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Thread: Daily picks.

  1. #10141
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    Quote Originally Posted by Nonannyimfine View Post
    Anything selected for the November handicap in Doncaster?
    I don't really look at those sort of races,am not keen on these races end of season on the turf and anything beyiond 1m4fs i very rarely bet,might have a look in the morning as very little to do on saturday,see what i can find,just waiting for the proper aw racing to start on monday..Proper racing at swell..

  2. #10142
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    Quote Originally Posted by double trigger View Post
    Great stuff as usual Gigs hope you are well
    Same old story fella,been ill all through the summer and autumn feel exactaly the same just hoping i avopid a serious pneumonia again,last time i got it i was referrred to hospital ended up not in Ae,but something doctirs refer you to at back of hospital was there for 12 hours before i saw anyone absolutely insanity it was..Some there looked seriously ill,took hours to even speak to someone the hospitals are a disgrace,government running them into the ground..People were actually leaving even though it was obvious they had severe chest infections or pneumonias,paediatric ward closed down so if lad has bad asthma attack have to drive 20 mile to nearest hosoital and we also have no neurologists now which i need to see and thats another 50 mile job...

  3. #10143
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    Quote Originally Posted by Nonannyimfine View Post
    Anything selected for the November handicap in Doncaster?
    If Outsider suggests anything I'll be investing in his choice (as usual)

  4. #10144
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    Nothing worth doing tomorrow,dire stuff i might try and find four for a multiple but only small thing that might be worth doing in first at chelmsford might be decent for inrunning..

    Chelmsford 4.30

    King compton 9/2 365

    King compton has run in three 0-70 last three runs 2/4/3 usually leads he's going to win a race or tewo don';t know if that will be tomorrow as three market leaders are all drawn well and open to improvement,really just looking at the c/d form of king compton and hopefully will at least lead and could trade well in running.Last time out was 3rd over c/d and time of the div was .19 quicker than the second div,this is on paper weaker but quite a few unexposed ones the other two market leaders,thomas greatrex rudes takes off 5 but doesn't ride many winners only 9 from 160 rides hopefully will get horse out infront he has had a winner recently and a couple of places...

    Ran the exact race i thought it would miles cleasr of the rest of field in 2nd couldv'e done the forecasts but they both shortened too much got stake back so no damage,will win race there dropped into a 0-60..
    Last edited by gigilo; 10th November 2018 at 5:43 PM.

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  6. #10145
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    Will have a few speculative bets at newcastle,would not be strong picks at all..

    Newcastle 7.15

    Totally magic 9/1 sportsbook/ppower..8/1 365 7/1 totesport/betfred

    Totally magic used to be better than these but on downgrade,ran well at ripon back at thed of august looked to be coming back to some sort of form,then ran second to harry george in a 0-60, that looked good form with harry george winning several since so dropped into just a 0-55 this looked a good race for tomorrow...Having looked at the times of the two divisions that day then doesn't look quite so good,clary another one of tomorrows runners was in a far quicker division ran 4ls quicker than tiotally magic and has been beat easily by mossy lodge and tomorrows favourite last week..Am not sure if there was any reason for those divisions being so different in times and a horse like clary running quiicker in a 0-60,might suggest totally magic was flattered in its race,or there could be a possibility track was favouring finishers that day,could only be a token bet but if does retain the ability of ripon run on track it has a decent c/d record then in this grade would have at leaet a decent ew chance..Could only be a tentative pick though on those runs back in august..

    8.15

    Rebel state 15/2 sportsbook 8/1 ppower Smugglers creek 10/1 sportsbook/ppower 9/1 corals

    Plenty of racing rebel state stuck in low to mid 60s not particularkly well handicapped but consistent,last time out was 2nd to the improving harry george wouldv'e won the other division thart night on the clock even though only second and beaten 2 1/2ls and previous run to that was 4th to war department in slightly better race a 0-70 over c/d.If can repeat those last two runs then would have a decent ew chance,the negative which could be a big one is owen payton claiming 7 pound think it could be first ride to a lot to ask so could only be a token bet.
    The other smugglerts creek was also in that war department race went clear two furlongs out and finished infront of rebel state finishing 3rd off 65,it was alsi in the same race as rebel state last week behind harry george although that was over a mile and its trip is 7fs back to that trip again tomorrow and fanning riding from a high draw,could easily run well if traxcks suiting front runners..maybe one for in running as well..

