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Thread: Daily picks.

  1. #11641
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    Will try some small ew multiple but again overwatering at Newmarket and Nottingham,just look at the times again why do they keep watering on good ground and rains forecast as well no could be no more than minimum stakes..



    Newcasle 6.35


    Stone Of Destiny 12/1 ppower/sportsbook 4 places 8/1 hills/skybet 5 places Count D'Orsay 11/1 ppower/sportsbook 10/1 skybet 5 places


    7.45


    Indemnify 11/10 365 evens generally



    8.20


    Key Look 8/1 365 4 places Sea Of Elzaam 12/1 skybet 5 places hills 4 places Eyes 20/1 sportsbook 4 places 16/1 skybet 5 places


    Newmarket

    6.0

    Giovanni Baglion 13/2 generally ppower/sky/corals 4 places


    KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAABBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!Been waiting for this after its staying on run at Leicester in a red hot maiden time Shing Blue that won yestersay now looks a group horse it was on my to follows as well but has gone off too short for me to back,terrible race tonight and a beautiful drift wet to 11.5 bfsp 10s more like it Took 2.5 4 places as well,a nightmare day had winners everywhere marked off just too much racing,thank fcuk this won..

    Donny

    2.10

    Ebury 7/2 ppower 10/30 skybet 4 places
    Last edited by gigilo; 24th June 2022 at 7:16 PM.

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  3. #11642
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    Sunday Windsor

    3.50

    Carp Kid 16/1 hills

    A 0-70 over 1m2fs Carp Kid a 7yr old oldest horses in the race has always been in the65-75 mark so consisent and won 4/35 on turf but 10 seconds and 2 thirds,probably needs further than this trip but still has form in this grade on this track although has never won over c/d even though a regular runner here..Last win was in a 0-85 over this trip at Bath off 66 in October,came back from that run in April and ran second over this c/d in this grade off this exact same mark 69 with William Cox taking off three pound,then ran an even better race in a 0-85 third beaten over 5ls but far better race..Was then beaten over 7ls here in a 0-85 a far better race than this went off 11/4 fav,then was beaten over 7ls at Lingfield in a 0-75,am not quite sure how they have priced this up as based on this seasons runs can't really see how it could be bigger 5-6/1 although seems unlikely it will win its first ever race over c/d it has been runner up this season here..I can't see any reason for this not going off at the very tops 8/1,wouldn't surprise me if this price collapses and other books open up 13/2 7/1..hardly a winner waiting to happen but could easily run well..The big negative could be the draw in 14,but still the books are miles out on this..


    11/1 ppower/sportsbook/victor/888sport/365
    Last edited by gigilo; 25th June 2022 at 5:46 PM.

  4. #11643
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    That hasn't worked out well Appleby has decided to run Annaf in the Chipstead instead of the handicap,which now is a totally garbage 0-100 a very very strange move but instead of the easy picking 15k he couldv'e got,if you read the times above as i said Annafs race was far quicker than Spycatchers by .46 seconds so has just over a length to find but a 7 pound turnaroundratings wise has a stone..The rag of the field at 40/1 365/hills 4 places skybet 5 places 50/1 ppower then i suppose you have to have a small bet just based on the times from that day..Annoyingly Spycatcher has also like last time ended up with a stinking draw in 3 running against the same horses that bat it lsst time and again they have the highs,could not possibly be confident now with the same scenario and all the good horses Gklen Shiel and especiallySense Of Duty that had 4ls on Spycatcher etc have high draws..Going to leave the bets still but minimum confidence now..

    Lovely 50/1 place the times worked out and the fav won,that's why Appleby left it in the clock said it had the same chanxe as spycatcher was right and it had the 14 draw..vrry nice bit of a gamble on it as well into 20/1 and i threw it in the ffor some firecasts as well,loveky tiuch on the race..Just seen Annaf returned 16/1 surprised it was nevrr out up by the tipsters at 40/1 and 50/1 ruined the forecast they were 10/30 and 50/1 the otherday sps 7/4 and 16/1,the form was bang on as well won by 4 1/2ls..csf £33..
    Last edited by gigilo; 25th June 2022 at 2:40 PM.

