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Thread: Daily picks.

  1. #10901
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    Golden mile friday


    Baltic Baron 25/1 sportsbook/ppower

    The golden mile looking a hot race with a few new horses that look the probable winners with improving four year olds heading the market and decent draws,not a great deal of track form in the race though so will have a smal bet on Baltic Baron..His profile is not that of a winner 1/21,competes in all these decent handicaps,ran in this last year got stuck on the rail and couldn't get a run,impossible to tell looked like he may have been second eventually was fifth beaten 3 3 1/4ls,he's 10 pund better in with vale kent for the 2ls he finished behind him in that race and also has a 10 pound pull with favourute tomorrow Montatham when he was sixth and montatham second in the hunt cup..Typically been given a terrible draw,i presume he will be dropped out and ridden for luck,hopefully vale of kent,cardsharp need these two to take each other on or the higher draws will have no chance..
    Last edited by gigilo; 29th July 2020 at 2:04 PM.

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  4. #10902
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    Thirsk 8.0


    Nat Love 11/2 skbet/365 5/1 victor

    A channon cast off,only ever won an Epsom maiden and Steve Gollings trains although he has had two winners from nineteen runners this season,low grade handicapper and one of the more exposed in the race,could easily be a couple in here lurking but will have a small bet just based on the last two runs..Penultimae run,ran at haydock in a 0-70 looking back had no chance of winning that race Queen of silca winning off 65 and now rated 77 placed today at goodwood and returnofthemac in second now rated 79 touched off by another of todays winners glasses up..So beaten 6ls in that 0-70 respectable,then last time out drawn 14 went off really quick and clear at ripon,the time of the race looked quite quick for the grade and although beaten 5ls,the fourth Askona Kastanova a further 5ls behind finished third yesterday in a 0-70 so the form looks ok..A drop of four pounds for those two runs,i think it has to win a race on those races although too many in this race from big stables that are unexposed,think she maybe a better bet at ripon but will follow her for a couple of runs..International lion and celestial wood 2nd and 3rd at ayr recently,look obvious ews even if forms nothing special.


    6.0


    Admiralty 7/2 victor 10/30 ppower/sportsbook


    Admiralty has become difficult to win with,although has run in very competitive races,[probably more of an ew bet at 7/2 10/3 with four places,last seven runs a record of 1/2/2/3/5/5/2 over 7fs won off 90 over c/d then ran well in all sorts of handicaps in low mid 90s,last time out ran at york second off 89..Gave the field 8ls start although got a nice run up the stands side so no hard luck story,drops into a 0-90 and off lowest mark since the c/d win,plenty of alternatives at big prices Wahoo 20/1 is a c/d winner,won a 0-95 last season at ayr and off lower mark tomorrow only second run back and Shawaamekh,went of very quick at york in Admiraltys race beaten 7ls,but previous to that had run well at redcar in a 0-95 fifth only beaten 1 1/4ls and is a c/d winner wouldn't discount that one either..i can see this going off a stupid price for a horse that hasn't won for thirteen runs don't be surprised if this goes off 15/8 2/1..
    Both touched off,i knew Mcdonald would blast off an unlucky loser nothing wins and leads at thirsk as in write up i had a feeling he would do it as the ripon run,two decent places and ew double,got 1.9 a place for Admiralty and 1.5 4 places
    a winning day,but couldv'e easily been a win double..still can't understand how the ground was so slow there was expecting it to be rattling..
    Last edited by gigilo; 29th July 2020 at 8:18 PM.

  5. #10903
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    Friday wolves 8.35


    Queen Mia 9/1 hills/betway 9/1 365 17/2 betfred

    A slowboats race,full of old rogues Allux boy won by 6ls here over c/d july 2019 been disappointing on recent runs here,had wind surgery since last run and this is eaaier than recent races so one to consider. running off just 50...Queen Mia just looked useless,had run here in a classified race and was third that was only a 0-50 in the december ,then last run here on june 10th won a 0-58 going off 9/2,that was off a mark of 56 was 2ls quicker than the other division that day that Mr Strutter won so form looked respectable..Has had four runs on the turf since three places,and even though she's very slow with the claimer taking off seven,she actually runs off that winning mark..of 46 this at least on paper should be slightly easier or at worst the same..Declan Carroll had a winner today and this claimers doing ok,can't see it going off bigger than 9/2 like its win maybe even shorter..she's obvipusly not upto much but only had a total of eight aw runs so should win more of these poor races in future.Should be a nice trade with most books going 7-8/1..
    Last edited by gigilo; 30th July 2020 at 7:21 PM.

