Originally Posted by
gigilo
Monday Catterick 4.20
The Grey Zebedee 14/1 hills 8/1 365/sky/sportsbook/ppower generally
The Grey Zebedee doesn't win too often,just 1/17 and am not sure the ground will suit on monday the weathers looking unpredictable currently gd/fm gd in places looks it could be anything looking at the foirecast,but probably would give the horse more chance if it was not gd/fm regardless..
The Grey Zebedee is a c/d winner won this time last year off 55 as a 3yr old,then ran third in a 0-60 on what was goodish ground has also previois c/d runs of 2/5/4/5 nearly all those runs were on soft or heavy ground,i can't see the ground being soft or heavy on monday,but the last run here when fifth to longroom there masybe some hope on slightky quicker ground..First time in a class 5 a 0-75 ran well beaten 4ls in 5th,the seconf militia won a 0-80 at chester earlier in the week..Went back to its favoured ground at Ayr fourth beaten 2ls on soft ground,Grandma beat it easily by 2ls runsin mondays race as well,that's favourite but has never run here befiore and The Grey Zebedee is better off at weights..Strangely The Grey Zebedee went off favourite at Ripon next time out,no form at the track,missed the break and hampered and had no chance ..It's record here is pretty decent and from the 2 draw if it gets out on terms has a decent ew chance,is actually well in with some of these on last seasons form, beaten them and better in at the weights,also three of these are running tomorrow and they might not even run on monday..Will be surprised if this goes off bigger than 6-7/1 presuming as usual Easterby is trying,as everything i back of his drifts like a barge,i can never get his horses right..it should be well backed in this race..
If the ground gets very soft then Captain Corcoran looks interesting drawn in the carpark in 11,but joined the Eric Alston stable,a third in ireland off 73 as a 2yr old and a win off 70 as a 2yr old befure joining the Alston stable,impossible to ignore from shrewdy trainer running off just 60,its worth having a small saver on it at 16s,still only nine lifetime runs on turf..
Had quite a few things marked off fir monday,but the ground is looking like being heavy at windsor and all the horses i picked at catterick i was hoping for good/gdsft ground,something i hate normally i just thought it would disadvantage a lot of other horses but now with the rain that appeared overnight its gd/sft and could well be soft which was definitely not what i wanted as i had some speedfigures for horses wirh great times..I will do the usual bets at 1/2 stakes multiples,but if they blow out don't be surprised,some of these picks are worth following and will be going in notebook if they bomb out..
Windsor 5.0
Bomb Proof 20/1 365 18/1 genersally
This looks like a race where two horses that head the weights from very decent sires could possibly be chucked in,they both step up in trip from 5fs to 6fs the sires both have 16% strike rates at the track and over the trip and on top of that with loads of rain forecast if it went heavy they alsi have decent sire stats on heavy or soft ground,they could be on false marks because of their 5f form Enderman and Iris Dancer..On the opposyite end of the scale johnn moore has an exposed runner six races running off 49,shown nothing till ran quite well at chepstow in a 0-75,was in the middle of the track all the runners went stand side and finished in those positions infront of it 1,2,3,4,was beaten 3 3/4ls in fifth,and wasn't given a really hard race although he did look a difficult ride..This is another runner i would follow for a bit,as this could be the wrong race on the wrong ground,sires never had a horse placed on heavy i think there will be a little race for this and it maybe go unnoticed,maybe back at Chepstow but will still add it in just incase..
7.0
Dominic Darling 8/11 generally
The betting will be really interesting on this one,one run one win back in October so 297 days off,that win was on desperate ground at Donny beat Gold Wand now rated 102 there was over 4ls back to the third Wonderful Tonight rated 104,Lady G in ffth rated 101 and even the fifth now rated 80 that one had already had a previous run beaten 7ls and the sixth beaten 13ls rated 97 and the eight beaten 17 ls recently touched off in a handicap off 70..That win was on desperate ground at donny,but the time backed it up at least on that sort of ground..
Catterick 1.45
Made For All 6/1 hills 13/2 ppower/sportsbook Look Out Louis 9/2 365
Look Out Louis is unreliable and looks impossible to fondd when his winning day comes,i will give him one chance after his two best runs this season here one was over 6fs in a 0-85 running on strongly in third looked unlucky lose and then last time out here over 7fs in a 0-80,he's never won over this trip so another ? but again looked a little unlucky in running..He may just be one of those to avoid,not a lot between him and Redrosezorro on that last run,Redrosezorro could well just frank the form,that ones drawn 2 and frontrunner and c/d winner and likes the ground..Maybe do some forecasts for a small interest..The other runner Made For All ran on the same card as that 0-80,won the following 0-65 over the same trip and was only 2ls slower than the winner of the 0-80 and got stopped in run,carrying 9-7 looks well in with those older horses..has a 12 pound turnaround in actual weight carried for that 2ls..The question mark is the ground,as these races were on good ground,tomorrow will be gd/sft at best and plenty of runners here that prefer soft,so relying on these horses repeating on slower surface..Whatever happens More Than Likely is one to follow if it flops.
Had to back Redrosezorro once one of ours was non runner,c/d winner on the ground beat look out louis on that last run as write up imposdible not to back with all that rain chucked it in multiples as well..got 4/1
3.20
Lady Nectar 13/8 365 hills 6/4 365 Jet Set Go 6/1 7/1 365 hills/sportsbook/ppower