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  6. #11644
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    Sunday Windsor

    3.50

    Carp Kid 16/1 hills

    A 0-70 over 1m2fs Carp Kid a 7yr old oldest horses in the race has always been in the65-75 mark so consisent and won 4/35 on turf but 10 seconds and 2 thirds,probably needs further than this trip but still has form in this grade on this track although has never won over c/d even though a regular runner here..Last win was in a 0-85 over this trip at Bath off 66 in October,came back from that run in April and ran second over this c/d in this grade off this exact same mark 69 with William Cox taking off three pound,then ran an even better race in a 0-85 third beaten over 5ls but far better race..Was then beaten over 7ls here in a 0-85 a far better race than this went off 11/4 fav,then was beaten over 7ls at Lingfield in a 0-75,am not quite sure how they have priced this up as based on this seasons runs can't really see how it could be bigger 5-6/1 although seems unlikely it will win its first ever race over c/d it has been runner up this season here..I can't see any reason for this not going off at the very tops 8/1,wouldn't surprise me if this price collapses and other books open up 13/2 7/1..hardly a winner waiting to happen but could easily run well..The big negative could be the draw in 14,but still the books are miles out on this..


    11/1 ppower/sportsbook/victor/888sport/365
    Leroy Leroy 14/1 generally


    Very rarely wins Leroy Leroy and quite often gets left,a 6yr old with just two wins has some better form in better races than this but has had plenty of chances when dropped in class last season won 2nd here over c/d in a 0-75 off 73 slowly been coming down the weights..Has already run in one of these 0-70s here yhis season 4th beaten 4 3/4ls racing awkwardly,but has dropped to lowest ever mark of 68 and Harry Davies takes off another 5,similar to Carp Kid an unlikely winner but can't again see it going off bigger than 6-7/1 ..Am a bit surprised Carp Kid hasn't been backed yet so will be watching this closely,the 16s has gone but the books opened 11s and as of yet not taken,if the ground doesn't get any rain they really both should shorten as they both go in it and quitwe a few of these have been running on slower..Although the reverse might happen if it did rain or overwatered..
    Carp Kid backed into 5/1 as i suspected it would,and probably ran one of its worst ever races tried to lead from the 14 draw was beaten with 3fs to go and Lrroy Lerot that did exactky the same as i predicted left 15ls,it really was a race for trading on Carp Kid you couldv'e backed it all day long at 10/1 till 5 mins before the off,i made a nice profit tradinf Carp Kid but i had a couple of ew bets as well so made nothing on the race..Annoying really as it beat New Heights 4ls over this c/d in April thart finishes 3rd today,but i suspected both horses would be ridden as they were. i'm going to keep putting up thrse guaranteed shorteners especially if they look unlikely winners as its easy money especially as Carp Kid opened 11/1 and 10/1 and those prices never went till later on today...
    Last edited by gigilo; 26th June 2022 at 4:05 PM.

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  8. #11645
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    Brighton Tuesday

    4.45


    Porterinthejungle 16/1 hills/ppower/sportsbook..12/1 victor/skybet


    A speculative pick Porterunthejungle,had its first run for Robin Brisland after being trained in Ireland never won a race there in 20 starts,had two runs for Brysland then won four on the bounce three at this track over this c/d off 51,55,60 and 65 all between June 22nd and August 23rd winning a 0-70 and a 0-80..Since that run has shown absolutely nothing although probably unsurprising with four back to back wins,had several runs on the aw has never been placed on it but returned to the turf and has been 7/8 7/8 7/8 all three races,no signs of anyform in those races going off quick in them but stopping very quickly in all three races..There's nothing to take from those races,one of the reasons maybe stable has been totally out of form nearly every runner has been nearer last than first in last 26 days,trainers having a bad season so really hoping on stable coming back to form..This is only a 0-60,now runs off 62 so below that last winning mark would be fav to win this if at its best,the only real positive is jockey booking Neil Callan rides and is currently riding at 15%..will soon know whether anythings expected as if they think they have it right then would be backed in this grade..It's a shot in the dark but it is the best horse in the race and was in form this time last season will either go off 6/1 or 33/1 betting will be a huge indicator..especially with Callan riding.
    Last edited by gigilo; 27th June 2022 at 6:07 PM.

