Couple of very competitve cards again,i try to avoid newcastle as the races are such a farce but have a couple marked off so small stakes and a small multiple..
Newcastle 6.45
Suwaan 9/1 365 7/1 lads/victor/unibetsportsbook/ppower./ 8/1 betbright / Manshood 8/1 365/sportsbook/ppower/skybet
Manshood was cantering two races back over this c/d in a 0-80 don't think they went very quick and couldn't get a run whole field finished in a heap,that was only secomd ever run on the aw off 74,was unplaced next time out at notts so comes back here off a two pound lower martk..Was such a big eyecatcher in that race i can see this going off short,maybe 3/1 7/2 tops, am not sure horse is easy ride but has won on the turf off 81 so in thoery well in dropped into this 0-75,looks great trade or free bet in there.
Suwaann ran on the same card as manshood in a far quicker time when third to outrage off 76,has been beaten three times since so gets to run back over the c/d off just 70,always looks vulnerable with style of running should trade shorter in running though,that division was over 3ls quicker,if taken at face value then obvious chance..Also that would bring in magic pulse and jan van hoof they weren't far behind suwaan masybe some forecasts..
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3.45
St peters basilica 3/1 lads/skybet/victor/corals generally drifting like a barge.10/30 marathonbet
Am unsure of how good the other two market leaders form is,plus they are still open to improvement st peters basilica best run was last time out in a 0-85 handicap at donny off 74 now rated 76 out of galileo yet best run has been over this 6fs..on ratings and form they look pretty inseperable looks like its going to be first or second..
5.15
Testa rossa 10/1 365/sportsbook/ppower 11/1 skybet
Testa rossa still been running well enough to figure in 0-75s,can be made to look very slow if there's no pace and that does happen here a lot thats what makes the races such a farce even though 5 pound above its last win here in september a 0-80 won in a good time,a recent 2nd to alfred richardson over c/d in this grade was respectable although small field...Inadequate trip last time out,if they go quick enough then obvious ew chances again even though exposed.
5.45
Kavora 7/1 sportsbook/ppower Letrightbedone 16/1 sportsbook/ppower/betfred/totesport 18/1 skybet
Absolutely dire race a 0-50 over 7fs couldn't really rely on anything in this race to run the same race twice but at least the three old maiden kavora has run well here twice back to back even though 0/10, last time out although only 5th was on wrong side of track all the action with high draws so maybe can upgrade that from a 0-55.Previous run to that was second over tomorrows c./d in a 0-60 so possibly this surface will be best form...
Letrightbedone is one that when you go through a race you usually put a line thriough it without looking at its form as has never run two races the same and its form is 4/66,probably no show again tomorrow but was 4th in the 0-60 that kavora was in although next time out was beaten 8ls here/...Realistically its going to bomb out,but race is so bad will give it a token chance it has a going day..