I backed it after the going change all day they've had it as 9.8 then changed to good after the first race,it was 13/2 last night.All day i've been watching the going and wasn't changed till after the first,thought it would still be to quick but looked like it would be in the frame.
1pt trade hazelrigg 25/1 365
kens girl 7/1 365
Kens girl is an enormous price in this she is the best horse and has the best form i thought she would be around the 7/2 mark as this is probably one of the weakest races she's run in recent tiomes.She has dropped to a mark of 71 lowest mark since running second to swiftly done over a mile october 2010,swiftly done now rated 85,she's only won 1/7 over a mile but has run well against better horses in better grade even though she now is more of a 1m2f horse.Last season she progressed to win off 76 and even ran 5th of 15 to askaud off 79 at haydock just behind 80+ horses.I can't see any other decent formlines in the race as nothing has run to her level,she cannot possibly be 7/1 in this race i can see her going off 7/2 minimum in this and the only negative for her is the distance as she will love the ground as well!!
Hazelrigg runs off 83 tomorrow lowest mark since winning in september 2010,doesn't win that often but has loads of form a this level has had 13 placings from 40 runs plus 4 wins.Last season a second to secret witness off 88 and a fourth to marine commando at haydock,finishing infront of some more prominent runners in tomorrows betting.Has nothing to find with horses such as racy,jamesway,judge n'jury,sohraab,bathwick bear rain delayed,foxy music,taurus twins all of whom he beat.He's the biggest price he's been since running 5th to masmah in an even better race and 25/1 is value where he has as much chance as the market leaders.The race looks impossible but his price stands out and the draw might just favour the lows on the desperate ground with flash city and blue jack drawn low as well,he won't go off 25/1 in this race!!
1pt trade oojooba 6/4 ppower
Got a free bet out of it won't be backing again.
Last edited by gigilo; 15th June 2012 at 3:54 PM.
Could not be confident after her debut run this season,but she was a massive eyecatcher for me on debut at haydock her maiden only 1.31 seconds slower than top class skilful.She disappointed on her next run on ground that mayhave been to quick,her mark looked generous on those time comparisons at haydock as she hacked up even having todays listed winner great expectations behind.She then disappointed on seasonal debut,if she's as good as she looked last season she should be odds on against these exposed handicappers and i'm pretty sure the betting will reflect her chances.Quite interesting that in that listed race she was 4ls infront of dare to dream recent second to emman bee,5ls infront of second fav no compromise.I won't be following her if she doesn't win tomorrow,hopefully will be heavily backed and leave a free bet on her!
Yes ice i know everyones mailing me telling me how well they did unfortunately for me was trying to look at tomorrows cards and got distracted!
I see the ground was on the quick side at haydock would explain the run of amir pasha,i'll let them off!!Ken's girl 9/2 currently what price tomorrow!!
11/8 with B365 even with a 25p rule 4
UNREAL
Last edited by brendanr; 15th June 2012 at 11:14 AM.
ROLL ON THE RESISTANCE !!!
Mate's wife is off to Ladies Day at Musselburgh and is looking for some insight. Obviously, I worse than useless, so I'd be grateful for some suggestions and will pass them on.
"Beat the price and lose. It's what we do".
SlimChance, March 2018
Sorry fella i havn't looked at musselburugh to busy doing tomorrows cards,give me a days notice and i can do some though in future.
I actually got some emails last night once the 7/1 had gone i said the 9/2 was still value i thought it would go off around 11/4 kens girl probably one of the biggest ricks i've seen in ages.
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Last edited by icebreaker; 15th June 2012 at 6:42 PM. Reason: deleted