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  10. #11646
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    Not feeling to well at the minute had covid 2 months ago and ever since had flu like symptoms every single day,then started getting an irregular heartbeat so it's looking like long fcking covid,my partners having problems as well her shoulder is in absolute agony straight after covid having physio but making no difference..So going to be a bit quieter on the bets a and probably a few duffers till i feel better..


    Chepstow

    6.0

    Tawaafooq 40/1 365 5 places 33/1 hills 5 places Diamond Cottage 13/2 generally 5 places 7/1 888sport


    Not sure what the ground will be hopefully good at the very worst,Tawafooq now an 8yr old 6/41 on turf so decent strike rate for a low grade horse
    won a 0-70 first run back last season on late April off 56 with claimer taking off 5,then won a 0-60 over this c/d again off 58 hasn't been sighted since those runs,four runs after and two this season..This has allowed it to fall to 52 Tyler Heard takes off 3 so will be running off 49,lowest mark since August 2020 when it won,there's no positves on recent form but this is the first chance its had at running in a 0-55 at Chestow since it won a classified stakes race here..I wouldv'e just put a line through it but trainer had a winner recently so worth a speculative bet,if it was at its best on last seasons form would be a 6-7/1 shot drawn in 9 so a fair draw as well..
    Diamond Cottage won its first ever race in 28 starts but it wasn't a shock it won that day i backed it,can't remember if i put it on here that was just because it had such a decent track record,the race it won last time out was better than this as well winning off 47 with Callum Hutcuinson claiming five and has gone up to 52 with that win..Course record was 4/2/6/4/2/3/8/1 thrown in a few weak runs here but generally run well in 0-60s and 0-65s its running off 47 with the claimer but nearly all those runs were off a higher mark than tomorriws,so obvious place chances at worst in a weaker race..Obviously diesn't look one to think of being a great bet to follow up,but if the draw in 16 turns out to be an advantage then would look slightly better..
    The 3yr olds could end up being well handicapped,Connies Roose ran on the same day as Diamond Cottage and the time was very simlar over a furlong further drawn 15 must have a great chance and the other Macron Bleu is improving with racing running on in a 0-70 at Sailsbury,the look the obvious one if the high draws are an advantage maybe some forecasts/savers.
    Last edited by gigilo; 28th June 2022 at 9:22 AM.

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  12. #11647
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    Brighton Tuesday

    4.45


    Porterinthejungle 16/1 hills/ppower/sportsbook..12/1 victor/skybet


    A speculative pick Porterunthejungle,had its first run for Robin Brisland after being trained in Ireland never won a race there in 20 starts,had two runs for Brysland then won four on the bounce three at this track over this c/d off 51,55,60 and 65 all between June 22nd and August 23rd winning a 0-70 and a 0-80..Since that run has shown absolutely nothing although probably unsurprising with four back to back wins,had several runs on the aw has never been placed on it but returned to the turf and has been 7/8 7/8 7/8 all three races,no signs of anyform in those races going off quick in them but stopping very quickly in all three races..There's nothing to take from those races,one of the reasons maybe stable has been totally out of form nearly every runner has been nearer last than first in last 26 days,trainers having a bad season so really hoping on stable coming back to form..This is only a 0-60,now runs off 62 so below that last winning mark would be fav to win this if at its best,the only real positive is jockey booking Neil Callan rides and is currently riding at 15%..will soon know whether anythings expected as if they think they have it right then would be backed in this grade..It's a shot in the dark but it is the best horse in the race and was in form this time last season will either go off 6/1 or 33/1 betting will be a huge indicator..especially with Callan riding.

