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Thread: Daily picks.

  1. #8361
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    5.25 s55 Southwell

    Monsieur jimmy hasn'T had much luck with the draws this season beaten 2nd in this grade going off 9/2 fav and then last time out drawn widest in better grade than this eventually switching to inside and was a little better than form suggests.Danny tudhope rides,has won on him both last two wins he's well handicapped off 60 but again been very unlucky with the draw so worth a small bet,if theY go quick enough then he may just get away with it,last season reached a rating of 68 he should be winning a race in near future.

    Monsieur jimmy 8/1 betbright 15/2 ppower/skybet/victor 7/1 365/sportsbook/hills

    1.55 Southwell

    Trust me boy has dropped to a mark off 55 last time ran off this mark won by 7ls,he invariably used to lead ios races but has been out of touch
    since returning to the aw although last time out ran ok in slighlty better grade frrom the 13 draw couldn't get to the front.He then stayed on under hand's heels.Drawn 5 tomorrow with jock franny Norton has won on him the last twice,has lots of runs but on this track is 3/24 pretty good for a very low grade horse,his usual front running style and the fact he goes on the track when it's riding desperately slow as it has last few meetings could be a positive.
    If he gets out on terms at worst he should trade pretty low,wouldn't surprise me if he blasted his way out, as of yet there's no worthwhile track form in the race prince of time has run ok and equally claedonian gold if going on the surface,sire does ok these three copuld fight out the finish.

    Trust me by 5/1 365/victor..

    11/2 365 I'm sure its starting price will be reflected in it's break from the stalls...7.4 betfair..

    15/2 9.6 betfair sporting bet taking a very similar walk top temple road yesterday...interesting ride coming up..
    Last edited by gigilo; 6th April 2017 at 12:16 PM.

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  3. #8362
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    5.25 s55 Southwell

    Monsieur jimmy hasn'T had much luck with the draws this season beaten 2nd in this grade going off 9/2 fav and then last time out drawn widest in better grade than this eventually switching to inside and was a little better than form suggests.Danny tudhope rides,has won on him both last two wins he's well handicapped off 60 but again been very unlucky with the draw so worth a small bet,if theY go quick enough then he may just get away with it,last season reached a rating of 68 he should be winning a race in near future.

    Monsieur jimmy 8/1 betbright 15/2 ppower/skybet/victor 7/1 365/sportsbook/hills

    1.55 Southwell

    Trust me boy has dropped to a mark off 55 last time ran off this mark won by 7ls,he invariably used to lead ios races but has been out of touch
    since returning to the aw although last time out ran ok in slighlty better grade frrom the 13 draw couldn't get to the front.He then stayed on under hand's heels.Drawn 5 tomorrow with jock franny Norton has won on him the last twice,has lots of runs but on this track is 3/24 pretty good for a very low grade horse,his usual front running style and the fact he goes on the track when it's riding desperately slow as it has last few meetings could be a positive.
    If he gets out on terms at worst he should trade pretty low,wouldn't surprise me if he blasted his way out, as of yet there's no worthwhile track form in the raceprince of time has run ok and equally claedonian gold if going on the surface,sire does ok these three copuld fight out the finish .

    Trust me by 5/1 365/victor..

    11/2 365 I'm sure its starting price will be reflected in it's break from the stalls...7.4 betfair..

    15/2 9.6 betfair sporting bet taking a very similar walk top temple road yesterday...interesting ride coming up..

    Had a right touch ew at 8s 2.8 a place and forecasts and tricast as above just waiting for divis,pity the fav shortened so much forms worked out perfect some lovleey drifts there made some nice combos about time..£12.43 forecast £60 tricast hope you did them nick and chef!!!
    Last edited by gigilo; 6th April 2017 at 2:04 PM.

