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Thread: Daily picks.

  1. #9121
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    nothing of value at chelm tonight gigs? placepot?

  2. #9122
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    Another dire aw card will have a small bet on Mio regazzo was hoping for more like 7/1 but looks like 5/1 is going to be biggest price,might get slightly bigger tomorrow being a Saturday but nothing that looks of great value..Has only had four lifetime runs for marco botti,hadn't really shown anything in three runs then after 4 month break ran 3rd to lacan in a 0-70 stayed on at one pace over the mile at kempton beaten 4ls, although time seemed preety good for that c/d.Strange being out of mayson didn't start sprinting especially as sire has had no winners over these trips although 17% on surface,the mare though has only had 2 runners and both have won poets voice is decent and was one of them rated 106.
    Got a drop of a pound for that run as well so could be well handicapped and lightly raced drawn one from stable in form,did look very one paced on debut hopefully just needed the race..couldn't say with any confidence is value in a poor race even with improvement to come although with only the four runs maybe still a ? over trip as well..Mac opolo looks the obvious alternative ran in a 0-75 on last run at haddock staying on stronglty same as mia regazzo lightly raced could easily be the best horse in the race if fit after lay off..maybe a sasver/small forecast as both have a little to prove.

    Mio regazzo 5/1 365/sunbets/sportsbook/ppower/corals/betway/lads/10bet
    Last edited by gigilo; 9th December 2017 at 12:53 PM.

  3. #9123
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    Quote Originally Posted by moviebuff View Post
    nothing of value at chelm tonight gigs? placepot?
    If these cards don't pick up going to have some time off just nothing worth doing,always the same this time of year hasn't started proper one meeting aday and 80% of the meetyings there's hardly a bet need some double headers and some more form to go on..

  4. #9124
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    Will get stuck into mio , thanks for the reply

  5. #9125
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    Another dire aw card will have a small bet on Mio regazzo was hoping for more like 7/1 but looks like 5/1 is going to be biggest price,might get slightly bigger tomorrow being a Saturday but nothing that looks of great value..Has only had four lifetime runs for marco botti,hadn't really shown anything in three runs then after 4 month break ran 3rd to lacan in a 0-70 stayed on at one pace over the mile at kempton beaten 4ls, although time seemed preety good for that c/d.Strange being out of mayson didn't start sprinting especially as sire has had no winners over these trips although 17% on surface,the mare though has only had 2 runners and both have won poets voice is decent and was one of them rated 106.
    Got a drop of a pound for that run as well so could be well handicapped and lightly raced drawn one from stable in form,did look very one paced on debut hopefully just needed the race..couldn't say with any confidence is value in a poor race even with improvement to come although with only the four runs maybe still a ? over trip as well..

    Wolves 6.15


    Mio regazzo 5/1 365/sunbets/sportsbook/ppower/corals
    5.45

    Zapper class 22/1 skybet/victor

    There's no real reason to back zapper class bar the fact it has been running in better class races has shown very little in recent runs and trainers out of form 0 last 24 runners,think there's 9 runners in tomorrows race that have finished in first 4 on their last runs three won last time out and three have been second so would be a very speculative bet.Horses like blazed unlucky to not win a 0-85 over 5 furlongs last time out,just needs to priove extra furlong suits,invincible ridge there is a slight possibility of lack of pace in race so could still have a chance from the 1 draw,deeds not words was eyecatcher penultimate run when stopped in run and rapid ranger still open to improvement.May as well have a very speculative bet on one of the rags dropping in class,tony coyles out of form and its drawn 9 but never run in this grade before won off 78 at notts earlier in season,tomorrow runs off 74 and gets first time pieces.Has just shown glimmers of form last two runs in far better races,betting will be interesting in this class and has previously run well in better races at Chelmsford and Newcastle although not when trained by tony coyle..
    Last edited by gigilo; 8th December 2017 at 8:16 PM.

  6. #9126
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    Wouldn't get overly involved with aw meetings over the next few days,going will be desperately slow as I was expecting to happen always useless this time of year with so many horses not going on such slow going,may not even be on -8 tonight so minimum stakes..

    1.30

    Quite a good maiden on the warpath won impressively over c/d last time out only won by 2 1/2ls but couldv'e been 12 1/2ls couldv'e run a decent time if involved in a race,another of tomorrow runners magnetic boundary ran on same card was a length quicker and tomorrow on the war paths carrying 7 pound more but as said looked far superior..They could be the two to concentrate on although the evans and burke horses form looks pretty good as well and sire stars are ok,just maybe the draws are a negative for them favouring the other two.

