 still looks competitive,declamation ran a stinker last time out but the previous 6f run would probably figure if coming back to form..

    There must be a possibility hugh taylor putting up angel palanas as it does look worth following,but similarly he may avoid because of jock don't think it would be easy to resist thiough if goes bigger than current price,didn't mention above but if he rides it like last time it should trade well in running..

    KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOO OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO OOOOOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!!Told you the clock never lies what a touch forecast for good measure,won exactly s my times worked out.. that going to smash the roi for the month!!!!Got 6.8 on tyher fair was sure taylor would out it uop,sluiced up nice horse plenty to come!!!




    2.50

    Love rat 15/8 skybet/betfred/totesport/sportingbet/sunbets

    Scott Dixon fav in a maiden would usually be one to avoid,has some decent form in maidens at the track looks maybe high 70s horse still open to impriovement,dichato had some good form on the turf changed stables now with stuart Williams from gosden stable been running over some strange trip compared to best form over far shorter..Could well be be as good as love rat and obvious danger,has to prove itself on surface,,
    Betting will be interesting as you'd expect the Dixon horse to probably go off nearer odds on if the others aren't thought capable of running to high 70s,am pretty sure that will be reflected in betting even though shown little they are all lightly raced.


    3.25

    Best tamayuz 11/2/victor/lads/skybet 365 5/1 betstars/hills/corals 6/1 sportsbook/ppower

    Best tamayuz I put up at 12/1 in a weaker race 12 days ago so can't say there's any value in the 9/2,plus again has another terrible draw hasn't had a decent one all season,main positive has run six times at swell this season and worst finishing position is 4th in a far better race than this of just a pound lower..If draw doesn't beat it then could be battling out for another place.

    4.25

    Sooqaan 6/4 soortsbook/ppower/totesport/ppower

    Sooqaan again very little in prices but taken to surface really well,was 2nd off 66 over c/d in February 2016 will probably get overbet considering how close together wins have come at thhe track,strictly on all known form so far then obviously should be fav but horses like street art and rivers of asia could imprive with switch to fibresand rivers of asia out of medicean.Betting again will probably tell the story

    KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOOOOOOO OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO OOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMM!!Been clocking monster times,what a touch got 3.4 huge drift crazy,forecast and tricast ashame the others got bet,plus cleaned up on placepot time to get wheelbarrows out!! Exacta £9.70 csf £6.61 tricast £18.75 trifecta £31.80 going to have to keep my mouth shut about dangers both got hammered... Everthing placed as well havn't worked out multiple,kept doing them as prices got bigger as I said looked great on the place side probably doubled stake at least..Placepots paid £254.90 got it to £25.20 monster day..See if I can carry on last years figures and relentlessness,been a great month..

    I also kept updating prices as they drifted through the day ended up with two Yankees returning £55 and £70 did them 4/5 times very nice bets to thieve on..another 1/2 barrow to collect..
    Last edited by gigilo; 30th January 2018 at 7:11 PM.

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  3. #9342
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    Chelmsford

    4.10

    Penny dreadful 20/1 365..
    16/1 sportsbook/ppower/betfred/totesport/victor 18/1lads/365


    An ultra competitive handicap couldn't really discount anything but as penny dreadful has decent draw then will have a small bet,has only ever won 1/28 on the aw but usually runs quite well over this c/d even if never won,probably wants the 6fs but last four runs here has been 4/4/4
    off 72/69/69 so off respectable mark 65.The last run over the c/d was 4th in a 0-80 previous 4th in a 0-75 same as tomorrows but has 13 pound turnaround with red stripes for 2ls in 3rd but red stripes out in the car park tomorrow penny dreadfuls drawn 3 and had zipedeedodah behind and 3 pound better off that ones also drawn in double figures..Would be a surprise winner with strike rate loads of improvers in race and the chucked in bosham but at least has decent draw form ties in with quite a few in the race,at worst could trade relatively low in running,could see it coming into 10-12/1 just based on the draw..

    After watching a few replays of penny dreadful am not so keen on it now,not laying off as only small bet anyway just thought it would definitely be up with pace thought it was natural front runner but looking at the 5f replays here struggles to go pace usually stays on one paced,needs another furlong looking at replays.
    Last edited by gigilo; 31st January 2018 at 2:52 PM.