    9/1 Now rebel state might find this being even bigger drifter with jock on as he could just be useless..11/1 sportsbook/ppower
    Did it win















    KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!!!REL ENTLESS Just needed to repeat the war department run looked even better after the last two races as well with highs coming up,another skip please!! Got the place on titally magic as well,traded 1.28 drawn 4 and ends up on stands side rail threw the race away although still decent run!! The aws different gravy,exactly as wrote up as well 10.8 bfsp.. on monster run..
    Last edited by gigilo; 9th November 2018 at 9:30 PM.

  7. #10146
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    Did it win















    KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!!!REL ENTLESS Just needed to repeat the war department run looked even better after the last two races as well with highs coming up,another skip please!! Got the place on titally magic as well,traded 1.28 drawn 4 and ends up on stands side rail threw the race away although still decent run!! The aws different gravy!

  8. #10147
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    Unreal giggsy you’re cleaning up pal. Just missed out on the monster double not sure what happened to poor ould totally magic but huge drift on him before the off. Well done again. Looking forward to the southwell selections on Monday!

  9. #10148
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    Quote Originally Posted by Nonannyimfine View Post
    Unreal giggsy you’re cleaning up pal. Just missed out on the monster double not sure what happened to poor ould totally magic but huge drift on him before the off. Well done again. Looking forward to the southwell selections on Monday!
    A cracking card at swell for a monday afternoon,very competitve don't know if i will be doing anything as looks impossible with so many new horses,i might write a preview out but seems to be a lot of guessing involved,a meeting more for the notebook than betting..I will probably end up doing some multiples or something,always have some sort of interest..

  10. #10149
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    A cracking card at swell for a monday afternoon,very competitve don't know if i will be doing anything as looks impossible with so many new horses,i might write a preview out but seems to be a lot of guessing involved,a meeting more for the notebook than betting..I will probably end up doing some multiples or something,always have some sort of interest..
    Sherian will be my fancy if he stays in. They’ve been running him all year keeping him fit. Stable in excellent form. Good jockey up too!

  11. #10150
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    Going to be some speculatuve pucks being first swell mertting back i could easily pick three a race if i get time will explain why..

    Southwell 12.35

    Showboating 14/1 sportsbook/ppower

  12. #10151
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    Going to be some speculative picks being first swell meeting back i could easily pick three a race if i get time will do write up so small ew multis won't be able to perm them too many bets.

    Southwell 12.35

    Showboating 14/1 sportsbook/ppower 12/1 365


    Showboating is undoubtedly on downgrade worst turf season although still has been running ok in slightly better races than tomorrows, horse is only going to go further down the ratings now an 11yr old.He ran two 5ths and a 3rd in class 4s on the turf this season only late september the 3rd in a 0-80,before turf season started was rated 86 at one point on the aw during 2017 but now running off just 66 in a 0-70,only have to go back to january when 4th in a 0-90 over tomorrows c/d..He's going to win a race this season off these marks even based on those turf runs and worth following through the aw season as its quite posssible could win a couple, even if not tomorrow there are some really interesting horses in this race and might have to wait for a similar race but still interesting pricewise,the negative has always been pace and only now ten runners with two not running.
    The favourite out of medicean could be anything,Weld al emarat is very interesting for mick easterby won first ever run over this c/d and was actually faster on the day than sae grade handicap as tomorrows on same day even as 2yr old debut,so is potentially very well handicapped and has been rated 95 on the turf this could still be a nice swell aw horse and only runs off 70 tomorrow after tumbling in weights(11/2).Even fieldsman(16/1) couldn't be discounted doesn't win very often but was rated in mid 70s when running in 0-75s over c/d last season and placing,running off just 65 another ew chance,a very decent looking 0-70..


    1.05

    Honey g 6/1 365 corals/lads/totesport/betfred/ppower/sportsbook Fareeq 6/1 sportsbook/ppower 5/1 betfred/totesport..

