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Thread: Daily picks.

  1. #61
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    Kempton 4.30 Lockantanks 12/1 boyles.

  2. #62
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    Lockantanks last ran at kempton off 76 tomorrow off 75 that race he was drawn in the one box raced wide and managed to lead a furlong out just to get collared.That was a far better race than tomorrows everything was in the high 70s and 80s and lockantanks is off top weight even off 9-11 he still has some of the quicker times in the race.The price looks like its based on its turf form which is nowhere near as good as aw form this looks a 7/1 shot to me with the unexposed 3yr olds in the race,quite difficult to judge any of teir runs.Fourths to fanditha and follow the flag at lingfield and one of those races in a decent time,on those runs is definitely overpriced,have backed it ew and will be trading on it as well.
    Yesterdays runner made negligible profit,kieran against dane o' neil enough said giving fallon 6ls head start.

  3. #63
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    Returned the price i said it shouldv'e been but won nothing on the race even with reasonable trade,still think although off its highest ever mark may be worth following as all its decent runs have come in fast run races.

  4. #64
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    4.50 ithoughtiswasover 8/1 paddy,stan probably others in morning.

    The handicap in which ithoughtitwaslover(89) was in lto will show the first four to be well ahead of their marks,the time of the race was almost identical to that as the following race won by averroes(94) on the same card.Both of those races were run at a decent pace and the form is solid the older handicap was full of horses in nineties,this probably means that horses such as ithoughtitwasalover are at least 10 pounds in with these older horses.
    The race looks like worth following over a cliff especially the first four from that race,tomorrow two big negatives back 2fs and drawn 14 but still have to have at least a token bet as really if drawn well this should be a 4/1 shot and thats purely down to the fact the fav could be anything.

  5. #65
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    A few additional bets present danger 5/4 with corals 365 may turn out to be disappointing but really caught my eye last year on soft ground,typical dascombe horse as looked a bit special will see today if its gone backwards.
    I will give it two chances including today to prove itself,after clocking a time only a second slower than quest for success last season at hamilton..

    5/4 corals,365.

    Phair winter couldv'e easily beaten see the bees that form ties in with todays fav syncopated lady,all phair winters best form has come thios way round and its two poor runs have been left handed.Would be difficult to be confiendt but the horse is extremely well handicapped on the hamilton run also had deep applause 10ls behind at hamilton and thats 11/2.If it runs to that hamilton form 16/1 with 365 14s generally is massive i've had a small ew and will be trading on this as it really should be shorter in a poor race.

    16./1 365 14s generally.

  6. #66
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    Trade was good again will ignore the johnston run and the dascombe horse hard to back in future not winning a mediocre race like that.

    WEAPON OF CHOICE 16/1 boyles.

    This looks a cracking trade,there are several lines of form through electra star and yojimbo that make this half its current odds.One line of form gives it the beating of regal salute and another just behind john biscuit,i've looked at the other formlines and can't possibly see how this can be 16s.The bottom one will probably be taken out and the price is best taken tonight,only way this won't go off shorter is if they declare the ground gd'fm.Like nothing tomorrow,no value at all on the york card and the rest of the cards are crap.
    Hopefully this will be hammered.
    Last edited by gigilo; 18th August 2011 at 12:50 AM.

  7. #67
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    And left 60 of the profit on it at 16s as well ,these prices were miles out plus the rain helped otherwise it wouldn't have been backed.

  8. #68
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    CIRCUMVENT 16/1 CORALS.

    Seems a little to big with 4 non runners,looks like coming back to form and is extrememely well handicapped.Hughes gave it a very poor ride at ascot sitting off the pace travelling well then having to come wide when the race had gone.I havn't backed it as a single just to trade as the race looks very hot but 16s is bound to tempt ew punters.

  9. #69
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    Kempton 5.15 Ocean legend 25/1 sjames to trade 22/1 hills.
    Last edited by gigilo; 21st August 2011 at 6:03 PM.