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  5. #9343
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    16/1 sportsbook/ppower/betfred/totesport/victor 18/1lads/365


    An ultra competitive handicap couldn't really discount anything but as penny dreadful has decent draw then will have a small bet,has only ever won 1/28 on the aw but usually runs quite well over this c/d even if never won,probably wants the 6fs but last four runs here has been 4/4/4
    off 72/69/69 so off respectable mark 65.The last run over the c/d was 4th in a 0-80 previous 4th in a 0-75 same as tomorrows but has 13 pound turnaround with red stripes for 2ls in 3rd but red stripes out in the car park tomorrow penny dreadfuls drawn 3 and had zipedeedodah behind and 3 pound better off that ones also drawn in double figures..Would be a surprise winner with strike rate loads of improvers in race and the chucked in bosham but at least has decent draw form ties in with quite a few in the race,at worst could trade relatively low in running,could see it coming into 10-12/1 just based on the draw..

    After watching a few replays of penny dreadful am not so keen on it now,not laying off as only small bet anyway just thought it would definitely be up with pace thought it was natural front runner but looking at the 5f replays here struggles to go pace usually stays on one paced,needs another furlong looking at replays.
    Another cracker,very unlucky to run into the unexposed one in the race,another winning day been great end to month,lovely in running as well...Been a brilliant month wolves preview with advised multiples had 5 winners one of biggest wins in 12 months,have had quite a few forecasts couple of savers trifecta yesterday roughly 50 bets with around 17 winning ones and an roi of 113% would be much higher if I included all forecasts have worked out probably by leaving them out at 1/4 of a point has cost me another 10 points,savers, ,multiples etc added in placepot yesterday 100% is the target per month as I said last season..Hopefuly will still be around for the turf but still unwell at the moment,racings dire but still getting the results although finding it a bit tedious..
    Last edited by gigilo; 31st January 2018 at 6:57 PM.

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  7. #9344
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    Great call Giggs

  8. #9345
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    Plenty of things marked off but as per prices zilch value,think it maybe good for trading though..

    Kempton

    7.0

    Very honest 11/2 sportsbook 5/1 365 9/2 betbright/betfred/totesport/betway/ppower/victor

    Very honest has very similar form to fav pulsating,last 5 runs on the aw very consistent three runs here 5th to higher court beaten a length,third to born to finish beaten 1 1/2ls and then third again to higher court,next run ran in a 0-85 at lingfield only beasten 1 3/4ls going off 9/2 then last
    time out hampered still not beaten far.Drops in class tomorrow into a 0-70 handicapper has been unrelenting but actually dropped one pound,at some point should pick up one of these and looks a reasonable little trade,can't really see why it shouldn't be nearer 7/2 3/1 just based on its Kempton form..Also may trade low in running as well drawn 1 and usually up with the pace...it maybe very honest is a short runner on this track and that's why just doesn't quite last out at finish,so maybe better at lingfield looking at the 0-85 worth perseverubng with off these marks in o-70s

    4/1 lads/hills/sportspress..
    Last edited by gigilo; 31st January 2018 at 8:15 PM.

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  10. #9346
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    Worked out perfect very honest as I said was worth backing it all the way down to 7/2 been backing it all day ,one of the best trades seen in a while don't do them very often but could never really see it being bigger than 11/4 -3/1 won bombs on trade laying off at 3.95 1/4 of a barrow with a 1/4 running on..Desperate stuff laid some off at 1.7 in photo as well cracking race to bet...won more on that race than I would on an average winner so can't really complain still a gutter..

    Wolves

    8.45

    Gold flash 33/1 365 Joeys destiny 7/1 ppower 6/1 betfred/totesport/365

    22/1 sportsbook/ppower

    Couple of token bets,joeys destiny on downgrade not the most reliable now but at least in the right grade ran on same night as kafoo and lucky lodge when they were 1st and 3rd joeys destiny 2nd to dark alliance the quicker division,lucky lodge still ran well in better race the other night and last sesson was running well in 0-75 so could still run well as that was first run of the season that night..
    Gold flash been on downgrade this time last year won over this c/d off 70 and won a decent claimer for keith dalgliesh,joined hugo froud showed nothing and another three runs for new trainer richenda ford,has only ever trained 6 winners from 124 runners and non on the flat,wouldn't exactly call it an eyecatcher last time out at lingfield but was out the back in that 0-75 looked as though could've got a bit closer but hard to tell if it was given an easy race or just simply one paced.Was a glimmer of hope though in run and now into thios 0-65,the most interesting thing I can see the trainers coming all the way from dorset so if the prices contract and stay there then maybe it will out run the prices.Has never run in this grade before and lowest ever mark..

    As low as 7/2 this morning gold flash,backed it at 40s,33s,25s,22s so laid a bit off now,looks like booke manipulation to me a point to point trainer never has any winners 6 in all and last unfder rules 2016,yet punters willing to take 7/2 this morning interesting to see prices before the off and how it runs...currently 5.7..
    Last edited by gigilo; 2nd February 2018 at 4:10 PM.