    Fareeq is a c/d winner won off this mark of 60 last season and then went off 13/8 fav in a 0-65 beaten by tan progressive horse from appleby stable,honey g has no fibresand form but been slightly poigressive on the turf,runs tomorrow off 57 after coming second in a 0-65..Sire Sir prancealot has 21% strike rate on this surface so no reason why shouldn't run well in a 0-60..Miningold(12/1) was rated 76 2017 been on downgrade but hasn't run on this surface out of decent sire piccolo and only runs off 51 a recent 4th to lucky lodge winner again since gives it every chance.
    It really looks the same as the two above probably better if you took its best form and revised mark but as said races are so competitve really can only play at peanuts and maybe some forecasts.


    1.40

    Homebefore dusk 11/8 generally..6/4 unibet/marathonbet

    Really would only pick this because of recent form,out of medicean so bred to go on surface the danger would be knighted and bred to on surface as well and especioally over these trips,its best form is as good as the favs just recent not so good but lee has rode it before but better jock on knighted now...

    2.15

    Cousin khee 10/1 sportsbook/ppower 9/1 skybet 15/2 betfred/totesport Katie gale11/1 365 10/1 skybet/victor/ppower/corla/totesport/betfred/boyles


    Lots of new horses running on fibresand makes a race for new horses to follow,on last seasons form in this grade and better cousin khee and katie gale would have ew chances,but they are veterans now at 11 and 8 so although they are still capable of picking up races there maybe better opportunitys later in season.Cousin khee runs off 69 tomorrow,shown nothing on turf won two races here at swell over 2m2fs last season off 63 and 67 although 7 pound claimer was on so not well handicapped on those wins particularly,but last run here was in a 0-80 had tomorrows topweight and katie gale in behind these three drop into a 0-70 tomorrow,after turf form needs to show ability is there still..
    Katie gale as said was behind by 3 3/4ls behind cousin khee staying on,earlier in season was 3 3/4ls behind cousin khee in one of his wins but has weight turn around to be closely matched,again has had long lay off 138 days another runner to be following in future off dropping marks could be a big drifter tomorrow out for run so betting will be informative..the fact their form is in this grade or better against horses that have to prove themselves on surface then they would be token bets with lack of run and turf form.Buonarotti i've been following and suppose its the obvious pick dropped in class been running well consistent all season,ran well in 0-75 last time out, this track could well suit so wouldn't discount as that turf form is as good as most of cousin khees or katie gales..

    Will be betting to a 1/5 of normal stakes,cards just too competitive as have other picks in the races as well although i thionk its a great notebook meeting for horses to follow..


    2.45

    Mr strutter 12/1 sportbook/ppower/tptesport/betfred Lucky beggar 14/1 sportsbook/ppower 8/1 totesport/betfred

    Declamation looked to be improving last season and could win this and essential ran well in a 0-70 here as well last season both obvious chances,two very speculative picks, one lucky beggar never wins and impossible to predict also drawn out in the car park tomorrow in 12 runs well in races it looks to have no chance then drops in grade and runs poorly has never been one to trust..Even last time out ran in a class 4 at catterick in a 0-85 was 5th only beaten 3 1/2ls,last run here was late august in a 0-70 finished third over c/d off 72 tomorrow off just 65 in a 0-65 thoroughly unreliable but on paper at least a decent ew chance.
    Mr strutter would be even more speculative as hasn't been as good on aw surfaces 0/13 but its turf form has been decent a third in a 0-75 this season off 69 and a second to dirchill in a 0-75 has run recently at newcastle beaten off 60...in a 0-60..He won't be winning on that form but interesting is first run at swell sire sir prancelot is 21% strike rate on this surface so off just a mark of 61 with 7 pound claimer could be interesting,if stable thinks this is his surface and could run to turf marks then obviously would be well handicapped..pretty sure he won't be winning on tapeta or poly so worth trying this surface with sire,betting will be really interesting..