  6. #10904
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    Lingfield 7.55


    Whisper Not evens hills 4/5 365/ppower/sportsbook/betfred/888sport 5/6 skybe/victort


    An absolutely desperate race Whisper not won by 20ls last time out in a maiden at ponte,always looks dubious with these winning distances but the race was 1.4 seconds faster than the class4 winner Highway one rated 77 and tomorrow Whisper Not runs off 69,taking on older horses mainly and recieving weight..Can't really see how this isn't going to go off 1/3 unless it doesn't go on surface which is always a possibility switched to the aw,anyway anything around 4-5 8/11 should get a nice free bet.
    The two in this race that could run well at huge prices are Singoutloud ran second over c/d in january in a better race,but then tailed off on nexr run in feb,regressive profile but bad race and that january run is as good as any aw form in the race..trainers had a recent winner as well,doesn't have many..The other Prince Lyr lihtly raced 4yr old,you couldn't back it on recent comeback run athough was outckassed after long lay off,previous run was march 2019 when 5th here over a mile off 70 and going back even further two respectable races over 1m2fs,has a lot to prove but i like heather main and the horse was rated 72 claimer takes off 7 tomorrow so only off 57,a couple of interesting rags..
    Last edited by gigilo; 31st July 2020 at 1:31 AM.

  7. #10905
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    Hamilton 8.15


    Chinese spirit 20/1 ppower/sportsbook/victor 18/1 betfred Rosemay 20/1 ppower/sportsbook 25/1365/victor 20/1 betfred/skybet.

    Only 3/36 chinese spirit,shown nothing in two runs this season dropped to lowest ever mark of 53 tomorrow and has never run in a 0-55 before infact hasn't even run in a 0-60 sice winning over c/d june 2019,even though was a very poor 0-60 ..Never won after that having loads of runs although placed in quite a few 0-65s mainly at ayr..Linda perrat trains so can only be speculative no winners for over a year,nut at least in the right sort of race..Rosemay has some respectable form at hamilton,won a fillies handicap here july 2019 that was a 0-70 simisl to chinese whispers on the best runs would be great ew bet,that was off a mark of 48 won aain next time out off 50 at aye,had chinese spirut in behind that day back in third chinese spirut 4 pound turnaround for 3/4ls..Similar to chinese whispers two poor runs this season,and tomorrow has TP1 runs off just 45 with the claimer..there's also a negative as regards the draws in the car park 11 and 13,so may have to bet them a couple of times to get right conditions,claimer on rosemay has only ridden four winners as well but at prices worth a few coppers..
    Sooner or later Ruth carrs going to hit form and Abushamah is well in as well..

    I was going to add i hoped the ground dried out a little as i think they may be slightly better on good ground,well it's started raining anyway at these prices not too bothered..
    Last edited by gigilo; 1st August 2020 at 11:33 AM.

  8. #10906
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    Friday wolves 8.35


    Queen Mia 9/1 hills/betway 9/1 365 17/2 betfred

    A slowboats race,full of old rogues Allux boy won by 6ls here over c/d july 2019 been disappointing on recent runs here,had wind surgery since last run and this is eaaier than recent races so one to consider. running off just 50...Queen Mia just looked useless,had run here in a classified race and was third that was only a 0-50 in the december ,then last run here on june 10th won a 0-58 going off 9/2,that was off a mark of 56 was 2ls quicker than the other division that day that Mr Strutter won so form looked respectable..Has had four runs on the turf since three places,and even though she's very slow with the claimer taking off seven,she actually runs off that winning mark..of 46 this at least on paper should be slightly easier or at worst the same..Declan Carroll had a winner today and this claimers doing ok,can't see it going off bigger than 9/2 like its win maybe even shorter..she's obvipusly not upto much but only had a total of eight aw runs so should win more of these poor races in future.Should be a nice trade with most books going 7-8/1..
    Another terrible ride,trying to lay up with pace on the desperate slow surfacesurface dyig in last 100 yards,couldv'e won that race easily and i knew he was going to do it as well, poor ride exacty the pruce i predicted 9/2 sp and got 1.6 for 4 places so got stakes back..annoying as all the ew money wouldv'e been profit..
    Last edited by gigilo; 31st July 2020 at 8:49 PM.