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  12. #9347
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    Worked out perfect very honest as I said was worth backing it all the way down to 7/2 been backing it all day ,one of the best trades seen in a while don't do them very often but could never really see it being bigger than 11/4 -3/1 won bombs on trade laying off at 3.95 1/4 of a barrow with a 1/4 running on..

    Wolves

    8.45

    Gold flash 33/1 365 Joeys destiny 7/1 ppower 6/1 betfred/totesport/365

    22/1 sportsbook/ppower

    Couple of token bets,joeys destiny on downgrade not the most reliable now but at least in the right grade ran on same night as kafoo and lucky lodge when they were 1st and 3rd joeys destiny 2nd to dark alliance the quicker division,lucky lodge still ran well in better race the other night and last sesson was running well in 0-75 so could still run well as that was first run of the season that night..
    Gold flash been on downgrade this time last year won over this c/d off 70 and won a decent claimer for keith dalgliesh,joined hugo froud showed nothing and another three runs for new trainer richenda ford,has only ever trained 6 winners from 124 runners and non on the flat,wouldn't exactly call it an eyecatcher last time out at lingfield but was out the back in that 0-75 looked as though could've got a bit closer but hard to tell if it was given an easy race or just simply one paced.Was a glimmer of hope though in run and now into thios 0-65,the most interesting thing I can see the trainers coming all the way from dorset so if the prices contract and stay there then maybe it will out run the prices.Has never run in this grade before and lowest ever mark..
    Unlucky with Very Honest but only went 1.53 I/R (anything below that must have been bet on the photo). Incredible really given how close it was - it took 3 minutes to sort photo out

    Just shows you, loser in next race went 1.04 I/R
    Last edited by 2017diary; 1st February 2018 at 8:42 PM.

  13. #9348
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    Laid off in photo as well as trading all day,cracking race to bet in won three figures on a loser so can't really complain went exactly to plan bar winning..love these sort of bets but only come round once a month was never going to go off bigger than 11/4...wouldn't have out a trade in lower than 1.8 anyway in running..didn't need to anyway had alreadty won enough on the day.The beauty of it is when I put these up I know there will still be plenty on betfair 4.7 4.8 a lot of the day,it's impossible to lose when I find one or two of these that's why I put it them up,probably be another month before I see one like this...where prices will still be wiorth taking on betfair..
    Last edited by gigilo; 1st February 2018 at 8:30 PM.

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  15. #9349
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    Great stuff again gigilo , well done on the placepot the other day , big fan of these , if you had the time to throw up a few placepot selections any day i for one would love ��

  16. #9350
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    Quote Originally Posted by Therightroad View Post
    Great stuff again gigilo , well done on the placepot the other day , big fan of these , if you had the time to throw up a few placepot selections any day i for one would love ��
    I could throw some up but i very rarely do them now,used to win fiortunes on them but on the turf the going reports are too unreliable now and ther aw has become less conmpetitve it was a turnover bet for me that io knew i could return 100% of my total stake through the year.I could put some on here now and again but you will find that maybe 20-30 others will also copy them and ruin the dividends presuming i get them up,also can knock a lot out before any returns as well and i don't do perms where i jut limit the amount of bets i just put in what i think is needed maybe the foeld etc so can be a lot of bets especioally if they end up losing..They really are the sort of bets that you need a big bank and be wolling to have llosing runs which most i'm sure are not..

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  18. #9351
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    Gold Flash now fave for the last in wolves. Take a bow giggsy! I missed the price but have had a token bet on corporal maddox for the laugh.
    Last edited by Nonannyimfine; 2nd February 2018 at 4:54 PM.

  19. #9352
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    Just market manipulation,can't believe the prices held up all day made no sense to me,was 4.2 about 3 hourse before the race went off 16s on betfair sp 6/1 some right lemmings must've bet on the race to keep it that low for so long...hope some had a saver on lucky lodge as said in write up running in better races than those last season...too short the other night.
    Kachys out tomorrow lot to ask to win a race like that from 11 draw so have left it,if it does win it'll be 2/1 for the finals day so just a watching day for me..
    Last edited by gigilo; 2nd February 2018 at 10:23 PM.

  20. #9353
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    AW Sprint finals..


    Kachy 7/1 lads 6/1 corals will keep an eye out for other books..