    On the warpath 11/10 365/skybet/10bet/victor/hills Magnetic Boundary 4/1 sportsbook/ppower/skybet/10bet/hills


    2.0

    Samtus gone off 125/1 last couple of runs shown nothing in last 6 runs,but returns to swell where has run twice winning both times once over c/d off 73 then followed up off 78 over 1m4fs betting will be very interesting returned here off 75 trainer marjorie fifes been out of form currently 0/37 so maybe worth following for a couple of runs at what could be huge prices so worth a small bet,may actually tirn in to a very good trade if stable like it would've been 5-6/1 to win this on last seasons form tops.I put up good time ahead last time out won nicely again over 1m4fs and again probably the one to beat the only slight ? is the extra 2 furlongs,cousin khee(around 8/1) could run well at a bigger price was in good time aheads race although beaten 5ls looked in need of step up in trip and although veteran at 10 this trip should suit better as long as some pace on..

    Samtu 66/1 sportsbook/ppower 50/1 sunbets


    20/1 365

    2.30

    Abraj dubai was very impressive on debut winning in 1m28.14 beat a very poor field by 8ls but couldv;'e been 15ls the second rated just 60,that winning time with such ease suggests 80 is a fair mark the negative is just second run in a 0-80,whatever happens tomorrow think its one to follow..Lots of the usual suspects hardened 80 horses over c/d,appleby runs toy theatre been improving and has already won a higher grade race on turf,currently 4/16 runs was 5th to bumptious last time out at wolves staying on in probably better race than this only beaten 2ls.The sires not very prolific and no stats on surface also sire out of kingmambo no winners on fibresand althiugh 53% of 15 runners from progeny olaced on it so might not be a total negative..
    Michele strogoff made all off 89 at chester earlier in the season,has been out of form recently and trainers not in form but only on a mark of 78 still a 4yr old,chucked in on that form maybe worth a saver/forecasts with ben Curtis riding from 1 draw if goes on surface,sire aqlaam 16% on surface would be thriown in if coming back to form,betting will be interesting 20/1 skybet/betfred.Thing that put me off was tony coyles horses running so poorly,after I did zapper class on Saturday but this is well in with those sire stars hard to totally ignoire..

    Abraj Dubai 2/1 365/sunbets/victor Toy theatre 9/1 sportsbook/365/cvorals/victor

    3.0

    A weak looking race wide open race captain revelation was differet class to these only last season strangely now with michael mullineaux and the inevitable decline in form,trainer has very few winners but now is on life time lowest mark of 72 with phil dennis taking off another 3 pound.
    Last time out on second run for stable was drawn 1 got shuiffled back way off the pace then seemed to stay on over the 7fs under hands n heels was beaten a long way but stepped up another furlong could run well in this lower grade for first time with all the new headgear on.Another at these 20/1 + prices that could be a decent trade,be surprised if not backed in such a weaker looking race..
    Applebys shamrokh looks interesting out of invincible spirit 17% on surface,just the 12 runs joined the appleby stable from gosdens whebn rated 85 last two runs have been in better races 4th and 2nd off 72 is drawn in the carpark in 14 but this is weak and with sire stats hard to ignore..and shearian now back in form is more than capable in this grade when hit form l;ast yesr maintained it..

    Shamrokh 8/1 365 Captain revelation 25/1 sportsbook/ppower/hills 20/1 betfred/totesport this could also be a decent trade..

    16/1 ppower left..

    Put rest of card up

    12.30

    Medici doro probably best bit of form last time out at wolves in a 0-65 and the sire medicean 14% of fibresand,the ? would be this stiffer extra furlong there's not much form too go on a couple of others with respectable sire stats mr carbonator and rock on bertie bated breat ony had 5 runners 1 winner small sample and rock of gibraltar 8% on surface rock on bertie those three have the best form although very weak..Strictly on whats been shown so far if nothing imprves then likeiest winners but such low grade and lightly raced ones wouldn't take much to win it..