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    Great price on the place... Cheers giggs

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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    Had a right touch ew at 8s 2.8 a place and forecasts and tricast as above just waiting for divis,pity the fav shortened so much forms worked out perfect some lovleey drifts there made some nice combos about time..£12.43 forecast £60 tricast hope you did them nick and chef!!!
    No I did the pick e/way but didn't read it full - so right now I'm punching myself in the face - Well done Giggsy!!
    Pluralism of Ideas and the prosperity of any land are intertwined. Freedom of minds and skill of intellect to 'think the unthinkable' is how humanity has progressed; when minds are incarcerated nothing endures.

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    Very rarely say three will fight out a finish unless quietly confident I know you and a few others usually follow those,bit disappointed in the divis to be honest but in saying that the 2nd and 3rd drifted sort of ends my bad luck...

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    Legend!! Had the combination tricast just on the off chance! Never landed on of them before delighted thank you!!

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    7:45
    Kempton (AW)
    7 Apr 2017
    32Red Maiden Stakes
    (Class 4) (3yo+) 6f Standard
    1st £4,690.02 2nd £1,395.62 3rd £697.45 4th £348.73
    Pedigrees
    Comments
    Result
    Analysis
    My Ratings
    POS. (DRAW)
    HORSE / SP
    TRAINER / JOCKEY
    AGE WGT OR TS RPR MR
    1 (4)

    Sparkalot 5/2
    J F Egan
    Simon Dow
    3 92 – – – –
    Led until over 4f out, chased leader until led again over 1f out, soon ridden, stayed on well and always holding runner up inside final furlong (op 9/4 tchd 11/4)
    2 (1)

    Desert Rain (IRE) 10/11F
    Josephine Gordon
    Saeed bin Suroor
    3 811 – – – –
    Chased leaders, went 3rd and ridden just over 2f out, chased clear winner 1f out, stayed on well for clear 2nd but never threatening winner (tchd 5/6)
    3 (12)
    5 [6¼]
    Raffle King (IRE) 12/1
    Robert Winston
    Mick Channon
    3 92 – – – –
    Steadied and dropped in behind after start, off the pace in rear, closed and not clearest of runs 2f out, switched right and headway over 1f out, ran on well to go 3rd inside final furlong, never troubled leaders (op 16/1)
    4 (10)
    1¾ [8]
    Chatoyer (FR) 7/1
    Sean Levey
    Richard Hannon
    3 92 – – – –
    Took keen hold, with leaders until led over 4f out, ridden and headed over 1f out, 3rd and beaten 1f out, weakened inside final furlong (op 8/1 tchd 6/1)
    5 (8)
    nk [8¼]
    Verdi (IRE) 100/1
    Louis Steward3
    John Ryan
    3 813 – – – –
    Held up off the pace towards rear, switched left and effort 3f out, chased clear leading trio 2f out, no impression and kept on same pace after
    6 (7)
    8 [16¼]
    Joy 25/1
    Ted Durcan
    Laura Mongan
    3 811 – – – –
    Always midfield but never on terms with leaders, ridden over 2f out, no progress, weakened over 1f out
    7 (9)
    nk [16½]
    Taurean Gold 200/1
    Luke Morris
    John Bridger
    3 92 – – – –
    Off the pace in midfield, ridden over 2f out, switched right and no impression 2f out, weakened over 1f out
    8 (2)
    1¼ [17¾]
    Spare Parts (IRE) 50/1
    Callum Shepherd3
    Charles Hills
    3 813 – – – –
    Broke well, soon off the pace in midfield, ridden and no progress over 2f out, soon weakened
    9 (3)
    hd [18]
    Shouldertoshoulder 25/1
    Aaron Jones3
    Stuart Williams
    3 813 – – – –
    Soon outpaced in last pair, never dangerous
    10 (11)
    1½ [19½]
    Imbucato 16/1
    David Probert
    J P Murtagh
    3 92 – – – –
    Midfield but never on terms with leaders, ridden 2f out, no impression and weakened over 1f out (op 14/1)
    11 (6)
    ½ [20]
    Artsteelwork 100/1
    Darragh Keenan7
    John Butler
    3 84 – – – –
    Chased leaders, 4th and struggling 2f out, weakened over 1f out,
    12 (5)
    7 [27]
    Charlie Alpha (IRE) 66/1
    Kieren Fox
    Roger Ingram
    3 92 – – – –
    Soon outpaced in rear
    12 ran Winning time: 1m 11.60s (slow by 1.20s)