    3.20

    Victoria drummond 9/2 sportsbook/ppower

    Some well handicapped horses in here Tommy doc thrown in off 80 on old form still only 6 with 15 runs was rated 95 at one point on comeback trail wouldn't be a shock if won this sort of race and interesting brought back to swell where well beaten last season...Victoria drummond of mark johnstons had three runs won at chelmsford last time out,form looked mediocre through the second so gets a mark of 79,only pointer that it could be well handicapped is if you ignore the second in that race while the third kelpie was over 5ls behind was only beat 4ls on saturday night at chelmsford in a class 2...It could be false form and as of writing not a [penny for the johnston horse,just looks interesting through sire sea the stars a 50% strike rate on the fibresand although i'm pretty sure if its well handicapped would be smashed off the boards in race like this..
    Quite a strange race as favs sire stats are poor even though best recent form,although only small sample and than you have the jihnston horse a bit to prove so horses like tommy doc,amazing michele potentially could be overpriced an interesting race but a bit of guesswork without more track form..

    Don't discount karaezak as well hasn't run for three years but rated 150 over hurdles and trainer very interestingl;y givong it a run here,hadn't looked at this runner when i did the form as saw the three year gap but that rating on the sticks would not surpriose me if showed up well...
    Last edited by gigilo; 12th November 2018 at 12:01 PM.

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  14. #10152
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    Quote Originally Posted by Nonannyimfine View Post
    Sherian will be my fancy if he stays in. They’ve been running him all year keeping him fit. Stable in excellent form. Good jockey up too!
    Take it you won't be betting it at current prices of 11/4 may win but awful price

  15. #10153
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    Going to be some speculative picks being first swell meeting back i could easily pick three a race if i get time will do write up so small ew multis won't be able to perm them too many bets.

    Southwell 12.35

    Showboating 14/1 sportsbook/ppower 12/1 3652nd


    Showboating is undoubtedly on downgrade worst turf season although still has been running ok in slightly better races than tomorrows, horse is only going to go further down the ratings now an 11yr old.He ran two 5ths and a 3rd in class 4s on the turf this season only late september the 3rd in a 0-80,before turf season started was rated 86 at one point on the aw during 2017 but now running off just 66 in a 0-70,only have to go back to january when 4th in a 0-90 over tomorrows c/d..He's going to win a race this season off these marks even based on those turf runs and worth following through the aw season as its quite posssible could win a couple, even if not tomorrow there are some really interesting horses in this race and might have to wait for a similar race but still interesting pricewise,the negative has always been pace and only now ten runners with two not running.
    The favourite out of medicean could be anything,Weld al emarat is very interesting for mick easterby won first ever run over this c/d and was actually faster on the day than sae grade handicap as tomorrows on same day even as 2yr old debut,so is potentially very well handicapped and has been rated 95 on the turf this could still be a nice swell aw horse and only runs off 70 tomorrow after tumbling in weights(11/2)1st.Even fieldsman(16/1)3rd couldn't be discounted doesn't win very often but was rated in mid 70s when running in 0-75s over c/d last season and placing,running off just 65 another ew chance,a very decent looking 0-70..

    KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK KKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM MMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!Backed all three forecast anmd tricast,what a touch,first race of the aw season!!! Smashed the markets on all three unreal atart to seasopn ffs!! 30 csf 197 tricast!


    1.05

    Honey g 6/1 365 corals/lads/totesport/betfred/ppower/sportsbook2nd Fareeq 6/1 sportsbook/ppower 5/1 betfred/totesport..

    Fareeq is a c/d winner won off this mark of 60 last season and then went off 13/8 fav in a 0-65 beaten by tan progressive horse from appleby stable,honey g has no fibresand form but been slightly poigressive on the turf,runs tomorrow off 57 after coming second in a 0-65..Sire Sir prancealot has 21% strike rate on this surface so no reason why shouldn't run well in a 0-60..Miningold(12/1)3rd was rated 76 2017 been on downgrade but hasn't run on this surface out of decent sire piccolo and only runs off 51 a recent 4th to lucky lodge winner again since gives it every chance.
    It really looks the same as the two above probably better if you took its best form and revised mark but as said races are so competitve really can only play at peanuts and maybe some forecasts.