  9. #10907
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    Lingfield 7.55


    Whisper Not evens hills 4/5 365/ppower/sportsbook/betfred/888sport 5/6 skybe/victort


    An absolutely desperate race Whisper not won by 20ls last time out in a maiden at ponte,always looks dubious with these winning distances but the race was 1.4 seconds faster than the class4 winner Highway one rated 77 and tomorrow Whisper Not runs off 69,taking on older horses mainly and recieving weight..Can't really see how this isn't going to go off 1/3 unless it doesn't go on surface which is always a possibility switched to the aw,anyway anything around 4-5 8/11 should get a nice free bet.
    The two in this race that could run well at huge prices are Singoutloud ran second over c/d in january in a better race,but then tailed off on nexr run in feb,regressive profile but bad race and that january run is as good as any aw form in the race..trainers had a recent winner as well,doesn't have many..The other Prince Lyr lihtly raced 4yr old,you couldn't back it on recent comeback run athough was outckassed after long lay off,previous run was march 2019 when 5th here over a mile off 70 and going back even further two respectable races over 1m2fs,has a lot to prove but i like heather main and the horse was rated 72 claimer takes off 7 tomorrow so only off 57,a couple of interesting rags..
    And probably the best bet of the month,still can't be;ieve the books were going these prices,had my biggest single for a while i thoight it would open 2/5 tops its final sp was 30/100 job done,will do me for the week..

  10. #10908
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    Newcastle 4.0


    Golden Kingdom 7/2 365


    This could be a redhot maiden tomorrow at Newcastle with the two favs coming out of a newbury maiden that Cosmic princess won,she was a beaten 3rd today in a listed race,they are the two obvious picks on form..The johnson runner Golden kingdom made its debut at donnny,going off pretty quick making it a real test and just getting collared in last furong over 1m4fs,the time was the quickest on the card and looks decent at least on turf..The negative could be aw racing,although sire golden horn has had 4/25 over 1m2fs on the aw and all those wre on tapeta,a bit off putting just the eightday turnaround but whatever happens will be keeping in notebook for handicaps especially if flops on the surfae as the time that day suggests the first four cpuld be decent,and the handicap route would be interesting..

    You knew before the off how this was going to be ridden go off clesr of the field drufted to 7s on betfair after a monster speedfigure at donny,maybe just hated the surface but was ridden to lose that race,form looked dire with them all close up as well,watcg out for this on turf in handicaps after that run..The eight day gap between runs as well,no way this race was anywhere near as good as that donny run..so blatent..
    Last edited by gigilo; 2nd August 2020 at 4:13 PM.

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  12. #10909
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    Catterick 4.15


    Noddy Holder 7/2 hills

    Bit of a risk backing a Tim easterby horse three days in advance and end up being on a non trier,inevitablty the betting maybe the pointer three runs this season first over 5fs at beveley was nevrer going to be the right trip,then ran at 6fs where was given a considerate ride behind Eternal Blush winer again since.The second blazing hot next time out was 4th in a 0-85,Noddy holder quite away behind these 6ls,but was stopped in run and ridden condsiderately,i put up Double D's earlier in the week out of that maiden showed nothing,but will maybe give that one another chance..Noddy holder went to haydock for handicap debut next time out 40/1 drawn on the standside in 11 looked impossible to get involved first four all ran up the middle,and he wasn't given a hard race on desperate ground even though beaten 9ls,that was a 0-80..The trip looks the obvious starting point upto 7fs,am not sure about ground but dropped into a 0-65 got to be worth following in these graded races..

    That was from previous time i put it up and a non runner,runs at catteric tomorrow in anoter 0-65,does look a far better race than the Ayr race still don't know exactly what track and ground is best but will have tp keep following,bit surprised to see it running at this tight track ground looks like it will be goodish..The sires never had a winner here so maybe another run down the field,betting will surely be the pointer..

    Noddy Holder 10/1 hills 7/1 365/skybet 13/2 ppower/sportsbook Van Djik 25/1 365/skybet

    Will have some coppers on Van Djilk he looks exposed run ok on the aw in slighter weaker races,turf forms wasn't great till ran at beverley in a 9-75 got beat 7ls,but stopped in run a few times,then today reappeared at haydock over the 7fs beaten an easy 4 1/2ls that race may have been slightly better than tomorrows..Probably won't even run,for me the front three in the bettig stand out midnite bride improving and exotic escapes aw run after that it's guessing regarding others of which i've already done with Noddy Holder,Van Djilk needs dropping into a race with less exposed runners and he's also drawn in the car park like today so just throw some change at it..Looking at haydock today on the round course the ground looked slow,certainly wasn't gd/fm his sire of Van Djilk produces horses that prefer extremes strangely, so hopefully catterick will be a little quicker,think it's one for lower grade races on turf.
    Last edited by gigilo; 4th August 2020 at 11:57 AM.