    1.0

    Horrible claimer with maybe 5/6 that could win acemaster and captain bob look likely to lead the race although captain bobs changed stable twice recentlty and on debut for philip kirby not a great run although over the 7fs here .Ran two decent races over this c.d last season and jonathion fisher rides claims 7 pound has won on it twice for robert cowell so knows the horse well although does have a bit to prove after last run is well in at the weights.Acemaster could get placed especially if the ones that havn't run here before don't go on the surface,others like morachje music(7/1 genral should be a good trade if nothing else) out of sleeping indian 15% on surface another that looks well in,was running well on the turf, well in tomorrows race at weights if doesn't get to far behind could be rattling home at finish..

    3.30

    Impossible 5f race like last weeks race they ended up on farside strangely the previous big field 5f race they looked to be an advantage standside so lots of guessing...presuming that low draw bias from last week continues then top 4 in handicap maybe the ones to focus on.Archie stevens(9/2 general) won a weaker race over c/d the one last week was drawn 10 but ended up on farside so can be upgraded,had shown very little in recent times but has run well over c./d before beaten by dungannon and piazon in a seller and a claimer last season clare ellam has got higher court to win twice recently as well even though few winners she has trained it this season...Krystallite i put up last time out at wolves just went off to quick in a better race than this,has three poor runs here although bred to go on surface dropping in class scott dixons running it here great chance unless surface is negative.
    Ballesteros heads the weights with claim runs off just 55 far better than these on turf but never run at swell before could easily figure in such a terrible race tombas had winners on the surface although has changed trainers recently now with roger ingram..
    Pearl acclaim drops in class to lifetime lowest mark ran ok over 6fs on first run on this syrface off 63 now on just 59 these 4 are drawn 1,5,6,7 think the first two mentioned most interesting.
    Last edited by gigilo; 11th December 2017 at 9:59 AM.

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  8. #9127
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    Wouldn't get overly involved with aw meetings over the next few days,going will be desperately slow as I was expecting to happen always useless this time of year with so many horses not going on such slow going,may not even be on -8 tonight so minimum stakes..

    1.30

    Quite a good maiden on the warpath won impressively over c/d last time out only won by 2 1/2ls but couldv'e been 12 1/2ls couldv'e run a decent time if involved in a race,another of tomorrow runners magnetic boundary ran on same card was a length quicker and tomorrow on the war paths carrying 7 pound more but as said looked far superior..They could be the two to concentrate on although the evans and burke horses form looks pretty good as well and sire stars are ok,just maybe the draws are a negative for them favouring the other two.

    On the warpath 11/10 365/skybet/10bet/victor/hills Magnetic Boundary 4/1 sportsbook/ppower/skybet/10bet/hills


    2.0

    Samtus gone off 125/1 last couple of runs shown nothing in last 6 runs,but returns to swell where has run twice winning both times once over c/d off 73 then followed up off 78 over 1m4fs betting will be very interesting returned here off 75 trainer marjorie fifes been out of form currently 0/37 so maybe worth following for a couple of runs at what could be huge prices so worth a small bet,may actually tirn in to a very good trade if stable like it would've been 5-6/1 to win this on last seasons form tops.I put up good time ahead last time out won nicely again over 1m4fs and again probably the one to beat the only slight ? is the extra 2 furlongs,cousin khee(around 8/1) could run well at a bigger price was in good time aheads race although beaten 5ls looked in need of step up in trip and although veteran at 10 this trip should suit better as long as some pace on..

    Samtu 66/1 sportsbook/ppower 50/1 sunbets


    20/1 365

    2.30

    Abraj dubai was very impressive on debut winning in 1m28.14 beat a very poor field by 8ls but couldv;'e been 15ls the second rated just 60,that winning time with such ease suggests 80 is a fair mark the negative is just second run in a 0-80,whatever happens tomorrow think its one to follow..Lots of the usual suspects hardened 80 horses over c/d,appleby runs toy theatre been improving and has already won a higher grade race on turf,currently 4/16 runs was 5th to bumptious last time out at wolves staying on in probably better race than this only beaten 2ls.The sires not very prolific and no stats on surface also sire out of kingmambo no winners on fibresand althiugh 53% of 15 runners from progeny olaced on it so might not be a total negative..
    Michele strogoff made all off 89 at chester earlier in the season,has been out of form recently and trainers not in form but only on a mark of 78 still a 4yr old,chucked in on that form maybe worth a saver/forecasts with ben Curtis riding from 1 draw if goes on surface,sire aqlaam 16% on surface would be thriown in if coming back to form,betting will be interesting 20/1 skybet/betfred.Thing that put me off was tony coyles horses running so poorly,after I did zapper class on Saturday but this is well in with those sire stars hard to totally ignoire..