    1.40

    Homebefore dusk 11/8 generally..6/4 unibet/marathonbetlost

    Really would only pick this because of recent form,out of medicean so bred to go on surface the danger would be knighted and bred to on surface as well and especioally over these trips,its best form is as good as the favs just recent not so good but lee has rode it before but better jock on knighted now...

    2.15

    Cousin khee 10/1 sportsbook/ppower 9/1 skybet 15/2 betfred/totesportplaced Katie gale11/1 365 10/1 skybet/victor/ppower/corla/totesport/betfred/boylesunplaced


    Lots of new horses running on fibresand makes a race for new horses to follow,on last seasons form in this grade and better cousin khee and katie gale would have ew chances,but they are veterans now at 11 and 8 so although they are still capable of picking up races there maybe better opportunitys later in season.Cousin khee runs off 69 tomorrow,shown nothing on turf won two races here at swell over 2m2fs last season off 63 and 67 although 7 pound claimer was on so not well handicapped on those wins particularly,but last run here was in a 0-80 had tomorrows topweight and katie gale in behind these three drop into a 0-70 tomorrow,after turf form needs to show ability is there still..
    Katie gale as said was behind by 3 3/4ls behind cousin khee staying on,earlier in season was 3 3/4ls behind cousin khee in one of his wins but has weight turn around to be closely matched,again has had long lay off 138 days another runner to be following in future off dropping marks could be a big drifter tomorrow out for run so betting will be informative..the fact their form is in this grade or better against horses that have to prove themselves on surface then they would be token bets with lack of run and turf form.Buonarotti i've been following and suppose its the obvious pick dropped in class been running well consistent all season,ran well in 0-75 last time out, this track could well suit so wouldn't discount as that turf form is as good as most of cousin khees or katie gales..

    Will be betting to a 1/5 of normal stakes,cards just too competitive as have other picks in the races as well although i thionk its a great notebook meeting for horses to follow..


    2.45

    Mr strutter 12/1 sportbook/ppower/tptesport/betfred Unplaced never trioed from draw finished 5th eyecatcher Lucky beggar 14/1 sportsbook/ppower 8/1 totesport/betfred dropped out last maybe one more chance of decent draw there

    Declamation looked to be improving last season and could win this and essential ran well in a 0-70 here as well last season both obvious chances,two very speculative picks, one lucky beggar never wins and impossible to predict also drawn out in the car park tomorrow in 12 runs well in races it looks to have no chance then drops in grade and runs poorly has never been one to trust..Even last time out ran in a class 4 at catterick in a 0-85 was 5th only beaten 3 1/2ls,last run here was late august in a 0-70 finished third over c/d off 72 tomorrow off just 65 in a 0-65 thoroughly unreliable but on paper at least a decent ew chance.
    Mr strutter would be even more speculative as hasn't been as good on aw surfaces 0/13 but its turf form has been decent a third in a 0-75 this season off 69 and a second to dirchill in a 0-75 has run recently at newcastle beaten off 60...in a 0-60..He won't be winning on that form but interesting is first run at swell sire sir prancelot is 21% strike rate on this surface so off just a mark of 61 with 7 pound claimer could be interesting,if stable thinks this is his surface and could run to turf marks then obviously would be well handicapped..pretty sure he won't be winning on tapeta or poly so worth trying this surface with sire,betting will be really interesting..


    3.20

    Victoria drummond 9/2 sportsbook/ppower1st was bigger on the fair went 6.0 only won with 2 stone in hand..

    Some well handicapped horses in here Tommy doc thrown in off 80 on old form still only 6 with 15 runs was rated 95 at one point on comeback trail wouldn't be a shock if won this sort of race and interesting brought back to swell where well beaten last season...Victoria drummond of mark johnstons had three runs won at chelmsford last time out,form looked mediocre through the second so gets a mark of 79,only pointer that it could be well handicapped is if you ignore the second in that race while the third kelpie was over 5ls behind was only beat 4ls on saturday night at chelmsford in a class 2...It could be false form and as of writing not a [penny for the johnston horse,just looks interesting through sire sea the stars a 50% strike rate on the fibresand although i'm pretty sure if its well handicapped would be smashed off the boards in race like this..
    Quite a strange race as favs sire stats are poor even though best recent form,although only small sample and than you have the jihnston horse a bit to prove so horses like tommy doc,amazing michele potentially could be overpriced an interesting race but a bit of guesswork without more track form..