  13. #10910
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    What a wierd race that was Noddy holdr played up didn't want to run n/r,and the rag i put up ended 9/2 second favourute crazy..

    Lingfield 5.35


    Exotic Escape 8/1 365 7/1 hills/sportsbook/ppower/skybet/888sport/betfred 4 places/victor

    A 0-60 for 3yr plds over a mile,a desperte race but lots are lightly raced,Exotic Escape was due to run i Noddy Olders race today was taken out a couple of hours before the race,have no idea why and was well backed as wwll,that was a 0-65 over 7fs..Has had five runs,changed trainers for this season now with David Loughnane,debut run for him at Chelmsford was over 7fs in a 0-65 4th off 61 was drawn wide chased the pace looked like it would drop out having run so wide but switched inside and still ran on ok..Queen of Silca won the race,off 61 now rated 78 the 2nds let the form down tonight kings view,but lots of other runners,the fifth Striding Edge is now rated 85,the sixth Fuschia has won since as well now rated 73,the 7th Newton Jacks won since now rated 67 and the 9th has won also..Next time out was very keen at haydock beaten a long way out over a mile,tomorrows trip so a ? mark now after that run..That race was a 0-70 and the first two are now rated in the 80s,it did look like horse pulled its race away,but drops into an easier race although the ? will be the trip,if this races too keen again it's bound to have headgear and a drop to 7fs..
    After those two runs with tomorrows claim races off just 56..five pound lower than the chelmsford run.
    Last edited by gigilo; 5th August 2020 at 3:05 AM.

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    Sailsbury 2.15


    Well Done Fox 6/1 victor/betfred/betway/hills

    Decent 2yr old,won a group 3 and runner up in a group 2,only seen twice in 2019 and returned this season with a 4th to Far Above on genuine gd/fm in a group 3 was rated 100 in that race staying on just beaten 1 3/4ls,all three races since on slower ground..At the moment they are just chucking water on the tracks most of the meetings are given as gd/fm but are good sometimes slower,tomorriw the ground should be quicj 8.4 on going stick,but watering there,hopefully they won''t water fast ground out and running off 96 dropped into a handicap and a c/d winner woud have a decent chance..Actually might be worth following if it can get decent ground in future because it's not totally exposed,De Sousa rides,you might get a free bet out of it if grounds fast and there's a gambe as would probably be 3/1 in this race at best..


    ew ptents was trying to find four races struggling..

    Windsor 1.0

    Illykato 11/8 6/4 ppower/sportsbook/victor

    Illykato made her debut at goodwood just touched off by Ventura Diamond,there is a formline that toes in with second favourute flirty rascal,the both finished a length behind that winner at goodwood,flirty rascal was fifth ventura diamond fourth behind miss jingles the race has worked out ok..The difference being the goodwood winner was having its second run as Illykato just its first,not guaranteed that will work out,but the time of the maiden was .70 slower than Zamaani winning the nursery off 89,with normal improvement you'd expect the maide horses to match that time at least and the two to concentrate on..It looks likely that Illykato is somewhere in mid 80s at least,drawn 5 the betting will be interesting with the ward horse and hannons and the stoute horse that came out of fly miss helens fav today for the solera..

    KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAABBBBBOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMM!!Well at least the nap won and the forecast 8.80,as for all the other picks big drifters,eyecatchingly so as well.Grounds been massively overwatered at windsor a disgrace slow by 2.75 seconds that maiden,the rounf track will be desperate,look at the times at the end of the day,you won't see a race below 4 seconds..don't know how they get away with it..


    Windsor 2.40


    Kodaline 11/4 365 5/2 generallyppower/sportsbook/victor/betfred 4 places

    Will give evans horses one chance,dave has far too many non triers nowadays,he's got murphy on Kodaline but the price is skinny the horse hadn't won a turf race since 2016 and last time out was a 0-58 when it one so in thoery up in vclass,infact last time on turf previous to the win was beaten 9ls in same grade..The only reason i can see for backing it is the ground..The ground was genuine gd/fm at leicester and he won easily,there were two divisions the other div was 2ls quicker,but won by burguillos that won by 9ls and wwent onto win next time out by another 6ls off 58..They have a habit of overwatering at windsor,very rarely see fast ground bar the sprints,hopefully they havn't chuckrd too much water down.Crystal Carole was a decent third in this grade over c/d recently,obvious chances lightly raced and Master Rocos last rin on the aw looks decent form in context of this race..espeially if overwatered as could well happen.

