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Thread: Daily picks.

  1. #201
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    Was just waiting for some more books to come up,you can get 16s comparable now as well.

    1pt trade comparable .05ptew 16/1 vc
    1pt trade desert strike .05ptew 16/1 365,lads

    Two horses that both like this track over the c/d desert strike is 2/7 over c/d and 4 of the other runs was placed,his last run here over c/d won off 74 in same grade as tomorrows race.Tomorrow he's off 75 and if runs to his best is more of 7/1 shot,with winston and McCabe teaming up will either be hammered or drift like a barge.The same applies to comparable has similar profile was in the above race with desert strike and has a 6 pound pull for 1 3/4ls he's only 1/8 over the c/d but has been 3/4/2/3/3/1/1/7 on all other runs.Similar to desert strike this is his grade and is no 16/1 shot if at his best.
    The times run at the track also back up their form as they have been in some of the quicker races,again the combination of nicholls and mongan it will either be hammered or drift like a barge.

  2. #202
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    One of them was always going to be backed at those prices out at (9) and (13)to easy this trading!!

  3. #203
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    Will have a bit more on if any books are bigger only 365 up.


    1pt trade 0.05ptew 25/1 365 thunderstruck

  4. #204
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    1pt trade 0.05ptew 33/1 vc

  5. #205
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    A huge price for thunderstruck on his aw form and the price would be nearer to 5/1 if this had come after his last run over c/d back in march 3/4l behind veroon.Tomorrow veroon is 8/1 yet 13 pounds worse off,a sh/hd second to snow dancer last feb 6/1 , but again 6 pounds better off with that one.
    He also raced against chosen forever 9/1 in tomorrows race jan 2010 and again 2 pounds better in on that run,since the last of those aw runs he's had 3 runs on turf and been totally unsighted beaten huge distances.
    Taking into account a horses form on turf when you look at thunderstrucks aw record as a whole is why you get these huge out of line ,he's won 4/20
    been second 6 times and third twice.His last run here against veroon was one of the quickest in the race also,plus some of tomorrows runners have no proven form on the aw or trip.Regardless of result you should be backing these everytime at these prices,will be amazed if it goes off 33s.

  6. #206
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    1pt trade perlachy 9/1 hills

    1pt trade yellow printer .10ptew yellow printer 7/1 ladbrokes.

  7. #207
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    Just a trade on perlachy for a horse that is still on a decent mark of 60,4/16 over the c/d won off 64 here last season in very similar race.The race should be run to suit with 4/5 front runners but i'd rather just try a small trade with a poor draw and reliant on getting the breaks.He has one of the quicker times so far in the race this season so 9/1 looks like he should be around 6/1.

    Yellow printer clocked up a decent time when finishing 4th over c/d in october roughly 1m59.53 if it ran to that form would win this on the clock as it is by far the fastest time.Even the horses that have run well over a furlong shorter their standard times have been slower and 7/1 would be massive if it repeats that run.Trainer is the slight negative if it had been anyne else this would be 7/2.If the aw time followers clock on it should be backed in a very poor race,so hopefully at least get a decent trade!!

  8. #208
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    Looks like i had a right touch,was admitted to hospital with chest pains on early hours monday morning just got home,how perlacjy was that price 18/1 is incredible race was always going to be run to suit.Don't think that account will be open any longer,

  9. #209
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    I've backed follow the flag at 16s to trade and ew but for here will be at 14s,penultimate run the 5th behind chosen forever was really motoring towards the end of the race to be nearest finish beaten 3ls.He really doesn't look straightforward at the moment and hard to tell if he really is quick enough over the mile anymore,but on last seasons times he would win this his times are over a second quicker here than anything else in this race.It can only be a speculative bet,but i'm sure he'll be worth following on the aw over a slightly longer trip in the near future.A token bet tomorrow.

    1pt trade follow the flag 14/1lads,victor
    .05ptew

  10. #210
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    May not have time for write ups today.

    1pt trade svento 9/2 .10ptew
    1pt trade warden warren .10ptew 11/2
    1pt trade alfraamsey .20ptew

    4ew yankees
    12.30 instrumentalist 11/4
    villa royal 7/2

    1.30 golden desert 4/5

    3.0 sovento 9/2
    warden warren 5/1

    3.30 alfraamsey 9/4

  11. #211
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    Averaged 8.4 follow the flag,cracking day so far!!