    Abraj Dubai 2/1 365/sunbets/victor Toy theatre 9/1 sportsbook/365/cvorals/victor

    3.0

    A weak looking race wide open race captain revelation was differet class to these only last season strangely now with michael mullineaux and the inevitable decline in form,trainer has very few winners but now is on life time lowest mark of 72 with phil dennis taking off another 3 pound.
    Last time out on second run for stable was drawn 1 got shuiffled back way off the pace then seemed to stay on over the 7fs under hands n heels was beaten a long way but stepped up another furlong could run well in this lower grade for first time with all the new headgear on.Another at these 20/1 + prices that could be a decent trade,be surprised if not backed in such a weaker looking race..
    Applebys shamrokh looks interesting out of invincible spirit 17% on surface,just the 12 runs joined the appleby stable from gosdens whebn rated 85 last two runs have been in better races 4th and 2nd off 72 is drawn in the carpark in 14 but this is weak and with sire stats hard to ignore..and shearian now back in form is more than capable in this grade when hit form l;ast yesr maintained it..

    Shamrokh 8/1 365 Captain revelation 25/1 sportsbook/ppower/hills 20/1 betfred/totesport this could also be a decent trade..

    16/1 ppower left..

    Put rest of card up

    12.30

    Medici doro probably best bit of form last time out at wolves in a 0-65 and the sire medicean 14% of fibresand,the ? would be this stiffer extra furlong there's not much form too go on a couple of others with respectable sire stats mr carbonator and rock on bertie bated breat ony had 5 runners 1 winner small sample and rock of gibraltar 8% on surface rock on bertie those three have the best form although very weak..Strictly on whats been shown so far if nothing imprves then likeiest winners but such low grade and lightly raced ones wouldn't take much to win it..

    KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMM!!!Got 11/2 mr carbonator and backed the other two ew as well forecast landed as well,great start to the day!!!! Exacta £25.60 forecast £18.18 sire stats worked out lovely..


    1.0

    Horrible claimer with maybe 5/6 that could win acemaster and captain bob look likely to lead the race although captain bobs changed stable twice recentlty and on debut for philip kirby not a great run although over the 7fs here .Ran two decent races over this c.d last season and jonathion fisher rides claims 7 pound has won on it twice for robert cowell so knows the horse well although does have a bit to prove after last run is well in at the weights.Acemaster could get placed especially if the ones that havn't run here before don't go on the surface,others like morachje music(7/1 genral should be a good trade if nothing else) out of sleeping indian 15% on surface another that looks well in,was running well on the turf, well in tomorrows race at weights if doesn't get to far behind could be rattling home at finish..

    3.30

    Impossible 5f race like last weeks race they ended up on farside strangely the previous big field 5f race they looked to be an advantage standside so lots of guessing...presuming that low draw bias from last week continues then top 4 in handicap maybe the ones to focus on.Archie stevens(9/2 general) won a weaker race over c/d the one last week was drawn 10 but ended up on farside so can be upgraded,had shown very little in recent times but has run well over c./d before beaten by dungannon and piazon in a seller and a claimer last season clare ellam has got higher court to win twice recently as well even though few winners she has trained it this season...Krystallite i put up last time out at wolves just went off to quick in a better race than this,has three poor runs here although bred to go on surface dropping in class scott dixons running it here great chance unless surface is negative.
    Ballesteros heads the weights with claim runs off just 55 far better than these on turf but never run at swell before could easily figure in such a terrible race tombas had winners on the surface although has changed trainers recently now with roger ingram..
    Pearl acclaim drops in class to lifetime lowest mark ran ok over 6fs on first run on this syrface off 63 now on just 59 these 4 are drawn 1,5,6,7 think the first two mentioned most interesting.
    Last edited by gigilo; 11th December 2017 at 1:40 PM.

  9. #9128
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    Giggs hope you're well, what about Merdon Castle in 12:30 tomorrow Lingfield.? Would you give it any chance? Any feedback appreciated.
    Last edited by Marb; 11th December 2017 at 2:39 PM.