    Sparkalot
    Desert rain

    Quite a decent time by simon dow 3yr old and being only 5/2 to beat an sbs horse then obviously decent on second ever run,1m11.60 for winner think the track maybe a little quicker than usual but still martk will be interesting and with small stable more chance of decent pruce in handicaps,this maiden was actually .16 quicker thah the 80 rated family family fortunes winning the 3yr old handicap off 80 yet another improver so the dow hprses mark will be interesting.Anything around the 80 mark,you may get some nice value,the sbs was debut run so could potentially be even better and a run back here in a maiden you could be looking an 8/11 shot that realistically would be a 1/3 shot.Two interesting runners if they stay on the aw...

    Raffle king

    Forgot to mention rasffle king,he was having 3rd run in this race and looked to be finishing with a fair bit in the tank even though beaten 6 1/4ls
    he could turn out to be well handicapped hadn't run since may last season so was a bit of an eyecatcher.Presuming the dow horse doesn't get much more than a mark of 80 hopefully the channon horse will get rated in mid 60,can't realy see why he should be higher so i'd be keeping an eye on this ones mark as well.I wouldn't be afraid to back him in a maiden either,especially with a step up to 7fs tonights insignificant looking maiden could be very infiormative and might be some nice bets..
    Last edited by gigilo; 8th April 2017 at 2:39 AM.

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    9:15
    Kempton (AW)
    7 Apr 2017
    racinguk.com/hd Handicap
    (Class 6) (0-65, 4yo+) 7f Standard
    1st £2,264.15 2nd £673.75 3rd £336.70 4th £168.35
    Pedigrees
    Comments
    Result
    Analysis
    My Ratings
    POS. (DRAW)
    HORSE / SP
    TRAINER / JOCKEY
    AGE WGT OR TS RPR MR
    1 (9)

    Olympic Duel (IRE) 20/1
    Luke Morris
    Peter Hiatt
    4 811 54 – – –
    Raced in midfield, ridden and headway 2f out, led just inside final furlong, ran on well and drew clear final 100yds, ridden out
    2 (1)