    Don't discount karaezak as well hasn't run for three years but rated 150 over hurdles and trainer very interestingl;y givong it a run here,hadn't looked at this runner when i did the form as saw the three year gap but that rating on the sticks would not surpriose me if showed up well...
    Last edited by gigilo; 12th November 2018 at 4:50 PM.

  16. #10154
    SlimChance
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    Oh **** off. You didn't tip the winner. Sick of this ****.

  17. #10155
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    Quote Originally Posted by gigilo View Post
    Going to be some speculative picks being first swell meeting back i could easily pick three a race if i get time will do write up so small ew multis won't be able to perm them too many bets.

    Southwell 12.35

    Showboating 14/1 sportsbook/ppower 12/1 365


    Showboating is undoubtedly on downgrade worst turf season although still has been running ok in slightly better races than tomorrows, horse is only going to go further down the ratings now an 11yr old.He ran two 5ths and a 3rd in class 4s on the turf this season only late september the 3rd in a 0-80,before turf season started was rated 86 at one point on the aw during 2017 but now running off just 66 in a 0-70,only have to go back to january when 4th in a 0-90 over tomorrows c/d..He's going to win a race this season off these marks even based on those turf runs and worth following through the aw season as its quite posssible could win a couple, even if not tomorrow there are some really interesting horses in this race and might have to wait for a similar race but still interesting pricewise,the negative has always been pace and only now ten runners with two not running.
    The favourite out of medicean could be anything,Weld al emarat is very interesting for mick easterby won first ever run over this c/d and was actually faster on the day than sae grade handicap as tomorrows on same day even as 2yr old debut,so is potentially very well handicapped and has been rated 95 on the turf this could still be a nice swell aw horse and only runs off 70 tomorrow after tumbling in weights(11/2).Even fieldsman(16/1) couldn't be discounted doesn't win very often but was rated in mid 70s when running in 0-75s over c/d last season and placing,running off just 65 another ew chance,a very decent looking 0-70..


    1.05

    Honey g 6/1 365 corals/lads/totesport/betfred/ppower/sportsbook Fareeq 6/1 sportsbook/ppower 5/1 betfred/totesport..

    Fareeq is a c/d winner won off this mark of 60 last season and then went off 13/8 fav in a 0-65 beaten by tan progressive horse from appleby stable,honey g has no fibresand form but been slightly poigressive on the turf,runs tomorrow off 57 after coming second in a 0-65..Sire Sir prancealot has 21% strike rate on this surface so no reason why shouldn't run well in a 0-60..Miningold(12/1) was rated 76 2017 been on downgrade but hasn't run on this surface out of decent sire piccolo and only runs off 51 a recent 4th to lucky lodge winner again since gives it every chance.
    It really looks the same as the two above probably better if you took its best form and revised mark but as said races are so competitve really can only play at peanuts and maybe some forecasts.


    1.40

    Homebefore dusk 11/8 generally..6/4 unibet/marathonbet

    Really would only pick this because of recent form,out of medicean so bred to go on surface the danger would be knighted and bred to on surface as well and especioally over these trips,its best form is as good as the favs just recent not so good but lee has rode it before but better jock on knighted now...

    2.15

    Cousin khee 10/1 sportsbook/ppower 9/1 skybet 15/2 betfred/totesport Katie gale11/1 365 10/1 skybet/victor/ppower/corla/totesport/betfred/boyles


    Lots of new horses running on fibresand makes a race for new horses to follow,on last seasons form in this grade and better cousin khee and katie gale would have ew chances,but they are veterans now at 11 and 8 so although they are still capable of picking up races there maybe better opportunitys later in season.Cousin khee runs off 69 tomorrow,shown nothing on turf won two races here at swell over 2m2fs last season off 63 and 67 although 7 pound claimer was on so not well handicapped on those wins particularly,but last run here was in a 0-80 had tomorrows topweight and katie gale in behind these three drop into a 0-70 tomorrow,after turf form needs to show ability is there still..
    Katie gale as said was behind by 3 3/4ls behind cousin khee staying on,earlier in season was 3 3/4ls behind cousin khee in one of his wins but has weight turn around to be closely matched,again has had long lay off 138 days another runner to be following in future off dropping marks could be a big drifter tomorrow out for run so betting will be informative..the fact their form is in this grade or better against horses that have to prove themselves on surface then they would be token bets with lack of run and turf form.Buonarotti i've been following and suppose its the obvious pick dropped in class been running well consistent all season,ran well in 0-75 last time out, this track could well suit so wouldn't discount as that turf form is as good as most of cousin khees or katie gales..