    Will settle fir that sky paid 4 places evens on the fair for 4 places as well,just went off far to quick and grounds dead as well,definitely one to follow traded 6/4 with 2fs to go.,couldv'e won that race easily went far to hard 4ls clear with 2fs to go..suicidal pace.
    Last edited by gigilo; 28th June 2022 at 4:53 PM.

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  14. #11648
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    Do some small multiple stakes tomorrow,although there is rain everywhere so could be betting on the wrong ground at every meeting bar the aw so ca only be minimum stakes as could get totally wiped out as i've done the form on gd/fm,they have watered these tracks and rain on top so turns the meetings into a bit of a farce..


    Thirsk

    1.20

    Craven 8/11 365


    2.50

    So Grateful 13/2 365 6/1 ppower/sportsbook 6 places Ustath 16/1 ppower/sportsbook 6 places 14/1 365
    Complete guesswork on the draw,more lows recently so might want to add another in like Enderman around 6/1 perhaps watch the first race see if they split.


    4.0


    Jack Daniels 14/1 365


    Musselburugh

    2.40


    Termonator 9/4 365 Lochnaver 25/1 365


    3.15


    On A Session 7/2 hills skybet 4 places Challet 7/2 hills skybet 4 places

    Kempton

    6.30

    Dubai Welcome 7/4 365


    Bath

    5.20

    Atyaaf 6/1 365 skybet 4 places


    5.50


    Amasova 12/1 hills


    A waste of time watered ground and showers on top,no chance of the ground being gd/fm one winner and On A Session likes all ground so no surprise that won,am surprised Jack Daniels git bet yet again,went off 5/1 favourite again..needs faster ground i think i said last time its blind in one eye surprised they aren't going right handed..Absolutely anything is winning and they are putting up gd/gdfm ground but its gd/gdsft,will be the same all week showers everywhere and they keep waterung you have no chance,the only way to bet is watch a few races and see the ground and times,this time of year is ridiculous you can't bet with confidece on having gd/fm ground..There are 4 meetings tomorrow haydocks now gd/sft which looks likely to be right but i would bet any money that Epsom,Yarmouth and Newbury all given as gd/gd/fm i wouldn't be surprised if all three are good at best if not slower..
    Last edited by gigilo; 29th June 2022 at 3:49 PM.

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  16. #11649
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    Another horrendous days racing on a saturdaymguessing on all grounds bar Sandown which loks like being quick tomorrow,so just going to have some very small bets just crazy 7 meetings and most of the meetngs could be anythng from gd/fm to soft,i suspect most will be good or dead ground,exactly what you don't want to be betting on..

    Nottingham

    7.30

    Red Derek 10/1 generally skybet 4 places..


    Carlisle

    5.50


    Danzan 6/1 generally 4 places skybet/corals Redrosezerro 9/1 generally 4 places skybet/corals if Corinthian Knight goes on the track most likeliest winner will ad in fir forecasts at least..


    6.50


    Sixcor 11/4 sportsbook/victor/hills Enraged 10/1 365



    7.50


    We Still Believe 9/1 365 8/1 sportsbook/ppower Scheggi 8/1 hills 4 places 7/1 365 4 places


    8.50


    First Snowfall 9/4 365 Rechercher 3/1 generally
    Last edited by gigilo; 2nd July 2022 at 12:11 PM.

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  18. #11650
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    Ayr

    1.42


    Sound Of Iona 8/1 Tanasoq 14/1 ppower/sportsbook


    A couple of completely unreliable types that very rarely win,horses you usually put a line through they run one decent race but rarely run two decent races, Sound Of Iona last time out came 2nd in a 0-70 at Musselburugh,this time last year was running well and consistently but done nothing since it was second over this c/d in September 2021 had Mews House and Sixcor two of tomorrows runners behind behind and is better in at the weights..I wouldn't rely on it repeating the run but now on lowest ever mark and not run in a class 6 since may 2021,so a small bet on that..
    Similarly the veteran Tanasoq,everyones bet this in the past been lured in a few times on the aw has had three runs on the turf this season 2/4/2 hasn't run badly even though has finished behind Refuge and Sixcor has only been beaten 1 1/4ls by the favourite Refuge and a nk by Sixcor,i wouldn't rely on it running well again but won this race last year and has a decent record here..although last years race was weaker than this, is 5 pound lower..This is an amateur jocks race so could only be speculative on horses that are unreliable,but wrth trying a couple of small bet/
    Last edited by gigilo; 3rd July 2022 at 1:01 AM.