  10. #9129
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    Wouldn't get overly involved with aw meetings over the next few days,going will be desperately slow as I was expecting to happen always useless this time of year with so many horses not going on such slow going,may not even be on -8 tonight so minimum stakes..

    1.30

    Quite a good maiden on the warpath won impressively over c/d last time out only won by 2 1/2ls but couldv'e been 12 1/2ls couldv'e run a decent time if involved in a race,another of tomorrow runners magnetic boundary ran on same card was a length quicker and tomorrow on the war paths carrying 7 pound more but as said looked far superior..They could be the two to concentrate on although the evans and burke horses form looks pretty good as well and sire stars are ok,just maybe the draws are a negative for them favouring the other two.

    On the warpath 11/10 365/skybet/10bet/victor/hills Magnetic Boundary 4/1 sportsbook/ppower/skybet/10bet/hills

    KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOOOOOOOOOOO OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMM!!Nice horse eh!!!Lovely race to be int got the ew on the 3rd and had a bit on the place to make sure...


    2.0

    Samtus gone off 125/1 last couple of runs shown nothing in last 6 runs,but returns to swell where has run twice winning both times once over c/d off 73 then followed up off 78 over 1m4fs betting will be very interesting returned here off 75 trainer marjorie fifes been out of form currently 0/37 so maybe worth following for a couple of runs at what could be huge prices so worth a small bet,may actually tirn in to a very good trade if stable like it would've been 5-6/1 to win this on last seasons form tops.I put up good time ahead last time out won nicely again over 1m4fs and again probably the one to beat the only slight ? is the extra 2 furlongs,cousin khee(around 8/1) could run well at a bigger price was in good time aheads race although beaten 5ls looked in need of step up in trip and although veteran at 10 this trip should suit better as long as some pace on..

    Samtu 66/1 sportsbook/ppower 50/1 sunbets


    20/1 365

    2.30

    Abraj dubai was very impressive on debut winning in 1m28.14 beat a very poor field by 8ls but couldv;'e been 15ls the second rated just 60,that winning time with such ease suggests 80 is a fair mark the negative is just second run in a 0-80,whatever happens tomorrow think its one to follow..Lots of the usual suspects hardened 80 horses over c/d,appleby runs toy theatre been improving and has already won a higher grade race on turf,currently 4/16 runs was 5th to bumptious last time out at wolves staying on in probably better race than this only beaten 2ls.The sires not very prolific and no stats on surface also sire out of kingmambo no winners on fibresand althiugh 53% of 15 runners from progeny olaced on it so might not be a total negative..
    Michele strogoff made all off 89 at chester earlier in the season,has been out of form recently and trainers not in form but only on a mark of 78 still a 4yr old,chucked in on that form maybe worth a saver/forecasts with ben Curtis riding from 1 draw if goes on surface,sire aqlaam 16% on surface would be thriown in if coming back to form,betting will be interesting 20/1 skybet/betfred.Thing that put me off was tony coyles horses running so poorly,after I did zapper class on Saturday but this is well in with those sire stars hard to totally ignoire..

    Abraj Dubai 2/1 365/sunbets/victor Toy theatre 9/1 sportsbook/365/cvorals/victor

    3.0

    A weak looking race wide open race captain revelation was differet class to these only last season strangely now with michael mullineaux and the inevitable decline in form,trainer has very few winners but now is on life time lowest mark of 72 with phil dennis taking off another 3 pound.
    Last time out on second run for stable was drawn 1 got shuiffled back way off the pace then seemed to stay on over the 7fs under hands n heels was beaten a long way but stepped up another furlong could run well in this lower grade for first time with all the new headgear on.Another at these 20/1 + prices that could be a decent trade,be surprised if not backed in such a weaker looking race..
    Applebys shamrokh looks interesting out of invincible spirit 17% on surface,just the 12 runs joined the appleby stable from gosdens whebn rated 85 last two runs have been in better races 4th and 2nd off 72 is drawn in the carpark in 14 but this is weak and with sire stats hard to ignore..and shearian now back in form is more than capable in this grade when hit form l;ast yesr maintained it..

    Shamrokh 8/1 365 Captain revelation 25/1 sportsbook/ppower/hills 20/1 betfred/totesport this could also be a decent trade..

    16/1 ppower left..