  10. #70
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    Another horse priced up on its turf form ocean legend infact its run 16 times on the turf and never won
    yet only 3 races back was third off 80 to new leyf at donny over an inadequate 6fs.Tomorrow night runs over its favourite c/d winning 4 from 9 and infact its last 5 runs over this c/d has been 3/1/3/1/3incredibly it returns to the track off an 11 pound lower mark than when third off 83.If the horse was guaranteed to run to any of its runs here would be 4 or 5/1 as horses such as rondeau aren't anywhere near as good yet that particular horse is priced at 11s just showing the ridiculous discrepancy.Also it has the two quickest times in the race over the c/d when it won off 82 clocked 1m24.22 off 9-2,has a bad draw tomorrow in 13 and this stable have cost me a lot of money lately withdrawing horses when i've got the prices so will be interesting to see what happens.I've backed it to trade but will have a very small single as well.

    sjames 25/1
    hills 22/1

  11. #71
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    25s

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    Out at average of 19.5 i see there was two huge drifts on the carroll horses,no surprise there then!

    3.0 WITCHRY.
    Witchry looks overpriced in this race should be around the 5/1 mark on any ground,but if the rain arrives and there's supposed to be a deluge would look a 4/1 shot as its soft ground form over 6fs in recent times has been better.Its last 4 runs over 6fs been 1/2/1/0 and this time last year was first then followed it up with a second finishing 2ls infront of mata hari blue,thats 5/1 fav yet 4 pounds worse off in the weights.How witchry isn't fav i don't know,on all known form only 5 horses in the race have soft ground form as well making this look a great trade.I will have a little single as well,but i will be surprised if this isn't nearer the 9/2 mark by the off.

    8/1 to trade boyles

  13. #73
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    Forgot to mention has run in the greys race the last 3 seasons and at least been placed on its follow up run!!!

  14. #74
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    Seems to be following me around hugh taylor two days on the bounce,still beating him to the prices am trading most of mine out as it looks as though there's hardly any rain there.If it does may shorten further but not worth sitting round all day waiting to see,left a small bet on it.

  15. #75
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    Averaged 5.8

  16. #76
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    3.50 iceblast 14/1 ppower. to trade.

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    Had some nice form early in the season and i'm sure sooner or later easterby will be setting up a gamble on this,it maybe the ground has been against it as several runs on soft have shown nothing.Tomorrow runs off 74 with 7 pound claimer,will be off a lower mark than when beating jade by 3ls,lots of formlines through that form would make this 3 or 4/1 in this race.Back against own age group tomorrow and the weakest race its run against its own age group 14s would be big if running to that form.If the ground doesn't ride to soft it may just come back to form.Will be a trade and a very small single as well.

  18. #78
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    Citizens charters mark is very lenient in the first at donny and at 7/1 is completely the wrong price running off 78,this horse looks mid 80s+ on its debut run.On debut at newcastle beat flambard house thats now off 74 but flambard house had previous run while it was citizens charters debut.The third electric qatatrs now on 90,4th commanche 2 1/2ls behind now on 76 and the most interesting 6th bomber jet has won off 77 beating the two favs in todays nursery by 1 1/2ls.If you took that at face value citizens charter has 5ls in hand,can't possibly be 7/1.

    1pt to trade 7/1 victor and bet 365
    .10 pt to win. 7/1

  19. #79
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    15/2 sporting bet.

  20. #80
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    Paddy power have priced rosedale up at 10/1,the 17/2 with hills looked generous unbelievable price based on its last run over c/d.The race was behind the progressive thistle bird and although that winner won comfortably rosedale was hampered and wouldv'e finished nearer second place filled by sure route,that filly recently won off 88.The race was also very quick fast by 1.41 seconds this really should be around the 11/2 mark with just the 2 3yr olds that could be better than they've shown.
    Also this time last year rosedale won over c/d off a pound lower mark on this ground,at worst should be a crsacking trade.

    1PT TRADE
    .10PT EW PPOWER

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