  19. #11651
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    Another horrendous days racing on a saturdaymguessing on all grounds bar Sandown which loks like being quick tomorrow,so just going to have some very small bets just crazy 7 meetings and most of the meetngs could be anythng from gd/fm to soft,i suspect most will be good or dead ground,exactly what you don't want to be betting on..

    Nottingham

    7.30

    Red Derek 10/1 generally skybet 4 places..

    2nd 3/1 and loses to a complete rag,was a great chance fir Red Derek to win a race never wins but was a massive ew price,took 1.7 a place looked ew bet of the night in that race.


    Carlisle

    5.50


    Danzan 6/1 generally 4 places skybet/corals Redrosezerro 9/1 generally 4 places skybet/corals if Corinthian Knight goes on the track most likeliest winner will ad in fir forecasts at least..


    6.50


    Sixcor 11/4 sportsbook/victor/hills Enraged 10/1 365


    KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAABBBBBOOMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMM!Thank god for that,had a nightmare today winners everywhere and no bets,thought it would be a wipeout tonight so at least had something haldf decent,lovey was still 11.2 on betfair as well and a nice forecast as well,couldv'e win last time out Enraged but got stopped in running and the winner Sherdil won again yesterday hacked up sf £23.24 Exacta £31..



    7.50


    We Still Believe 9/1 365 8/1 sportsbook/ppower Scheggi 8/1 hills 4 places 7/1 365 4 places

    One doubles in price the other miles out the back,awful ride..5th


    8.50


    First Snowfall 9/4 365 Rechercher 3/1 generally
    Last edited by gigilo; 2nd July 2022 at 7:59 PM.

  20. #11652
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    Monday Ripon

    7.15


    Sarvan 8/1 hills


    Sarvan is looking one to avoid,hasn't won in 19 races and this season every run has got worse and worse,i put it up at Thirsk it led that race but stopped as though shot and last time out at Donny with headgear back on in this grade found nothing,hard to keep making excuses for it i don't think Donny suits though and all its best form has come at York but also here at Ripon..It will be the last time i back it in this grade,i didn't bet it last time i might back it again in higher grade at huge prices if it runs at York, as the run on the 13th of may giving the field a 10ls start, to only be beaten 3 3/4ls is hard to forget..Headgear has been used four times last season was 3/3/4 off marks of 83,82 and 83 two of those runs here in 0-85 and a 0-90,the one thing it should get on monday is the right ground hopefully,likes good gd/fm not this dead ground we're seeing everywhere described as gd/fm when infact its nearer to gd/ gd/sft..
    Sarvan runs off 68 on monday headgear on,terrible draw 10/10 surely will take their medicine and just drop it in,a combination of ground,headgear and track i will give it a chance,i won't bet it in this grade again because you don't get enough value 8/1 is fair enough you might see slightly bigger but has quite a bit to prove now..There are plenty in here that are interesting,the fav Poets Dawn another that never wins won't get a better chance to win a race, second in the consolation race at Carlilse last time out and exactly the same as Sarvan has plummteted in the weights,actually was in the 0-90 with Sarvan here last season and at the weights also looks chucked in but has had 11 chances since then and got beat in a dire race last time out..Again the quicker ground and track may help and should go close in this race,currently 3/1 i would take 4/1 if other books go that price..
    Last edited by gigilo; 3rd July 2022 at 1:04 AM.