    Put rest of card up

    12.30

    Medici doro probably best bit of form last time out at wolves in a 0-65 and the sire medicean 14% of fibresand,the ? would be this stiffer extra furlong there's not much form too go on a couple of others with respectable sire stats mr carbonator and rock on bertie bated breat ony had 5 runners 1 winner small sample and rock of gibraltar 8% on surface rock on bertie those three have the best form although very weak..Strictly on whats been shown so far if nothing imprves then likeiest winners but such low grade and lightly raced ones wouldn't take much to win it..


    1.0

    Horrible claimer with maybe 5/6 that could win acemaster and captain bob look likely to lead the race although captain bobs changed stable twice recentlty and on debut for philip kirby not a great run although over the 7fs here .Ran two decent races over this c.d last season and jonathion fisher rides claims 7 pound has won on it twice for robert cowell so knows the horse well although does have a bit to prove after last run is well in at the weights.Acemaster could get placed especially if the ones that havn't run here before don't go on the surface,others like morachje music(7/1 genral should be a good trade if nothing else) out of sleeping indian 15% on surface another that looks well in,was running well on the turf, well in tomorrows race at weights if doesn't get to far behind could be rattling home at finish..

    3.30

    Impossible 5f race like last weeks race they ended up on farside strangely the previous big field 5f race they looked to be an advantage standside so lots of guessing...presuming that low draw bias from last week continues then top 4 in handicap maybe the ones to focus on.Archie stevens(9/2 general) won a weaker race over c/d the one last week was drawn 10 but ended up on farside so can be upgraded,had shown very little in recent times but has run well over c./d before beaten by dungannon and piazon in a seller and a claimer last season clare ellam has got higher court to win twice recently as well even though few winners she has trained it this season...Krystallite i put up last time out at wolves just went off to quick in a better race than this,has three poor runs here although bred to go on surface dropping in class scott dixons running it here great chance unless surface is negative.
    Ballesteros heads the weights with claim runs off just 55 far better than these on turf but never run at swell before could easily figure in such a terrible race tombas had winners on the surface although has changed trainers recently now with roger ingram..
    Pearl acclaim drops in class to lifetime lowest mark ran ok over 6fs on first run on this syrface off 63 now on just 59 these 4 are drawn 1,5,6,7 think the first two mentioned most interesting.

  11. #9130
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    Quote Originally Posted by Marble View Post
    Giggs hope you're well, what about Merdon Castle in 12:30 tomorrow Lingfield.? Would you give it any chance? Any feedback appreciated.
    I wouldn't put you off it in a race like that I presume it will be around 3/1 ish,to be honest its hard to pick something out that's guaranteed to run well..

  12. #9131
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    Wouldn't get overly involved with aw meetings over the next few days,going will be desperately slow as I was expecting to happen always useless this time of year with so many horses not going on such slow going,may not even be on -8 tonight so minimum stakes..

    1.30

    Quite a good maiden on the warpath won impressively over c/d last time out only won by 2 1/2ls but couldv'e been 12 1/2ls couldv'e run a decent time if involved in a race,another of tomorrow runners magnetic boundary ran on same card was a length quicker and tomorrow on the war paths carrying 7 pound more but as said looked far superior..They could be the two to concentrate on although the evans and burke horses form looks pretty good as well and sire stars are ok,just maybe the draws are a negative for them favouring the other two.

    On the warpath 11/10 365/skybet/10bet/victor/hills Magnetic Boundary 4/1 sportsbook/ppower/skybet/10bet/hills


    2.0

    Samtus gone off 125/1 last couple of runs shown nothing in last 6 runs,but returns to swell where has run twice winning both times once over c/d off 73 then followed up off 78 over 1m4fs betting will be very interesting returned here off 75 trainer marjorie fifes been out of form currently 0/37 so maybe worth following for a couple of runs at what could be huge prices so worth a small bet,may actually tirn in to a very good trade if stable like it would've been 5-6/1 to win this on last seasons form tops.I put up good time ahead last time out won nicely again over 1m4fs and again probably the one to beat the only slight ? is the extra 2 furlongs,cousin khee(around 8/1) could run well at a bigger price was in good time aheads race although beaten 5ls looked in need of step up in trip and although veteran at 10 this trip should suit better as long as some pace on..

    Samtu 66/1 sportsbook/ppower 50/1 sunbets

    KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO OOOOOOOOOOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!!!Worth it I think for the place,also cousin khee placing as write up absoplutely cleaned up forecasts and tricast as well,won't be losing todat that's for sure,time to get the wheelbasrrows out!!!! Disappointing foreecasts exacta and csf £10 and tricast £43 exacta £50.90..