  12. #212
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    1pt trade takajan i've already backed it at 9s and will back it at 7s,certainly looks better value than suddenly susan and grrenhead high,roughly the same price.They all ran on the same day and at the weights there is nothing in it,but takajan was given an easy time and ran wide throughout with de sousa on this will go off near fav.

    1pt trade takajan 7/1 bet 365
    .05ptew

  13. #213
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    1pt trade soopcal 5/2 skybet,victor,hills
    .20ptew

    Soopcal ran a decent time last time out,there were two other 6f handicaps on the card that day he wouldv'e beat mount hollow by 1 1/2ls carrying 5 pound more that was running off 72 and won the first div.The second div was won by mottley crewe rated 70 he was .24 slower but carrying 2 pound more,but there was 3 1/4ls back to two 75 rated horses in that handicap mottley crewe still beinhg well handicapped itself.
    If he repeats this run then he really should win as even at there best the rest of the field would struggle to compete with those formlines,the fact he's 6 yr old and not won over the trip i've backed it to trade to try and cover most of the bet if he doesn't repeat the run.

  14. #214
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    1pt trade takajan i've already backed it at 9s and will back it at 7s,certainly looks better value than suddenly susan and grrenhead high,roughly the same price.They all ran on the same day and at the weights there is nothing in it,but takajan was given an easy time and ran wide throughout with de sousa on this will go off near fav.

    1pt trade takajan 7/1 bet 365
    .05ptew

    Out at 4.2 Currently 11/4 fav.
    Last edited by gigilo; 6th December 2011 at 11:58 AM.

  15. #215
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    Will back again if bigger only one book up.


    1pt trade 14/1 clear praise lads kempton 6.30
    .10ptew

  16. #216
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    1pt trade clear praise 365 16/1
    .10ptew

  17. #217
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    An enormous price for a horse that was a progressive type last season on the aw has 4 c/d runs two wins and another win from a total of 8 aw runs.The other two c/d runs was 4th and then 3rd on his last visit at kempton having to be switched a couple of times,those last two races were similar grade to this race and he started those two races at 13/8 and 9/4.Three of his previous runs here also are 3 out of the 4 fastest of any runner in tomorrows race,the price is ridiculous and based on its poor turf form.This has to go on a to follows list of anyone that follows the aw and it will be very strange if this isn't backed at a price that really should be around 6s.


    Backed it again at 20s twice!!!
    Last edited by gigilo; 8th December 2011 at 1:25 PM.

  18. #218
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    Clear praise wasn't backed surprisingly and ran the slowest time its ever run at the track probably a race to soon.

    1pt trade maven 11/2 bet 365
    .20ptew

    1pt trade edgeware road 9/2 lads
    .20ptew

    Will have some comb fcasts with colinca lad .05pt.

    The form of colincas lad has been franked by megala again tonight in what was a decent time at kempton,the only off putting thing is colincas lads runs here have been poor on the track so have put him in fcasts as savers.
    Maven got the better of edgeware road over c/d on the 2nd of december in what was a reasonable time for the grade 1m59.85 and they look improvers,mavens only had the five runs and edgeware road the seven so open to lots of improvement on the surface.There looks like only 4/5 possibles so these two could easily shorten up and dominate the market.

  19. #219
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    2.0 swell

    1pt trade cp joe 3/1
    .50ptew

    Difficult to know exactly if there's any value in this race as the 4 that head the market are all open to improvement and three of them are c/d winners.
    Just looking at cp joes run when the visor was put on at ffos las he clocked up a standard time quicker than that of the older horses running over 2fs less,that older handicap was won by a four year old off 62.Tomorrow recieves weight off horses rated 64 or less so looks well in,stumbled bably last time out and was pulled up more a precaution by luke morris as he was unsure if the horse had gone wrong.Hopefully there will be plenty of pace on as i think the horse will be dependant on it,to show his best.

  20. #220
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    Some poor readers of form around and luckily most don't look at times,if they'd looked at the light the city formline they certainly wouldn't have been backing irish jugger..Can't beat the clock.

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