    As i suspected the ground overwatered and Crystal carole the only one with form on the ground over c/d had a small saver at 11/2,i knew after the forst race kodiline couldn't win wants it rattling and the times told you the ground had been drenched..no loss on race just annoying not having it in the bets..It's virtually impossible to have a bet at windsor pre race,they put 22mm on the round course those times suggest almost gd/sft ground,thats why it got gambled as well was 3rd on the exact sae ground twp races back..

    Thirsk 3.05


    Almurr 22/1 victor 5 places hills 20/1/sportsbook 5places My Town Chicago 16/1 365/betway/betfred 5 places 14/1 hills 5 places 20/1 ppower/sportsbook/victor 5 places

    Would normally put a line through Almurr as never wins and like last time out at ayr was disappointing in this grade,pieces wwre on for the first time six races back,won off 62 first run in then then 4/4 on the aw then two decent runs over tomorrows c/d,a second to fox hill off 65 had three winners behind in that race one of them was Mr Wagyu who he finished behind at ayr..Then the next run over c/d had one of those winners infront of him Gullane one,that was a 0-68,then last time out a poor run,is stuck i the middle tomorrow in this 0-65 drawn 9,megan nicholls rides and takes off three obvious ew chances on previous two c/d runs..
    My town Chicago seventeen runs and two wins but on the aw,three runs on the turf and two places both of those were on gd/fm and this season on first run for new trainer John Stimpson,had a winner yesterday at wolves,was third at leicester to Case Key in a 0-70 a better race than tomorrows off 65..Then on next run was last of twelve at haydock on very soft ground,drawn 15 could run well if it could reproduce the two placed turf runs,although profile doesn't look great,the claimer takes off another five so just off 58..Burtonwood a veteran now,wins in his turn in low grade races,nowadays they have to be worse than this race but last time out at beverley was second in a far better race a 0-75 just touched off over 5fs,only 0ff 59 with conor murtagh taling off three..Julie Comachos horses are so consistent her last fifteen runners eleven of them have finished in the first four wth a winner today..Again overwatering maybe an issue as ground should be quick..and Moretis been running well and consitent last three races,a recent second over c/d makes it look the probably the most obvious pick in the race,never been out of the three here,obvious chances,,ran on the same card as Almurr ran quicker in one of these c/d races on same day and was unlucky in runnig,so had a little ew aver at 5/1..Could add it into ew patents..
    Last edited by gigilo; Yesterday at 2:48 PM.

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    Leicester 3.0


    Grandstand 9/1 365 or 17/2 4 places 15/2 hills/skybet/888sport/victor 7/1 ppower/sportsbook/betfred/betway 4 places


    A terrible classified stakes,Grandstand had shown very little,was a 20 race maiden till winning here in a seller looked dubious beatig a horse rated 24 pounds superior,richard price has had the horse since june 2019 not one place in twelve runs in all that time finished behind some of these before as well..like favourte Dreamboat Annie..The only reason you coild possibly give for last run was the ground gd/fm whivh hopefully it will be tomorrow race was only .58 outside standard..the most intersting was the time of tomorrows favourte Dreamboat Annie she also won the handicap on the card 1/2hr ear;ier and although she won easily her win was .88 slower than grandstands and Grandstand carried six pound more...In theory grandstand looks very well in off level weights with Dreamboat Annie,has to prove it wasn't a fluke the clock says no,the bigger negative could be the trip the race is over 6fs which is disappointing but at prices wrth giving it a chance..
    Would really like to see this hammered fro this stable to show some confidence they think they have found a reason for that run..watch it's win on the replay it looks an absolute dog didn't want to run or win,then suddenly decided it did so don't be surrised if it just chucks it in after a couple of furlongs,horrible ride for jock.




    See if i can get a multiple together



    4.30

    Stunning beauty 1/2 365

    Stunning Beauty won by 4ls on debut as a 3yr old,and hung left at finish but stil going away the time looked decent,for a debut run looking at the card that day and the bunvbury cup winning time i'd be surprsed if this isn't a mid 90s horse and maye open to more improvement..Bullfinch hasn't run since November 2019,but won easily when last season and the second and third are rated in the 80s as well,so could easily be a 90s horse as well,just long lay off but could well gve the fav a race..


    Looks a waste of time again,chesters going to be gd/fm havn't watered but there are thunderstorms around the start of the meeting,could be gd/sft after the first two races althoigh doesn't look guaranteed,nightmare the racing overwatering,unpredictable weather..will have to wa till later or tomorrow..
    Last edited by gigilo; Yesterday at 7:33 PM.

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