  21. #11653
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    Ayr

    1.42


    Sound Of Iona 8/1 Tanasoq 14/1 ppower/sportsbook


    A couple of completely unreliable types that very rarely win,horses you usually put a line through they run one decent race but rarely run two decent races, Sound Of Iona last time out came 2nd in a 0-70 at Musselburugh,this time last year was running well and consistently but done nothing since it was second over this c/d in September 2021 had Mews House and Sixcor two of tomorrows runners behind behind and is better in at the weights..I wouldn't rely on it repeating the run but now on lowest ever mark and not run in a class 6 since may 2021,so a small bet on that..
    Similarly the veteran Tanasoq,everyones bet this in the past been lured in a few times on the aw has had three runs on the turf this season 2/4/2 hasn't run badly even though has finished behind Refuge and Sixcor has only been beaten 1 1/4ls by the favourite Refuge and a nk by Sixcor,i wouldn't rely on it running well again but won this race last year and has a decent record here..although last years race was weaker than this, is 5 pound lower..This is an amateur jocks race so could only be speculative on horses that are unreliable,but wrth trying a couple of small bet/
    KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAABB BOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMM!!!

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  23. #11654
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    Monday Ripon

    7.15


    Sarvan 8/1 hills 10/1 365


    Sarvan is looking one to avoid,hasn't won in 19 races and this season every run has got worse and worse,i put it up at Thirsk it led that race but stopped as though shot and last time out at Donny with headgear back on in this grade found nothing,hard to keep making excuses for it i don't think Donny suits though and all its best form has come at York but also here at Ripon..It will be the last time i back it in this grade,i didn't bet it last time i might back it again in higher grade at huge prices if it runs at York, as the run on the 13th of may giving the field a 10ls start, to only be beaten 3 3/4ls is hard to forget..Headgear has been used four times last season was 3/3/4 off marks of 83,82 and 83 two of those runs here in 0-85 and a 0-90,the one thing it should get on monday is the right ground hopefully,likes good gd/fm not this dead ground we're seeing everywhere described as gd/fm when infact its nearer to gd/ gd/sft..
    Sarvan runs off 68 on monday headgear on,terrible draw 10/10 surely will take their medicine and just drop it in,a combination of ground,headgear and track i will give it a chance,i won't bet it in this grade again because you don't get enough value 8/1 is fair enough you might see slightly bigger but has quite a bit to prove now..There are plenty in here that are interesting,the fav Poets Dawn another that never wins won't get a better chance to win a race, second in the consolation race at Carlilse last time out and exactly the same as Sarvan has plummteted in the weights,actually was in the 0-90 with Sarvan here last season and at the weights also looks chucked in but has had 11 chances since then and got beat in a dire race last time out..Again the quicker ground and track may help and should go close in this race,currently 3/1 i would take 4/1 if other books go that price.Sydney Street couldv'e won last time out over 6fs,this 3yr old is bred to get further so could be very ell handicapped in against a load of old rogues,so could try forecasts/saver..
    Last edited by gigilo; 4th July 2022 at 9:11 AM.

  24. #11655
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    Ayr

    1.42


    Sound Of Iona 8/1 Tanasoq 14/1 ppower/sportsbook


    A couple of completely unreliable types that very rarely win,horses you usually put a line through they run one decent race but rarely run two decent races, Sound Of Iona last time out came 2nd in a 0-70 at Musselburugh,this time last year was running well and consistently but done nothing since it was second over this c/d in September 2021 had Mews House and Sixcor two of tomorrows runners behind behind and is better in at the weights..I wouldn't rely on it repeating the run but now on lowest ever mark and not run in a class 6 since may 2021,so a small bet on that..
    Similarly the veteran Tanasoq,everyones bet this in the past been lured in a few times on the aw has had three runs on the turf this season 2/4/2 hasn't run badly even though has finished behind Refuge and Sixcor has only been beaten 1 1/4ls by the favourite Refuge and a nk by Sixcor,i wouldn't rely on it running well again but won this race last year and has a decent record here..although last years race was weaker than this, is 5 pound lower..This is an amateur jocks race so could only be speculative on horses that are unreliable,but wrth trying a couple of small bet/
    Nice winner ....but I thought it was my birthday until I looked just after noon 12.15PM .......best available price was 7/2 when I saw your post. The 8.00 on the machine was available for 2 quid at earlier that morning
    but there was then 2 rule 4's.....dread to think what the deductions were on Betfair Exchange...I was so disappointed I ended up not backing it. well done all the same a winners a winner
    Last edited by Tanlic; 3rd July 2022 at 4:39 PM.
    Formely Fist of Fury