    20/1 365

    2.30

    Abraj dubai was very impressive on debut winning in 1m28.14 beat a very poor field by 8ls but couldv;'e been 15ls the second rated just 60,that winning time with such ease suggests 80 is a fair mark the negative is just second run in a 0-80,whatever happens tomorrow think its one to follow..Lots of the usual suspects hardened 80 horses over c/d,appleby runs toy theatre been improving and has already won a higher grade race on turf,currently 4/16 runs was 5th to bumptious last time out at wolves staying on in probably better race than this only beaten 2ls.The sires not very prolific and no stats on surface also sire out of kingmambo no winners on fibresand althiugh 53% of 15 runners from progeny olaced on it so might not be a total negative..
    Michele strogoff made all off 89 at chester earlier in the season,has been out of form recently and trainers not in form but only on a mark of 78 still a 4yr old,chucked in on that form maybe worth a saver/forecasts with ben Curtis riding from 1 draw if goes on surface,sire aqlaam 16% on surface would be thriown in if coming back to form,betting will be interesting 20/1 skybet/betfred.Thing that put me off was tony coyles horses running so poorly,after I did zapper class on Saturday but this is well in with those sire stars hard to totally ignoire..

    Abraj Dubai 2/1 365/sunbets/victor Toy theatre 9/1 sportsbook/365/cvorals/victor

    3.0

    A weak looking race wide open race captain revelation was differet class to these only last season strangely now with michael mullineaux and the inevitable decline in form,trainer has very few winners but now is on life time lowest mark of 72 with phil dennis taking off another 3 pound.
    Last time out on second run for stable was drawn 1 got shuiffled back way off the pace then seemed to stay on over the 7fs under hands n heels was beaten a long way but stepped up another furlong could run well in this lower grade for first time with all the new headgear on.Another at these 20/1 + prices that could be a decent trade,be surprised if not backed in such a weaker looking race..
    Applebys shamrokh looks interesting out of invincible spirit 17% on surface,just the 12 runs joined the appleby stable from gosdens whebn rated 85 last two runs have been in better races 4th and 2nd off 72 is drawn in the carpark in 14 but this is weak and with sire stats hard to ignore..and shearian now back in form is more than capable in this grade when hit form l;ast yesr maintained it..

    Shamrokh 8/1 365 Captain revelation 25/1 sportsbook/ppower/hills 20/1 betfred/totesport this could also be a decent trade..

    Strange betting got some 26s on captain revalation laid off at 3.0 shamrokh got hammered applebys horses running terrible think it went off 4.8

    16/1 ppower left..

    Put rest of card up

    12.30

    Medici doro probably best bit of form last time out at wolves in a 0-65 and the sire medicean 14% of fibresand,the ? would be this stiffer extra furlong there's not much form too go on a couple of others with respectable sire stats mr carbonator and rock on bertie bated breat ony had 5 runners 1 winner small sample and rock of gibraltar 8% on surface rock on bertie those three have the best form although very weak..Strictly on whats been shown so far if nothing imprves then likeiest winners but such low grade and lightly raced ones wouldn't take much to win it..


    1.0

    Horrible claimer with maybe 5/6 that could win acemaster and captain bob look likely to lead the race although captain bobs changed stable twice recentlty and on debut for philip kirby not a great run although over the 7fs here .Ran two decent races over this c.d last season and jonathion fisher rides claims 7 pound has won on it twice for robert cowell so knows the horse well although does have a bit to prove after last run is well in at the weights.Acemaster could get placed especially if the ones that havn't run here before don't go on the surface,others like morachje music(7/1 genral should be a good trade if nothing else) out of sleeping indian 15% on surface another that looks well in,was running well on the turf, well in tomorrows race at weights if doesn't get to far behind could be rattling home at finish..