    Tidal's Baby 8/1
    George Downing
    Tony Carroll
    8 90 57 – – –
    Chased leaders, effort 2f out, driven and every chance just over 1f out, led 1f out, soon headed, 2nd and outpaced by winner final 100yds (op 13/2)
    3 (8)
    ½ [3]
    Fantasy Queen 14/1
    John Fahy
    Eve Johnson Houghton
    4 96 63 – – –
    Off the pace in midfield, headway under pressure over 1f out, stayed on well inside final furlong, snatched 3rd last strides, no threat to winner
    4 (11)
    nk [3¼]
    Jack The Laird (IRE) 12/1
    Jack Duern3
    Dean Ivory
    4 90 p 60 – – –
    Tracked leading pair, ridden to lead well over 1f out, headed 1f out, no extra and weakened well inside final furlong, lost 2 places last strides (tchd 14/1)
    5 (6)
    shd [3½]
    Almanack 6/4F
    Nathan Alison3
    Mark Pattinson
    7 94 64 – – –
    Well off the pace in last quintet, ridden and headway over 1f out, stayed on inside final furlong, no threat to winner (op 2/1 tchd 9/4)
    6 (13)
    2¼ [5¾]
    Talksalot (IRE) 12/1
    Dougie Costello
    Mark Bradstock
    6 96 ht1 63 – – –
    Took keen hold, held up in midfield, ridden and some headway over 1f out, kept on same pace inside final furlong (tchd 10/1)
    7 (4)
    1½ [7¼]
    Blackthorn Stick (IRE) 9/1
    Jimmy Quinn
    Paul Burgoyne
    8 812 p 55 – – –
    Chased leaders, switched right and effort to press leaders well over 1f out, no extra 1f out, weakened inside final furlong (op 10/1 tchd 8/1)
    8 (12)
    1 [8¼]
    I Can't Stop 33/1
    David Probert
    Milton Bradley
    4 87 Out-of-Handicaps 5 b 50 – – –
    Dwelt and ridden along leaving stalls, well off the pace in last quintet, driven over 2f out, never dangerous
    9 (5)
    ¾ [9]
    Sir Compton 11/1
    Ted Durcan
    Stuart Kittow
    4 95 62 – – –
    Dwelt and short of room leaving stalls, well off the pace in last quintet, switched right and effort 2f out, some headway over 1f out, never troubled leaders (op 12/1 tchd 10/1)
    10 (14)
    nk [9¼]
    Arcanista (IRE) 16/1
    Nicola Currie7
    Richard Hughes
    4 87 b 57 – – –
    Dropped in after start, held up off the pace in last quintet, ridden and some headway over 1f out, never dangerous (tchd 14/1)
    11 (7)
    1¾ [11]
    Mime Dance 16/1
    Hector Crouch3
    John Butler
    6 94 p 64 – – –
    Led until ridden and headed well over 1f out, lost place over 1f out, soon weakened
    12 (10)
    3 [14]
    St Andrews (IRE) 25/1
    Stevie Donohoe
    Ian Williams
    4 90 t 57 – – –
    Always off the pace in rear, never dangerous
    13 (3)
    3¼ [17¼]
    George Baker (IRE) 12/1
    Amelia Glass7
    George Baker
    10 89 59 – – –
    Midfield, came wide and pushed along over 2f out, no headway and weakened over 1f out, behind inside final furlong (op 11/1)
    14 (2)
    6 [23¼]
    Captain Joe 66/1
    Joshua Bryan7
    Brian Barr
    6 810 ht1 60 – – –
    Chased leader until final 2f, lost place quickly over 1f out, behind and eased inside final furlong
    14 ran Winning time: 1m 24.89s (slow by 1.39s)


    Olympic duel

    It maybe worth just being slightly cautious of the horses mentioned tonight as the track looking at the overall times seemed to be pretty quick and was borne out by thisrace for horses ared upto 65 one of the quickest races on the card won by 54 rated Olympic duel after a 6 month lay off,the fact the thoroughly exposed 8yrold tidals baby was 2nd makes the form look a little bit conspicupous.Still hard to knock winner run though,was under pressure 2fs oput and the time of 1m24.89 is still very good fir horse just rated 54 even if track was riding quick,there could be more to come with just 8 lifetime runs,hard to know what handicapper will do a rise of 60 would be able to actually drop in class,he might get away with 6 pound but if not will still be in this grade.He's worth following for a few runs,any improvement on this run mau knock up a sequence...
    Last edited by gigilo; 7th April 2017 at 10:42 PM.

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  12. #8369
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    Just in case you've missed it, gigilo, Orderofthegarter runs at Leopardstown this afternoon. Heffernan rides him with Moore on Taj Mahal. It's a really excellent card with plenty of Classic prospects on show in the Ballysax and the two Guineas trials.

  13. #8370
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    Quote Originally Posted by gus View Post
    Just in case you've missed it, gigilo, Orderofthegarter runs at Leopardstown this afternoon. Heffernan rides him with Moore on Taj Mahal. It's a really excellent card with plenty of Classic prospects on show in the Ballysax and the two Guineas trials.
    Agreed
    Have backed Aussie Valentine in the last

  14. #8371
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    Quote Originally Posted by gus View Post
    Just in case you've missed it, gigilo, Orderofthegarter runs at Leopardstown this afternoon. Heffernan rides him with Moore on Taj Mahal. It's a really excellent card with plenty of Classic prospects on show in the Ballysax and the two Guineas trials.
    Been twiddling my thumbs for last 24 hours as aw cards have been dire,have backed it at 15/8 7/4 been given a rating of 108 which I didn't even know which looks out if it had as much in hand as the win,not really the sort of races I bet in with so many unexposed especially with moore riding the other,interesting race anyway..Think if it ran a poor race,you would only be able to back it on desperate ground in future as the ground was heavy when it won and today just just good/yielding..
    Last edited by gigilo; 8th April 2017 at 1:36 PM.