    Will be betting to a 1/5 of normal stakes,cards just too competitive as have other picks in the races as well although i thionk its a great notebook meeting for horses to follow..


    2.45

    Mr strutter 12/1 sportbook/ppower/tptesport/betfred Lucky beggar 14/1 sportsbook/ppower 8/1 totesport/betfred

    Declamation looked to be improving last season and could win this and essential ran well in a 0-70 here as well last season both obvious chances,two very speculative picks, one lucky beggar never wins and impossible to predict also drawn out in the car park tomorrow in 12 runs well in races it looks to have no chance then drops in grade and runs poorly has never been one to trust..Even last time out ran in a class 4 at catterick in a 0-85 was 5th only beaten 3 1/2ls,last run here was late august in a 0-70 finished third over c/d off 72 tomorrow off just 65 in a 0-65 thoroughly unreliable but on paper at least a decent ew chance.
    Mr strutter would be even more speculative as hasn't been as good on aw surfaces 0/13 but its turf form has been decent a third in a 0-75 this season off 69 and a second to dirchill in a 0-75 has run recently at newcastle beaten off 60...in a 0-60..He won't be winning on that form but interesting is first run at swell sire sir prancelot is 21% strike rate on this surface so off just a mark of 61 with 7 pound claimer could be interesting,if stable thinks this is his surface and could run to turf marks then obviously would be well handicapped..pretty sure he won't be winning on tapeta or poly so worth trying this surface with sire,betting will be really interesting..


    3.20

    Victoria drummond 9/2 sportsbook/ppower

    Some well handicapped horses in here Tommy doc thrown in off 80 on old form still only 6 with 15 runs was rated 95 at one point on comeback trail wouldn't be a shock if won this sort of race and interesting brought back to swell where well beaten last season...Victoria drummond of mark johnstons had three runs won at chelmsford last time out,form looked mediocre through the second so gets a mark of 79,only pointer that it could be well handicapped is if you ignore the second in that race while the third kelpie was over 5ls behind was only beat 4ls on saturday night at chelmsford in a class 2...It could be false form and as of writing not a [penny for the johnston horse,just looks interesting through sire sea the stars a 50% strike rate on the fibresand although i'm pretty sure if its well handicapped would be smashed off the boards in race like this..
    Quite a strange race as favs sire stats are poor even though best recent form,although only small sample and than you have the jihnston horse a bit to prove so horses like tommy doc,amazing michele potentially could be overpriced an interesting race but a bit of guesswork without more track form..

    Don't discount karaezak as well hasn't run for three years but rated 150 over hurdles and trainer very interestingl;y givong it a run here,hadn't looked at this runner when i did the form as saw the three year gap but that rating on the sticks would not surpriose me if showed up well...
    Great Start G!

  18. #10156
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    csf 30 quiid 197 tricast...unreal stiff alkl pruces anninilated as well...all the c/d fortm worked out perfect bar the 2nd winning...luckily favourite was stupid price...

  19. #10157
    SlimChance
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    This is a parody thread. After timing bollocks.
    Last edited by SlimChance; 12th November 2018 at 1:51 PM.

  20. #10158
    SlimChance
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    In the next race he has mentioned 4 horses so another KABOOOOM is long odds on.

  21. #10159
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    Quote Originally Posted by SlimChance View Post
    Oh **** off. You didn't tip the winner. Sick of this ****.
    FFS...read between the lines!

  22. #10160
    SlimChance
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ricko View Post
    FFS...read between the lines!
    Sorry. You're right. Fav is well handicapped...

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