    3.30

    Impossible 5f race like last weeks race they ended up on farside strangely the previous big field 5f race they looked to be an advantage standside so lots of guessing...presuming that low draw bias from last week continues then top 4 in handicap maybe the ones to focus on.Archie stevens(9/2 general) won a weaker race over c/d the one last week was drawn 10 but ended up on farside so can be upgraded,had shown very little in recent times but has run well over c./d before beaten by dungannon and piazon in a seller and a claimer last season clare ellam has got higher court to win twice recently as well even though few winners she has trained it this season...Krystallite i put up last time out at wolves just went off to quick in a better race than this,has three poor runs here although bred to go on surface dropping in class scott dixons running it here great chance unless surface is negative.
    Ballesteros heads the weights with claim runs off just 55 far better than these on turf but never run at swell before could easily figure in such a terrible race tombas had winners on the surface although has changed trainers recently now with roger ingram..
    Pearl acclaim drops in class to lifetime lowest mark ran ok over 6fs on first run on this syrface off 63 now on just 59 these 4 are drawn 1,5,6,7 think the first two mentioned most interesting.
    Unreal left the 1 draw alone 20/1 early prices gutted got the forecasts ...a decent day only betting in small stakes the draw came up one ended up on standside exacta 35.70 forecasts £27.35,,,
    Last edited by gigilo; 11th December 2017 at 4:41 PM.

  13. The Following User Says Thank You to gigilo For This Useful Post:

    TheDukester (11th December 2017)

  14. #9132
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    66/1, goes off @ 6's & places - wow!

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    Great days work so far G, thanks!

  16. #9134
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    Quote Originally Posted by TheDukester View Post
    Great days work so far G, thanks!
    Gutted never backled pearl acclaim 20/1 early doors short listed with draws hope someone backed it,got the forecasts exacta £35 csf £27 good day couldv';e been brilliant,..

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    An ew Trixie scraping the barrel really although can see one of these going off nearer enough odds on so decent trade..

    Wolves

    4.20

    Zenovia 10/30 365 7/2 365/ppower

    Zenovia keeps going off short prices looks hard ride,will probably win a race in her own time 7/2 just about right not exactly great value her form
    looks ok best run when 4th in a 0-65,baxk into a 0-60 although there are a couple that could be unexposed should be fighting out places with eddie greatrex riding..French is well handicapped should run well and jack blane drops to 6fs could suit these three could fight out finish

    6.20

    Mansfield 15/8 sportsbook/ppower 6/4 365/marathinbet/betway 13/8 10bet/totesport/betfred/

    Mansfield looked unlucky loser last time out over 7fs at lingfield,has horrible looking profile but I wouldn't be surprised if it went off nearer evens odds on tomorrow after that last eyecatching run.The time of that race was pretty good at lingfield this is slight drop in grade although there are a couple of interestng runners I can just see this getting bet exclusively even if it doesn't win will be a decent trade and could get massively overbet even shorter than my first thoughts.


    7.20

    Kailsan 10/30 ppower/sportsbook 3/1 365/skybet

    Kailsans been consistent this race for horses rated just upto 52 terrible race,there's nothing between it and dibloam on their Chelmsford run so they look the obvious two,one of the rags rowlestonerendezvuz could run ok has at least won over the trip ran ok over inadequate trip here last time out could be a danger to the pair.Think its worth taking the 14s 365 on this runner trainers out of forn but its 1m4f form if repeated would look decent ran second in a 0-70 earluy season,could well be a bit of a gamble and another decent trade.Its aw form knowhere near its turf form but last time out was out the back in a 1m 1/2f race and running wide looked to be staying on quite well,if trainer form had been good sure this would've been smashed off the boards so betting will be interesting..

    12/1 ppower
    Last edited by gigilo; 12th December 2017 at 9:19 AM.

  18. #9136
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    why dont you just say how many you are dutching instead of all the riddles that get you outta jail... mansfield got smashed in the betting last week .. but you never know whats appenin with wiggy

  19. #9137
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    Quote Originally Posted by 2017diary View Post
    66/1, goes off @ 6's & places - wow!
    Even got the sp right...

  20. #9138
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    Quote Originally Posted by Marble View Post
    Giggs hope you're well, what about Merdon Castle in 12:30 tomorrow Lingfield.? Would you give it any chance? Any feedback appreciated.
    5/1 be surprised if that goes off bigger than 3/1..

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    having a nightmare this AW season, thr flat season cant start fast enough for me, theres a few bred in the purple that jave caught my eye. good to see you smashing it up
    and helping the less fortuante

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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    5/1 be surprised if that goes off bigger than 3/1..
    Yeah went off 11/10 never got involved. Disappointed... thankfully I didn't get involved once the price had gone.

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