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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    Been twiddling my thumbs for last 24 hours as aw cards have been dire,have backed it at 15/8 7/4 been given a rating of 108 which I didn't even know which looks out if it had as much in hand as the win,not really the sort of races I bet in with so many unexposed especially with moore riding the other,interesting race anyway..Think if it ran a poor race,you would only be able to back it on desperate ground in future as the ground was heavy when it won and today just just good/yielding..
    Will be interesting to see how Great Uncle 100/1 runs in the 1.50 - he was 8th behind Orderofthegarter btn 28L.
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    Been twiddling my thumbs for last 24 hours as aw cards have been dire,have backed it at 15/8 7/4 been given a rating of 108 which I didn't even know which looks out if it had as much in hand as the win,not really the sort of races I bet in with so many unexposed especially with moore riding the other,interesting race anyway..Think if it ran a poor race,you would only be able to back it on desperate ground in future as the ground was heavy when it won and today just just good/yielding..
    KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMM!!Looks like my rating was right and theirs was wrong that'll do me for the week,thanks for reminder of meeting gus,been unwell as per al week
    Last edited by gigilo; 8th April 2017 at 2:26 PM.

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    And did the reverse fcasst as well!!!

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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    Some nice looking horses to follow today although both from O'Brien stable you had Alphabet winning the maiden in a canter was only .13 slower than the 6f handicap fo horsesrated upto 100 so Alphabet conservatively the way it wn looks a 95 horse and the last winner Orderofthegarters in the maiden just run .52 quicker than the lincoln winner rated 105 could be absoplutely anything and again you could be looking at conservative 115 horse already..Might not be around during turf season so thought i'd mention them,cracking way to start the turf season maybe worth looking at some ante post bets for the latter..

    Rated 108 today... glad the don't take times into account..

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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    And did the reverse fcasst as well!!!
    I did the win and f/c as well - Tommy Hallinan - second behind Orderofthegarter out tomorrow 5.15 Tipperary 11/4 Skybet & 365 - being backed with all other bookies.
    Last edited by swedish chef; 10th April 2017 at 7:10 PM.
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    4.10 Catterick

    Mukhayyam was taken out of the stoute stable by mick easterby lasy season and ran 16 times from april to november was very consistent only winning once but once stepped up in trip was 2/2/2/3/3/1 winning by 6ls in this grade off 80 at ripon,runs off 83 with the claim tomorrow.Last two runs were in vclass 2 handicaps easterbys been winning everything early season,if fit then would look massive at current prices,appears to go on most ground but looking closely at the times where its run its best races gd/gdfm looks more favourable thats where its best form has been so hopefully no overwatering..Obviously first time out and never run at track,but you'd expect this to be heavily backed if spot on first time out as could easily make a case for this being around that 3/1 price it won at ripon..

    Mukhayyam 10/1 365/ 8/1 corals..
    Last edited by gigilo; 11th April 2017 at 4:53 PM.

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    Good luck with trying to predict M.W. Easterly's plans.
    Ah! but a man's reach should exceed his grasp......

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    Have already backed one of his winners this season colin,so 1-0 to me if this doesn't go off nearer 7/2 then you will know although is first time out anyway on track it's never run on so there are some ? anyway..

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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    Have already backed one of his winners this season colin,so 1-0 to me if this doesn't go off nearer 7/2 then you will know although is first time out anyway on track it's never run on so there are some ? anyway..
    I've done the forecast with Sellingallthetime.

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