    Kachy caught my eye last night,group horse over 5fs put on to the aw for first run over 6fs dascombe obviously thinking the conditions would suit and the 6fs at liongfield was perfect up with pace even from a poor draw,winning easily after 4 month break.The time of 1m9.19 decent time off 9-7 fotst attempt fropm poor draw plud the track may not be riding asquick as usual,very slow a couple of days ago,rest of races on card suggest may still not be running that quick so run looks even better..Now proven on aw and 6fs on this track with improvement to come could easily make a case for it being favourite, may not seem a lot in prices but its as good as anything seen so far including favourite gifted master .39 quicker than gifted masters win here earlier in season...potentially biggest impriover in race..
    Will be 2/1 now 9/4 tops,only horse in 63 runners to win from the 11 draw in class 3 or above today,may even be shorter remembering could get decent draw on day as well glad I took all the 5/1 as well now!! don't know whats available still but was 4/1 last night havn't looked yet..

    Betway says 4/1 don't know if its there or not as other runners not priced up..

    5/2 kachy, kimberella last years winner been backed unsurprisingly although still has to run again to qualify,kachy has now qualified was only 15 dasys since lsst run and the worst draw can have nice break now,i doubt will run again till finals day now..See I can find something for winter derby,if you'd been quick utmost was still available at 25/1 after winning today for 20 mins looks huge now as could be more to come although did get easy time upfront time was still respectable considering.
    Last edited by gigilo; 3rd February 2018 at 6:15 PM.

  21. #9354
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    Hospital appointments this week,hopefully around later in week or weekend.

  22. #9355
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    Hospital appointments this week,hopefully around later in week or weekend.
    All the best Gigs, take it easy and wishing you well.

  23. #9356
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    Chelmsford

    2.0

    Showdance kid 14/1 betfred/totesport..11/1 marathonbet


    Just a small interest,showdance kid coming from the Neville bycroft stable to join kevin frost he picks up these cast offs doesn't have many winners has quite a few that look well handicapped but he doesn't get many to win usually find overnight markets they halve in price then massive drifters following day.On the occasion he does have a winner the prices will stay constant and like this one if stable think they have got it anywhere near last seasons form would only be a 6-7/1 shot tops in this race,probably shorter.
    Last season all its best form was over 7fs decent places in august/September/October off marks of 62,64 and 67 one of them at wolves had jumping around tomorrows fav a long way behind in that race.
    Since joining kevin frost has been running over longer trips 1m2fs and 1m1 1/2fs at wolves and chel;msford,can't say it was particularly big eyecatcher in those races seemed to be under pressure in races that should've at least travelled well looked very one paced but off a mark of just 58 and first time in this class then will have some small bets ,if its just needed the races and stable have it back to last seasons form then i'd expect it to be nearer 5/1, if not the inevitable drift..back to 7fs in lowest ever grade,find it quite unbelievable travelling to Chelmsford from market drayton in Shropshire...
    Swot and soaring spirits ran against each otherb in November soaring spirits chucked in but has disappointed in easier races since,swots form at swell looks rock solid and looks the obvious pick as so consistent if going at Chelmsford...
    Last edited by gigilo; 9th February 2018 at 2:11 AM.

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    Had a bet on this myself mate as had been waiting for it to drop back in trip and has the visor back on so looks like it's having a go. Unfortunately missed the boat with the price after checking my e-mails late so just had a bit at 7's if I'd seen the 14's earlier or something near I'd of had something a bit more lumpy on.

    Best of luck gigs keep up the good work mate.
    Man who catch fly with chopstick .... accomplish anything.

  25. #9358
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    Quote Originally Posted by Danny View Post
    Had a bet on this myself mate as had been waiting for it to drop back in trip and has the visor back on so looks like it's having a go. Unfortunately missed the boat with the price after checking my e-mails late so just had a bit at 7's if I'd seen the 14's earlier or something near I'd of had something a bit more lumpy on.

    Best of luck gigs keep up the good work mate.
    6.8 to 14s within 2 mins before the off,it happens nearly every runner with this trainer strange betting to say the least..but not unexpected as write up and dropped out 10ls nice bit of hands n heels at the end as well...
    Last edited by gigilo; 9th February 2018 at 3:08 PM.

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    Cashed out when I saw the drift so no harm done giggs. Onwards and upwards.

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    Travelling all the way from market drayton that's by me in Shropshire to London always likely to be non trier but the drift wasn't till 2 mins before the off,then the dropped out 10ls deliberately long way to go for small trainer that never has any winners especially with wolves down the road,patterns always the same they always stay strong in the betting when expected to run well even from this trainer...

    Cards are desperate on the aw,can't ever remember a season where there's so little to do just betting horses at wrong prices I can't be doing, have winners marked off daily but if you're not getting the right prices then it's a waste of time,don't know if its the extra Newcastle meetugs effecting the cards but it will be the quietest season I've had in 20 years...
    Last edited by gigilo; 10th February 2018 at 12:13 AM.

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