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    You dodn't look properly i put that up at 6.21pm last night..

    Yesterday, 6:21 PM#11650

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    Ayr

    1.42


    Sound Of Iona 8/1 Tanasoq 14/1 ppower/sportsbook
    Last edited by gigilo; 3rd July 2022 at 4:37 PM.

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    Great stuff .of course stupid me missed that one too
    Formely Fist of Fury

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    Senior Member Tanlic's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    You dodn't look properly i put that up at 6.21pm last night..

    Yesterday, 6:21 PM#11650

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    Ayr

    1.42


    Sound Of Iona 8/1 Tanasoq 14/1 ppower/sportsbook
    I wasn't insinuating anything.........that's why I highlighted NOON PM.......I saw it 12 hours after you posted it by which time events had changed everything
    Last edited by Tanlic; 3rd July 2022 at 4:48 PM.
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    Overwatered again today at Ayr,if they water again tinight the ground will be nearer gd/sft because there are showers there as well,just don't know why they can't leave these tracks alone the summers been utter crap and the temps aren't drying out the tracks,tomorriws temps at Ayr 14/15 % they don't need to water there..it just makes you look stuid betting on these tracks..Try to do a thieving bet for a bit,just including the first at Ayr might do somehing else there if it looks like it has dred out or not been watered...

    Ayr 1.50

    Durnoch Castle 4/9 365


    Ripon 7.15

    Poets Voice 7/2 generally skybet/sportsbook/corals/betfred 4 places/sportsbook 4 places Sarvan 10/1 365/skybet/sportsbook 4 places sky/sportsbook/corals/berfred


    8.15

    Kaatibb 3/1 sportsbook/ppower


    8.45

    Golden Duke 9/4 generally skybet 4 places Variety Island 7/1 skybet 4 places 7/1 888/hills/victor

    Golden Duke 3/1 generally this morning Variety Island 9/1 generally this race is a waste of time now unless you use skybet still going 3 places as non runner.the whole point is maximizing the places and now there's just 2 with most book and they are both huge drifters
    Last edited by gigilo; 4th July 2022 at 10:23 AM.

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    Some rubbish tomorrow again,same thing thieving bets although struggling to find anything to put in at a decent price.

    Ffso Las 5.50

    Q-Twenty Boy 11/4 generally 3/1victor/hills

    Brighton 5.40


    Hot Hot Hot 5/1 365 skybet 4 places

    Nr

    7.40

    Chetan 7/1 365 5/1 skybet 4 places

    Nr

    8.40

    Liv Lucky 7/2 generally 4/1 skybet 4 places

    Pontefract

    2.45


    Madame Ambassadore 11/4 ppower/ hills/coras 3 places

    Beaten miles out,i suspect dodgy ground although had a hard race not long ago..

    3.15

    Roman Mist 7/2 Hills

    Two terrible runs from the ponte horses with what looked the best speed figures,whether thats overwatering or races come too soon but both tailed off very strange runs.

    Wolves

    1.30

    Drish Hero 9/2 365 4 places 10/30 skybet 5 places Freedom Flyer 28/1 sportsbook/ppower 4places 20/1 skybet 5 places Steel River 18/1 365 4 places skybet 5 places

    NR,Unplaced and 28/1 3rd..


    4.30


    Red Robin 9/2 365 4 places Rose Fandango 20/1 ppower/sportsbook 4 places 18/1 skybet
    Last edited by gigilo; 5th July 2022 at 3:36 PM.

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